Scale Interactions During the Formation of Typhoon Irving
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Tropical Cyclogenesis Associated with Rossby Wave Energy Dispersion of a Preexisting Typhoon
VOLUME 63 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES MAY 2006 Tropical Cyclogenesis Associated with Rossby Wave Energy Dispersion of a Preexisting Typhoon. Part I: Satellite Data Analyses* TIM LI AND BING FU Department of Meteorology, and International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii (Manuscript submitted 20 September 2004, in final form 7 June 2005) ABSTRACT The structure and evolution characteristics of Rossby wave trains induced by tropical cyclone (TC) energy dispersion are revealed based on the Quick Scatterometer (QuikSCAT) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI) data. Among 34 cyclogenesis cases analyzed in the western North Pacific during 2000–01 typhoon seasons, six cases are associated with the Rossby wave energy dispersion of a preexisting TC. The wave trains are oriented in a northwest–southeast direction, with alternating cyclonic and anticyclonic vorticity circulation. A typical wavelength of the wave train is about 2500 km. The TC genesis is observed in the cyclonic circulation region of the wave train, possibly through a scale contraction process. The satellite data analyses reveal that not all TCs have a Rossby wave train in their wakes. The occur- rence of the Rossby wave train depends to a certain extent on the TC intensity and the background flow. Whether or not a Rossby wave train can finally lead to cyclogenesis depends on large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic conditions related to both the change of the seasonal mean state and the phase of the tropical intraseasonal oscillation. Stronger low-level convergence and cyclonic vorticity, weaker vertical shear, and greater midtropospheric moisture are among the favorable large-scale conditions. -
A Numerical Study on Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Vicente
MARCH 2017 C H E N E T A L . 877 A Numerical Study on Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Vicente (2012) in the South China Sea. Part I: Verification of Simulation, Storm-Scale Evolution, and Environmental Contribution XIAOMIN CHEN Key Laboratory for Mesoscale Severe Weather/MOE and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, and International Pacific Research Center, and Department of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawai‘i at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii YUQING WANG International Pacific Research Center, and Department of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawai‘i at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii KUN ZHAO Key Laboratory for Mesoscale Severe Weather/MOE and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China DAN WU Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, China (Manuscript received 14 April 2016, in final form 3 December 2016) ABSTRACT Typhoon Vicente (2012) underwent an extreme rapid intensification (RI) over the northern South China Sea just before its landfall in south China. The extreme RI, the sudden track deflection, and the inner- and outer-core structures of Vicente were reasonably reproduced in an Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) Model simulation. The evolutions of the axisymmetric inner-core radar reflectivity and the primary circulation of the simulated Vicente before its landfall were verified against the Doppler radar observations. Two intensification stages were identified: 1) the asymmetric intensification stage (i.e., RI onset), repre- sented by a relatively slow intensification rate accompanied by a distinct eyewall contraction; and 2) the axisymmetric RI stage with very slow eyewall contraction. -
Significant Data on Major Disasters Worldwide, 1900-Present
DISASTER HISTORY Signi ficant Data on Major Disasters Worldwide, 1900 - Present Prepared for the Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance Agency for International Developnent Washington, D.C. 20523 Labat-Anderson Incorporated Arlington, Virginia 22201 Under Contract AID/PDC-0000-C-00-8153 INTRODUCTION The OFDA Disaster History provides information on major disasters uhich have occurred around the world since 1900. Informtion is mare complete on events since 1964 - the year the Office of Fore8jn Disaster Assistance was created - and includes details on all disasters to nhich the Office responded with assistance. No records are kept on disasters uhich occurred within the United States and its territories.* All OFDA 'declared' disasters are included - i.e., all those in uhich the Chief of the U.S. Diplmtic Mission in an affected country determined that a disaster exfsted uhich warranted U.S. govermnt response. OFDA is charged with responsibility for coordinating all USG foreign disaster relief. Significant anon-declared' disasters are also included in the History based on the following criteria: o Earthquake and volcano disasters are included if tbe mmber of people killed is at least six, or the total nmber uilled and injured is 25 or more, or at least 1,000 people art affect&, or damage is $1 million or more. o mather disasters except draught (flood, storm, cyclone, typhoon, landslide, heat wave, cold wave, etc.) are included if the drof people killed and injured totals at least 50, or 1,000 or mre are homeless or affected, or damage Is at least S1 mi 1l ion. o Drought disasters are included if the nunber affected is substantial. -
