The Financial Services Cambrian Explosion: How growth markets are innovating for the next 2 billion customers Factsheet
While there has been progress toward financial inclusion, significant challenges remain1:
- An estimated 2 billion adults worldwide do - MSMEs cite a lack of collateral and credit not have a basic bank account history as main reasons for not having an account
- Globally, 59% of adults without an account cite a lack of enough money as a key - Some groups are more financially excluded reason, implying that financial services are than others: women, rural poor, and other not yet affordable or designed to fit low remote or hard-to-reach populations, as well income users as informal micro and small firms are most - Other barriers to account-opening include affected distance from a financial service provider, lack of necessary documentation, lack of - For example, the gender gap is estimated trust in financial service providers, and at 9% points: 59% of men reported having religion an account in 2014 versus only 50% of women
- More than 200 million formal and informal micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in emerging economies lack adequate financing to thrive and grow
Financial inclusion is becoming a priority globally for policymakers, regulators and development agencies:
The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation The G20 reiterated its commitment aims to play a catalytic role in financial to financial inclusion by renewing the inclusion by broadening the reach Financial Inclusion Action Plan for 2015 of robust, open, and low-cost digital onwards and endorsing the G20 High- payment systems, particularly in poor Level Principles for Digital Financial and rural areas—and expanding the range Inclusion of services available on these platforms
Since 2010, more than 55 countries Financial inclusion has been identified have made commitments to financial as an enabler for 7 of the 17 Sustainable inclusion, and more than 30 have either Development Goals launched or are developing a national strategy
The World Bank Group considers financial inclusion a key enabler to reduce extreme poverty and boost shared prosperity, and has put forward an ambitious global goal to reach Universal Financial Access (UFA) by 2020
For all footnotes within this document, please refer to Section 6: Footnotes. Preface
On 29 December 2003, former United Nations Secretary- varying degrees of success. It is yet to be seen how these General Kofi Annan said: “The stark reality is that most poor countries fare against their long term commitment to financial people in the world still lack access to sustainable financial inclusion, in this paper we aim to analyse the optimal degree services, whether it is savings, credit or insurance. The great and type of regulation. challenge before us is to address the constraints that exclude people from full participation in the financial sector. Together, Given the broad scope of this topic, we have used a sample we can and must build inclusive financial sectors that help of five representative countries, namely India, Indonesia, people improve their lives.” While Alliance for Financial South Africa, Kenya, and Nigeria – each of which has Inclusion (AFI)2 highlighted that: “Financial inclusion is no financial inclusion as a stated developmental goal whilst longer a fringe subject. It is now recognized as an important having approached the problem differently with varying part of the mainstream thinking on economic development degrees of regulatory intervention. For consistency and based on country leadership”. comparative purposes, we have examined each country’s approach to what we have defined as the five key regulatory Given the economic and social benefits of financial inclusion, it enablers towards financial inclusion: namely, the regulator’s is not surprising that influential global policy circles, foundations, approach to: regulators and governments are pushing for greater financial inclusion and promotion of alternative systems in emerging i. KYC and AML/CFT requirements vis-a-vis transactional markets. BCG estimates that a 1% increase in financial accounts; inclusion increases real GDP per capita growth by 3.6% ii. financial infrastructure development; through factors such as increased savings and access to credit, prompting better health, education, business creation and iii. the development of the payment system (with a focus on expansion. Needless to say, the impact is both sustainable the retail payments system); and self-reinforcing. Global policy actions, including the Maya iv. the use of technology as a financial services’ enabler; and 3 Declaration signed in September 2011, comprising a set of v. consumer protection and financial literacy. measureable commitments to increase financial inclusion, and the World Bank’s commitment to extend access to financial We believe that the approach taken by regulators in emerging services to 1 billion adults through the Universal Financial markets vis-a-vis financial inclusion is important primarily due Access 2020 initiative4, are steps towards universal financial to the economic and social benefits of financial inclusion inclusion. and the virtuous cycle of profitability and sustainability that is created by the provision of these services. In addition, however, These global directives, whose fulfillment can be made we expect that the absence of traditional legacy financial possible by leaps in technological advancement, need infrastructure in emerging markets, coupled with the presence to be supplemented, however, by support from local of an enabling regulator, presents an environment ripe for regulatory authorities and governments, who are – innovative business models and alternative distribution through different methods and in varying degrees – mechanisms in financial services. There are several promoting financial inclusion throughincremental policy examples, including mobile banking, remittances, agency adjustments. Examples include adjustments such as easing banking, micro-finance and micro-insurance. Emerging markets the way for new distribution models (for example, agent are well positioned to capitalise on the unbanked opportunity by banking in South Asia and mobile money in Sub Sahara Africa) as