New Tajik Minister of War in Isis: a Harbinger Or Messenger?
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NEW TAJIK MINISTER OF WAR IN ISIS: A HARBINGER OR MESSENGER? Introduction The terrorist group known as Daesh, the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS), the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) identified the Central Asian region as the area of Khorasan, once an ancient territory occupied today by modern Iran, Tajikistan and Afghanistan. Khorasan is supposed to become part of greater Islamic Caliphate; one Daesh is trying to create today in the Middle East. This article will mostly focus upon the struggle of Tajikistan’s government with ISIS, its external and internal difficulties and challenges; as well as provide a brief overview about Tajikistan’s security relations with two great powers in the region: Russia and the US. The summer of 2016 turned out to be quite testing and complex in terms of security for the entire Central Asian region. One can mention terrorist attacks in Aqtobe on 5 June 2016; an armed incident in Almaty on 18 July 2016; a car bombing at the Chinese Embassy in Bishkek in September 2016 and others. Main security event for Tajikistan is surely the news about its former special police unit (OMON) commander Colonel Gulmurod Khalimov becoming a new ISIS Minister of War. This article will look at this latest issue from a more detailed and analytical angle in an attempt to explain what it can possibly mean for Tajikistan and broader Central Asian nations in terms of security. Gulmurod Khalimov Once President Imomali Rahmon described ISIS as “the plague of the new century”, warning that any Tajik citizen joining the terrorists shall “burn in Hell.” [1] In May 2015 Tajikistan’s Interior Minister’s colonel Gulmurod Khalimov had famously defected to ISIS, leaving his country’s law enforcement agencies highly surprised. He commanded OMON, a special police unit to combat criminals and militants. In a short video that came soon after his departure the colonel briefly explained his biography mentioning he studied and trained both in Russia and the US with special operations forces. In Russia he trained with elite “spetsnaz” forces. He threatened to bring jihad back home addressing both the President Imomali Rakhmon and his ministers. Most importantly in his threats to his countrymen he claimed that there are many brothers from Khorasan who dream about establishing a Caliphate in Tajikistan to be run under the Sharia law. One month later, in June 2015 Dushanbe issued an international arrest warrant with the help of INTERPOL for the colonel. The charge against him is alleged membership of a terrorist group. [2] The US State Department included the fact of defection of Khalimov in its security report, calling it a “game changer” for ISIS in Central Asia. Later the State Department issued travel alerts for American citizens travelling to Tajikistan, particularly in Southern provinces bordering with Afghanistan. In late August 2016 the report emerged that Gulmurod Khalimov had replaced Tarhan Batirashvili known as Abu Omar al-Shishani (Omar the Chechen) killed during the US air strike in July.[3] Thus Khalimov now became a top field commander within the military ranks of ISIS. Almost immediately on August 30 2016 the U.S. Department of State’s Rewards for Justice Program posted an offer for $3 million for information “leading to the location, arrest, and/or conviction of Gulmurod Khalimov (variant Halimov), a key leader of the terrorist group ISIL”. There Khalimov is described as a former Tajik special operations colonel, police commander and military sniper who is also an active recruiter. Since late September 2015 he was Specially Designated Global Terrorist under Executive Order 13224 with his name being on the sanction list of the UN Security Council ISIL (Da’esh) and al-Qaida Sanctions Committee as well.[4] In the week leading up to the 25th anniversary of Tajik Independence on 9 September some servicemen received anonymous text messages in Khalimov's name promising to "congratulate" them with the Independence Day. Tajik Security services rushed to investigate the matter, though nothing so far indicated that threat has been implemented. Around the same time another harrowing event occurred in neighboring Kyrgyzstan. On 30 August a car broke into and then exploded within the compound of the Chinese Embassy in Bishkek leaving three people injured. In the aftermath two passports belonging to Tajikistani citizens were recovered, one of them being Zoir Khalilov, an ethnic Uighur as the State Committee on National Security (GKNB) security service confirmed. Meanwhile Tajik law enforcement agencies insist that the two Tajik passport holders are currently fighting in the Middle East and could not have possibly been physically present there during the attack. Kyrgyz authorities on the other hand are blaming East Turkestan Islamic Movement.