Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 Republika e Kosoves Republika Kosova-Republic of Kosovo Qeveria - Vlada -Government Zyra e Kryeministrit -Ured Premijera -Office of the Prime Minister Agjencia e Statistikave të Kosovës - Agencija za Statistike Kosova - Kosovo Agency of Statistics ESTIMATION Kosovo Population in 2017 P r i s h t i n a June, 2018 1 Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 List of abbreviations and symbols KAS – Kosovo Agency of Statistics RAE - Roma, Ashkali and Egyptian MIA – Ministry of Internal Affairs IOM – International Organization for Migration UNHCR- United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees EUROSTAT- Statistical Office of the European Union EFTA – European Free Trade Association 0 – The data is less than 0.5 of the given measurement unit : - Missing data - - No occurrence Publisher: Kosovo Agency of Statistics (KAS) Date of publication: June, 2018 ©: Kosovo Agency of Statistics Reproduction is authorized if the source is indicated. Numerous information is available on the Internet available at the KAS website at: http://ask.rks-gov.net/ 2 Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 F o r e w o r d The estimation of the population of Kosovo is a regular annual report that aims to provide an accurate statistical estimate of the population which is needed for institutions, organizations and individuals, and at the same time such a report is the practice and standard required on annual basis by the institutions of official statistics of a country. This is due to the fact that in the period between the two Censuses (ten years) there are significant changes in the population of a country, municipality or at settlement level, and population estimation is more than necessary for issuing significant socio-economic indicators. The Kosovo Agency of Statistics (KAS) will continue to estimate each year the number of population at the country and municipal level. Annual statistical data on population are fundamental for studying and defining a wide range of analysis of social and economic issues at certain municipal, national and regional levels. Population statistics are significant denominator and indicator of decision-makers, analysts, researchers, and various data users. Population data is the key component for estimating national accounts, employment, budget allocations, living standard and other socio- economic issues. These are the latest official estimates of the number of Kosovo's population at municipal level for 2017. The report was prepared by: Avni Kastrati, Director of the Department of Social Statistics Valdete Navakazi, Head of the Division of Population Statistics Sanije Uka, Senior Officer for Population Statistics Arijeta Sojeva, Senior Officer for Vital Statistics Elvira Tahiri, Officer for Population Statistics Chief Executive Officer, KAS June, 2018 Isa Krasniqi 3 Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 C o n t en t s Page I N T R O D U C T I O N ................................................................................................................................... 5 For data users ................................................................................................................................................ 5 Basis for the estimation of population .......................................................................................................... 5 Methodological overview ............................................................................................................................. 5 Data sources .................................................................................................................................................. 5 Basic population ........................................................................................................................................... 6 Births: ........................................................................................................................................................... 6 Deaths: .......................................................................................................................................................... 6 Note: ............................................................................................................................................................. 6 Natural increase: ........................................................................................................................................... 7 Migration ..................................................................................................................................................... 7 International immigration: ............................................................................................................................ 7 International emigration:............................................................................................................................... 7 National migration: ....................................................................................................................................... 7 Total increase ................................................................................................................................................ 8 4 Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 I N T R O D U C T I O N For data users The report includes changes in the number of population (natural increase and migration) during the period 01 January to 31 December 2017 in the territory of Kosovo. Basis for the estimation of population In preparation of this estimation, KAS has applied methods of population estimates applied by statistical institutions, by using various data sources. The database to estimate the population number for 2017 is the estimated number of resident population in Kosovo at the end of 2015. Methodological overview To assess the number of resident population at national / municipal level, the population is affected by natality, mortality and migration (BMM). Population estimate: basic population + natality - mortality ± external / internal migration. The estimated final data on the number of population at municipality level are calculated according to the following procedures: Pn + (N-M) + (I-E) Pn - Number of inhabitants estimated for the given / previous year (2016) N - Number of live births (Natality), 01 January – 31 December, 2017 M – Number of deaths (Mortality), 01 January – 31 December, 2017 I - Immigration, 01 January – 31 December, 2017 E - Emigration, 01 January – 31 December, 2017 Data sources Various statistical sources have been used in the compilation of this report as: Population Estimates of 2016, databases of Population and Housing Census, databases of birth and death statistics (KAS), administrative data (various KAS databases), data from municipalities of Kosovo, data from the Ministry of Education Science and Technology (MEST), data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MIA), data from International Organization for Migration 5 Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 (IOM - Office in Kosovo), data from United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR - Office in Kosovo) database of Eurostat, Frontex and several statistical and migration offices from some countries where Kosovo emigration has been more pronounced. Other administrative data from local institutions, surveys, reports and other researches were also used. These data were analyzed in accordance with statistical methods, serving as important statistical instruments and records for estimating population numbers at country and municipality level. Basic population According to the "Population Estimates for 2016", the number of resident population in Kosovo at the end of 2016 is estimated to be a total of 1,783,531 resident inhabitants, a number that has been taken as a basic measure to estimate the population number for 2017. Births: based to the data from the KAS database, the number of live births (registered) for 2017 was total of 30,275 live births, of which with the permanent resident of the mother in Kosovo (resident) were in total 30,025 births. This number of births will be taken as a basis for estimating the resident population in Kosovo. Deaths: based on the data from the KAS database, the number of deaths (registered) for 2017 was a total of 9,670 deaths, of them from the resident population in Kosovo were total of 9,619 deaths. This number of deaths will be taken as a basis for estimating the resident population in Kosovo. Note: In the case of births and deaths by the Serbian community, a significant part of them is registered, while a part of them (especially municipalities in the northern part of Kosovo do not record / report cases of births and deaths). Based on the natural increase of the Serbian community in the rest of Kosovo and in the region the number of births and deaths (not registered or not recorded / reported) is almost close (with a higher degree of deaths) but KAS in this report did not made an estimates for the community concerned for unreported cases (under- registration) as there is no statistical deviation expressed that will not affect the data estimated at the municipality level, and much less at the country level. 6 Estimation, Kosovo Population in 2017 The estimation of birth and death cases, including the Serbian community (cases of births and deaths not recorded) will be made in the future when restructuring / updating the demographic data in other KAS reports. Natural increase: The population of Kosovo during 2017 has increased for 20,406 inhabitants