Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017

Republika e Kosoves Republika Kosova-Republic of Kosovo Qeveria - Vlada -Government Zyra e Kryeministrit -Ured Premijera -Office of the Prime Minister Agjencia e Statistikave të Kosovës - Agencija za Statistike Kosova - Kosovo Agency of Statistics

ESTIMATION

Kosovo Population in 2017

P r i s h t i n a June, 2018

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017

List of abbreviations and symbols

KAS – Kosovo Agency of Statistics RAE - Roma, Ashkali and Egyptian MIA – Ministry of Internal Affairs IOM – International Organization for Migration UNHCR- United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees EUROSTAT- Statistical Office of the European Union EFTA – European Free Trade Association 0 – The data is less than 0.5 of the given measurement unit : - Missing data - - No occurrence

Publisher: Kosovo Agency of Statistics (KAS) Date of publication: June, 2018 ©: Kosovo Agency of Statistics Reproduction is authorized if the source is indicated.

Numerous information is available on the Internet available at the KAS website at: http://ask.rks-gov.net/

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017

F o r e w o r d

The estimation of the population of Kosovo is a regular annual report that aims to provide an accurate statistical estimate of the population which is needed for institutions, organizations and individuals, and at the same time such a report is the practice and standard required on annual basis by the institutions of official statistics of a country.

This is due to the fact that in the period between the two Censuses (ten years) there are significant changes in the population of a country, municipality or at settlement level, and population estimation is more than necessary for issuing significant socio-economic indicators. The Kosovo Agency of Statistics (KAS) will continue to estimate each year the number of population at the country and municipal level. Annual statistical data on population are fundamental for studying and defining a wide range of analysis of social and economic issues at certain municipal, national and regional levels.

Population statistics are significant denominator and indicator of decision-makers, analysts, researchers, and various data users. Population data is the key component for estimating national accounts, employment, budget allocations, living standard and other socio- economic issues. These are the latest official estimates of the number of Kosovo's population at municipal level for 2017.

The report was prepared by:

Avni Kastrati, Director of the Department of Social Statistics Valdete Navakazi, Head of the Division of Population Statistics Sanije Uka, Senior Officer for Population Statistics Arijeta Sojeva, Senior Officer for Vital Statistics Elvira Tahiri, Officer for Population Statistics

Chief Executive Officer, KAS June, 2018 Isa Krasniqi

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017

C o n t en t s

Page

I N T R O D U C T I O N ...... 5

For data users ...... 5

Basis for the estimation of population ...... 5

Methodological overview ...... 5

Data sources ...... 5

Basic population ...... 6

Births: ...... 6

Deaths: ...... 6

Note: ...... 6

Natural increase: ...... 7

Migration ...... 7

International immigration: ...... 7

International emigration:...... 7

National migration: ...... 7

Total increase ...... 8

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017

I N T R O D U C T I O N

For data users The report includes changes in the number of population (natural increase and migration) during the period 01 January to 31 December 2017 in the territory of Kosovo.

Basis for the estimation of population In preparation of this estimation, KAS has applied methods of population estimates applied by statistical institutions, by using various data sources. The database to estimate the population number for 2017 is the estimated number of resident population in Kosovo at the end of 2015.

Methodological overview To assess the number of resident population at national / municipal level, the population is affected by natality, mortality and migration (BMM). Population estimate: basic population + natality - mortality ± external / internal migration. The estimated final data on the number of population at municipality level are calculated according to the following procedures: Pn + (N-M) + (I-E) Pn - Number of inhabitants estimated for the given / previous year (2016) N - Number of live births (Natality), 01 January – 31 December, 2017 M – Number of deaths (Mortality), 01 January – 31 December, 2017 I - Immigration, 01 January – 31 December, 2017 E - Emigration, 01 January – 31 December, 2017

Data sources Various statistical sources have been used in the compilation of this report as: Population Estimates of 2016, databases of Population and Housing Census, databases of birth and death statistics (KAS), administrative data (various KAS databases), data from municipalities of Kosovo, data from the Ministry of Education Science and Technology (MEST), data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MIA), data from International Organization for Migration

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017

(IOM - Office in Kosovo), data from United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR - Office in Kosovo) database of Eurostat, Frontex and several statistical and migration offices from some countries where Kosovo emigration has been more pronounced. Other administrative data from local institutions, surveys, reports and other researches were also used. These data were analyzed in accordance with statistical methods, serving as important statistical instruments and records for estimating population numbers at country and municipality level.