A Numerical Study on Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Vicente
MARCH 2017 C H E N E T A L . 877 A Numerical Study on Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Vicente (2012) in the South China Sea. Part I: Verification of Simulation, Storm-Scale Evolution, and Environmental Contribution XIAOMIN CHEN Key Laboratory for Mesoscale Severe Weather/MOE and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, and International Pacific Research Center, and Department of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawai‘i at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii YUQING WANG International Pacific Research Center, and Department of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawai‘i at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii KUN ZHAO Key Laboratory for Mesoscale Severe Weather/MOE and School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China DAN WU Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, China (Manuscript received 14 April 2016, in final form 3 December 2016) ABSTRACT Typhoon Vicente (2012) underwent an extreme rapid intensification (RI) over the northern South China Sea just before its landfall in south China. The extreme RI, the sudden track deflection, and the inner- and outer-core structures of Vicente were reasonably reproduced in an Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) Model simulation. The evolutions of the axisymmetric inner-core radar reflectivity and the primary circulation of the simulated Vicente before its landfall were verified against the Doppler radar observations. Two intensification stages were identified: 1) the asymmetric intensification stage (i.e., RI onset), repre- sented by a relatively slow intensification rate accompanied by a distinct eyewall contraction; and 2) the axisymmetric RI stage with very slow eyewall contraction. -
World Meteorological Organization
WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION WMO TROPICAL METEOROLOGY RESEARCH PROGRAMME (TMRP) COMMISSION FOR ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (CAS) TOPIC CHAIRMAN AND RAPPORTEUR REPORTS OF THE FOURTH WMO INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON TROPICAL CYCLONES (IWTC-IV) HAIKOU, CHINA 21-30 APRIL 1998 WMO/TD - No. 875 Secretariat of the World Meteorological Organization Geneva, Switzerland 1998 NOTE The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the World Meteorological Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. This report has been produced without editorial supervision by the WMO Secretariat. lt is not an official WMO publication and its distribution in this form does not imply endorsement by the Organization of the ideas expressed. Foreword This is the fourth in a series of very successful workshops organized through the World Meteorological Organization's Tropical Meteorology Programme. The concept of bringing together researchers and operational forecasters from all parts of the globe for discussion and interaction has proved to be enormously successful. The previous three meetings have produced significant tangible outcomes in the form of publications and forecaster guidance, and have recommended directions for organizations to pursue with respect to tropical cyclones. There are also a number of intangibles surrounding these workshops that may be equally significant in the longer term. The broadening of links between individuals and organizations, the cross-fertilisation of ideas and the raising of awareness about exciting advances that are taking place around the world are all contributing towards the amelioration of the impact of tropical cyclones. -
Mesoscale Interactions in Tropical Cyclone Genesis
Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Faculty and Researcher Publications Faculty and Researcher Publications 1997-10 Mesoscale interactions in tropical cyclone genesis Simpson, J. American Meteology Society Monthly Weather Review, vol. 125, October 1997, pp. 2643-2661 http://hdl.handle.net/10945/46781 OCTOBER 1997 SIMPSON ET AL. 2643 Mesoscale Interactions in Tropical Cyclone Genesis J. SIMPSON Earth Sciences Directorate, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland E. RITCHIE Department of Meteorology, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California G. J. HOLLAND Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia J. HALVERSON* Visiting Fellow, University Space Research Association, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland S. STEWART NEXRAD OSF/OTB, National Weather Service, NOAA, Norman, Oklahoma (Manuscript received 21 November 1996, in ®nal form 13 February 1997) ABSTRACT With the multitude of cloud clusters over tropical oceans, it has been perplexing that so few develop into tropical cyclones. The authors postulate that a major obstacle has been the complexity of scale interactions, particularly those on the mesoscale, which have only recently been observable. While there are well-known climatological requirements, these are by no means suf®cient. A major reason for this rarity is the essentially stochastic nature of the mesoscale interactions that precede and contribute to cyclone development. Observations exist for only a few forming cases. In these, the moist convection in the preformation environment is organized into mesoscale convective systems, each of which have associated mesoscale potential vortices in the midlevels. Interactions between these systems may lead to merger, growth to the surface, and development of both the nascent eye and inner rainbands of a tropical cyclone. -
