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Down and Out: Founding Elections and Disillusionment with Democracy in Egypt and Tunisia
Down and Out: Founding Elections and Disillusionment with Democracy in Egypt and Tunisia Sharan Grewal and Steve L. Monroe Forthcoming, Comparative Politics Which electoral losers become the most disillusioned with democracy following the first free and fair elections? Exploiting surveys before and after founding elections in post-Arab Spring Egypt and Tunisia, we find that the most disillusioned losers were those residing in areas where the losing parties were strongest. We argue that expectations matter. Losers whose parties are strong locally tend to overestimate their popularity nationally and thus become more disillusioned after the first elections. Beyond these attitudinal results, we find that these areas witnessed a greater increase in support for candidates from former autocratic regimes in subsequent elections. These findings clarify subnational variation in electoral losers’ attitudes towards democracy. They suggest that decentralization may keep otherwise disillusioned losers invested in democracy. 1 “She was in a state of shock and confusion. [...] It was one thing for the [Muslim] Brotherhood to win close to 40 percent, but how could 28 percent of her countrymen vote for ultraconservative Salafi parties? [...] She mourned not only for what she feared Egypt might become, but for a country that she could no longer recognize, a country that was no longer really hers. It raised the question: was [democracy] worth it? For liberals like [her], it apparently wasn’t.”1 How citizens respond to electoral loss is critical to the success of democratic transitions.2 Supporters of losing parties in founding elections must opt to remain within the democratic system for a nascent democracy to take root. -
Basrah Governorate Profile
Basrah Governorate Profile Source map: JAPU Basrah at a Glance Fast Facts Area: 19,070 km2 Capital City: Basrah Average High Temperatures: 17,7°C Average Low Temperatures: 6,8°C (January) to 41,8°C (August) (January) to 27,4°C (July) Population: 2,403,301 Population Distribution Rural-Urban: 20,1%-79,9% Updated December 2015 Geography and Climate Basrah is the most southern governorate of Iraq and borders Iran, Kuwait and Saudi-Arabia. In the south, the governorate is made up of a vast desert plain, intersected by the Shatt Al-Arab waterway which is formed by the confluence of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers at Al-Qurnah and empties into the Persian Gulf. Around Al-Qurnah and Al-Medina a number of lakes can be found, while marshland stretches from the north of the governorate into the neighboring governorates of Thi-Qar and Missan. The governorate is Iraq’s only access to the sea. Similar to the surrounding region, the governorate of Basrah has a hot and arid climate. The temperatures in summer are among the highest recorded in the world. Due to the vicinity of the Persian Gulf, humidity and rainfall are however relatively high. The governorate receives an average amount of 152mm of rainfall a year between the months of October and May. Population and Administrative Division The governorate of Basrah is subdivided into seven districts: Abu Al-Khaseeb, Al-Midaina, Al-Qurna, Al- Zubair, Basrah, Fao, and Shatt Al-Arab. The city of Basrah, the governorate’s capital, is Iraq’s third largest urban center. -
Sulaymaniyah Governorate Profile November 2010
Sulaymaniyah Governorate Profile November 2010 Overview Located in the north east of Iraq on the border with Iran, Sulaymaniyah combines with Erbil and Dahuk governorates to form the area administrated by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). Sulaymaniyah contains the third largest share of the population, which is one of the most urbanized in Iraq. The landscape becomes increasingly mountainous towards the eastern border with Iran. Unemployment is relatively low in the governorate at 12%. However, the relatively high unemployment (27%) among women, the low proportion of women employed in wage jobs outside agriculture, allied to the relatively low percentage of jobs for women in the public sector implies that women face barriers to employment in non-agricultural sectors. Sulaymaniyah’s economy has potential advantages due to the governorate’s plentiful natural water supplies, favourable climate and peaceful security situation. Commercial flights have been operational between Sulaymaniyah and cities in the Middle East and Europe since 2005. However, poor infrastructure and bureaucratic barriers to private sector investment are hindering development. Few of Sulaymaniyah’s residents (3%) are among Iraq’s poorest, but the governorate performs badly according to many other developmental and humanitarian indicators. Education levels are generally below average: illiteracy rates among women are approaching 50% in all districts apart from Sulaymaniyah and Halabja, and are above 25% for men in Penjwin, Pshdar, Kifri and Chamchamal. 14% of Kifri and Demographics Chamchamal’s residents suffer from a chronic diseases. There are also . widespread infrastructural problems, with all districts suffering from Governorate Capital: Sulaymaniyah prolonged power cuts, and Penjwin, Said Sadik, Kardagh and Area: 17,023 sq km (3.9% of Iraq) Sharbazher experiencing poor access to the water network. -