delivering financial services in a tailored way and in the process well as promoting programs that encourage financial education delivering innovative, efficient,proven business models that can and consumer protection or increasingly ‘forcing’ financial eventually be replicated in the developed world. As you will no inclusion through, for example, the digitization of the dispersion doubt recall, this was precisely the conclusion we reached in of welfare payments. India, South Africa, Egypt, Brazil and Apis’ first paper, entitled “Reverse Innovation in Financial Pakistan, to name a few, have started to disburse subsidies Services - a 10 Year Outlook” through electronic means, often card-based and sometimes authenticated through biometrics. India has a simplified branch All this innovation, and related “friendly” regulation, is taking authorisation process whereby the Domestic Scheduled place within the backdrop of the global financial system Commercial Banks (SCBs) are allowed freely to open branches currently being at an important inflection point, with financial in Tier 3 to Tier 6 centres with populations of less than 50,000. institutions having to adapt to an environment of tighter In 2010 in India, small, local “for-profit” companies, such as credit and lower economic growth, increased government corner shops and grocers, were also allowed to be engaged as intervention, stringent compliance requirements and, Business Correspondents (BCs) – intermediaries for providing most recently, several direct and stated threats to the financial and banking services, as facilitators for banks. These previous pace of globalization. seem gargantuan achievements when compared to the restrictive, often byzantine rules in Europe and the rest This white paper does not intend to make any recommendations of the developed world. As you’ll no doubt recall, this was for the future architecture of financial systems or for the optimal precisely the conclusion we reached in Apis’ first paper, regulatory approach to financial inclusion. However, we do hope entitled “Reverse Innovation in Financial Services - a 10 that our comparative analysis will serve as a helpful data point in Year Outlook”. the debate on how to promote financial inclusion and, perhaps, on how to prepare the financial sector for the next two billion Although most regulators in emerging markets are actively customers. For our sector, we believe that this has the potential seeking to tackle the problem of financial inclusion the approach to be a true Cambrian Explosion. taken by each individual country differs and has resulted in Matteo Stefanel Udayan Goyal 4 The Financial Inclusion Stack Contents
1. Regulation and Financial Inclusion ______6
Framework and methodology ...... 7
Consistent and long-term regulatory attitudes towards financial inclusion ...... 10
2. Key Regulatory Enablers – The Framework ______12
3. Country Case Studies ______20
India ...... 22
Indonesia ...... 31
South Africa ...... 40
Kenya ...... 49
Nigeria ...... 55
4. Conclusion ______62
5. Glossary ______64
6. Footnotes ______66
The Financial Inclusion Stack 5 1. Regulation and Financial Inclusion
What is financial inclusion?
Financial inclusion is the delivery of financial services at that all people have access to a transaction account5. affordable prices to sections of disadvantaged and low-income A secure account forms the first building block of a cashless segments of society - effectively two billion people. Financial payment ecosystem which removes the cost of transacting inclusion means that individuals and businesses have access in cash from the system, thereby reducing friction. As every to useful and affordable financial products and services individual has recurring expenses (particularly bill payments), that meet their needs – transactions, payments, savings, enabling such payments electronically, using either a mobile credit and insurance – delivered in an efficient, responsible -enabled or online payment method is a key driver of efficiency and sustainable way. whilst helping to build an individual’s payment transaction history that forms the basis of traditional credit scoring, To help inform financial inclusion strategies, it is key to keep which is in turn the foundation and key enabler to the provision in mind that financial inclusion is a progression with of credit. payments as the optimal entry point. Financial needs must be addressed as a hierarchy whereby owning a payment Credit enables one to reach beyond daily needs and make transaction account and having the ability to make electronic investments that will pay off in the future. For example, a loan for payments serve as the most foundational needs. new equipment or stock allows an MSME to be more productive and hence expand margins and yield a higher income. Finally, At the bottom of the pyramid, common across all segments generating income beyond expenditure enables individuals to of population, are bill payments and other infrastructure think about investments and insurance, which comprise the and for this reason access to a secure transaction account fifth and sixth layers of the financial inclusion pyramid. is a first step towards financial inclusion: it enables people to store money, and send and receive payments. A transaction Underlying all of this, financial literacy is imperative account serves as a gateway to other financial services and its and constitutes the foundation of the financial inclusion importance is highlighted by the World Bank Group’s Universal pyramid as illustrated below. Financial Access 2020 initiative, the aim of which is to ensure
The Financial Inclusion Pyramid: Hierarchy of financial needs
Emergency requirements
Insurance
Investments/ Savings
Aspirational needs
Borrowing
Other electronic payments
Monthly expenses Electronic bill payments
Secure account for holding payment transaction funds
Financial literacy
6 The Financial Inclusion Stack 1. Regulation and Financial Inclusion
1.1 - Framework and methodology
Emerging literature on the topic of financial inclusion is gathering momentum on a global scale: one of the most important discussions happening in the field is centered on how exactly we should measure the regulator’s impact on financial inclusion, both conceptually and technically.
