LIBOR Transition - Impacts to Corporate Treasury

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

LIBOR Transition - Impacts to Corporate Treasury LIBOR Transition - Impacts to Corporate Treasury April 2019 What is happening to LIBOR? London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is a benchmark rate that some of the world’s leading banks charge each other for unsecured loans of varying tenors. In 2017, Financial Conduct Authority stated that it will no longer compel banks to submit LIBOR data to the rate administrator post 2021 resulting in a clear impetus and need to implement alternative risk-free rates (RFR) benchmarks globally. End of LIBOR LIBOR transition 2019 - 2021 Post 2021 Risk-free rates SOFR (U.S.) LIBOR (RFR) Phase-out RFRs • an unsecured rate at which banks and SONIA (U.K.) • rates based on secured or unsecured ostensibly borrow from one another transactions replace ESTER (E.U.) • a rate of multiple maturities with… • overnight rates • a single rate Other RFRs… • different rates across jurisdictions How about HIBOR? Unlike LIBOR, the HKMA currently has no plan to discontinue HIBOR. The Treasury Market Association (TMA) has proposed to adopt the HKD Overnight Index Average (HONIA) as RFR for a contingent fallback and will consult industry stakeholders later in 2019. © 2019 KPMG Advisory (Hong Kong) Limited, a Hong Kong limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Hong Kong. 2 How do I know who is impacted? Do you have any floating rate Do you have any derivative loans, bonds, or other similar contracts (e.g. interest rate Do you need to calculate financialEnsure they instruments have difficult with swap) with an interest leg market value of financial an interestconversations rate referenced to referenced to LIBOR? positions (e.g. hedging LIBOR? instruments) using LIBOR? Have you applied hedge accounting (IAS 39 / Have you been approached IFRS 9) for hedging your Do you have any systems by your bank or vendor in LIBOR-underlying interest or processes that use respect of LIBOR rate risk? LIBOR (adjusted or discontinuation? unadjusted) as discount rate? Do you have any funding Does your company currently arrangements (e.g. cash have or plan to issue bonds or pooling, intercompany commercialEnsure they paperhave difficultwith an loans) that calculate interestconversations rate referenced to interest based on LIBOR? LIBOR? If your answer is YES to any of these questions, then you are very likely to be impacted by the LIBOR discontinuation. © 2019 KPMG Advisory (Hong Kong) Limited, a Hong Kong limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Hong Kong. 3 Why is it so important to you? Accounting and Tax These instruments are likely to get impacted… Regulatory and Legal Loans Valuation and Curve Construction Commercial paper US$200 trillion1 of assets reference to Risk Management Deposits LIBOR globally Derivatives Operation and IT-Infrastructure Bonds Liquidity 1 Federal Reserve Bank Alternate Rates Reference Committee, Second Report, March 2018 It has a wide impact to corporations within a broad range of financial instruments. Corporations should start planning for LIBOR transition as soon as possible. © 2019 KPMG Advisory (Hong Kong) Limited, a Hong Kong limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Hong Kong. 4 It has a wide impact to your corporation Valuation and Curve Accounting and Tax Regulatory and Legal Construction • Impacts on fair value calculation • Contract amendments will lead to • Impacts on pricing and valuation of according to IFRS 13 significant costs financial instruments, including • Derecognition of hedge accounting • Difference in requirements of RFRs derivatives and non-derivatives under IAS 39 / IFRS 9 across jurisdictions contracts • Potential tax acceleration impacts • Adjustments needed for existing curve framework • Challenge in curve construction led by insufficient liquidity of RFRs Operation and IT- Risk Management Liquidity Infrastructure • Basis risk led by different RFRs, • Documentation, implementation • Different fall back rates are only which will not be economically and administration of the transition short term solutions and could equivalent to LIBOR • Systems, especially those for increase liquidity risks • Pricing gaps and volatility arising interest calculation, needed to be • Challenge in refinancing due to the from change in reference rates updated facts that RFRs currently available • Operational risks resulting from • Different publication times and are mostly overnight rates and are differences between existing and pricing across all RFRs needed to not sufficiently liquid new contracts and parallel pricing be incorporated in processes and • Challenges through intercompany using LIBOR and RFRs systems. loans and agreements • New hedging and insurance plan and programs needed © 2019 KPMG Advisory (Hong Kong) Limited, a Hong Kong limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Hong Kong. 5 There is no single global Global alternative rates for LIBOR? successor to LIBOR. US UK Europe Switzerland Japan Secured Overnight Reformed Sterling Euro Short-Term Swiss Average$ Tokyo Overnight Financing Rate Overnight Index Rate (ESTER) Rate Overnight Average Rate (SOFR) Average (SONIA) (SARON) (TONAR) per month Key Characteristics