NYSDEC Region 9 Stream Monitoring Summary for 2019

Scott Cornett Biologist NYS – DEC Region 9 – Allegany

November, 2019

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Overview

Many streams in NYSDEC Region 9 support some of the highest densities and biomasses for wild brown and rainbow trout in the entire state. However, wild trout populations (including native ) and the habitat and that support them face many ongoing threats. These include; residential development, agriculture, logging, water withdrawals, over abundant beaver populations, increasing avian and mammalian predator populations, increasing water temperatures and more frequent and intense rainstorms. NYSDEC staff monitor trout populations and attempt, through permitting, to protect in-stream habitat and water quality. In 2016, to better monitor long-term and short-term trends in adult trout populations throughout the region, and to evaluate year to year reproductive success, we began to sample many of the higher quality streams in the region on a yearly basis. Peer reviewed fisheries studies have shown reproductive success of trout is often affected by environmental factors that can be region-wide in scope and can dictate future years adult population abundance. Since we could not allot additional time to this sampling over past years, we sampled a comparable number of total sample sites to past years. However, those sites were spread over many more streams and covered much more of the region, geographically. All of the sites had been sampled at least once prior to 2016 (most sites several times). This allows us to compare changes to the trout populations at those sites over time. Of course, everything comes with trade-offs and while this sampling plan gives us much better regional coverage, we do lose some finer-scale ability to see what is happening throughout individual streams.

In June, July and August 2019, Region 9 Fisheries staff, with considerable assistance from angler volunteers, DEC Lake Erie Fisheries Unit staff and USFWS staff, conducted electrofishing surveys at 44 sites on 25 of the highest quality trout streams throughout the region (Figure 1). These were the same streams and sites that had been sampled in 2016, 2017 and 2018, with only a very few changes to sites between years. Streams sampled in Allegany were Chenunda Creek, Dyke Creek, Ford Brook, Orebed Creek and Spring Mills Creek. In Cattaraugus County, we sampled Stoddard Creek, Beehunter Creek, Fenton Brook, Elm Creek, The Ram, Mansfield Creek, Elton Creek, Lime Lake Outlet and McKinstry Creek. Hosmer Brook, Cattaraugus Creek and Spring Brook were sampled in Erie County, while , , N. Branch Wiscoy Creek, Trout Brook, Flynn Brook, Clear Creek (Arcade) and Cattaraugus Creek were done in Wyoming County. Clear Creek (Ellington) and Cherry Creek were sampled in Chautauqua County.

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Figure 1. Streams surveyed to monitor trout populations in 2019.

The following is a summary of population trends for each trout species throughout the region. Adult trout populations at sites in 2019 were compared with values from previous surveys to determine long-term and short-term population trends. Young-of- year numbers captured were compared with long-term average values. Following this regional summary, if you desire more detailed discussion for each stream, including population graphs, they can be found in Appendix I (separate electronic file).

Adult In 2019, 34 sites were sampled where we could assess trends in adult (yearling and older, > five-inches) wild brown trout population abundance. Nine of the sites showed a long-term (after 1990 through 2019) increasing population trend (26%), fourteen sites showed a long-term decreasing trend (41%) and eleven sites did not show a discernable long-term trend (Figure 3). At the three sites located in southeastern Allegany County, each site had a differing long-term trend (Figure 3), however all these sites had a low number of years sampled. Three of the sites in far western Cattaraugus County and eastern Chautauqua County showed long-term increasing trends in adult brown trout

3 abundance (Figure 3), with the other three showing no discernable trend. This indicates that habitat and climate conditions may have been more conducive for brown trout reproduction and survival in that area than we are seeing in some other parts of the region. Streams in the Cattaraugus Creek watershed show a mixed bag of trends for adult wild brown trout abundance, with four sites showing long-term increases, five showing long-term decreases and six sites showing no discernable trend (Figure 3). The other area of discernable long-term population trend for adult brown trout is in the Wiscoy Creek watershed where all eight of the sites show a long-term decrease in abundance (Figure 3).

Figure 3. Long-term (after 1990 through 2019 surveys) trends in adult wild brown trout population abundance for sites sampled in 2019. Green dots indicate an increasing long- term trend, yellow dots indicate no discernable trend and red dots indicate a decreasing long-term trend. Note that sites had widely varying numbers of sampling years.

When looking at shorter-term trends in adult wild brown trout populations, it should be noted that at five of the eight sites in the Wiscoy Creek watershed, even though the overall trend in long-term population showed a decline, the population estimate in 2019

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showed an increase from what we found in 2016-2018 (Figure 4). This may indicate that populations at those sites have stabilized and may be increasing. Looking region-wide it is apparent that in 2019, at most sites (19) for adult brown trout, population abundance was substantially lower than we found in 2016-2018, with only seven sites showing increases in 2019 (Figure 4). This likely indicates there was poor reproduction in recent years (which we did see) and/or lower survival of adults than in earlier survey years.