In order to better assess the effectiveness of government and regulatory initiatives, we have provided a comparative analysis across five countries in Africa and Asia: namely India, Indonesia, South Africa, Kenya and Nigeria.
The sample countries examined in this paper have been chosen on the following basis:
1. Apis geographies
They are a representative sample across Apis’ target geographies in Africa and Asia, and the team has deep knowledge of and experience within their financial sectors.
2. Sizable population size and similar demographic make-up
The median age across the five countries we have sampled is younger than the global average, with a median of 24.6 years6. This is a key differentiator as younger populations tend to be technologically literate, are stronger contributors to a country’s workforce, and spend rather than invest.
Global Median Age7
No data
14 – 20
20 – 25
25 – 30
30 – 35
35 – 40
40+
The Financial Inclusion Stack 7 1.1 - Framework and methodology
3. Each country has financial inclusion as a stated developmental goal whilst having approached the problem differently using varying degrees of regulatory intervention
Country Financial inclusion charter The regulator’s objective
The term ‘financial inclusion’ was used for the first time Pradhan Mantri’s Jan-Dhan Yojana: The Prime Minister’s India in April 2005 in the Annual Policy Statement presented People’s Wealth Program — it envisions bank accounts by Y.Venugopal Reddy,the then Governor of the Reserve for all Indians Bank of India
Financial inclusion is defined as the ability to access the Target of 75% banked population by 2019 from 36% in Indonesia following products: savings, credit, insurance, payment 2014. system and other financial services
Broad set of goals including: access to housing finance; South Africa’s Financial Services Charter specifically SME finance; agricultural finance; formally banked South Africa identified financial inclusion as a mandate of private sector population; access to branches within a 15km radius and banks access to branches and ATMs within a 10km radius. Goals are set on a 5-yearly basis
Financial inclusion was given a new impetus by the rapid Financial inclusion is viewed as a key plank of the Kenya rise of mobile money, with the regulator taking a flexible government’s long-term Vision 2030 economic growth approach towards innovation by commercial players in the project, while at the same time being supportive of the sector efficacy of monetary policy
The CBN is a signatory of the Maya Declaration and The CBN is committed to reducing the number of adults formalized its commitment to financial inclusion with the excluded from the financial system to 20% by 2020 and Nigeria launch of a dedicated National Financial Inclusion Strategy aims to achieve these targets to through a broad range of in 2012 coordinated interventions outlined in its National Financial Inclusion Strategy
4. Although each country is at a different level of developmental maturity, most have exhibited strong GDP growth over the past 5 years
Historical GDP Growth8
12% 10.3% 10% 8.4% 7.8% 7.6% 8% 7.2% 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 5.6% 6.0% 5.3% 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 4.9% 4.6% 5.0% 4.8%
6% 4.3% 2.7% 3.3%
4% 3.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 1.6% 1.3% 2%
0%
India Indonesia South Africa Kenya Nigeria
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average
8 The Financial Inclusion Stack 1. Regulation and Financial Inclusion
1.1 - Framework and methodology
5. All five countries have experienced a significant improvement (albeit at differing degrees) in financial inclusion as measured by the World Bank Findex9
Financial Inclusion Development10
2011 2014 75% 80% 70% 53% 54% 60% 44% 42% 35% 36% 30% 40% 20% 20%
0% India Indonesia South Africa Kenya Nigeria
6. Whilst at the same time, having low levels of financial infrastructure at their disposal
Financial infrastructure density and financial inclusion metrics11
Country % of adults who have ATMs per 100,000 % of adults who used % who personally paid debit cards adults E-Payments to make for health insurance payments
22.1% 11 2.0% 6.8% India
25.9% 37 3.1% 0.9%
Indonesia
54.9% 60 13.1% 7.4% South Africa
34.7% 10 5.4% 5.4%
Kenya
35.6% 11 2.4% 0.4% Nigeria
The Financial Inclusion Stack 9 1.2. Consistent and long-term regulatory attitudes towards financial inclusion