South Africa 12 Nights / 13 Days
SOUTH AFRICA 12 NIGHTS / 13 DAYS 304, SUKH SAGAR BUILDING, 3RD FLOOR, N. S. PATKAR MARG, HUGHES ROAD, CHOWPATTY, MUMBAI – 400 007. TEL: 2369 7578 / 2361 7578 / 2368 2421 / 2367 2160 / 2362 2160 / 2362 2421 / 9920045551 E-MAIL: [email protected] WEBSITE : www.comfort-voyages.com DEPARTURE DATES APRIL: 16, 20, 24, 28 MAY: 02, 04, 06, 08, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18, 20, 22, 24, 26, 28, 30 JUNE: 03, 07, 11, 15, 19, 23 DAY 00: MUMBAI – ADDIS ABABA Arrive at Mumbai International Airport to board flight to Addis Ababa. On arrival into Addis Ababa airport proceed for your connecting flight to Cape Town. DAY 01: ADDIS ABABA – CAPE TOWN Arrive into Cape Town & proceed to clear your customs & immigration. Later board your coach and proceed towards your hotel & check in. Evening free at Leisure. Dinner and Overnight in Cape Town. DAY 02 : CAPE TOWN After breakfast proceed to the cable car station, for a cable car ride up Table Mountain (if weather permits), It gives breath-taking views over the city and its beaches. Later we proceed for an Orientation City Tour visiting Houses of Parliament, the Castle, Signal Hill, Sea Point, V&A Water Front & Malay Quarters. Later proceed for Helicopter Ride (Included) and evening free at leisure. Dinner and Overnight in Cape Town. DAY 03 : CAPE TOWN After breakfast we drive towards Hout Bay and take a boat trip to Seal Island a 45 minutes boat trip. The island is long and narrow, 800 meter long and only 50 meter wide. Some rock made by sealers in the 1930s are still evident. -
Early Recovery Plan
UNION OF COMOROS COMOROS FLOODING 2012 Early Recovery Plan Moroni, August 2012 TABLE OF CONTENTS ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ..................................................................................................................... 3 FOREWORD ....................................................................................................................................................... 4 STATEMENT BY H.E. DR IKILILOU DHOININE, PRESIDENT OF THE UNION OF COMOROS .......................................................... 4 FOREWORD ....................................................................................................................................................... 5 STATEMENT BY MR DOUGLAS CASSON COUTTS, UNITED NATIONS RESIDENT COORDINATOR .................................................. 5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ...................................................................................................................................... 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY....................................................................................................................................... 7 BASIC HUMANITARIAN AND DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS FOR THE UNION OF COMOROS ................................. 8 TABLE I. SUMMARY OF REQUIREMENTS – BY SECTOR.......................................................................................... 8 TABLE II. SUMMARY OF REQUIREMENTS – BY UN ORGANIZATION.......................................................................... 9 1. CONTEXT AND HUMANITARIAN CONSEQUENCES ..................................................................................... -
Case Study: Comoros
24 Fishery Exports and the Economic Development of LDCs: Chapter 6 Case study: Comoros Overview The Comoros is an island nation in the Indian Ocean, off the coast of East Africa, with a total population of about 734,900 in 2013 (World Bank, 2017a). Following independence in 1975, the country experienced a number of changes of Government; political stability has improved since 2009, enhancing prospects for economic development. As in many African LDCs, the population is young, and creating remunerative employment opportunities for new entrants to the labour force is a major challenge. Fishing is the second most important sector of the economy after agriculture, accounting in 2013 for 10 per cent of employment and 8 per cent of GDP (Cofrepeche et al., 2013). The share of the fishing sector in GDP decreased from 15 per cent in 2010 to 8 per cent in 2013, indicating the informal and subsistence nature of the sector and its vulnerability to shocks. The poverty reduction and growth strategy of the Government for 2010–2014 prioritized the sector (International Monetary Fund, 2010). Artisanal and industrial fishing at present operate entirely separately, to a greater extent even than in most LDCs. All domestic fishing operations are artisanal, and industrial fishing is fully conducted by distant water fishing nations. Foreign vessels, mainly purse seine vessels from France and Spain, fish offshore for several varieties of tuna and swordfish. Fish caught by distant water fishing nations are not landed in the Comoros due to the lack of infrastructure and processing facilities, and there are no exports from domestic fishers. -