Federal Reserve Bank of England European Central SIX Swiss Exchange Bank of Japan (RFR) Bank of New York Bank Transaction reference Repo transactions Money market Money market Repo transactions Money market Collateralized Secured Unsecured Unsecured Secured Unsecured Term structure Expect SOFR term Expect SONIA term On-going discussion On-going discussion On-going discussion structure in Dec. 2021 structure in Jun. 2019 Timelines Working group Alternative Reference Working Group on Working Group on Working Group on Study Group on Risk- Rate Committee Sterling Risk-Free Euro Risk-Free Rates Swiss Franc Reference Free Reference Rates (ARRC) Rates (WGSRFR) (WGERFR) Rates (WGSFR) (SGRFR) Current status ARRC consultation on WGSRFR agreed to set The transitional period Methodology on term Release of final report fall back language for up priority task forces to ESTER has been structure approach and on JPY IBOR transition bilateral business loans for SONIA in Feb’19 proposed to be recommendation on by cross-industry issued in Dec’18 delayed by two years, fall back language committee i.e. set to be effective from Jan’22. Expected guidance Results of ARRC Agreement on fall back Daily publication of Clarity on the SGRFR will hold a consultation on fall language and start on ESTER in Oct. 2019 compounded term rate consultation on the back language implementation approach in early 2019 transition to TONAR in 2019 Implementation date Implementation date is Panel banks will no Proposed as Jan’22 Implementation date is Implementation date is not embedded in longer publish LIBOR (EU Benchmarking not embedded in not embedded in regulation quotes as of end 2021 Regulation) regulation regulation © 2019 KPMG Advisory (Hong Kong) Limited, a Hong Kong limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Hong Kong. 6 There is no single global ASPAC alternative rates for LIBOR? successor to LIBOR. China HK Singapore Australia Indonesia Reformed IBOR Reformed IBOR Reformed IBOR Reformed IBOR$ Reformed IBOR (SHIBOR) (HIBOR) (SIBOR) (BBSW) (JIBOR) per month National Interbank Treasury Market Association of Banks Australian Securities Bank Sentral Reformed IBOR Funding Center Association in Singapore Exchange Republik Indonesia IBOR Reformed SHIBOR HIBOR Reformed SIBOR Reformed BBSW Reformed JIBOR Key Characteristics (reformed IBOR) Transaction Money market Money market Wholesale Money market Deposits reference Collateralized Unsecured Unsecured Unsecured Unsecured Unsecured Term structure Available Available Available Available Available Timelines Current status SHIBOR is reformed in HKMA intends to keep Reformed SIBOR Banks are allowed to BSRI published 2013 HIBOR consultation was use multiple rates IndONIA (alternative finalized in 2018 RFR) in Aug. 2018 Expected guidance No public information Market consultation by Publication of SIBOR BBSW was reformed Reformed JIBOR is available on plans for TMA for HONIA as reformed methodology in 2018 expected to go further SHIBOR RFR in early 2019 in Q2 2019 through IOSCO reforms process early 2019 Implementation Reformed SHIBOR is Reformed HIBOR is Reformed SIBOR Reformed BBSW is Reformed JIBOR date published since 2013 published since 2016 publication starts in published since May publication starts in 2020 2018 2019 © 2019 KPMG Advisory (Hong Kong) Limited, a Hong Kong limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Hong Kong. 7 How can KPMG support you? Communication Transition Impact Assessment Transition Planning Management
Recommended publications
  • Interbank Offered Rates (Ibors) and Alternative Reference Rates (Arrs)
    VERSION: 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 Interbank Offered Rates (IBORs) and Alternative Reference Rates (ARRs) The following table has been compiled on the basis of publicly available information. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information in the table is accurate as at the date that the table was last revised, no warranty or representation is given as to the information in the table. The information in the table is a summary, is not exhaustive and is subject to change. Key Multiple-rate approach (IBOR + RFR) Moving to RFR only IBOR only Basis on Development of Expected/ Expected fall which forward-looking likely fall- back rate to IBOR is Expected ARR? back rate to the ARR (if 3 Expected being Date from date by the IBOR2 applicable) discontinu continued which which ation date (if Alternative ARR will replaceme for IBOR applicable Reference be nt of IBOR Currency IBOR (if any) )1 Rate published is needed ARS BAIBAR TBC TBC TBC TBC TBC TBC TBC (Argentina) 1 Information in this column is taken from Financial Stability Board “Reforming major interest rate benchmarks” progress reports and other publicly available English language sources. 2 This column sets out current expectations based on publicly available information but in many cases no formal decisions have been taken or announcements made. This column will be revisited and revised following publication of the ISDA 2020 IBOR Fallbacks Protocol. References in this column to a rate being “Adjusted” are to such rate with adjustments being made (i) to reflect the fact that the applicable ARR may be an overnight rate while the IBOR rate will be a term rate and (ii) to add a spread.