For much of the past century, broadly speaking, governments have tackled the financial inclusion problem in one of two ways:
• The first, has been to nationalise banks or otherwise • The second approach has been to do nothing more coerce financial institutions into serving the poor. than the occasional gentle nudge. Economic growth India, which nationalised its 14 biggest banks in 1969 has probably been the largest facilitator of financial (and a few more in 1980), was a leading proponent of inclusion. The World Bank has found that GDP per capita this approach. Though it has since liberalised its banking accounts for more than 70% of the variation in global system, it still forces banks to provide services in remote formal account penetration, and has observed banked villages and to lend to certain underserved segments populations of over 90% in countries with GDP per capita (through Priority Sector Lending12). Even so, in 2014 53% of US$ 15,000 or higher. This suggests that formal account of Indian adults had an account up from 35% in 201113. penetration will increase sharply as emerging markets Similarly, most European governments have either forced grow and become more prosperous. Additionally, the banks to offer free “basic” accounts to the poor or have demographic transition in these markets gives rise to clear done so themselves through state-owned institutions, consumption, saving and investment demand growth as such as post offices. the workforce ages.
National income per capita is strongly correlated to the share of adults with a formal account (explains c.76% of variation among countries)14
Country Name GDP per capita - 2014 Account at an FI - 2014 1000 Afghanistan 0.6 10% 100% Albania 4.6 38% R² = 0.7564 Algeria 5.5 50% 80% Angola 5.2 29% Argentina 12.3 50% 60% Armenia 3.9 17% Account at an FI Australia 62.0 99% (% age 15+) (2014) Austria 51.3 97% 40% Azerbaijan 7.9 29% Bahrain 24.5 82% 20% Bangladesh 1.1 29% Belarus 8.0 72% - Belgium 47.3 98% - 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Belize 4.9 48% GDP per capita (current US$ k) (2014) Benin 0.9 16% Bhutan 2.6 34% Bolivia 3.1 41% Now more than ever, economic growth coupled with the inclusion have put in place an enabling regulatory and policy Bosnia and Herzegovina 4.9 53% combination of mobile telephony, big data, and cloud environment, coupled with an encouraging stance towards Botswana 7.2 49% computing is likely to have a greater impact than previous competition allowing banks and non-banks to innovate and Brazil 11.7 68% decades of either top-down planning or the trickle-down of expand access to financial services. Creating this innovative Bulgaria 7.9 63% economic growth. By way of illustration, at the end of 2015, and competitive space has to be accompanied, however, by Burkina Faso 0.7 13% there were 271 mobile-money services in 93 countries, with appropriate consumer protection measures (such as lending Burundi 0.3 7% more than 410 million registered accounts15. In fact, countries rate caps) and regulations to ensure responsible provision of Cambodia 1.1 13% that have achieved the most progress toward financial financial services. Cameroon 1.4 11%
10 The Financial Inclusion Stack 1. Regulation and Financial Inclusion
1.2. Consistent and long-term regulatory attitudes towards financial inclusion
The Global Microscope 201616 analyses the overall regulatory and institutional environment for financial inclusion in more than 50 countries. Based on the ranking table below, the broader lessons that have emerged over time remain important:
1. The first is that long-term commitment matters. In the strength in the scores of all four leaders in all indicators17 four leading countries, financial inclusion has been on the is particularly striking. Each country has weaknesses, but policy agenda for many years. The central banks of Peru for no indicator do any of the four countries score below and the Philippines were among the 17 original participants 50 out of 100. in the Maya Declaration in 2011. 3. As they put regulations and systems in place to support 2. The second lesson from the leading countries is the value the supply of financial services, the four leading countries of consistency across all fields of financial inclusion. The have also taken steps to protect consumers.
Microscope scores and rankings
Overall Scores and Rankings18
Score Score Ran 1 Ran 1