At 31 of our sampling sites where quality habitat would make us expect to find large brown trout, 18 of the sites (58%) produced at least one wild brown trout greater than 16 inches, nine of the sites produced at least one wild brown trout greater than 18 inches and three sites produced a fish greater than 20 inches. Overall at the 31 sites, we captured 34 wild brown trout over 16 inches, twelve over 18 inches and three over 20 inches. This was an increase over 2017 and 2018 catches for fish greater than 16 inches and greater than 18 inches. One other interesting aspect of this year’s sampling was that we captured at least two individual wild brown trout which were the same fish (identified by unique spotting patterns) that had been captured, from the same pools in 2016, 2017 and 2018 (see photo examples in Appendix I, pages 13 and 14). Not only had these large trout (18-21 inches long) shown high fidelity to their home pools, they also had grown very little from the previous year and were likely old fish (8-12 years).

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Figure 4. Adult wild brown trout population abundance in 2019 compared with abundances in 2016, 2017 and 2018 surveys. Green dots indicate higher abundance in 2019, yellow dots indicate no significant difference from 2016-2018 surveys and red dots indicate lower abundance in 2019 than in 2016, 2017 and 2018 surveys.

Adult Rainbow Trout In 2019, we sampled at 15 sites where we normally encounter adult wild rainbow trout. These streams are all found in the Cattaraugus Creek watershed, with all but two being upstream of Springville Dam. When looking at long-term trends in adult rainbow trout abundance, we saw five sites (33%) showing long-term increases in abundance, three showing long-term decreases (20%) and seven sites showing no long- term discernable trends (Figure 5). When we compare 2019 adult rainbow trout abundances with what we found in 2016-2018 surveys, we found three sites to have an increased abundance. Five sites showed lower abundance in 2019 and seven sites did not show significant differences with 2016-2018 values (Figure 6). Interestingly, in 2019 we captured the two largest wild, stream resident rainbows ever seen by this region’s

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Fisheries staff. They were 15.2 and 16.0 inches long. Wild resident rainbow trout greater than 12 inches are quite rare in Western streams.

Figure 5. Long-term (after 1990 through 2019 surveys) trends in adult wild rainbow trout population abundance for sites sampled in 2019. Green dots indicate an increasing long- term trend, yellow dots indicate no discernable trend and red dots indicate a decreasing long-term trend. Note that sites had widely varying numbers of sampling years.

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Figure 6. Adult wild rainbow trout population abundance in 2019 compared with abundances in 2016, 2017 and 2018 surveys. Green dots indicate higher abundance in 2019, yellow dots indicate no significant difference from 2016-2019 surveys and red dots indicate lower abundance in 2019 than in 2016, 2017 and 2018 surveys.

Adult Brook Trout While not part of this sampling program, 48 wild brook trout streams in the region were electrofished in 2015 and 2016 to obtain fin clips for genetic analysis, giving us an opportunity to assess relative abundance region-wide in those years. In most streams, the abundance of adult brook trout appeared to be high in both years (based on the length of stream we needed to electrofish to collect the clips from 50 adult fish). Particularly in 2015, but also in 2016 most streams appeared to have very high numbers of young-of- year brook trout. Yearling sized fish were very abundant in 2016, as we would expect with such good reproduction in 2015.

In 2019 we sampled twelve sites where we encountered measurable wild brook trout populations. Most of these sites did not have extensive years of sampling data prior

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to 2017, thus trend information is more limited than we have for brown and rainbow trout. Keeping in mind this limitation, we observed long-term increasing trends in abundance for adult wild brook trout at three sites, long-term decreasing trends at one site and no discernable trends at eight sites (Figure 7). When comparing observed adult brook trout abundance between 2019 values and 2016, 2017 and 2018 values (note, some sites were not sampled in 2016), we saw seven sites with lower abundance values in 2019, three sites with an increased value and two sites with no difference in values between years (Figure 8). Adult wild brook trout populations typically show substantial year to year variation based on weather-influenced (winter/spring flooding) variation in the success of previous year’s reproduction. It appears after peaking in 2015-2016, adult brook trout abundance region-wide has decreased in many streams.

Figure 7. Long-term (after 1990 through 2019 surveys) trends in adult wild brook trout population abundance for sites sampled in 2019. Green dots indicate an increasing long- term trend, yellow dots indicate no discernable trend and red dots indicate a decreasing long-term trend. Note that sites had widely varying numbers of sampling years.

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Figure 8. Adult wild brook trout population abundance in 2019 compared with abundances in 2016, 2017 and 2018 surveys. Green dots indicate higher abundance in 2019, yellow dots indicate no significant difference from 2016-2019 surveys and red dots indicate lower abundance in 2019 than in 2016, 2017 and 2018 surveys. Note, some sites were not sampled in 2016.

Stocked trout abundance On the four streams sampled in 2019 which are stocked with hatchery trout (Chenunda Creek, Dyke Creek, Cattaraugus Creek and Oatka Creek), low to moderate numbers of stocked fish were encountered. This was very similar to our findings in Region 9 in 2016-2018 and state-wide in the stocked trout stream study from 2011-2013. Most of these streams were sampled in mid-June to early July, prior to the worst of this summer’s heat. It is likely that if these sites had been sampled later in the summer, even fewer hatchery trout would have been found.