    [Show full text]
  • LCH Clears First Swaps Referencing SARON
    LCH clears first swaps referencing SARON Migration to new Swiss reference rate comes ahead of discontinuation of TOIS on 29 December 2017 SwapClear has cleared circa CHF 30 trillion in Swiss Franc-denominated interest rate derivatives since the service’s inception Basler Kantonalbank, Credit Suisse and Zürcher Kantonalbank among the first members to clear using the new rate 18 October 2017 LCH, a leading global clearing house, today announced that it is now clearing Swiss Franc (CHF) interest rate swaps referencing SARON, the Swiss average overnight rate. The move comes ahead of the migration of CHF reference interest rates from TOIS to SARON, scheduled for 29 December 2017. Basler Kantonalbank, Credit Suisse and Zürcher Kantonalbank were among the first market participants to begin clearing using the rate. SARON is the new rate to be used for CHF overnight indexed swaps (OIS) and has recently been recommended as the alternative to Swiss Franc LIBOR and TOIS*. LCH has cleared approximately CHF 30 trillion in Swiss Franc-denominated interest rate derivatives since SwapClear started clearing the currency in June 2002. Michael Davie, Global Head of Rates, LCH, said: “The Swiss market is in the vanguard of a global move to new risk-free reference rates, attracting special attention given the Swiss Franc’s reserve currency status. LCH is delighted to have worked closely with our members, their clients and the regulators to effect a smooth and timely transition from TOIS to SARON. As well as clearing OTC derivatives referencing SARON, LCH has adopted this new preferred rate for cash flow discounting and investment benchmarking.
    [Show full text]
  • Notice of Listing of Products by Icap Sef (Us) Llc for Trading by Certification 1
    NOTICE OF LISTING OF PRODUCTS BY ICAP SEF (US) LLC FOR TRADING BY CERTIFICATION 1. This submission is made pursuant to CFTC Reg. 40.2 by ICAP SEF (US) LLC (the “SEF”). 2. The products certified by this submission are the following: Fixed for Floating Interest Rate Swaps in CNY (the “Contract”). Renminbi (“RMB”) is the official currency of the Peoples Republic of China (“PRC”) and trades under the currency symbol CNY when traded in the PRC and trades under the currency symbol CNH when traded in off-shore markets. 3. Attached as Attachment A is a copy of the Contract’s rules. The SEF is listing the Contracts by virtue of updating the terms and conditions of the Fixed for Floating Interest Rate Swaps submitted to the Commission for self-certification pursuant to Commission Regulation 40.2 on September 29, 2013. A copy of the Contract’s rules marked to show changes from the version previously submitted is attached as Attachment B. 4. The SEF intends to make this submission of the certification of the Contract effective on the day following submission pursuant to CFTC Reg. 40.2(a)(2). 5. Attached as Attachment C is a certification from the SEF that the Contract complies with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC Regulations, and that the SEF has posted a notice of pending product certification and a copy of this submission on its website concurrent with the filing of this submission with the Commission. 6. As required by Commission Regulation 40.2(a), the following concise explanation and analysis demonstrates that the Contract complies with the core principles of the Commodity Exchange Act for swap execution facilities, and in particular Core Principle 3, which provides that a swap execution facility shall permit trading only in swaps that are not readily susceptible to manipulation, in accordance with the applicable guidelines in Appendix B to Part 37 and Appendix C to Part 38 of the Commission’s Regulations for contracts settled by cash settlement and options thereon.
