The Spin-Up Process of a Cyclone Vortex in a Tropical Cyclone Initialization Scheme and Its Impact on the Initial TC Structure
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Enhancing Psychological Support
Appeal No. MDRCN001 CHINA: FLOODS 2006 17 October 2007 The Federation’s mission is to improve the lives of vulnerable people by mobilizing the power of humanity. It is the world’s largest humanitarian organization and its millions of volunteers are active in over 185 countries. In Brief Final Report; Period covered: 2 August 2006 - 31 July 2007; Final appeal coverage: 26%. <Click here to link directly to the attached Final Financial Report>. Appeal history: • This appeal was launched on 02 August 2006 seeking CHF 5,950,200 (USD 4,825,791 or EUR 3,782,708) for 12 months to assist 240,000 beneficiaries. • Disaster Relief Emergency Funds (DREF) allocated: CHF 213,000 Related Emergency or Annual Appeals: 2006-2007 China Appeal MAACN001 2006-2007 East Asia Appeal MAA54001 Operational Summary: Every year, China is crippled by various natural disasters. In 2006, natural disasters were responsible for the deaths of at least 3,186 people. Over 13.8 million people were evacuated and relocated, with 1.93 million houses completely destroyed. According to latest statistics provided by the ministry of civil affairs, flooding in 2006 had caused a direct economic loss of USD 24 billion (CHF 30 billion). The Red Cross Society of China first responded to meet the emergency needs in Hunan province arising from typhoon Bilis. The Disaster Relief Emergency Fund allocated CHF 213,000 to initial relief distributions. A flood affected village in Hunan province. RCSC/International Federation Through the Federation’s China Floods Emergency Appeal (MDRCN001) launched on 2 August 2006, CHF 1.57 million was raised to provide additional support to beneficiaries through the national society. -
ABSTRACT Title of Dissertation: the GENESIS of TYPHOON
ABSTRACT Title of Dissertation: THE GENESIS OF TYPHOON CHANCHU (2006) Wallace A. Hogsett, Ph.D., 2010 Directed By: Professor Da-Lin Zhang Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science The phenomenon of tropical cyclogenesis (TCG), defined as the processes by which common tropical convection organizes into a coherent, self-sustaining, rapidly- rotating, and potentially destructive tropical cyclone (TC), consistently headlines research efforts but still remains largely mysterious. TCG has been described by a leading TC scientist as “one of the great remaining mysteries of the tropical atmosphere.” This dissertation was motivated by a specific case of TCG: the near- equatorial formation of a well-organized synoptic cyclonic disturbance during the active West Pacific Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). At very high resolution, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale atmospheric model proves capable of reproducing the multiscale interactions that comprise the TCG of Typhoon Chanchu. In the first part of the dissertation, the synoptic observations of the incipient disturbance (i.e., weak cyclonic vortex) are compared with the results from the WRF simulation. It is found that the disturbance tilts westward with height, and as a consequence of the vertical tilt, large-scale ascent (and thus precipitation) is dynamically favored on the downtilt-right side of the vortex. A major result is that the precipitation to the north of the tilted vortex serves as an attractor to the vortex through its generation of vorticity, thereby serving to dually diminish the vertical tilt of the vortex and deflect the incipient storm northward. Observations and the model simulation both indicate that TCG commences when the storm becomes vertically upright. -
Characteristics of Satellite-Based Ocean Turbulent Heat Flux Around the Korean Peninsula and Relationship with Changes in Typhoon Intensity
remote sensing Article Characteristics of Satellite-Based Ocean Turbulent Heat Flux around the Korean Peninsula and Relationship with Changes in Typhoon Intensity Jaemin Kim and Yun Gon Lee * Atmospheric Sciences, Department of Astronomy, Space Science, and Geology, Chungnam National University, Daejeon 34134, Korea; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +82-042-821-7107 Abstract: Ocean-atmosphere energy exchange is an important factor in the maintenance of oceanic and atmospheric circulation and the regulation of meteorological and climate systems. Oceanic sensible and latent heat fluxes around the Korean Peninsula were determined using satellite-based air-sea variables (wind speed, sea surface temperature, and atmospheric specific humidity and temperature) and the coupled ocean-atmosphere response experiment (COARE) 3.5 bulk algorithm for six years between 2014 and 2019. Seasonal characteristics of the marine heat flux and its short- term fluctuations during summer typhoons were also investigated. Air-sea variables were produced through empirical relationships and verified with observational data from marine buoys around the Korean Peninsula. Satellite-derived wind speed, sea surface temperature, atmospheric specific humidity, and air temperature were strongly correlated with buoy data, with R2 values of 0.80, 0.97, 0.90, and 0.91, respectively. Satellite-based sensible and latent heat fluxes around the peninsula were also validated against fluxes calculated from marine buoy data, and displayed low values in summer and higher values in autumn and winter as the difference between air-sea temperature and specific humidity increased. Through analyses of spatio-temporal fluctuations in the oceanic turbulent heat Citation: Kim, J.; Lee, Y.G. -
