The 2020 Elections & Credit Union

The 2020 Elections & Credit Union Involvement

Trey Hawkins Deputy Chief Advocacy Officer, Political Action August 21, 2020

Party House Senate To win control…. Republican 197 53 Democrat 233 45 House GOP needs net +20 Independents 1 2** Senate Dems need net +4 (3 w/VP) Vacancies 4 0

51 votes for majority*

218 votes for majority* 60 votes for supermajority*

*If no vacancies and all members vote **The two independent senators (Sanders - VT and King - ME) caucus with the Democrats Sources: Ballotpedia.

■ Democratic senator Trump victory ■ Gary Peters (D) won in Republican senator Clinton victory 2014 by 13.3% WA ME MT ND VT OR MN NH ID SD WI NY WY* MI Susan Collins (R) won in IA PA 2014 by 37.0% NE NV OH UT IL IN Cory Gardner (R) CA CO WV KS* MO VA won in 2014 by KY 1.9% TN* NC AZ OK NM* AR SC MS AL GA Doug Jones (D) won in a AK TX LA 2017 special election by 1.5% FL HI *Senators not seeking reelection in 2020

Democrats (12) Republicans (23)

Doug Jones (AL) Jeanne Shaheen (NH) Dan Sullivan (AK) Jim Risch (ID) Cindy Hyde-Smith (MS) Lamar Alexander (TN)*

Chris Coons (DE) Cory Booker (NJ) Martha McSally (AZ) Joni Ernst (IA) Steve Daines (MT) Lindsey Graham (SC)

Dick Durbin (IL) Tom Udall (NM)* Tom Cotton (AR) Pat Roberts (KS)* Ben Sasse (NE) John Cornyn (TX)

Ed Markey (MA) Jeff Merkley (OR) Cory Gardner (CO) Mitch McConnell (KY) Thom Tillis (NC) Shelley Moore Capito (WV)

Gary Peters (MI) Jack Reed (RI) David Perdue (GA) Bill Cassidy (LA) Jim Inhofe (OK) Mike Enzi (WY)*

Tina Smith (MN) Mark Warner (VA) Kelly Loeffler (GA) Susan Collins (ME) Mike Rounds (SD) Sources: United States Senate: Class II Roster 4 Slide last updated on: May 26, 2020 © Credit Union National Association 2020. All rights reserved. Ten seats most likely to flip party

Hotline’s 2020 Senate power rankings IN ORDER HOW LIKELY THEY ARE TO FLIP PARTY CONTROL 1. Alabama: ■ Seat held by a Republican ■ Seat held by a Democrat ■ Top five states most likely to flip • Incumbent: Doug Jones (D) • Challenger: Former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville (R) 7 5 2. Colorado: • Incumbent: Cory Gardner (R) 9 6 • Challenger: Former Gov. John Hickenlooper (D 2 3. Arizona: 10 4 • Incumbent: Martha McSally (R) 3 • Challenger: Veteran & retired astronaut Mark Kelly 1 8 (D) 4. North Carolina: • Incumbent: Thom Tillis (R) • Challenger: Former State Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) 6. Iowa — Joni Ernst (R) 5. Maine: 7. Montana — Steve Daines (R) • Incumbent: Susan Collins (R) 8. Georgia — Kelly Loeffler (R) • Challenger: State House Speaker Sara Gideon (D) Georgia — David Perdue (R) 9. Michigan — Gary Peters (D) 10. Kansas — Open seat (R)

Toss Ups (28) Democrat-held seat 16 Dem, 12 GOP Republican-held seat Solid to Lean R (186) Lean to Solid D (221) Independent-held seat AZ-6 Schweikert Incumbent not seeking reelection CA-25 Garcia IN-5 Brooks MO-2 Wagner NE-2 Bacon 218 majority line NJ-2 Van Drew NY-2 King OH-1 Chabot PA-10 Perry 15 Dem, 2 GOP TX-21 Roy TX-22 Olson 16 GOP TX-24 Marchant NC-2 Holding CA-21 Cox NC-6 Walker 12 Dem, 2 GOP 13 GOP, 1 Ind AR-2 Hill FL-26 Mucarsel-Powell CA-10 Harder CA-4 McClintock IA-1 Finkenauer CA-39 Cisneros GA-7 Woodall MI-3 Amash (I) CA-22 Nunes IA-2 Loebsack FL-27 Shalala TX-23 Hurd AK-AL Young CO-3 Tipton IA-3 Axne IL-14 Underwood AZ-1 O’Halleran FL-15 Spano FL-16 Buchanan ME-2 Golden IL-17 Bustos CA-48 Rouda IL-13 Davis KS-2 Watkins MN-7 Peterson KS-3 Davids GA-6 McBath MI-6 Upton KY-6 Barr NJ-3 Kim NH-1 Pappas MI-8 Slotkin MN-1 Hagedorn NC-9 Bishop NM-2 Torres Small NJ-5 Gottheimer MI-11 Stevens MT-AL Gianforte NC-11 VACANT NY-11 Rose NV-4 Horsford MN-2 Craig NC-8 Hudson OH-10 Turner NY-22 Brindisi NY-18 Maloney NJ-7 Malinowski NY-1 Zeldin OH-12 Balderson OK-5 Horn OR-4 DeFazio NV-3 Lee NY-24 Katko TX-2 Crenshaw SC-1 Cunningham PA-17 Lamb NY-19 Delgado PA-1 Fitzpatrick TX-6 Wright UT-4 McAdams TX-32 Allred PA-7 Wild TX-3 Taylor TX-25 Williams VA-2 Luria WA-8 Schrier PA-8 Cartwright TX-10 McCaul TX-31 Carter VA-7 Spanberger WI-3 Kind TX-7 Fletcher VA-5 Riggleman WA-3 Herrera Beutler

Likely Democrat Lean Democrat Toss Up Lean Republican Likely Republican

Source: Cook Political Report.

Credit Unions, CUNA, Leagues, System Partners Credit union people

National Advocacy Fund CULAC (soft money) (hard money)

Coalitions $6M+ Research on 2020 Political Candidates Issue-based Bank attack Elections advertising & advocacy efforts Capacity response building election activities

CULAC Fundraising $2.9M contributed to candidates Raised $4.1M+ 10% ahead of 2017-2018 373 candidates supported NAF Fundraising $2.4M raised 23 open seat candidates 29 Leagues 195 credit unions 55% Dem / 45% GOP 31 associate business members CUNA $3.4M political advertising budget

$6M+ CUNA/League/CU Investment in Pro-CU Congress

• Visit Credit Unions Vote www.creditunionsvote.com • Follow CUNA’s 2020 Elections Website www.cuna.org/elections • Learn more about CULAC www.cuna.org/CULAC • Attend Annual Hike the Hill and CUNA Government Affairs Conference in Washington, DC

Trey Hawkins Deputy Chief Advocacy Officer for Political Action [email protected] @TreyHawkinsDC