Basic population According to the "Population Estimates for 2016", the number of resident population in Kosovo at the end of 2016 is estimated to be a total of 1,783,531 resident inhabitants, a number that has been taken as a basic measure to estimate the population number for 2017.

Births: based to the data from the KAS database, the number of live births (registered) for 2017 was total of 30,275 live births, of which with the permanent resident of the mother in Kosovo (resident) were in total 30,025 births. This number of births will be taken as a basis for estimating the resident population in Kosovo.

Deaths: based on the data from the KAS database, the number of deaths (registered) for 2017 was a total of 9,670 deaths, of them from the resident population in Kosovo were total of 9,619 deaths. This number of deaths will be taken as a basis for estimating the resident population in Kosovo.

Note: In the case of births and deaths by the Serbian community, a significant part of them is registered, while a part of them (especially municipalities in the northern part of Kosovo do not record / report cases of births and deaths). Based on the natural increase of the Serbian community in the rest of Kosovo and in the region the number of births and deaths (not registered or not recorded / reported) is almost close (with a higher degree of deaths) but KAS in this report did not made an estimates for the community concerned for unreported cases (under- registration) as there is no statistical deviation expressed that will not affect the data estimated at the municipality level, and much less at the country level.

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017

The estimation of birth and death cases, including the Serbian community (cases of births and deaths not recorded) will be made in the future when restructuring / updating the demographic data in other KAS reports.

Natural increase: The population of Kosovo during 2017 has increased for 20,406 inhabitants with an annual growth of 1.13%.

Migration International immigration: according to data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MIA), municipality, UNHCR, IOM and data from some municipalities, the number of immigrants in Kosovo, in 2017, was a total of 5,832 inhabitants. This number includes returnees / resettled, number of Kosovo asylum seekers who have been granted with the right of citizenship, as well as residence permits for more than one (1) year of residence in Kosovo.

International emigration: the number of Kosovar emigrants during 2017 is estimated to be 11,263 inhabitants including legal and illegal emigrants. Most of the emigrants for 2017 were legal emigrants. Legal emigration was due to: family reunion, marriages, finding a job, permanent emigration (mostly in neighboring countries), long- term studies with employment, etc. Also, during 2017, a significant number emigrated by seeking asylum (first-time applicants) to EU countries including the European Free Trade Association countries (EFTA). In addition to the EU and EFTA countries, a number of Kosovars had emigrated to other countries, mainly in the US, Canada and other countries.

The international migration balance (net migration) in Kosovo for 2017 was -5,431 inhabitants.

National migration: during 2017, it is estimated that a significant number of resident population in Kosovo has changed their place of residence (municipality) mainly from rural settlements to urban and sub-urban areas for various reasons. The number of persons who have changed their place of residence from the previous municipality (from one municipality to another municipality - within Kosovo) is estimated to be 9,376 inhabitants (based on the trend of marriages,

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 movements in the 5 year period 2005-2010 obtained from the databases of Population Census as well as the number of pupils who have changed the municipality of residence).

Total increase After several years period of time, Kosovo marked a significant population increase, thanks to the positive natural increase of the population with 20,406 inhabitants and the small number of international net migration of -5,431 inhabitants. The resident population of Kosovo, for the period 01 January to 31 December 2017 increased by 14,975 or 0.84%. Population in Kosovo for 2017 is estimated to be 1,798,506 resident inhabitants.