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Trout Reproduction Extensive trout stream research reported in the fisheries literature shows that in many cases, adult trout abundance is closely tied to past year’s reproductive success. The success of trout reproduction has been only loosely correlated to the abundance of spawning adult trout and is much more heavily influenced by stream flow conditions during the winter and spring. High winter and spring stream flows can destroy trout eggs while still in their gravel redds and can cause significant losses of trout fry following swim- up in the spring. Stream flows in summer can vary considerably region-wide, due to much of the precipitation coming from more localized heavy showers and thunderstorms. However, flows in winter and spring tend to be more controlled by region-wide rainfall and snowmelt events. Thus, flow conditions and their effects on trout reproductive success tend to be more regional than local in scope.

After being almost regionally excellent in 2016, following very stable winter and spring flows, reproductive success for all three trout species in Region 9 in 2017 and 2018 was generally poor. This may have accounted for some of the declines in adult trout abundance observed in 2019 reported earlier. Unfortunately, in the late fall of 2018 and winter and spring of 2019, the region again experienced above normal flows, including several moderate flooding events. An example of this can be seen in Figure 9 where the USGS stream flow gauge for Cattaraugus Creek in Gowanda showed much of the November through May period had much above median flows and several flood events. The same pattern was seen in gauges for Oatka Creek at Warsaw, Allegany River at Salamanca and the at Wellsville.

As we might expect, given stream flow conditions observed region-wide in the winter and spring of 2019, we captured lower than the long-term average numbers of young-of-year brown trout at 15 of 28 sites (54%). Conversely, at nine sites (32%) we captured higher than the long-term average numbers of young-of-year brown trout. At another four sites, we captured similar numbers of young-of-year brown trout to the long- term average (Figure 10).

It appeared to be a particularly poor year for reproduction of spring spawning rainbow trout in 2019. At our twelve sites where we normally encounter young-of-year rainbow trout, we captured lower than the long-term average numbers at eleven sites, similar numbers to the long-term average at one site and no sites had higher than average numbers (Figure 11). Reproduction of brook trout at the eight sites where we encounter them showed more diversity in the numbers captured, with two sites producing a higher than average number of young-of-year, five sites showing lower numbers than the long- term average and one site showing similar numbers to the average (Figure 12). It is possible brook trout may not have been as negatively affected by stream flows as the

11 other two species because they reside in small headwater streams as opposed to larger streams where we find the brown and rainbow trout. One complication for evaluating trout reproduction in 2019 was the higher than normal stream flows we experienced during sampling at a number of sites, which reduced our ability to capture 2-4 inch long young-of-year trout. This potentially may have caused us to underestimate reproductive success, based on our catch at some sites.

Figure 9. USGS stream flow information for Cattaraugus Creek at Gowanda, November 2018-May 2019. Blue line is measured stream flow, yellow triangles are the median flow for the date from 77 years of records.

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Figure 10. Comparisons of the 2019 catch of young-of-year brown trout at each site with long-term averages. Green dots indicate 2019 catch was higher than the long-term average, red dots indicate 2019 catch was lower than the long-term average and yellow dots indicate 2019 catch was similar (within 10%) to the long-term average.

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Figure 11. Comparisons of the 2019 catch of young-of-year rainbow trout at each site with long-term averages. Green dots indicate 2019 catch was higher than the long-term average, red dots indicate 2019 catch was lower than the long-term average and yellow dots indicate 2019 catch was similar (within 10%) to the long-term average.

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Figure 12. Comparisons of the 2019 catch of young-of-year brook trout at each site with long-term averages. Green dots indicate 2019 catch was higher than the long-term average, red dots indicate 2019 catch was lower than the long-term average and yellow dots indicate 2019 catch was similar (within 10%) to the long-term average.

Conclusions

Sampling on Region 9 trout streams indicates that at many of the sites, adult wild brown trout populations were at lower abundance levels in 2016-2019 than we observed in the previous 5-20 years. Adult wild brook and rainbow trout abundances tended to show less discernable trends, however abundances in 2019 were often lower than had been seen in recent surveys. Reduced adult trout abundances may have been the result of poor reproductive success in past years. Abundance reductions may also have been affected by factors such as losses of available in-stream habitat, increased water temperatures, increases in predation or a combination of these or other unknown factors. Reproduction of all three trout species was lower than long-term averages for many of our sampling sites in 2019, likely a result of high stream flows in the fall, winter and spring.

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Acknowledgments

The Region 9 Fisheries staff wish to express our thanks to the many angler volunteers who joined us for our fish sampling efforts in 2019. Anglers gave at least 85 days of volunteer effort this summer and without their help our surveys would have been difficult to complete. Assistance was provided by staff from the NYSDEC Lake Erie Fisheries Unit and students from Cattaraugus-Little Valley High School. We were also assisted greatly by staff from the USFWS Lower Great Lakes Unit with 38 staff days.

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