FLOODS 2 August 2006 the International Federation’S Mission Is to Improve the Lives of Vulnerable People by Mobilizing the Power of Humanity
Appeal no. MDRCN001 CHINA: FLOODS 2 August 2006 The International Federation’s mission is to improve the lives of vulnerable people by mobilizing the power of humanity. It is the world’s largest humanitarian organization and its millions of volunteers are active in over 185 countries. In Brief THIS EMERGENCY APPEAL FOR FLOODS IN CHINA SEEKS CHF 5,950,200 (USD 4,825791 OR EUR 3,782,708) IN CASH, KIND, OR SERVICES TO ASSIST 240,000 BENEFICIARIES FOR 12 MONTHS. THE FEDERATION HAS ALLOCATED CHF 213,000 FROM THE DISASTER RELIEF EMERGENCY FUND (DREF) TO INITIATE RELIEF ACTIVITIES. <click here to link directly to the attached Appeal budget> The 2006 flood and typhoon season is rapidly emerging as one of the most serious in recent years, resulting already in an economic loss of close to USD 10 billion. Since May to late July, five consecutive typhoons and tropical storms have swept through China. Damages wrought have contributed to overall flood-related disaster statistics across the country: from 1 January to 26 June, number of deaths are close to 1,500, with almost 254 million people affected, 8 million evacuated, 26 million hectares of farmland affected and more than four million rooms (the average farmhouse in China has one to three rooms) collapsed or damaged. Flooding season in China is, however, far from over and there is still potential for further devastation. Floods and typhoons wrecked homes and infrastructure. The scale of the humanitarian relief needs in China are huge and the Federation and the Red Cross society of China are fully engaged assisting and involving vulnerable group in a focussed disaster relief operation. -
Kármán Vortex Street Energy Harvester for Picoscale Applications
Kármán Vortex Street Energy Harvester for Picoscale Applications 22 March 2018 Team Members: James Doty Christopher Mayforth Nicholas Pratt Advisor: Professor Brian Savilonis A Major Qualifying Project submitted to the Faculty of WORCESTER POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science This report represents work of WPI undergraduate students submitted to the faculty as evidence of a degree requirement. WPI routinely publishes these reports on its web site without editorial or peer review. For more information about the projects program at WPI, see http://www.wpi.edu/Academics/Projects. Cover Picture Credit: [1] Abstract The Kármán Vortex Street, a phenomenon produced by fluid flow over a bluff body, has the potential to serve as a low-impact, economically viable alternative power source for remote water-based electrical applications. This project focused on creating a self-contained device utilizing thin-film piezoelectric transducers to generate hydropower on a pico-scale level. A system capable of generating specific-frequency vortex streets at certain water velocities was developed with SOLIDWORKS modelling and Flow Simulation software. The final prototype nozzle’s velocity profile was verified through testing to produce a velocity increase from the free stream velocity. Piezoelectric testing resulted in a wide range of measured dominant frequencies, with corresponding average power outputs of up to 100 nanowatts. The output frequencies were inconsistent with predicted values, likely due to an unreliable testing environment and the complexity of the underlying theory. A more stable testing environment, better verification of the nozzle velocity profile, and fine-tuning the piezoelectric circuit would allow for a higher, more consistent power output. -
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
Forecasting of Storm Surge and Wave Along Taiwan Coast Y
Forecasting of Storm Surge and Wave along Taiwan Coast Y. Peter Sheng1, *, Vladimir A. Paramygin2, Chuen-Teyr Terng 3, and Chi-Hao Chu 3 1Advanced Aqua Dynamics, Inc., Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A. 2 University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A. 3 Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. *Corresponding Author: [email protected] Abstract This paper describes the application of a coupled surge-wave modeling system CH3D-SWAN for simulating storm surge and wave along Taiwan coast. The modeling system has been used for simulating storm surge and wave in the U.S., Arabian Gulf, and Taiwan. This paper presents the hindcasting of Typhoon Soudelor in 2015 and the forecasting of the typhoon season in 2016 with