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 Tab. 1. Population of Kosovo and natural increase for 2017 at municipal level

By permanent residence in the municipality Total Total estimated Deaths / population and No. Municipality population (31 Births / Natality Natural increase Mortality natural increase December, (2017) (2017) (2017) (31.12. 2017) 2016)

1 Deçan 41.480 570 174 396 41.876 2 Gjakovë 95.215 1539 627 912 96.127 3 Gllogoc 60.558 1009 249 760 61.318 4 Gjilan 79.834 1472 579 893 80.727 5 Dragash 34.237 514 340 174 34.411 6 Istog 39.917 627 273 354 40.271 7 Kaçanik 33.888 576 152 424 34.312 8 Klinë 39.616 810 216 594 40.210 9 Fushë Kosovë 37.859 815 199 616 38.475 10 Kamenicë 30.891 391 259 132 31.023 11 Mitrovicë 68.474 1359 468 891 69.365 12 Mitr. e Veriut 12.250 32 77 -45 12.205 13 Leposaviq 13.576 31 12 19 13.595 14 Lipjan 57.096 948 229 719 57.815 15 Novobërdë 7.063 46 29 17 7.080 16 Obiliq 18.994 354 86 268 19.262 17 Rahovec 59.381 934 311 623 60.004 18 Pejë 98.793 1517 625 892 99.685 19 Podujevë 83.242 1346 365 981 84.223 20 Prishtinë 207.708 3412 838 2.574 210.282 21 Prizren 189.058 3271 1061 2.210 191.268 22 Skenderaj 52.053 898 240 658 52.711 23 Shtime 27.488 490 114 376 27.864 24 Shtërpcë 6.840 90 137 -47 6.793 25 Suharekë 60.196 1311 326 985 61.181 26 Ferizaj 101.107 1990 544 1.446 102.553 27 Viti 47.202 809 253 556 47.758 28 Vushtrri 64.915 1240 394 846 65.761 29 Zubin Potok 6.584 44 9 35 6.619 30 Zveçan 7.360 33 16 17 7.377 31 Malishevë 58.120 1132 187 945 59.065 32 Junik 6.437 73 28 45 6.482 33 Mamushë 5.895 72 18 54 5.949 34 Hani i Elezit 9.922 147 60 87 10.009 35 Graçanicë 11.997 18 9 9 12.006 36 Ranillug 3.831 37 62 -25 3.806 37 Partesh 1.716 41 29 12 1.728 38 Kllokot 2.738 27 24 3 2.741

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 Tab. 2. Total population of Kosovo and migration for 2017

International migrationr (2017) National migration (2017) Estimated Total Total migration population (31 Balance of Balance of population and No. Municipality balance at the December, Immigration Emigration international Immigration Emigration national migrationi municipal level 2017 2016) migration migration (31.12 2017)

