Earthquake Generation Brittle Deformation Break = Energy Release Bending = Stress Build up and Movement Along a Fault Occurs
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The Growing Wealth of Aseismic Deformation Data: What's a Modeler to Model?
The Growing Wealth of Aseismic Deformation Data: What's a Modeler to Model? Evelyn Roeloffs U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Team Vancouver, WA Topics • Pre-earthquake deformation-rate changes – Some credible examples • High-resolution crustal deformation observations – borehole strain – fluid pressure data • Aseismic processes linking mainshocks to aftershocks • Observations possibly related to dynamic triggering The Scientific Method • The “hypothesis-testing” stage is a bottleneck for earthquake research because data are hard to obtain • Modeling has a role in the hypothesis-building stage http://www.indiana.edu/~geol116/ Modeling needs to lead data collection • Compared to acquiring high resolution deformation data in the near field of large earthquakes, modeling is fast and inexpensive • So modeling should perhaps get ahead of reproducing observations • Or modeling could look harder at observations that are significant but controversial, and could explore a wider range of hypotheses Earthquakes can happen without detectable pre- earthquake changes e.g.Parkfield M6 2004 Deformation-Rate Changes before the Mw 6.6 Chuetsu earthquake, 23 October 2004 Ogata, JGR 2007 • Intraplate thrust earthquake, depth 11 km • GPS-detected rate changes about 3 years earlier – Moment of pre-slip approximately Mw 6.0 (1 div=1 cm) – deviations mostly in direction of coseismic displacement – not all consistent with pre-slip on the rupture plane Great Subduction Earthquakes with Evidence for Pre-Earthquake Aseismic Deformation-Rate Changes • Chile 1960, Mw9.2 – 20-30 m of slow interplate slip over a rupture zone 920+/-100 km long, starting 20 minutes prior to mainshock [Kanamori & Cipar (1974); Kanamori & Anderson (1975); Cifuentes & Silver (1989) ] – 33-hour foreshock sequence north of the mainshock, propagating toward the mainshock hypocenter at 86 km day-1 (Cifuentes, 1989) • Alaska 1964, Mw9.2 • Cascadia 1700, M9 Microfossils => Sea level rise before1964 Alaska M9.2 • 0.12± 0.13 m sea level rise at 4 sites between 1952 and 1964 Hamilton et al. -
Earthquake Measurements
EARTHQUAKE MEASUREMENTS The vibrations produced by earthquakes are detected, recorded, and measured by instruments call seismographs1. The zig-zag line made by a seismograph, called a "seismogram," reflects the changing intensity of the vibrations by responding to the motion of the ground surface beneath the instrument. From the data expressed in seismograms, scientists can determine the time, the epicenter, the focal depth, and the type of faulting of an earthquake and can estimate how much energy was released. Seismograph/Seismometer Earthquake recording instrument, seismograph has a base that sets firmly in the ground, and a heavy weight that hangs free2. When an earthquake causes the ground to shake, the base of the seismograph shakes too, but the hanging weight does not. Instead the spring or string that it is hanging from absorbs all the movement. The difference in position between the shaking part of the seismograph and the motionless part is Seismograph what is recorded. Measuring Size of Earthquakes The size of an earthquake depends on the size of the fault and the amount of slip on the fault, but that’s not something scientists can simply measure with a measuring tape since faults are many kilometers deep beneath the earth’s surface. They use the seismogram recordings made on the seismographs at the surface of the earth to determine how large the earthquake was. A short wiggly line that doesn’t wiggle very much means a small earthquake, and a long wiggly line that wiggles a lot means a large earthquake2. The length of the wiggle depends on the size of the fault, and the size of the wiggle depends on the amount of slip. -
Energy and Magnitude: a Historical Perspective
Pure Appl. Geophys. 176 (2019), 3815–3849 Ó 2018 Springer Nature Switzerland AG https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-018-1994-7 Pure and Applied Geophysics Energy and Magnitude: A Historical Perspective 1 EMILE A. OKAL Abstract—We present a detailed historical review of early referred to as ‘‘Gutenberg [and Richter]’s energy– attempts to quantify seismic sources through a measure of the magnitude relation’’ features a slope of 1.5 which is energy radiated into seismic waves, in connection with the parallel development of the concept of magnitude. In particular, we explore not predicted a priori by simple physical arguments. the derivation of the widely quoted ‘‘Gutenberg–Richter energy– We will use Gutenberg and Richter’s (1956a) nota- magnitude relationship’’ tion, Q [their Eq. (16) p. 133], for the slope of log10 E versus magnitude [1.5 in (1)]. log10 E ¼ 1:5Ms þ 11:8 ð1Þ We are motivated by the fact that Eq. (1)istobe (E in ergs), and especially the origin of the value 1.5 for the slope. found nowhere in this exact form in any of the tra- By examining all of the relevant papers by Gutenberg and Richter, we note that estimates of this slope kept decreasing for more than ditional references in its support, which incidentally 20 years before Gutenberg’s sudden death, and that the value 1.5 were most probably copied from one referring pub- was obtained through the complex computation of an estimate of lication to the next. They consist of Gutenberg and the energy flux above the hypocenter, based on a number of assumptions and models lacking robustness in the context of Richter (1954)(Seismicity of the Earth), Gutenberg modern seismological theory. -