Two-Dimensional Retrieval of Typhoon Tracks from an Ensemble of Multimodel Outputs
APRIL 2012 T I E N E T A L . 451 Two-Dimensional Retrieval of Typhoon Tracks from an Ensemble of Multimodel Outputs TRAN TAN TIEN,CONG THANH,HOANG THANH VAN, AND KIEU QUOC CHANH Laboratory of Weather and Climate Research, Hanoi College of Science, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam (Manuscript received 5 June 2011, in final form 28 September 2011) ABSTRACT In this study a method of retrieving optimum information of typhoon tracks in a multimodel ensemble of forecasts is explored. By treating the latitudes and longitudes of typhoon centers as components of two- dimensional track vectors and using the full ensemble mean as a first guess, it is shown that such a two- dimensional approach for the typhoon track forecast can be formulated as a multivariate optimization problem. Experiments with five nonhydrostatic primitive equation models during the 2004–08 typhoon sea- sons in the western North Pacific basin show some noticeable improvements in the forecasts of typhoon tracks in terms of the forecast errors and track smoothness with this multivariate approach. The advantages of the multivariate optimization approach are its portability and simplicity, which could make it easily adaptable to any operational typhoon forecast center that synthesizes typhoon track forecast products from different sources. 1. Introduction unusual patterns of TY behavior in the WPAC (e.g., Huang et al. 2005; Yang et al. 2008). Another example is Accurate typhoon (TY) track forecasting is a chal- Supertyphoon Parma (2009), whose track crossed the lenging problem due to the existence of unpredictable northern tip of the Philippine several times before mak- components associated with large-scale flows and mul- ing a southern turn and had its final landfall in northern tiscale interactions of the TYs with the background en- Vietnam. -
Scale Interactions During the Formation of Typhoon Irving
VOLUME 125 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW JULY 1997 Scale Interactions during the Formation of Typhoon Irving ELIZABETH A. RITCHIE* Centre for Dynamical Meteorology and Oceanography, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia GREG J. HOLLAND Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia (Manuscript received 16 November 1995, in ®nal form 1 October 1996) ABSTRACT The development of Typhoon Irving is investigated using a variety of data, including special research aircraft data from the Tropical Cyclone Motion (TCM-92) experiment, objective analyses, satellite data, and traditional surface and sounding data. The development process is treated as a dry-adiabatic vortex dynamics problem, and it is found that environmental and mesoscale dynamics mutually enhance each other in a cooperative interaction during cyclone formation. Synoptic-scale interactions result in the evolution of the hostile environment toward more favorable conditions for storm development. Mesoscale interactions with the low-level, large-scale cir- culations and with other midlevel, mesoscale features result in development of vorticity in the midlevels and enhancement of the low-level vorticity associated with the developing surface cyclone. Multiple developments of mesoscale convective systems after the storm reaches tropical depression strength suggests both an increase in low-level con¯uence and a tendency toward recurrent development of associated mesoscale convective vortices. This is observed in both aircraft data and satellite imagery where subsequent interactions, -
A New View on the Risk of Typhoon Occurrence in the Western North Pacific