WIND SPEED POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT of SELECTED CLIMATIC ZONES of ETHIOPIA Endalew Ayenew1, Santoshkumar Hampannavar2 •
Endalew Ayenew RT&A, Special Issue № 1 (60) WIND SPEED POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT Volume 16, Janyary 2021 WIND SPEED POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT OF SELECTED CLIMATIC ZONES OF ETHIOPIA Endalew Ayenew1, Santoshkumar Hampannavar2 • 1College of Electrical & Mechanical Engineering, Addis Ababa Science and Technology University, Ethiopia Professor, School of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, REVA University, Bengaluru, India [email protected] Abstract In this paper the wind speed potential assessment of different climatic zones of Ethiopia are proposed. Statistical analysis of wind speed were carried out using Rayleigh and Weibull probability density functions (PDF) for a specific location. Real time Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) data was used for the wind speed potential assessment of three different climatic zones and to plot wind rose diagram. Keywords: Wind speed assessment, Statistical analysis, Wind Energy I. Introduction Wind is one of the globally recognized potential renewable energy source and it is important to have an inclusive knowledge about the wind characteristics for efficient planning and implementation of wind power generation plants. The wind energy assessment is very crucial and draws attention of researchers. Wind resources assessment is a basic requirement for the following reasons: i) wind power is proportional to the cube of the wind speed (10% difference in wind speed leads to 33% changes in wind power), ii) fluctuating wind speed and wind shears. According to the statistics the country has existing wind energy capacity of about 18.7GW with wind speed of 7.5 to 8.8 m/s at 50m height above the ground level. Wind energy is recognized throughout the world as a cost-effective energy plant. -
Africa's Role in Nation-Building: an Examination of African-Led Peace
AFRICA’S ROLE IN NATION-BUILDING An Examination of African-Led Peace Operations James Dobbins, James Pumzile Machakaire, Andrew Radin, Stephanie Pezard, Jonathan S. Blake, Laura Bosco, Nathan Chandler, Wandile Langa, Charles Nyuykonge, Kitenge Fabrice Tunda C O R P O R A T I O N For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RR2978 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 978-1-9774-0264-6 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2019 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Cover: U.S. Air Force photo/ Staff Sgt. Ryan Crane; Feisal Omar/REUTERS. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface Since the turn of the century, the African Union (AU) and subregional organizations in Africa have taken on increasing responsibilities for peace operations throughout that continent. -
The African Union (AU): Key Issues and U.S.-AU Relations
The African Union (AU): Key Issues and U.S.-AU Relations Nicolas Cook Specialist in African Affairs Tomas F. Husted Research Assistant December 16, 2016 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov R44713 The African Union (AU): Key Issues and U.S.-AU Relations Summary U.S. relations with the African Union (AU), an intergovernmental organization to which all African countries except Morocco belong, have strengthened over the past decade. U.S.-AU cooperation has traditionally focused on peace operations and conflict prevention and mitigation. U.S. aid for AU democracy-strengthening initiatives is another key focus of engagement. Other areas of cooperation include economic development, health, governance, peace and security capacity building, and criminal justice. Direct U.S. aid to the AU Commission (AUC, the organization’s secretariat), which oversees AU program activity, is moderate; most U.S. aid in support of AU goals is provided on a bilateral basis or sub-regional basis. Consequently, such aid may not always be accounted for in analyses of U.S. support for the AU. President George W. Bush formally recognized the AU as an international organization in 2005, and a U.S. mission to the AU was established in 2006, making the United States the first non- African country to have an accredited diplomatic mission to the AU. In 2007, the first AU ambassador to the United States was accredited. In 2010, an agreement on U.S. aid for the AU was signed and in 2013, the AU and the United States established annual partnership dialogues and extended the 2010 aid agreement. -
Vol. 22 - Comoros