Formation and Evolution of a Population of Strike-Slip Faults in a Multiscale Cellular Automaton Model
Geophys. J. Int. (2007) 168, 723–744 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2006.03213.x Formation and evolution of a population of strike-slip faults in a multiscale cellular automaton model Cl´ement Narteau Laboratoire de Dynamique des Syst`emes G´eologiques, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, 4, Place Jussieu, Paris, Cedex 05, 75252, France. E-mail: [email protected] Accepted 2006 September 4. Received 2006 September 4; in original form 2004 August 10 SUMMARY This paper describes a new model of rupture designed to reproduce structural patterns observed in the formation and evolution of a population of strike-slip faults. This model is a multiscale cellular automaton with two states. A stable state is associated with an ‘intact’ zone in which the fracturing process is confined to a smaller length scale. An active state is associated with an actively slipping fault. At the smallest length scale of a fault segment, transition rates from one state to another are determined with respect to the magnitude of the local strain rate and a time-dependent stochastic process. At increasingly larger length scales, healing and faulting are described according to geometric rules of fault interaction based on fracture mechanics. A redistribution of the strain rates in the neighbourhood of active faults at all length scales ensures that long range interactions and non-linear feedback processes are incorporated in the fault growth mechanism. Typical patterns of development of a population of faults are presented and show nucleation, growth, branching, interaction and coalescence. The geometries of the fault populations spontaneously converge to a configuration in which strain is concentrated on a dominant fault. -
What Is an Earthquake?
A Violent Pulse: Earthquakes Chapter 8 part 2 Earthquakes and the Earth’s Interior What is an Earthquake? Seismicity • ‘Earth shaking caused by a rapid release of energy.’ • Seismicity (‘quake or shake) cause by… – Energy buildup due tectonic – Motion along a newly formed crustal fracture (or, stresses. fault). – Cause rocks to break. – Motion on an existing fault. – Energy moves outward as an expanding sphere of – A sudden change in mineral structure. waves. – Inflation of a – This waveform energy can magma chamber. be measured around the globe. – Volcanic eruption. • Earthquakes destroy – Giant landslides. buildings and kill people. – Meteorite impacts. – 3.5 million deaths in the last 2000 years. – Nuclear detonations. • Earthquakes are common. Faults and Earthquakes Earthquake Concepts • Focus (or Hypocenter) - The place within Earth where • Most earthquakes occur along faults. earthquake waves originate. – Faults are breaks or fractures in the crust… – Usually occurs on a fault surface. – Across which motion has occurred. – Earthquake waves expand outward from the • Over geologic time, faulting produces much change. hypocenter. • The amount of movement is termed displacement. • Epicenter – Land surface above the focus pocenter. • Displacement is also called… – Offset, or – Slip • Markers may reveal the amount of offset. Fence separated by fault 1 Faults and Fault Motion Fault Types • Faults are like planar breaks in blocks of crust. • Fault type based on relative block motion. • Most faults slope (although some are vertical). – Normal fault • On a sloping fault, crustal blocks are classified as: • Hanging wall moves down. – Footwall (block • Result from extension (stretching). below the fault). – Hanging wall – Reverse fault (block above • Hanging wall moves up. -
Hypocenter and Focal Mechanism Determination of the August 23, 2011 Virginia Earthquake Aftershock Sequence: Collaborative Research with VA Tech and Boston College
Final Technical Report Award Numbers G13AP00044, G13AP00043 Hypocenter and Focal Mechanism Determination of the August 23, 2011 Virginia Earthquake Aftershock Sequence: Collaborative Research with VA Tech and Boston College Martin Chapman, John Ebel, Qimin Wu and Stephen Hilfiker Department of Geosciences Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 4044 Derring Hall Blacksburg, Virginia, 24061 (MC, QW) Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences Boston College Devlin Hall 213 140 Commonwealth Avenue Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts 02467 (JE, SH) Phone (Chapman): (540) 231-5036 Fax (Chapman): (540) 231-3386 Phone (Ebel): (617) 552-8300 Fax (Ebel): (617) 552-8388 Email: [email protected] (Chapman), [email protected] (Ebel), [email protected] (Wu), [email protected] (Hilfiker) Project Period: July 2013 - December, 2014 1 Abstract The aftershocks of the Mw 5.7, August 23, 2011 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake were recorded by 36 temporary stations installed by several institutions. We located 3,960 aftershocks from August 25, 2011 through December 31, 2011. A subset of 1,666 aftershocks resolves details of the hypocenter distribution. We determined 393 focal mechanism solutions. Aftershocks near the mainshock define a previously recognized tabular cluster with orientation similar to a mainshock nodal plane; other aftershocks occurred 10-20 kilometers to the northeast. Detailed relocation of events in the main tabular cluster, and hundreds of focal mechanisms, indicate that it is not a single extensive fault, but instead is comprised of at least three and probably many more faults with variable orientation. A large percentage of the aftershocks occurred in regions of positive Coulomb static stress change and approximately 80% of the focal mechanism nodal planes were brought closer to failure. -