Typhoon Meiji as an example. Performance of the forecasting system is assessed and future forecasting effort is discussed. Key words: Storm Surge, Wave, Numerical Simulation, Forecasting, Taiwan 1. Introduction typhoons of Taiwan. In the following section, we first give a brief description of the CH3D-SWAN modeling In Taiwan, typhoons are an annual threat. Typhoons not only bring torrential rain, but often cause storm surge, wave, and coastal inundation that system with all the associated modules of the impact areas near the coast and amplifies the flooding forecasting system and model domains. Model from rainfall. The impact of tropical cyclones on the hindcasting of storm surge and wave during Typhoon coastal regions in Taiwan depend on the Soudelor in 2015 is then described, followed by a characteristics of tropical cyclones and coastal regions. description of the forecasting performance of the 2016 For example, along the southwest coast of Taiwan typhoon season using Typhoon Meji as an example. -
A Concept of the Vortex Lift of Sharp-Edge Delta Wings Based on a Leading-Edge-Suction Analogy Tech Library Kafb, Nm
I A CONCEPT OF THE VORTEX LIFT OF SHARP-EDGE DELTA WINGS BASED ON A LEADING-EDGE-SUCTION ANALOGY TECH LIBRARY KAFB, NM OL3042b NASA TN D-3767 A CONCEPT OF THE VORTEX LIFT OF SHARP-EDGE DELTA WINGS BASED ON A LEADING-EDGE-SUCTION ANALOGY By Edward C. Polhamus Langley Research Center Langley Station, Hampton, Va. NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION For sale by the Clearinghouse for Federal Scientific and Technical Information Springfield, Virginia 22151 - Price $1.00 A CONCEPT OF THE VORTEX LIFT OF SHARP-EDGE DELTA WINGS BASED ON A LEADING-EDGE-SUCTION ANALOGY By Edward C. Polhamus Langley Research Center SUMMARY A concept for the calculation of the vortex lift of sharp-edge delta wings is pre sented and compared with experimental data. The concept is based on an analogy between the vortex lift and the leading-edge suction associated with the potential flow about the leading edge. This concept, when combined with potential-flow theory modified to include the nonlinearities associated with the exact boundary condition and the loss of the lift component of the leading-edge suction, provides excellent prediction of the total lift for a wide range of delta wings up to angles of attack of 20° or greater. INTRODUCTION The aerodynamic characteristics of thin sharp-edge delta wings are of interest for supersonic aircraft and have been the subject of theoretical and experimental studies for many years in both the subsonic and supersonic speed ranges. Of particular interest at subsonic speeds has been the formation and influence of the leading-edge separation vor tex that occurs on wings having sharp, highly swept leading edges. -
4. the TROPICS—HJ Diamond and CJ Schreck, Eds
4. THE TROPICS—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck, Eds. Pacific, South Indian, and Australian basins were a. Overview—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck all particularly quiet, each having about half their The Tropics in 2017 were dominated by neutral median ACE. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) condi- Three tropical cyclones (TCs) reached the Saffir– tions during most of the year, with the onset of Simpson scale category 5 intensity level—two in the La Niña conditions occurring during boreal autumn. North Atlantic and one in the western North Pacific Although the year began ENSO-neutral, it initially basins. This number was less than half of the eight featured cooler-than-average sea surface tempera- category 5 storms recorded in 2015 (Diamond and tures (SSTs) in the central and east-central equatorial Schreck 2016), and was one fewer than the four re- Pacific, along with lingering La Niña impacts in the corded in 2016 (Diamond and Schreck 2017). atmospheric circulation. These conditions followed The editors of this chapter would like to insert two the abrupt end of a weak and short-lived La Niña personal notes recognizing the passing of two giants during 2016, which lasted from the July–September in the field of tropical meteorology. season until late December. Charles J. Neumann passed away on 14 November Equatorial Pacific SST anomalies warmed con- 2017, at the age of 92. Upon graduation from MIT siderably during the first several months of 2017 in 1946, Charlie volunteered as a weather officer in and by late boreal spring and early summer, the the Navy’s first airborne typhoon reconnaissance anomalies were just shy of reaching El Niño thresh- unit in the Pacific. -
Improved Global Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from NOAA: Lessons Learned and Path Forward