Marubeni Research Institute 2016/09/02 Sub -Saharan Report Sub-Saharan Africa is one of the focal regions of Global Challenge 2015. These reports are by Mr. Kenshi Tsunemine, an expatriate employee working in Johannesburg with a view across the region. Vol. 22 - Comoros June 10, 2016 It was well known that Marilyn Monroe wore Chanel No. 5 perfume when she went to bed. Did you know that Chanel No. 5’s essence (essential oils) comes from the flower called ylang-ylang, which is found in the African country of Comoros? Comoros is also where the so-called “living fossils”, a rare pre-historic species of fish called coelacanths, discovered in 1938 in South Africa after having thought to be extinct, are mostly found. So this time I would like to introduce the country of Comoros, fascinating like Marilyn Monroe and a little mysterious like the coelacanths. Table 1: Comoros Country Information The Union of the Comoros is an archipelago island nation located off the coast of East Africa east of Mozambique and northwest from Madagascar. 4 main islands make up the Comoros archipelago, Grande Comore, Moheli, Anjouan and Mayotte, with Grande Comore, Moheli, and Anjouan forming the Union of Comoros and Mayotte falling under French jurisdiction as an ‘overseas department” or region. The population of the 3 islands making up the Union of the Comoros is about 800,000, while their total land area comes to 2,236 square kilometers, about the same land size as Tokyo, which makes it quite a small country. Nominal GDP is roughly $600 million, which is second from the bottom among the 45 sub-Saharan African countries, just above Sao Tome and Principe, and its population is the 5th lowest (note 1). -
Comoros Mission Notes
Peacekeeping_4.qxd 1/14/07 2:29 PM Page 109 4.5 Comoros The 2006 elections in the Union of the support for a solution that preserves the coun- Comoros marked an important milestone in the try’s unity. After Anjouan separatists rejected peace process on the troubled archipelago. New an initial deal in 1999, the OAU, under South union president Ahmed Abdallah Mohamed African leadership, threatened sanctions and Sambi won 58 percent of the vote in elections, military action if the island continued to pur- described by the African Union as free and fair, sue secession. All parties eventually acceded and took over on 27 May 2006, in the islands’ to the 2001 Fomboni Accords, which provided first peaceful leadership transition since 1975. for a referendum on a new constitution in The AU Mission for Support to the Elections in advance of national elections. the Comoros (AMISEC), a short-term mission The core of the current deal is a federated devoted to the peaceful conduct of the elections, structure, giving each island substantial auton- withdrew from Comoros at the end of May, hav- omy and a turn at the presidency of the union, ing been declared a success by the AU and the which rotates every four years. Presidential Comorian government. The Comoros comprises three islands: Grande Comore (including the capital, Moroni), Anjouan, and Moheli. Following independ- ence from France in 1975, the country experi- enced some twenty coups in its first twenty- five years; meanwhile, Comoros slid ever deeper into poverty, and efforts at administra- tive centralization met with hostility, fueling calls for secession and/or a return to French rule in Anjouan and Moheli. -
Tax Bill Composition
Research Collection Doctoral Thesis Labor Income Taxation in a Globalizing World: 1980-2012 Author(s): Strecker, Nora Publication Date: 2017 Permanent Link: https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-010852381 Rights / License: In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted This page was generated automatically upon download from the ETH Zurich Research Collection. For more information please consult the Terms of use. ETH Library DISS. ETH No. 24020 Labor Income Taxation in a Globalizing World: 1980-2012 A thesis submitted to attain the degree of Doctor of Sciences of ETH Zurich (Dr. sc. ETH Zurich) presented by NORA MARGOT STRECKER Master of Arts in Economics New York University, Graduate School of Arts and Science born on July 29, 1986 citizen of Germany accepted on the recommendation of Professor Peter H. Egger, ETH Zurich, examiner Professor Georg Wamser, University of T¨ubingen,co-examiner 2017 Acknowledgments Words can hardly express the debt of gratitude I owe Professor Peter Egger for giving me the opportunity to work with him and his team at the Chair of Applied Economics: Innovation and Internationalization at ETH Zurich and to complete this dissertation. The research environment at his Chair has produced wonderful interactions, fostered great relationships with my co-authors and colleagues, and greatly advanced both my work and my research. I also gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the Swiss National Science Foundation. I also want to thank my thesis committee, Professors Georg Wamser of the University of T¨ubin- gen and Marko K¨othenb¨urgerof ETH Zurich, for taking the time to read and comment on the dissertation presented here.