Institute for International Economic Policy Working Paper Series Elliott School of International Affairs The George Washington University REPRESSION, CIVIL CONFLICT, AND LEADERSHIP TENURE: A CASE STUDY OF BAHRAIN IIEP‐WP‐2016‐23 Susan Ariel Aaronson George Washington University 2016 Institute for International Economic Policy 1957 E St. NW, Suite 502 Voice: (202) 994‐5320 Fax: (202) 994‐5477 Email:
[email protected] Web: www.gwu.edu/~iiep REPRESSION, CIVIL CONFLICT, AND LEADERSHIP TENURE: A CASE STUDY OF BAHRAIN12 Susan Ariel Aaronson, GWU (Photo of the protests at the Pearl Roundabout, Manama, Bahrain, 2011) This material is based upon work generously supported by, or in part by, the US Army Research Laboratory and the U. S. Army Research Office under grant number W911NF-14-1- 0485. 1 We are grateful to Valeriya Denisova, who helped research many of these sections, did tables and editing, and helped with the writing and to Cara Parrella and Kyle Renner, who diligently copyedited several versions. 3 Bahrain Petroleum Company (Bapco), About company. http://www.bapco.net/en-us/about-bapco 1 Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................................................... 3 I. BAHRAIN CASE STUDY ....................................................................................................................................................... 4 A. OVERVIEW ............................................................................................................................................................................