Improved global tropical cyclone forecasts from NOAA: Lessons learned and path forward Dr. Vijay Tallapragada Chief, Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch & HFIP Development Manager Typhoon Seminar, JMA, Tokyo, Japan. NOAA National Weather Service/NCEP/EMC, USA January 6, 2016 Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 1/90 Rapid Progress in Hurricane Forecast Improvements Key to Success: Community Engagement & Accelerated Research to Operations Effective and accelerated path for transitioning advanced research into operations Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 2/90 Significant improvements in Atlantic Track & Intensity Forecasts HWRF in 2012 HWRF in 2012 HWRF in 2015 HWRF HWRF in 2015 in 2014 Improvements of the order of 10-15% each year since 2012 What it takes to improve the models and reduce forecast errors??? • Resolution •• ResolutionPhysics •• DataResolution Assimilation Targeted research and development in all areas of hurricane modeling Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 3/90 Lives Saved Only 36 casualties compared to >10000 deaths due to a similar storm in 1999 Advanced modelling and forecast products given to India Meteorological Department in real-time through the life of Tropical Cyclone Phailin Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 4/90 2014 DOC Gold Medal - HWRF Team A reflection on Collaborative Efforts between NWS and OAR and international collaborations for accomplishing rapid advancements in hurricane forecast improvements NWS: Vijay Tallapragada; Qingfu Liu; William Lapenta; Richard Pasch; James Franklin; Simon Tao-Long -
Structural Characteristics of T-PARC Typhoon Sinlaku During Its Extratropical Transition
MAY 2014 Q U I N T I N G E T A L . 1945 Structural Characteristics of T-PARC Typhoon Sinlaku during Its Extratropical Transition JULIAN F. QUINTING Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany MICHAEL M. BELL* AND PATRICK A. HARR Department of Meteorology, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California 1 SARAH C. JONES Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany (Manuscript received 28 September 2013, in final form 27 December 2013) ABSTRACT The structure and the environment of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) were investigated during its life cycle in The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC). On 20 September 2008, during the transformation stage of Sinlaku’s extratropical transition (ET), research aircraft equipped with dual-Doppler radar and dropsondes documented the structure of the con- vection surrounding Sinlaku and low-level frontogenetical processes. The observational data obtained were assimilated with the recently developed Spline Analysis at Mesoscale Utilizing Radar and Aircraft In- strumentation (SAMURAI) software tool. The resulting analysis provides detailed insight into the ET system and allows specific features of the system to be identified, including deep convection, a stratiform pre- cipitation region, warm- and cold-frontal structures, and a dry intrusion. The analysis offers valuable information about the interaction of the features identified within the transitioning tropical cyclone. The existence of dry midlatitude air above warm-moist tropical air led to strong potential instability. Quasigeo- strophic diagnostics suggest that forced ascent during warm frontogenesis triggered the deep convective development in this potentially unstable environment. -
Dependence of Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Performance on Typhoon Characteristics and Forecast Track Error in Taiwan
APRIL 2020 T E N G E T A L . 585 Dependence of Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Performance on Typhoon Characteristics and Forecast Track Error in Taiwan HSU-FENG TENG AND JAMES M. DONE National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado CHENG-SHANG LEE Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan YING-HWA KUO National Center for Atmospheric Research, and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado (Manuscript received 15 August 2019, in final form 7 January 2020) ABSTRACT This study investigates the probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF) performance of ty- phoons that affected Taiwan during 2011–16. In this period, a total of 19 typhoons with a land warning issued by the Central Weather Bureau (CWB) are analyzed. The PQPF is calculated using the ensemble precipi- tation forecast data from the Taiwan Cooperative Precipitation Ensemble Forecast Experiment (TAPEX), and the verification data, verification thresholds, and typhoon characteristics are obtained from the CWB. The overall PQPF performance of TAPEX has an acceptable reliability and discrimination ability, and the higher probability error is distributed at the mountainous area of Taiwan. The PQPF performance is significantly influenced by typhoon characteristics (e.g., typhoon tracks, sizes, and forward speeds). The PQPFs for westward-moving, large, or slow typhoons have higher reliability and discrimination ability, and lower- probability error than those for northward-moving, small, or fast typhoons, except for similar reliability between fast and slow typhoons. Because northward-moving or small typhoons have larger forecast track error, and their PQPF performance is sensitive to the accuracy of the forecast track, a higher probability error occurs than that for westward-moving or large typhoons.