Earthquake Location Accuracy
Theme IV - Understanding Seismicity Catalogs and their Problems Earthquake Location Accuracy 1 2 Stephan Husen • Jeanne L. Hardebeck 1. Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zurich 2. United States Geological Survey How to cite this article: Husen, S., and J.L. Hardebeck (2010), Earthquake location accuracy, Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, doi:10.5078/corssa-55815573. Available at http://www.corssa.org. Document Information: Issue date: 1 September 2010 Version: 1.0 2 www.corssa.org Contents 1 Motivation .................................................................................................................................................. 3 2 Location Techniques ................................................................................................................................... 4 3 Uncertainty and Artifacts .......................................................................................................................... 9 4 Choosing a Catalog, and What to Expect ................................................................................................ 25 5 Summary, Further Reading, Next Steps ................................................................................................... 30 Earthquake Location Accuracy 3 Abstract Earthquake location catalogs are not an exact representation of the true earthquake locations. They contain random error, for example from errors in the arrival time picks, as well as systematic biases. The most important source of systematic -
Evaluation of Automatic Hypocenter Determination in the JMA Unified
Tamaribuchi Earth, Planets and Space (2018) 70:141 https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-018-0915-4 FULL PAPER Open Access Evaluation of automatic hypocenter determination in the JMA unifed catalog Koji Tamaribuchi* Abstract The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) unifed seismic catalog has been widely used for research and disaster pre- vention purposes for more than 20 years. Since the introduction in April 2016 of an improved method of automatic hypocenter determinations (PF method), the number of detected earthquakes has almost doubled due to a decrease in the completeness magnitude around the Tohoku region, where seismicity has been very active in the aftermath of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. Automatically processed hypocenters of small events, accepted without manual modifcation, now make up approximately 70% of new events in the JMA unifed catalog. In this paper, we show that the introduction of automated processing did not systematically bias the quality of the JMA unifed catalog. Approxi- mately 90% of automatically processed hypocenters were less than 1 km from their manually reviewed locations in inland and shallow areas. We also considered the use of automated event characterization in real-time monitoring of earthquake sequences using the example of the April 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, when the PF method could have supplied the catalog with about 70,000 events in real time over the course of 2 months. We show that the PF method is capable of monitoring the migration or expansion of the hypocentral distribution and can support sta- tistical analyses such as variations of the b-value distribution. Further improvements in automatic hypocenter deter- mination will contribute to a better understanding of seismicity as well as rapid risk assessment, especially in cases of swarms and aftershocks. -
Mamuju–Majene
Supendi et al. Earth, Planets and Space (2021) 73:106 https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-021-01436-x EXPRESS LETTER Open Access Foreshock–mainshock–aftershock sequence analysis of the 14 January 2021 (Mw 6.2) Mamuju–Majene (West Sulawesi, Indonesia) earthquake Pepen Supendi1* , Mohamad Ramdhan1, Priyobudi1, Dimas Sianipar1, Adhi Wibowo1, Mohamad Taufk Gunawan1, Supriyanto Rohadi1, Nelly Florida Riama1, Daryono1, Bambang Setiyo Prayitno1, Jaya Murjaya1, Dwikorita Karnawati1, Irwan Meilano2, Nicholas Rawlinson3, Sri Widiyantoro4,5, Andri Dian Nugraha4, Gayatri Indah Marliyani6, Kadek Hendrawan Palgunadi7 and Emelda Meva Elsera8 Abstract We present here an analysis of the destructive Mw 6.2 earthquake sequence that took place on 14 January 2021 in Mamuju–Majene, West Sulawesi, Indonesia. Our relocated foreshocks, mainshock, and aftershocks and their focal mechanisms show that they occurred on two diferent fault planes, in which the foreshock perturbed the stress state of a nearby fault segment, causing the fault plane to subsequently rupture. The mainshock had relatively few after- shocks, an observation that is likely related to the kinematics of the fault rupture, which is relatively small in size and of short duration, thus indicating a high stress-drop earthquake rupture. The Coulomb stress change shows that areas to the northwest and southeast of the mainshock have increased stress, consistent with the observation that most aftershocks are in the northwest. Keywords: Mamuju–Majene, Earthquake, Relocation, Rupture, Stress-change Introduction mainshock from two of the nearest stations in Mamuju On January 14, 2021, a destructive earthquake (Mw 6.2) and Majene are 95.9 and 92.8 Gals, respectively, equiva- between Mamuju and Majene, West Sulawesi, Indonesia, lent to VI on the MMI scale (Additional fle 1: Figure S1). -
