Beneath the Crosshairs

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Beneath the Crosshairs MQ-9 Crew Chief at Holloman Air Force Base, New Mexico, December 19, 2016 (U.S. Air Force/J.M. Eddins, Jr.) early a year before the attacks of September 11, 2001, the United Beneath the N States flew its first unarmed remotely piloted aircraft (RPA) sortie against Osama bin Laden and al Qaeda Crosshairs in Afghanistan.2 In November 2001, following the terrorist attacks, the United States launched its first armed Remotely Piloted Airstrikes RPA kinetic strike against an al Qaeda leader in Afghanistan.3 Since then, the as a Foreign Policy Tool United States has executed more than 6,000 RPA strikes against a myriad of By Roderic K. Butz declared terrorist organizations and threat groups across the globe.4 The tactical value of RPA and their crews has proven to be, as Richard Pildes The key principles of the laws of war are necessity, distinction, and stated, “the most discriminating use of force that has ever been developed.”5 proportionality in the use of force. Drone attacks and targeted killings serve these principles better than any use of force that can be imagined. 1 Lieutenant Colonel Roderic K. Butz, USAF, —RICHARD PILDES wrote this essay while a student at the Army War College. It tied for first place in the 2020 Secretary of Defense National Security Essay Competition. 36 JPME Today / Beneath the Crosshairs JFQ 100, 1st Quarter 2021 While the proven utility of armed offers a series of recommendations for assassination.”10 Additionally, this legality RPA represents a significant evolution in the effective use of RPA in ODTAAC is not differentiated by the specific source military capability and the character of environments as a facet of national of authority, be it Title 10 or Title 50 of war, perhaps more important, it also rep- strategy. U.S. Code, whereby an approved AUMF resents a revolution in U.S. foreign policy. covers both traditional military and intel- Successful RPA strikes have led some to Scope ligence activities against external actors.11 believe their use allows “Presidents to America’s rapid expansion in the use Finally, within the scope of IHL, punt on questions of war and peace,” of armed RPA following the attacks the authorized rules of engagement for relying on tactical military capability to of 9/11 created a broad array of new U.S. military RPA strikes are consistent supplant strategy.6 Because RPA strikes legal, ethical, and political issues that with the concept of jus in bello, with a offer the unique ability to directly affect remain widely unaddressed today. These mandate of proportionality, distinction, strategic objectives with a low risk to issues include but are not limited to the humanity, military necessity, protection forces and a small footprint, policymakers employment of armed RPA through the of nonbelligerents, and a minimization may be tempted to resort directly to the lens of U.S. legal code, international of suffering for the victims of armed use of force to resolve complex security humanitarian law (IHL), military rules conflict.12 Critics posit that RPA tech- challenges.7 But RPA strikes are a tool, of engagement, and the legal authoriza- nology makes attainment of military not a strategy in their own right. They are tion for use of military force (AUMF). distinction and proportionality “more a facet of a broad effort to attain political First, analysis and examination of U.S. ambiguous and their achievement more ends through the concerted use of all military RPA strikes in ODTAAC theaters problematic.”13 On the contrary, accord- available instruments of national power. are based on the assertion that the use ing to Pildes, because of the networked Without a clearly identified endstate of armed RPA by the United States is human interface, legal insight during and coordinated whole-of-government authorized through established mecha- targeting, technological advances, and strategy, RPA strikes alone actually in- nisms within the Department of Defense, command-level oversight, RPA opera- crease risk to national policy objectives, the Office of the Director of National tions “serve these principles [of IHL] destabilize fragile regions, and isolate key Intelligence, and the national security better than any use of force that can be partners. establishment. In today’s counterterror- imagined.”14 Finally, this analysis on the A comprehensive study of the effects ism (CT) campaigns, authorization is efficacy of RPA strikes in the ODTAAC of RPA strikes on foreign policy would established through various classified and environment is at the unclassified level require vast