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National Early Warning and Food Information System NATIONAL EARLY WARNING AND FOOD INFORMATION SYSTEM Republic of Namibia AGRICULTURAL INPUTS AND HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY SITUATION REPORT DECEMBER 2013 HIGHLIGHTS As it was the case last season, the 2013/2014 cropping season noted a slight delay in the start of the rainfall season. The normal start of the rain season is usually as from mid October. At the time of this assessment in November, all the regions have not yet received productive rains. However, by the end of this assessment and early December, most regions are reported to have received good showers, enough to trigger cultivation activities. Inadequate supply and delayed delivery of pearl millet and sorghum seeds from the Seed Cooperative at Mahenene in the Omusati region were reported in the northern communal crop producing regions. At the time of this assessment, both subsidy and free seeds for pearl millet and sorghum have not yet arrived in the regions. It was reported that the Seed Cooperative in the Omusati region had limited supply of seeds and completed packing and were still waiting for the directive from the Directorate of Research and Training on the distribution modality. Pasture conditions from various parts of the regions is said to have deteriorated greatly and many farmers are reported to have lost some of their livestock due to the prevailing drought conditions. Many farmers are eagerly waiting for the rain to bring a much needed relief not only to the improvement of the grazing areas, but also to perk up water availability for their livestock. Nevertheless, the most likely scenario is that, grazing conditions are expected to improve as most parts of the regions are reported to have received some good showers lately. Household food security situation has seemingly weakened and fragile in the regions as most households have reportedly depleted their last season’s harvest and now dependent on the market and drought relief foods for food access. According to households interviewed last season’s harvest only lasted between July and August this year. Table of Contents 1.0 OVERVIEW .................................................................................................................... 1 2.0 SADC REGIONAL RAINFALL OUTLOOK (OCTOBER 2013 – MARCH 2014)……….2 3.0 SEASONAL RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR NAMIBIA (OCTOBER 2013 – MARCH 2014)……….6 4.0 FOOD SECURITY SITUATION .................................................................................... 9 6.0 PASTURE AND LIVESTOCK CONDITIONS ........................................................... 11 7.0 CROP PRODUCTION OUTLOOK FOR 2013/2014 CROP SEASON ....................... 12 8.0 SITUATION BY REGION ........................................................................................... 15 10.0 CONCLUTIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................ 39 9.0 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ........................................................................................... 40 1. OVERVIEW The National Early Warning & Food Information Unit (NEWFIU) in collaboration with its cooperating partners carried out the abovementioned assessment in the six northern communal crop producing regions1 as from 4th to 29th November 2013. The main purpose of this assessment was to assess the overall agricultural inputs situation at household and regional levels and to find out as to what extend farmers are prepared for the 2013/14 crop season in terms of land preparation. Moreover the mission assessed changes in household food security, marketing of the 2012/2013 harvest, livestock and pasture conditions. The assessment team visited the Regional Council and was briefed by the Regional Council Management team who provided information among other things, current household food security as well as progress on the agricultural season. The assessment team proceeded to the Regional Agricultural Extension Office where they were briefed by the Chief Agricultural Scientific Officer and Chief Agricultural Extension Technicians before proceeding to constituencies in each of the northern communal crop producing regions. Information of each constituency was obtained from both primary (field observation & farmers’ interviews) and secondary sources (agricultural extension officials, Regional Councillors, NGOs, Farmer’s Organizations, Namibian Agronomic Board (NAB), Directorate of Veterinary Services, Local Traders, Traditional Authorities, etc). During the field visit in each constituency, the teams were brief by Agricultural Extension Technician who provided an overview of the agricultural situation in view of the upcoming crop season. The briefing meetings were followed by field visits to three to four randomly selected households in each constituency for an interview. Interviews were also held with the formal and informal traders working in the area. This report however, gives an overview of the agricultural inputs and land preparation during the current cropping season. The report is aimed at providing the latest information to the government of the Republic of Namibia, International Organizations and other Institutions involved in humanitarian operation. Since conditions may change rapidly, please contact the NEWFIU for further information if required. 1 1 Crop producing regions included Caprivi, Kavango, Omusati, Ohangwena, Oshana and Oshikoto region 2. SADC REGION SEASONAL RAINFALL OUTLOOK (October 2013 – March 2014) The Seventeenth Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF 17) was held in Harare, Zimbabwe as from 28-30 August 2013 to present a consensus outlook for the 2013/2014 rainfall season over the SADC region. Climate scientists from the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) National Meteorological and/or Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the SADC Climate Services Centre (CSC) formulated this outlook. This outlook covers the major rainfall season from October 2013 to March 2014. The outlooks are presented in overlapping three-monthly periods as follows: October- November-December (OND); November-December- January (NDJ); December-January-February (DJF) and January-February-March (JFM) as presented in Fig 1 and Fig 2 below. This Outlook is relevant only to seasonal (overlapping three-monthly) time-scales and relatively large areas and may not fully account for all factors that influence regional and national climate variability, such as local and month-to-month variations (intra-seasonal). Users are strongly advised to contact the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services for interpretation of this Outlook, additional guidance and updates. According to the forecast, most of the SADC region is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall for the period of October – November - December 2013. However, south-westernmost Angola, coastal areas of Namibia, west coastal South Africa and northernmost Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are more likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall, (figure 1 below). In the November-December 2013- January 2014 period, bulk of the SADC region is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, while the greater part of DRC, northernmost and south-western Angola and western fringes of Namibia and South Africa are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall, ( see figure 2 below). Bulk of both contiguous SADC and the islands states of Madagascar and Mauritius are likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall during December 2013 to February 2014, (Figure 3 below). However, south- western Angola, most of Namibia, western half of Botswana, most of central and western parts of South Africa and Lesotho are likely to receive above-normal to normal rainfall while the eastern half of Tanzania is likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall. For the period January to March 2014, the bulk of SADC is expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. However, the tongue stretching from eastern coast of northern Mozambique through central parts of the region extending to the south western central parts of the region are likely to receive above-normal to normal rainfall, (see figure 4 below). 2 October-November-December 2013 Figure 1: SADC October – November - December 2013 Rainfall Forecast Zone 1: Northern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall Zone 2: Northern Tanzania. Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone 3: Northern Mozambique, southern Tanzania, northern Malawi, northernmost Zambia, bulk of DRC and north-western half of Angola. Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone 4: Central Mozambique, southern Malawi, northern half of Zimbabwe, most of Zambia, Southern most DRC, south-eastern half of Angola, bulk of Namibia, western half of Botswana, most of central and western parts of South Africa, western parts of Lesotho. Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone 5: Extreme south-western Zambia, Caprivi area, south-easternmost Angola, south-western half of Zimbabwe, eastern half of Botswana, most of northern South Africa, Swaziland and southern Mozambique. Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone 6: South-westernmost Angola and western coastal areas of Namibia and South Africa. Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall Zone 7: Western Madagascar. Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone 8: Eastern Madagascar. Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone 9: Southern Madagascar Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall Zone 10: Mauritius. Increased chances
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