    [Show full text]
  • APAC IBOR Transition Benchmarking Study
    R E P O R T APAC IBOR Transition Benchmarking Study. July 2020 Banking & Finance. 0 0 sia-partners.com 0 0 Content 6 • Executive summary 8 • Summary of APAC IBOR transitions 9 • APAC IBOR deep dives 10 Hong Kong 11 Singapore 13 Japan 15 Australia 16 New Zealand 17 Thailand 18 Philippines 19 Indonesia 20 Malaysia 21 South Korea 22 • Benchmarking study findings 23 • Planning the next 12 months 24 • How Sia Partners can help 0 0 Editorial team. Maximilien Bouchet Domitille Mozat Ernest Yuen Nikhilesh Pagrut Joyce Chan 0 0 Foreword. Financial benchmarks play a significant role in the global financial system. They are referenced in a multitude of financial contracts, from derivatives and securities to consumer and business loans. Many interest rate benchmarks such as the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) are calculated based on submissions from a panel of banks. However, since the global financial crisis in 2008, there was a notable decline in the liquidity of the unsecured money markets combined with incidents of benchmark manipulation. In July 2013, IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks have been published to improve their robustness and integrity. One year later, the Financial Stability Board Official Sector Steering Group released a report titled “Reforming Major Interest Rate Benchmarks”, recommending relevant authorities and market participants to develop and adopt appropriate alternative reference rates (ARRs), including risk- free rates (RFRs). In July 2017, the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), announced that by the end of 2021 the FCA would no longer compel panel banks to submit quotes for LIBOR. And in March 2020, in response to the Covid-19 outbreak, the FCA stressed that the assumption of an end of the LIBOR publication after 2021 has not changed.
    [Show full text]
  • Reform of Interest Rate Benchmarks for Q4 2019
    Annex 1 Results of Survey on Reform of Interest Rate Benchmarks for Q4 2019 1. Hong Kong banking sector’s exposures referencing LIBOR (LIBOR exposures) (HK$ trillion, as at end-September 2019) Assets Liabilities Derivatives Total amount of LIBOR exposures (note) $4.5 $1.6 $34.6 as a % of total assets or liabilities denominated in 30% 11% N/A foreign currencies LIBOR exposures which will mature after end-2021 $1.5 $0.5 $16.1 of which without adequate fall-back $1.4 $0.5 $14.7 outstanding amount as a % of total LIBOR assets, liabilities or derivatives 33% 32% 46% Note: Includes exposures referencing LIBOR in five currencies (i.e. USD, EUR, GBP, JPY and CHF), as well as benchmarks calculated based on LIBOR, including Singapore Dollar Swap Offer Rate (SOR), Thai Baht Interest Rate Fixing (THBFIX), Mumbai Interbank Forward Offer Rate (MIFOR) and Philippine Interbank Reference Rate (PHIREF). 2. Hong Kong banking sector’s exposures referencing HIBOR (HIBOR exposures) (HK$ trillion, as at end-September 2019) Assets Liabilities Derivatives Total amount of HIBOR exposures $4.7 $0.2 $12.2 as a % of total assets or liabilities denominated in HKD 49% 2% N/A 3. AIs’ preparation for transition to alternative reference rates (ARRs) Key components in AIs’ preparatory work for transition to ARRs % AIs having the component in place Establishment of a steering committee and/or appointment of a 63% senior executive for overseeing the preparation for transition Development of a bank-wide transition plan 38% Quantification and monitoring of LIBOR exposures 48% Impact assessment across businesses and functions 42% Identification and evaluation of risk associated with the transition 38% Identification of affected IT systems and development of a plan to 39% upgrade these systems Identification of affected internal models and development of a plan 36% to modify these models Development of a plan to introduce ARR products 28% Development of a plan to reduce LIBOR exposures 25% Development of a plan to renegotiate LIBOR-linked contracts 24% 4.
