Political Science & Politics

Volume XXVII Number 1 March 1994

w \ AND F^ALLY; ALL. Tvte Wfe TYPICAL VOTER WILL ^OT VOTE .lX ©Sidney Harris

Public Opinion, Institutions, and Policy Making Lawrence R. Jacobs, Robert Y. Shapiro, Bruce Russett, Thomas Hartley, Shoon Murray, Theda Skocpol, Benjamin I. Page, James A. Stimson, Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and Jennifer Hochschild PlUo The New Challenges Facing European Studies... Kenton W. Worcester and Sidney Tarrow Ghosts and Giants in Judicial Politics...6ever/y B. Cook Stata 3.1, the serious choice for serious research.

Stata is the choice for serious researchers because:

» it has complete data management (string and numeric variables, merge, sort, formatted and unformatted disk I/O, etc.). • it has a wide range of statistics, ranging from ordinary least squares to logistic regression to survival analysis to median and quantile regression. •*# • it has analytic, not just presentation graphics, including scatterplot matrices, SRSJ oneway scatters, etc. IS /"*•" • it is integrated; there are no separate modules; you can intersperse data management, statistical, and graphical commands. • it works both interactively and batch. X Cooling • it is programmable; much of Stata is written in Stata. ion • it is fast; on a 486 25/50MHz (DX2), a 9-variable, 957 observation linear regression A takes .26 seconds, a logistic regression 1.15 seconds. • it is available on DOS, Unix, and Macintosh computers and it is compatible across them; data sets and programs can be moved without translation. But just in case that does not Now Stata 3.1 provides more reasons: seem adequate, here are a few of the old reasons: New Reason 1. Stata 3.1 has a matrix programming language. New Reason 2. Stata 3.1 allows maximum-likelihood estimation of user-specified likelihood functions (derivative free; 1 st derivatives; 1 st and 2nd BASICS: Interactive or batch. On-line help. Line editing Menus (regular DOS only) or derivatives). command mode. Fully programmable. Math and string tunctions More New Reason 3. Stata 3.1 has multivariate estimation, including: DATA MANAGEMENT: • multivariate regression with a full range of across-equation Append, merge, compress; encode and decode strings to numenc codes, significance tests. formatted and unformatted disk I/O. 6 variable types (byte. mi. long, float, double, string); sort More. • Zellner's seemingly unrelated least squares. • Hotelling's T-squared. STATISTICS: ANOVA and ANOCOVA. multiple comparison tests. Binomial tests and confi- • Heckman selection models, both two-step procedures with dence intervals Bootstrap sampling and estimation Box-Cox transform. Confi- corrected standard errors and full maximum likelihood. dence intervals; exact binomial and Poisson. normal. Correlation Pearson. Spearman'srank,Kendairsrank;intracluster Cronbachsalpha Eptdemiological • canonical correlations. tables. 2-x-2 stratified tables for incidence rale, cohort study, case control, and matched case-control; Mantel-Haenszel, standardized, and user-specified • Hadi multivariate outlier identification. weights. Equality of distribution tests; Kolmogorov-Smirnov. Kruskal Waliis. New Reason 4. Stata 3.1 has new linear regression capabilities: Witcoxon signed rank; Wilcoxon rank sum (Mann Whitney) Equality of means tests. Equality of medians tests Equality o! variance tests Equality to normal • regression with absorbtion of mutually exclusive and exhaustive tests. Factor analysis, principal-component (actors, principal factors, iterated dummy variables. principal (actors; ML (actors, rotation (vanmax and promax) and scoring (Bartlett and regression). Inverse information-matrix based tests available after all estima- • constrained linear regression. tion including ML: algebraic syntax Kappa measure of interrater agreement, • regression with adjustment for errors in variables. weighted and unweighted- Kish design effects (DEFF) Likelihood-ratio test after any ML estimation Linfctest alter any single-equation estimation. Logistic regres- New Reason 5. Stata 3.1 performs nonlinear least squares. sion conditional 1 1 and 1;k(McFadden's choice model): Dichotomous (ML) with New Reason 6. Stata 3.1 performs negative binomial regression (Stata could already influence statistics, fit diagnostics and ROC curve, traditional or Huber clustered- data standard errors.also dcholomous minimum chi-square.multinomial (poiyto- perform Poisson). mous) with constraints within and across equations, ordered logn Missing value New Reason 7. Stata 3.1 performs quantile regression (including median) with boot- impution by best-subset regression. Poisson regression Principal components Probit; dichotomous (ML), traditional or Huber duslered-data standard errors, strapped standard errors (previously Koenker and Bassett SEs were also dichotomous minimum chi-square. ordered protxt Regression ordinary and available; they still are). 