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Industrial Demand Module of the National Energy Modeling System

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Industrial Demand Module of the National Energy Modeling System Model Documentation Report: Industrial Demand Module of the National Energy Modeling System May 2013 Independent Statistics & Analysis U.S. Department of Energy www.eia.gov Washington, DC 20585 This report was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical and analytical agency within the U.S. Department of Energy. By law, EIA’s data, analyses, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the United States Government. The views in this report therefore should not be construed as representing those of the Department of Energy or other Federal agencies. U.S. Energy Information Administration | Model Documentation Report: Industrial Demand Module of the National Energy Modeling System i May 2013 Table of Contents 1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 1 Model summary ....................................................................................................................................... 1 Archival media ......................................................................................................................................... 2 Model contact .......................................................................................................................................... 2 Organization of this report ...................................................................................................................... 2 2. Model Purpose ......................................................................................................................................... 3 Interaction with other NEMS modules .................................................................................................... 5 3. Model Rationale ....................................................................................................................................... 6 Theoretical approach ............................................................................................................................... 6 Modeling approach .................................................................................................................................. 6 Fundamental assumptions ...................................................................................................................... 7 Industry disaggreation ...................................................................................................................... 9 Energy sources modeled .......................................................................................................................... 9 Key computations .................................................................................................................................. 11 Buildings component UEC ..................................................................................................................... 11 Process and assembly component UEC ................................................................................................. 11 Energy intensive manufacturing industries ........................................................................................... 12 Food products (NAICS 311) .................................................................................................................... 12 Paper and allied products (NAICS 322) .................................................................................................. 14 Bulk chemical industry (parts of NAICS 325) ......................................................................................... 16 Glass and glass products industry (NAICS 3272) ................................................................................... 19 Cement and lime industries (NAICS 32731, 32741) ............................................................................... 20 Iron and steel industry (NAICS 331111) ................................................................................................. 23 Alumina and aluminum industry (NAICS 3313) ..................................................................................... 25 Metal-based durables industry (NAICS 332-336) .................................................................................. 27 Other non-energy-intensive manufacturing industries ......................................................................... 28 Non-manufacturing industries ............................................................................................................... 29 Agricultural sub-model .......................................................................................................................... 30 Technology possibility curves, unit energy consumption, and relative energy intensities ................... 30 Motor model .......................................................................................................................................... 32 U.S. Energy Information Administration | Model Documentation Report: Industrial Demand Module of the National Energy Modeling System i May 2013 Boiler, steam, cogeneration component ............................................................................................... 34 Model assumptions ............................................................................................................................... 38 Capital stock and vintaging ............................................................................................................. 38 Renewable fuels ..................................................................................................................................... 39 Recycling ................................................................................................................................................ 39 Legislative requirements ....................................................................................................................... 39 Cogeneration ......................................................................................................................................... 40 Benchmarking ........................................................................................................................................ 40 4. Model Structure ..................................................................................................................................... 41 Outline of model .................................................................................................................................... 41 Subroutines and equations .................................................................................................................... 43 IND ................................................................................................................................................... 43 Setup_Mac_and_Price .................................................................................................................... 43 ISEAM .............................................................................................................................................. 44 RCNTRL ............................................................................................................................................ 44 REXOG ............................................................................................................................................. 45 IEDATA ............................................................................................................................................. 45 IRHEADER .................................................................................................................................. 45 MECS2006 ................................................................................................................................. 46 AGTPC .............................................................................................................................................. 48 CEMENT_INDUSTRY Submodule ..................................................................................................... 50 FINISH_GRIND_CAP (Node 1) ................................................................................................... 52 KILN_CAPACITY (Node 2) .......................................................................................................... 55 KILN_ALLOCATION .................................................................................................................... 58 BURNER_ALLOCATION .............................................................................................................. 61 RAW_GRIND_CAP (Node 4) ...................................................................................................... 61 RAW_GRIND_ALLOC ................................................................................................................. 64 Process Emissions Calculations ................................................................................................. 64 Capacity Determination .................................................................................................................. 66 Capacity Allocation ................................................................................................................... 68 CALBYPROD ....................................................................................................................................
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