GEOL 460 Solid Earth Geophysics Lab 5: Global Seismology Part II Questions 1
GEOL 460 Solid Earth Geophysics Lab 5: Global Seismology Name: ____________________________________________________ Date: _____________ Part I. Seismic Waves and Earth’s Structure While technically "remote" sensing, the field of seismology and its tools provide the most "direct" geophysical observations of the geology of Earth's interior. Seismologists have discovered much about Earth’s internal structure, although many of the subtleties remain to be understood. The typical cross‐ section of the planet consists of the crust at the surface, followed by the mantle, the outer core, and the inner core. Information about these layers came from seismic travel times and analysis of how the behavior of seismic waves changes as they propagate deeper into the Earth. Today we are going to examine seismic waves in the Earth and we will take a look at how and what seismologists know about Earth’s core. Here is a summary of the current understanding of Earth structure: To look into what seismic waves can tell us about the core, we need to know how they travel in the Earth. While seismic energy travels as wavefronts, we often depict them as rays in figures and sketches. A ray is an idealized path through the Earth and is drawn as a line traveling through the Earth. A wavefront is a surface of energy propagating through the Earth. We’ll begin by looking at some videos of wavefronts and rays to get a handle on how these things behave in the Earth. These animations were made by Michael Wysession and Saadia Baker at Washington University in St. Louis. -
Seismic Tomography
Seismic Tomography—Using earthquakes to image Earth’s interior Background to accompany the animations & videos on: IRIS’ Animations http://www.iris.edu/hq/inclass/search Link to Vocabulary (Page 4) Introduction Seismic tomography is an imaging technique that uses seismic waves generated by earthquakes and explosions to create computer-generated, three- dimensional images of Earth’s interior. If the Earth were of uniform composition and density seismic rays would travel in straight lines as shown in Figure 1. But our planet is broadly layered causing seismic rays to be refracted and reflected across boundaries. Layers can be inferred by recording energy from earthquakes (seismic waves) of known locations, not too unlike doctors using CT scans (next page) to “see” into hidden parts of the human body. How is this done with earthquakes? The time it takes for a seismic wave to arrive at a seismic station from an earthquake can be used to calculate the speed along the wave’s ray path. By using arrival times of different Figure 1: Image capture from animation depicts 15 seismic stations seismic waves scientists are able to define slower recording earthquakes from 4 earthquakes. An anomaly (red) is or faster regions deep in the Earth. Those that come inferred by using data collected from stations that indicate slower sooner travel faster. Later waves are slowed down by wave speeds. something along the way. Various material properties control the speed and absorption of seismic waves. Careful study of the travel times and amplitudes can What variables yield the best resolution that allow be used to infer the existence of features within the seismologists to infer details at depth? planet. -
Locating Earthquakes
Locating Earthquakes How can we quickly estimate earthquake location (2 ways)? What can complicate these estimates? How are such estimates made in the real world? Global Seismic Network • About 150 stations - mostly broadband and 3 components • Detects M4 and larger events worldwide • Partly funded to aid in nuclear test ban verification USA quakes this past week Canada quakes this past month from Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS) (almost 100 broadband from Canada National Seismograph seismometers [backbone array] plus Network (CNSN) (100 seismographs of several locally run networks). various types, plus 60 accelerometers) http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/ http://earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/index-eng.php Maps/region/N_America.php Japan http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/ each dot is a en/Activities/image/earth- seismometer! fig02.png red dots: seismometers in boreholes, operated by JMA (“Hi-Net”) US Earthscope Project • reference network (permanent) • transportable array (marching across the lower 48, 2-year deployments) (*coming soon to Quebec!* If they have any sense itʼll go to Alaska via BC...) • flexible arrays (instruments for local, temporary seismic arrays) Locating earthquakes using seismometer networks Recall: Seismic wave speed depends on: ! 1) incompressibility (K) resistance to volume change ! 2) rigidity (") resistance to distortion or bending (=0 for fluids) ! 3) density (#) mass per cubic meter P Waves S Waves 4 µ K + 3 µ Vp = Vs = ! ρ ρ ! Locating Earthquakes (1): s-p lag time How far was the earthquake from my seismograph? ts = D /vs. tp = D /vp. focus distance D seismometer Subtract P-wave travel time (“tp”) from S-wave travel time (“ts”) to get S-P lag time (“ts - tp”).