2SLS. influence statistics, tit diagnostics, traditional or Huber duslered-data standard errors: robusi regression. Cochran-Orcutt regression. Tobit and cen- New Reason 8. Stata 3.1 performs the Yates, Sanders, and Murphy decomposition of sored normal regression: stepwise Stepwise everything else, including Cox. ex- the Brier mean probability score. ponential, logistic, ordered logit. ordered probrt. Poisson. probn. quantile lobit. and Weibull Survival analysis. Cox proportional hazards with lime-varying New Reason 9. Stata 3.1 performs nonparametric tests for: parameters and censoring; tile tables. Kaplan-Meier plots with and without Greenwood confidence bands: summary statistics (mean and median). log-rank. • trend across ordered groups. Mantel-Haenszel. Wilcoxon-Gehan tests for comparing survival curves Tabula- • serial independence. tions 1-2-n-way Pearsonandlikelihood-ratwchi-squareCram ersV.Ftshers exact |2-x-2 and '-x-c|. Goodmans and KrusXai's gamma. Kendalls tau New Reason 10. Stata 3.1 performs resistant, nonlinear smoothing (e.g., 3RSSH, written Weibull and exponential regression, estimates available in both log(time) and just that way). hazard metrics. More New Reason 11. Stata 3.1 has automatic codebook generation. New Reason 12. Stata 3.1 has the ability to read IBM mainframe-style date (specify GRAPHICS: 9 graph styles bar chart, box plot histogram one-way scatterplot. pDianne Pinderhughes (University of Illi- Democratic Responsiveness? Untangling the Links Between Public Opinion nois, Urbana); Robin Remington (University of and Policy Missouri); David Rohde (University of Florida); Mark Rozell (Mary Washington University); Benjamin I. Page 25 Catherine Zuckert (Carleton College). Opinion and Policy: A Global View James A. Stimson, Michael B. MacKuen, and Robert S. Erikson 29 /•SDeadUms The Political Contingency of Public Opinion, or What Shall We Make of the bm Submission Deadline Declining Faith of Middle-Class African Americans? March November 23 June February 25 Jennifer Hochschild 35 September May 25 December August 25 Features 39 Address correspondence to Editoi, PS, 1527 New Would Ross Perot Have Won the 1992 Presidential Election under Hampshire Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20036. Approval Voting? PS: Political Science & Politics (ISSN 1049-0965) Steven J. Brams and Samuel Merrill III 39 is published in March, June, September, and De- The Comparative Politics of Eastern Europe cember of each year by the American Political Sci- ence Association, 1527 New Hampshire Avenue. Daniel N. Nelson and Samuel Bentley 45 NW, Washington, DC 20036, (202) 483-2512, and The New Challenges Facing European Studies sent to all members. Second-class postage paid at Kenton W. Worcester and Sidney Tarrow 53 Washington, DC, and at additional mailing offices. Impacts of Ideology on Press Reports About Events in the POSTMASTER: Send address changes to PS: Pa- titkal Science & Politics, c/o American Political Former Soviet Union Science Association, 1527 New Hampshire Ave- Mona Field 55 nue, NW, Washington, DC 20036. Copyright £ 1994 by The American Political Science Associa- The Teacher 60 tion. Teaching Research Methods: An Experiential and Heterodoxical Approach APSA membership dues are: Regular Members with income $60,000+, $95.00; $50,000-$59,999, Larry Hubbell 60 $90.00; $40,000-$49,999, S8S.00; $30,00O-$39,999, Traditional versus Technology-Aided Instruction: The Effects of Visual $75.00; under $30,000, $55.00. Student Members, Stimulus in the Classroom $25; Retired Members, $20 if income under $25,000 and $40 if income is $25,000 and over; Donald L. Jordan and Peter M. Sanchez 64 Life Members, $2,000; Institutional Members, $147 Teaching Public Administration by Exploiting Managerial Experience domestic, $165 foreign. The amount of the dues Dorothy Olshfski 67 allocated for a subscription to PS is $5 for individ- "Now That Was A Good Class": Learning About Politics by ual members, $31 for institutional members. $110 of the institutional member fee is allocated for Observing Local Government APSR. Changes of address should be sent to the John L. Seitz 71 Membership Secretary of the Association. The Profession 73 IadMdnal Copies: Single copies of the September, December, and March issues of PS may be pur- Faculty and Community in the Liberal Arts College (with Observations on chased for $10.00. Research and Teaching) Single copies of the June issue containing the Pre- Michael Nelson 73 liminary Annual Meeting Program are available for $15.00. Introducing a Feminist Pioneer in Judicial Politics: Beverly Blair Cook MicmHm Editions: Microfilm editions of PS are Lynn Mather 76 available from: University Microfilms, Ann Arbor, Ghosts and Giants in Judicial Politics MI 48106. Beverly B. Cook 78 Advertising: PS has a circulation of 16,000. For How to Select a Publisher in Political Science information on advertising rates and mechanical Christopher J. Kelaher and Edward Artinian 84 requirements contact: Advertising Director, Amer- Netting the Big One: Things Candidates (and Departments) Ought to Know ican Political Science Association, (202) 483-2512. Deborah K. Furlong and Scott R. Furlong 91 CompodtlOB, Printing, and Distribution: Byrd Press, Richmond, VA 23261. Printed in the USA. Garbage Cans and the Hiring Process Nikolaos Zahariadis 98