1 Deçan 41.480 29 53 -24 135 179 -44 -68 41.412 2 Gjakovë 95.215 382 1.069 -687 271 371 -100 -787 94.428 3 Gllogoc 60.558 53 75 -22 248 411 -163 -185 60.373 4 Gjilan 79.834 514 1.025 -511 327 381 -54 -565 79.269 5 Dragash 34.237 141 153 -12 66 149 -83 -95 34.142 6 Istog 39.917 158 75 83 201 175 26 109 40.026 7 Kaçanik 33.888 57 50 7 116 229 -113 -106 33.782 8 Klinë 39.616 172 221 -49 229 268 -39 -88 39.528 9 Fushë Kosovë 37.859 342 843 -501 834 201 633 132 37.991 10 Kamenicë 30.891 22 138 -116 152 309 -157 -273 30.618 11 Mitrovicë 68.474 146 71 75 267 361 -94 -19 68.455 12 Mitr. e Veriut 12.250 34 31 3 11 8 3 6 12.256 13 Leposaviq 13.576 94 103 -9 15 14 1 -8 13.568 14 Lipjan 57.096 127 175 -48 281 315 -34 -82 57.014 15 Novobërdë 7.063 31 25 6 118 44 74 80 7.143 16 Obiliq 18.994 57 166 -109 172 181 -9 -118 18.876 17 Rahovec 59.381 75 879 -804 179 277 -98 -902 58.479 18 Pejë 98.793 202 300 -98 309 328 -19 -117 98.676 19 Podujevë 83.242 396 501 -105 162 835 -673 -778 82.464 20 Prishtinë 207.708 687 288 399 2.428 1.354 1.074 1.473 209.181 21 Prizren 189.058 541 526 15 698 416 282 297 189.355 22 Skenderaj 52.053 75 113 -38 227 557 -330 -368 51.685 23 Shtime 27.488 207 401 -194 158 174 -16 -210 27.278 24 Shtërpcë 6.840 18 14 4 41 65 -24 -20 6.820 25 Suharekë 60.196 48 914 -866 203 271 -68 -934 59.262 26 Ferizaj 101.107 638 363 275 488 313 175 450 101.557 27 Viti 47.202 148 225 -77 175 241 -66 -143 47.059 28 Vushtrri 64.915 149 1.365 -1.216 263 340 -77 -1.293 63.622 29 Zubin Potok 6.584 9 11 -2 8 9 -1 -3 6.581 30 Zveçan 7.360 14 12 2 9 12 -3 -1 7.359 31 Malishevë 58.120 199 903 -704 237 329 -92 -796 57.324 32 Junik 6.437 13 138 -125 41 28 13 -112 6.325 33 Mamushë 5.895 7 6 1 5 5 0 1 5.896 34 Hani i Elezit 9.922 9 12 -3 47 55 -8 -11 9.911 35 Graçanicë 11.997 23 11 12 215 142 73 85 12.082 36 Ranillug 3.831 4 3 1 11 8 3 4 3.835 37 Partesh 1.716 2 1 1 7 6 1 2 1.718 38 Kllokot 2.738 9 4 5 22 15 7 12 2.750

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Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 Tab. 3. Total population of Kosovo estimated for 2017

Total Kosovo Total estimated Natural Total increase population estimated population Balance of No. Municipality increase for the year for 2017 (31 (31 December migration (2017) (2017) 2017 December 2017 or 01 2016) January 2018)

1 Deçan 41.480 396 -68 328 41.808 2 Gjakovë 95.215 912 -787 125 95.340 3 Gllogoc 60.558 760 -185 575 61.133 4 Gjilan 79.834 893 -565 328 80.162 5 Dragash 34.237 174 -95 79 34.316 6 Istog 39.917 354 109 463 40.380 7 Kaçanik 33.888 424 -106 318 34.206 8 Klinë 39.616 594 -88 506 40.122 9 Fushë Kosovë 37.859 616 132 748 38.607 10 Kamenicë 30.891 132 -273 -141 30.750 11 Mitrovicë 68.474 891 -19 872 69.346 12 Mitr. e Veriut 12.250 -45 6 -39 12.211 13 Leposaviq 13.576 19 -8 11 13.587 14 Lipjan 57.096 719 -82 637 57.733 15 Novobërdë 7.063 17 80 97 7.160 16 Obiliq 18.994 268 -118 150 19.144 17 Rahovec 59.381 623 -902 -279 59.102 18 Pejë 98.793 892 -117 775 99.568 19 Podujevë 83.242 981 -778 203 83.445 20 Prishtinë 207.708 2574 1473 4047 211.755 21 Prizren 189.058 2210 297 2507 191.565 22 Skenderaj 52.053 658 -368 290 52.343 23 Shtime 27.488 376 -210 166 27.654 24 Shtërpcë 6.840 -47 -20 -67 6.773 25 Suharekë 60.196 985 -934 51 60.247 26 Ferizaj 101.107 1446 450 1896 103.003 27 Viti 47.202 556 -143 413 47.615 28 Vushtrri 64.915 846 -1293 -447 64.468 29 Zubin Potok 6.584 35 -3 32 6.616 30 Zveçan 7.360 17 -1 16 7.376 31 Malishevë 58.120 945 -796 149 58.269 32 Junik 6.437 45 -112 -67 6.370 33 Mamushë 5.895 54 1 55 5.950 34 Hani i Elezit 9.922 87 -11 76 9.998 35 Graçanicë 11.997 9 85 94 12.091 36 Ranillug 3.831 -25 4 -21 3.810 37 Partesh 1.716 12 2 14 1.730 38 Kllokot 2.738 3 12 15 2.753