[5] Both countries, along with Russia are obviously investigating all the possible clues to identify the real perpetrators behind the attack. Colonel Khalimov currently is the only known Central Asian militant of such high military ranking and background: he comes not only directly from the Tajik Interior Ministry, but he also headed the OMON, and attended training courses in the worlds’ best military sites. Therefore both Tajik, Russian and Central Asian officials have concerns that Khalimov acquired and may someday exploit strategic information about the defence plans of Dushanbe; training methods of security forces; or Russian and possibly Chinese plans to support and assist CA region. Tajikistan’s domestic affairs and Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan The poorest country in Central Asia Tajikistan received its 40% GDP share from the migrant remittances, mostly from Russia and Kazakhstan. This share had started falling drastically over the last two years due to the deteriorating economic situation in Russia. Fall of the ruble in turn affects negatively prices in Tajikistan, whose enormous dependence on remittances became almost legendary. Some analysts believe that main reasons for rapid radicalization of the Tajik society are economically driven; high level of unemployment, social marginalization and injustice, lack of necessary social benefits and other serve as additional contributors to the brewing social-political unrest. According to one report ISIS pays its fighters around $400-$500 per month as opposed to $175 a month in Tajikistan.[6] Thus, many fear that economic and financial incentives can serve as additional luring factor for Tajik men to join ISIS. Another regular Central Asian watcher Noah Tucker believes that apart from financial incentives, potential recruits join ISIS ranks to also “embrace Islam as an identity that offers solidarity, a sense of belonging and an explanation for economic hardship and discrimination that they experience”.[7] It is no secret that common an established route for Central Asian fighters to reach Syria is via Russia. From there they fly directly to Turkey and later cross the border on foot. It is especially true for Tajik migrants working in Russia where they form enclosed, almost isolated communities with many easily succumbing to Islamic radicalization. Reasons are numerous, including: long hours of hard work (like in the construction area), sense of cultural isolation, marginalization and abandonment by their own government. In fact radicalization of most Central Asian migrants occurs in Russia. An additional reason, analysts assume lies in the fact of severe governmental crackdowns on Islam and its believers in Tajikistan. Starting from 2014-2015 Tajik authorities have been applying strict and severe measures against its own population attempting to restrict the level of islamization among the youth. The measures included the ban on wearing the hijab for women and forceful shavings of men’s beards. Today minors are not allowed to visit the mosques, and children cannot attend public religious ceremonies; private religious education was outlawed.[8] Despite the real threats ISIS presents for the entire world and the Central Asian region Western experts tend to perceive the crackdown on Islamists by the Tajik authorities as authoritative and somewhat unjustified. On August 28 2015, the Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan (IRPT) was completely banned. It was country’s first and only religious party that remained in the Parliament since the end of the Civil War in 1997. The country’s Justice Ministry dissolved the IRPT due to lack of membership; party’s 58 regional branches were closed. Later IRPT was classified as a terrorist group. Moreover authorities had accused that its members share similar goals and ideas as ISIS. Many IRPT members were forced to leave the country fleeing from the persecutions and arrests. Additionally all the literature belonging to the party including their web-site, newspapers, audio and video materials were banned and outlawed. Even foreign media located in Tajikistan were requested not to bring, distribute and reproduce it. Leader of the IRPT Muhiddin Kabiri was included on INTERPOL’s wanted list for direct organization of the armed insurgency conducted by Deputy Defense Minister Abduhalim Nazarzoda in September 2015, which later was called a coup. Interior Ministry charged the IRPT members with terrorism, extremism and the attempt to stage a state coup as well as few assassinations; the details remain unclear as all those criminal cases are classified.[9] Some outside observers believe the more the Tajik government will keep pressuring and tantalizing the victims, or the suspects, as police