    [Show full text]
  • A Quick Guide to the Transition to Risk-Free Rates in the International Bond Market
    A quick guide to the transition to risk-free rates in the international bond market 27 February 2020 A quick guide to the transition to risk-free rates in the international bond market February 2020 1 Disclaimer This paper is provided for information purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, financial, or other professional advice. While the information contained herein is taken from sources believed to be reliable, ICMA does not represent or warrant that it is accurate or complete and neither ICMA, nor its employees, shall have any liability arising from or relating to the use of this publication or its contents. © International Capital Market Association (ICMA), Zurich, 2020. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission from ICMA. A quick guide to the transition to risk-free rates in the international bond market February 2020 2 Introduction This Quick Guide is intended to highlight the key issues on which ICMA is focused in the transition from IBORs to alternative near risk-free reference rates (“RFRs”) in the international bond market (including floating rate notes (“FRNs”), covered bonds, capital securities, securitisations and structured products, together, “bonds”); and provide links to relevant resources. More information is available on the ICMA benchmark reform and transition to RFRs webpage and from the ICMA contacts listed below. This Quick Guide reflects the position as at its date, but market participants should note that there
    [Show full text]
  • Reforming Major Interest Rate Benchmarks: Progress Report
    Reforming major interest rate benchmarks Progress report 14 November 2018 The Financial Stability Board (FSB) is established to coordinate at the international level the work of national financial authorities and international standard-setting bodies in order to develop and promote the implementation of effective regulatory, supervisory and other financial sector policies. Its mandate is set out in the FSB Charter, which governs the policymaking and related activities of the FSB. These activities, including any decisions reached in their context, shall not be binding or give rise to any legal rights or obligations under the FSB’s Articles of Association. Contacting the Financial Stability Board Sign up for e-mail alerts: www.fsb.org/emailalert Follow the FSB on Twitter: @FinStbBoard E-mail the FSB at: [email protected] Copyright © 2018 Financial Stability Board. Please refer to: http://www.fsb.org/terms_conditions/ ii Contents Page Abbreviations and Acronyms ................................................................................................. iv Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. 1 1. International coordination and key cross-jurisdictional themes ........................... 3 1.1 Overview ...................................................................................................................... 3 1.2 Issues related to divergence between IBORs ............................................................... 4 1.3 Approach to
    [Show full text]
  • Minutes, Please See Page 4 Ff.)
    Press release (For meeting minutes, please see page 4 ff.) National Working Group on Swiss Franc Reference Rates [email protected] Zurich, 2 July 2021 Executive summary of the 1 July 2021 meeting of the National Working Group on Swiss Franc Reference Rates The National Working Group on Swiss Franc Reference Rates (NWG) met on 1 July 2021 to discuss the progress of the LIBOR transition in Switzerland and relevant international developments. The key items and main recommendations of yesterday’s meeting were: (i) Members reviewed important milestones regarding the transition from LIBOR. First, ICE Benchmark Administration (IBA) and the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) released on 5 March 2021 their statements confirming that all Swiss franc (CHF) LIBOR settings will cease immediately after the LIBOR publication on 31 December 2021. Second, with the publication of the IBA statement, ISDA adjustment spreads for all LIBOR settings were fixed. There will be no synthetic rate for CHF LIBOR. (ii) FINMA provided an update on their self-assessment survey, according to which a large fraction of the cash market already transitioned to SARON but some market participants still need to accelerate their reduction of legacy LIBOR contracts. Furthermore, FINMA emphasized that it is important to timely meet the deadlines of the FINMA Guidance 10/2020 (LIBOR transition roadmap). After 30 June 2021, new contracts should in general be based on alternative reference rates (e.g. SARON and SOFR). FINMA reminded members that full operational readiness is required by 31 December 2021. (iii) Regarding options for using compounded SARON, members reviewed the guidance given so far.