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Catalogin in publication – (CIP) The National end Universiy Lybrari of Kosova “Pjetër Bogdani”

312 (496.51) “2017”(084.2)

Estimation Kosovo population in 2017 / Publication was prepared by Avni Kastrati...et al.] - Prishtinë : Kosova Agenciy of Statistice, 2018. - 11 f. : ilustr. ; 28 cm. - (Series 5 : Social Statistics)

Foreword / Isa Krasniqi : f. 2

1.Kastrati, Avni

ISBN 978-9951-22-481-9

Kosovo Agency of Statistics short description Kosovo Agency of Statistics is a professional institution which deals with collection, processing and publication of official statistical data. As such acts since 1948 and has passed through several historical stages, structured according to state regulation of those times.

On 2 August 1999, the Agency has resumed his professional work (after nine years of interruption of all statistical series detrimental to the interest of Kosovo), as an independent institution under the Ministry of Public Administration. Since 12.12.2011 the Agency operates in the frames of the Prime Minister’s Office. Office is funded by the Kosovo Consolidated Budget, but also by donors for specific projects and for technical professional support.

Kosovo Agency of Statistics acts according to the Law No. 04/L-036 which entered into force on 12.12.2011. The Programme of Official Statistics 2013/2017 is currently implemented for the development of the statistical system in correlation with European Union Statistics (EUROSTAT).

Kosovo Agency of Statistics has this organizational structure: Departments for statistical production; (Department of Economic Statistics and National Accounts, Department of Agriculture and Environment Statistics and Department of Social statistics. Support Departments; Department of Methodology and Information Technology, Department for Policy Planning, Coordination and Communication, Department of Census and Surveys and Department of Administration. Within the Agency also operate; Regional Offices; Gjakove, Gjilan, Mitrovica, Peja, Prizren, Prishtina and Ferizaj

Number of employees and budget are still limited. In KAS are employed in total 143 workers, of whom 98 (68,58 %) at the headquarters of the Agency, while in the Regional Offices, 45 (31,5%). Agency’s educational qualifying structure is as follows: 61,7% with university education,15,4% with secondary but not tertiary education, and 17,5% with secondary education.

We have professional and technical cooperation with all Ministries of the Government of Kosovo, especially with the Ministry of Economy and Finance, Central Bank of Kosovo, with international institutions, EUROSTAT, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Sweden's SIDA, DFID, UNFPA, UNDP, UNIVEF, and with the statistical institutions of the countries in the region.

Kosovo Agency of Statistics almost completely covers the territory of Kosovo, based on the statistical structure of the enumeration areas as the basic unit and sole in the country from where obtains first hand information. All surveys conducted in the field use the extension of the samples in these enumeration areas but also a statistical methodology according to international recommendations. During the collection of statistical data and reports from reporting entities are involved professionals, technicians, administrators, servants of the country offices, field enumerators from regional offices, etc.

In 2011, the project of Population Census, Households and Dwellings was successfully implemented, and in 2014 was successfully carried out the Agriculture Census. The result obtained from these censuses will have an important role in the policies for development.

The mission of the Agency; to meet the needs of users with qualitative statistical data, objective, in time and space so that users have reliable base to conduct regular analysis in the interest of planning and project development at the municipal and country level. To support government institutions, scientific institutes, research academies, businesses in order to provide proper information for decision-makers and other users in Kosovo.

o Address: KOSOVO AGENCY OF STATISTICS Street. ”Zenel Salihu”, No. 4, 10000 Pristina o Telephone: +381 (0) 38 200 31 129 CEO: +381 (0) 38 200 31 112 o Fax:: +381 (0) 38 235 033 o E-mail: [email protected] o Web: http://ask.rks-gov.net