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Survey of Arizona Registered Voters METHODOLOGY

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Survey of Arizona Registered Voters METHODOLOGY Survey of Arizona Registered Voters METHODOLOGY 600 interviews with Arizona registered Sample Size voters who are likely to vote in the November 2022 General Elections Dates of Interview June 17 - 23, 2021 Languages of Interview English, Spanish Margin of Error +/- 4.0 percentage points 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 2 IMAGE RATINGS & ARIZONA AUDIT Governor Doug Ducey Very / Somewhat Favorable 16% 31% 47% Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 21% 28% 49% Do not recognize 2% 4% of respondents did not recognize or did not answer No answer 2% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 4 Governor Doug Ducey BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Favorable 22% 72% 43% Unfavorable 74% 25% 52% Do not recognize/ 4% 3% 5% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 5 President Joe Biden Very / Somewhat Favorable 31% 18% 49% Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 8% 40% 48% Do not recognize 3% of respondents did not answer No answer 3% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 6 President Joe Biden BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Favorable 94% 11% 49% Unfavorable 5% 88% 49% Do not recognize/ 1% 1% 2% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 7 Former President Donald Trump Very / Somewhat Favorable 32% 14% 46% Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 7% 44% 51% Do not recognize 3% of respondents did not answer No answer 3% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 8 Former President Donald Trump BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Favorable 8% 86% 38% Unfavorable 88% 14% 58% Do not recognize/ 4% - 4% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 9 As you may or may not be aware, in Arizona there is currently an audit that is recounting ballots cast in Maricopa County from last November’s Presidential election. Based on what you know about the audit, do you support or oppose the Maricopa County audit of Presidential ballots? Strongly / Somewhat Support 37% 9% 46% Somewhat / Strongly Oppose 7% 42% 49% Don't know/No answer 5% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 10 As you may or may not be aware, in Arizona there is currently an audit that is recounting ballots cast in Maricopa County from last November’s Presidential election. Based on what you know about the audit, do you support or oppose the Maricopa County audit of Presidential ballots? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Support 18% 75% 38% Oppose 78% 19% 56% Don’t know/ 4% 6% 6% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 11 To give you a little more information, the Maricopa County audit of the 2020 Presidential ballots is the first full, hand-recount of all the ballots cast in the county last November. Initiated by Arizona Senate Republicans, the recount is being conducted by a firm with no experience in conducting election audits, and the company’s CEO also believes that widespread fraud marred the 2020 elections. Election experts, Democratic officials and Republican members of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors oppose the recount, pointing out the voting machines have already been checked by an accredited firm and that the election results were validated by a previous audit. Having now heard this information, do you support or oppose the new audit now happening in Maricopa County? Strongly / Somewhat Support 34% 10% 44% Somewhat / Strongly Oppose 7% 44% 51% Don't know/No answer 5% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 12 To give you a little more information, the Maricopa County audit of the 2020 Presidential ballots is the first full, hand-recount of all the ballots cast in the county last November. Initiated by Arizona Senate Republicans, the recount is being conducted by a firm with no experience in conducting election audits, and the company’s CEO also believes that widespread fraud marred the 2020 elections. Election experts, Democratic officials and Republican members of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors oppose the recount, pointing out the voting machines have already been checked by an accredited firm and that the election results were validated by a previous audit. Having now heard this information, do you support or oppose the new audit now happening in Maricopa County? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Support 17% 73% 37% Oppose 79% 21% 59% Don’t know/ 4% 6% 4% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 13 Thinking about future elections in Arizona, if a candidate for elected office in Arizona supported this Maricopa County audit, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Much / Somewhat More Likely 23% 14% 37% Somewhat / Much Less Likely 9% 37% 46% Don't know/No answer 17% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 14 Thinking about future elections in Arizona, if a candidate for elected office in Arizona supported this Maricopa County audit, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent More likely 13% 63% 28% Less likely 77% 15% 46% Don’t know/ 10% 22% 26% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 15 Based on how he has performed as President so far, in your opinion does President Joe Biden deserve to be reelected to another 4-year term if he decides to run again in 2024? 53% 37% 10% Yes No Don't know/No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 16 Based on how he has performed as President so far, in your opinion does President Joe Biden deserve to be reelected to another 4-year term if he decides to run again in 2024? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Yes 81% 7% 26% No 7% 91% 53% Don’t know/ 12% 2% 21% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 17 Certified results of 2020 Presidential Election in Arizona 49.4% 49.1% 1,672,143 1,661,686 votes votes Biden +10,457 1.5% Joe Biden Donald Trump Other 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 18 If the election for President of the United States were held again today and the candidates were – Joe Biden and Donald Trump, whom would you vote for? 51% 44% 5% Joe Biden Donald Trump Don't know/No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 19 If the election for President of the United States were held again today and the candidates were – Joe Biden and Donald Trump, whom would you vote for? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Joe Biden 95% 8% 54% Donald Trump 2% 86% 41% Don’t know/ 3% 6% 5% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 20 ARIZONA US SENATORS MARK KELLY & KYRSTEN SINEMA US Senator Mark Kelly Very / Somewhat Favorable 26% 22% 48% Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 18% 23% 41% Do not recognize 5% 11% of respondents did not recognize or did not answer No answer 6% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 22 US Senator Mark Kelly BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Favorable 82% 17% 46% Unfavorable 5% 75% 41% Do not recognize/ 13% 8% 13% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 23 Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which Mark Kelly is handling his job as United States Senator? Strongly / Somewhat Approve 24% 27% 51% Somewhat / Strongly Disapprove 13% 22% 35% Don't know/No answer 14% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 24 Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which Mark Kelly is handling his job as United States Senator? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Approve 87% 19% 44% Disapprove 6% 66% 31% Don’t know/ 7% 15% 25% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 25 US Senator Kyrsten Sinema Very / Somewhat Favorable 11% 39% 50% Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 23% 14% 37% Do not recognize 7% 13% of respondents did not recognize or did not answer No answer 6% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 26 US Senator Kyrsten Sinema BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Favorable 52% 51% 44% Unfavorable 34% 36% 40% Do not recognize/ 14% 13% 16% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 27 Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which Kyrsten Sinema is handling her job as United States Senator? Strongly / Somewhat Approve 12% 38% 50% Somewhat / Strongly Disapprove 23% 13% 36% Don't know/No answer 14% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 28 Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which Kyrsten Sinema is handling her job as United States Senator? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Approve 47% 54% 46% Disapprove 38% 32% 40% Don’t know/ 15% 14% 4% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 29 A filibuster is a procedure used in the U.S. Senate to block a bill from being put to a vote until a supermajority of 60 senators agree to end debate on it. Do you approve or disapprove of the filibuster or do you have no opinion? Strongly / Somewhat Approve 34% 12% 46% Somewhat / Strongly Disapprove 12% 24% 36% Don't know/No answer 18% 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 30 A filibuster is a procedure used in the U.S. Senate to block a bill from being put to a vote until a supermajority of 60 senators agree to end debate on it. Do you approve or disapprove of the filibuster or do you have no opinion? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Approve 25% 70% 41% Disapprove 48% 15% 36% Don’t know/ 27% 15% 23% No answer 2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 31 Arizona U.S. Senator Kyrsten Sinema has expressed a preference for maintaining the use of the filibuster in the U.S. Senate. This support may mean the policy priorities of President Biden and the Democratic Leadership may not have a chance of becoming law and being implemented.
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