    [Show full text]
  • Product Specific Contract Terms and Eligibility Criteria Manual
    PRODUCT SPECIFIC CONTRACT TERMS AND ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA MANUAL CONTENTS Page SCHEDULE 1 REPOCLEAR ................................................................................................... 3 Part A Repoclear Contract Terms: Repoclear Contracts arising from Repoclear Transactions, Repo Trades or Bond Trades .......................................................... 3 Part B Product Eligibility Criteria for Registration of a RepoClear Contract ................... 9 Part C Repoclear Term £GC Contract Terms: Repoclear term £GC Contracts Arising From Repoclear Term £GC Transactions Or Term £GC Trades ........................ 12 Part D Product Eligibility Criteria for Registration of a RepoClear Term £GC Contract ............................................................................................................................. 19 SCHEDULE 2 SWAPCLEAR ................................................................................................ 21 Part A Swapclear Contract Terms ................................................................................... 21 Part B Product Eligibility Criteria for Registration of a SwapClear Contract ................ 36 SCHEDULE 3 EQUITYCLEAR ............................................................................................. 46 Part A EquityClear (Equities) Contract Terms ................................................................ 46 Part B EquityClear Eligible (Equities) ............................................................................ 48 Part C EquityClear
    [Show full text]
  • Yi Gang: the Development of Shibor As a Market Benchmark (Central
    Yi Gang: The development of Shibor as a market benchmark Speech by Mr Yi Gang, Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China, at the 2008 Shibor Work Conference, Beijing, 11 January 2008. * * * Thank you for your presence. Since its launch one year ago, Shibor has made remarkable progress. I’d like to share with you some of my observations. First, Shibor is for market participants. At the initial stage, central bank promotion is necessary. But Shibor, as a market benchmark, belongs to the market and all the market participants. All parties concerned including financial institutions, National Inter-bank Funding Center, National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors shall have a full understanding of this, and actively play a role in the operations of Shibor as stakeholders. The success of Shibor relies on the joint efforts of all the stakeholders. Under the command economy, the central bank is the leader while commercial banks are followers. But from the current perspective of the central bank’s functions, the bipartite relationship varies on different occasions. In terms of monetary policies, the central bank, as the monetary authority, is the policy maker and regulator, while commercial banks are market participants and players. But in terms of market building, the relationship is not simply that of leader and followers, but of central bank and commercial banks in a market environment. This broad positioning and premise will have a direct bearing on how we behave. On the one hand, it requires the central bank to work as a service provider, a general designer and supervisor of the market.
    [Show full text]
  • Methodology Rulebook Governing the Swiss Reference Rates
    Swiss Index Methodology Rulebook Governing the Swiss Reference Rates 17.06.2021 Swiss Index Methodology Rulebook Governing the Swiss Reference Rates 17.06.2021 Table of Content 1 Structure of Swiss Reference Rates ...................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Introduction ..........................................................................................................................................................................4 1.2 General Principles.................................................................................................................................................................4 1.3 Index Family Overview .........................................................................................................................................................5 1.4 Data Availability and Publication ........................................................................................................................................6 2 Calculation of Average Rates (for Example SARON) ........................................................................................... 8 2.1 Trades ....................................................................................................................................................................................8 2.2 Quotes ....................................................................................................................................................................................8
    [Show full text]
  • An Empirical Study on the Linkage Between Offshore and Onshore
    2017 2nd International Conference on Modern Economic Development and Environment Protection (ICMED 2017) ISBN: 978-1-60595-518-6 An Empirical Study on the Linkage Between Offshore and Onshore Interbank Offered Rate Wen-wen ZENG Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China [email protected] Keywords: CNH-HIBOR, SHIBOR, Linkage, VAR Model. Abstract. This article uses Granger causality test and vector autoregression model to investigate the linkage between SHIBOR and CNH-HIBOR. The results showed that the existence of linkage between two short-term varieties, long-term varieties did not show linkage, and the offshore market has an impact on the onshore market, short-term maturity varieties respond more rapidly to impacts, while long-term maturity varieties respond to impacts that take a long time to digest. The results show that the linkage between China’s inter-bank lending rate and the onshore market is gradually increasing, it’s need to further strengthen SHIBOR’S s the basic position, and constantly improve the quotation mechanism and relax offshore market restrictions. 1. Introduction CNH-Hongkong Inter-bank Offered Rate (CNH-HIBOR) reflects the interest rate level of the offshore RMB market. If the offshore market and onshore market interest rates spread too much, it can easily lead to arbitrage, which is not conducive to the stability and security of the market economy stability and security. Therefore, studying the linkage of inter-bank lending rates will be conducive to promoting marketization of interest rates. The domestic research on the inter-bank lending rate mainly focuses on three aspects: factors that influence the inter-bank lending rate [1]; benchmark interest rate [2,3]; volatility of the inter-bank lending rates [4-7].
    [Show full text]