March 1994 1 Intellectual Fads in Political Science: The Cases of Political Socialization and Community Power Studies Yali Peng 100 People in Political Science 109 Activities and Appointments 109 Awards Ill In Memoriam 117 Association News 122 Report on the APSA Research Grant Program Michael Brintnall 122 After More Than a Decade, APSA Heads to New York City 124 1994 Annual Meeting Airfare Discounts 125 Map of New York City 126 New York City Attractions 127 1994 Annual Meeting Preregistration Form 128 1994 Annual Meeting Early Preregistration 129 APSA Graduate Fellowship Recipients 130 Section News 130 Registration Fees Charged by Other Associations 131 Remembering Aaron Wildavsky Jeanne N. Clarke 132 1994 Annual Meeting Placement Registration Form 135 1994 Annual Meeting Child Care Registration Form 136 1994 Annual Meeting Housing Information 137 Regional and State Association News 138 Listing of Regional and State Political Science Associations 140 International Political Science 146 A Trip to Free Kurdistan Michael M. Gunter 146 Serendipity and International Experience in Political Science: The Bulgaria/Southern Illinois University at Carbondale Connection Albert P. Melone 149 Announcements 152 Research and Training Support 156 Upcoming Conferences and Calls for Papers 160 Gazette 167 APSA Committees 167 Report on Congressional Fellowship Program, 1992-93 and 1993-94 171 PS Index of Authored Articles 175 Publications List 179 Index of Quarterly Features 182 Cover: © Sidney Harris

PS: Political Science & Politics American Political Science Association

Officers Council PRESIDENT SECRETARY 1992-94 1993-95 Charles O. Jones John Aldrich University of Wisconsin- Duke University Harriet B. Applewhite John Garcia Madison Southern Connecticut State University of Arizona TREASURER University PRESIDENT-ELECT Susan Bourque Barbara Geddes Sidney Verba Smith College David S. Broder University of California, Harvard University The Washington Post Los Angeles EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR VICE PRESIDENTS Catherine E. Rudder James L. Gibson John Mark Hansen David Brady University of Houston University of Chicago Stanford University PROGRAM CHAIR Paul Allen Beck Jennifer L. Hochschild Anne Hopkins Paula D. McClain The Ohio State University Princeton University University of Minnesota University of Virginia MANAGING EDITOR, APSR Raymond F. Hopkins Margaret Levi Ronald Rogowski G. Bingham Powell Swarthmore College University of Washington University of California, University of Rochester Los Angeles Gary C. Jacobson Mamie Locke University of California, Hampton University San Diego William E. Nelson, Jr. Barbara S. Romzek The Ohio State University University of Kansas Michael Zuckert Linda F. Williams Carleton College University of Maryland

Former Presidents Frank J. Goodnow Jesse S. Reeves James K. Pollock Heinz Eulau Albert Shaw John A. Fairlie Peter H. Odcgard Robert E. Ward Frederick N. Judson Benjamin F. Shambaugh Luther Gulick Avery Leiscrson James Bryce Edward S. Corwin Pendlelon Herring Austin Ranney A. Lawrence Lowell William F. Willoughby Ralph J. Bunchc James MacGregor Burns Woodrow Wilson Isidor Loeb Charles McKinley Samuel H. Beer Simeon E. Baldwin Walter J. Shepard Harold D. Lass we II John C. Wahlke Albert Bushnell Hart Francis W. Coker E. E. Schattschncidcr Leon D. Epstein W. W. Willoughby Arthur N. Holcombc V. O. Key, Jr. Warren E. Miller John Bassett Moore Thomas Reed Powell R. Taylor Cole Charles E. Lindblom Ernst Freund Clarence A. Dykstra Carl B. Swishcr Seymour Martin Lipset Jesse Macy Charles Grove Haines Emmctte S. Redford William H. Riker Munroe Smith Robert C. Brooks Charles S. Hyneman Philip E. Converse Henry Jones Ford Frederic A. Ogg Carl J. Fricdrich Richard F. Fenno, Jr. Paul S. Reinsch William Anderson C. Herman Pritchett Aaron B. Wildavsky Leo S. Rowe Robert E. Cushman David B. Truman Samuel P. Huntington William A. Dunning Leonard S. White Gabriel A. Almond Kenneth N. Waltz Harry A. Garfield John Gaus Robert A. Dahl Lucian W. Pye James W. Garner Walter F. Dodd Merle Fainsod Judith N. Shklar Charles E. Merriam Arthur W. MacMahon David Easton Theodore J. Lowi Charles A. Beard Henry R. Spencer Karl W. Deutsch James Q. Wilson William Bennett Munro Quincy Wright Robert E. Lane Lucius J. Barker

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