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 663–682, 2021 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-663-2021 © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. A new view on the risk of typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific Kelvin S. Ng and Gregor C. Leckebusch School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK Correspondence: Kelvin S. Ng ([email protected]) Received: 9 March 2020 – Discussion started: 22 April 2020 Revised: 27 November 2020 – Accepted: 10 January 2021 – Published: 16 February 2021 Abstract. To study high-impact tropical cyclones (TCs) is of nomic losses in China is evaluated to exceed RMB 67 billion crucial importance due to their extraordinary destructive po- (roughly EUR 8.3 billion) (China Meteorological Adminis- tential that leads to major losses in many coastal areas in the tration, CMA, 2018). While natural hazards have an impact western North Pacific (WNP). Nevertheless, because of the on all society stakeholders, governments are crucial in dis- rarity of high-impact TCs, it is difficult to construct a robust aster risk reduction (DRR) because of their ability to imple- hazard assessment based on the historical best track records. ment necessary DRR-related policy and to allocate resources This paper aims to address this issue by introducing a com- to appropriate parties (Shi, 2012). Governments have various putationally simple and efficient approach to build a physi- options for DRR investments, for example, post-disaster re- cally consistent high-impact TC event set with non-realised lief and risk financing. -
Tropical Cyclone Dioasters in the Philippines a Listing of Major
Tropical Cyclone Dioasters in the Philippines A Listing of Major Typhoons by Month Through 1979 Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance Agency for International Development Washington, D.C. 20523 BATAN .rsoISLANDSNSPhilippines - Railroad Road BABUYAN ISLANDS Port San \.Aparri-" art / Vincente agI 0 50. I 100I 150I ,Kilometers 50 10" 150 Miles arso 0 Dangued rTugueg Vigon Tau-,' Bontoc/ Son /-Ologan Fernane. / . 8olinao ,agn9 bayornbong Lizon Dlgupai I SanJose TarlachiCabonatuan 18 do POI ILL Sc.tbotaoh la 011 Shoal. Olongo %Manila iSLANDS Mari eles " t ) anleCrur Det sPandan Lo"C,_ na Carsdu jnesid Bgtetgas ," Ldcea , Caaa Boac Vhi Mam;ur,o* \.. M.,. Le,0 ,_P Go Mindoro } Bulan,. m l n . ,%'.-- Palap g H. g - M nsel ay . e- Mwan*omo Masbple Alleni ,aoman sad sdaon., Samar M Corn CALAMIAN Masbate Placer' .atbalogn- GROUP xa 7 Ro s Borongao Panray Daanb,,,,an. acloba'> i Ouiv SanJo, .Lsde, n -- ' , . C-yo Ba.nvita tol/ Cp lian { / IK M035Ii t .... i ( //.1.1r I' ,, e~oll Puerto Princess 'k i. : - I,'Soho/'Joh- l Surilo" Tagbilaran Quezon. 1PRawan SiontouTandag Sianton own (Brookem Point Dipl . Mindanao IGicog Prosperidad i< '> / ,Jogyaed Or B.at J L]I~t5IO '{/4ail,Marawi /Moboa WInd Sato rg.Ji udlZsmboaengal"Bil,N, C.oyon Sb cteo&4.t " ~ oo' Mali Ba siln ,igos W.\.d General 11 Iso ,Sandakin' Jo b Malaysia ,, Indonesia __ Pua, Karleelong (Indonesia) Base 504521 9-80 (545164) Tropical Cyclone Disasters in the Philippines A Listing of Major Typhoons by Month Through 1979 Prepared for The Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance Agency for International Development Washington, D.C. -
Onr Tropical Cyclone Motion Research Initiative: Field Experiment Planning Workshop
A?- NPS-63-89-002 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California ONR TROPICAL CYCLONE MOTION RESEARCH INITIATIVE: FIELD EXPERIMENT PLANNING WORKSHOP RUSSELL L. ELSBERRY JUNE 1989 Interim Report for Period October 1988 - May 1989 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited Prepared for: Naval Postgraduate School •, CA 93943 FedDocs Naval Research (Code 1122MM) 2 n, VA 22217 NPS-63-89-0025oo°Hy NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California 93943 Rear Admiral R. W. West H. Shull Superintendent Provost The work reported herein was in support of the Accelerated Research Initiative on Tropical Cyclone Motion of the Office of Naval Research (Marine Meteorology). The Chief of Naval Research provided some travel funds to support the attendance of a few participants. Funding for preparation of the report was provided by the Naval Postgraduate School. Reproduction of all or part of the report is authorized. This report was prepared by: DUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA 83943-6008 CLASSIFIED rv c\*{W c*aTk*)m (V EH* page REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE rOR' SECURITY CLASSif 1CAT1ON 'b RESTRICTIVE MARKINGS [CLASSIFIED u«:Tr classification authority 3 distribution /availability of report Approved for public release; / DOWNGRADING SCHEDULE I.lASSiUCATiON distribution is unlimited. ORMiNu ORGANZATlON REPORT NUMBtR(S) S MONiTORiNG ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S) S-63-89-002 |V(E Of PERFORMING ORGANIZATION bo OFUCt SYMBOL 7« NAME OF MONITORING ORGANIZATION (it sppnc*ble) Office of Naval Research val Postgraduate School 63 Marine Meteorology Program l)RESS (dry. ittte. tnd 2iPCode) 7b ADDRESS (City. Si*t*. *nd HP Code) 800 North nterey, CA 93943 Quincy Arlington, Virginia 22217 LrtE OF FUNDING /SPONSORING 8b OFFICE SYMBOL 9 PROCUREMENT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER .ANiZAJiON (if »ppt>c*bi9) val Postgraduate School O&MN, Direct Funding >RE>S (dry. -
Diandong Ren Storm-Triggered Landslides in Warmer Climates Storm-Triggered Landslides in Warmer Climates
Diandong Ren Storm-triggered Landslides in Warmer Climates Storm-triggered Landslides in Warmer Climates Diandong Ren Storm-triggered Landslides in Warmer Climates Diandong Ren Curtin University of Technology Perth, WA, Australia ISBN 978-3-319-08517-3 ISBN 978-3-319-08518-0 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-08518-0 Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2014947106 © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.