background knowledge, unclassified permissions including Public and proceeds with the assertion that they unbiased analysis, access to classified Law 107-40, which declares: are both legal and ethical when autho- data, and a complex contextualization of rized through traditional national security the character of belligerents, geopolitical That the President is authorized to use all processes of the U.S. Government and relationships, and U.S. policy goals. This necessary and appropriate force against executed in accordance with approved article represents a more limited analysis those nations, organizations, or persons rules of engagement. and instead focuses on five topics within he determines planned, authorized, com- the context of U.S. military RPA strikes mitted, or aided the terrorist attacks Policy Evolution outside declared theaters of active armed that occurred on September 11, 2001, or To better analyze the implications conflict (ODTAAC). First, it outlines harbored such organizations or persons, in for U.S. policy of using armed RPA key assumptions and facts related to the order to prevent any future acts of interna- as a military tool, it is necessary to legality, authorities, and classification tional terrorism against the United States understand how the rapid expansion of RPA operations. Second, it explores by such nations, organizations, or persons.8 of this capability following 9/11 drove the evolution of U.S. policy on the the evolution of policy through three use of RPA over the past two decades Second, from a legal perspective, this Presidential administrations. The first and three Presidential administrations. article assumes the targeting processes operational use of the RQ-1 Predator, Third, it lays out the unique attributes and strike approvals are consistent with the successor to the widely proliferated of RPA operations that facilitate their an AUMF and U.S. legal code and do MQ-1 and MQ-9 Reaper, occurred in use as a foreign policy tool in ODTAAC not constitute assassination or extrajudi- 1995 over Bosnia. Employed primar- environments. Fourth, it analyzes the cial executions.9 Because of the character ily for intelligence, surveillance, and attributes of RPA strikes that alone may of CT targets and the authorized use reconnaissance (ISR) through use of its detract from national security objectives of force, RPA strikes do not violate the full-motion video, the RQ-1, according and lead to instability, governmental il- Ronald Reagan administration Executive to Richard Whittle, “played a key role legitimacy, and increased strategic risk, Order (EO) 12333, which states “no in helping [the North Atlantic Treaty including ineffective targeting theory person employed by, or acting on behalf Organization] bring key factions . to and mischaracterization of the opera- of, the United States Government shall peace talks,” enhancing the quality and tional environment. Finally, the article engage in, or conspire to engage in, quantity of targetable intelligence.15 In JFQ 100, 1st Quarter 2021 Butz 37 Enlisted pilot student, left, and basic sensor operator course instructor at 558th Flying Training Squadron at Joint Base San Antonio, Texas, conduct training mission utilizing Predator/Reaper Integrated Mission Environment simulator, July 17, 2018 (U.S. Air Force/J.M. Eddins, Jr.) late 1999, based on the success of the Laden was tabled. The primary reasons Clarke spoke of occurred less than 1 week RQ-1 in Bosnia, and in response to the for this delay were based on budget dis- after the meeting. growing threat of al Qaeda following putes between the Central Intelligence With only a handful of unarmed terrorist attacks in Tanzania and Kenya, Agency (CIA) and the Air Force, a fear Predators over Afghanistan in September the United States began efforts to arm among analysts of escalation in the event 2001 under the authorities of Operation the Predator. One year later, the United of an MQ-1 shootdown, and existing Enduring Freedom, the United States States commenced limited employment technological limitations on the reliability was not postured to execute immediate of unarmed MQ-1 sorties for ISR mis- of the hellfire missile.17 In an impassioned kinetic strikes against bin Laden and sions over Afghanistan, resulting in an response, Richard Clarke, the National al Qaeda, requiring a mobilization of assessed sighting of Osama bin Laden Coordinator for Security, Infrastructure thousands of intelligence and military in September 2000.16 For the next year, Protection, and Counterterrorism, de- professionals. Within 1 week of 9/11, though the concept of RPA strikes was clared to the U.S. Principals Committee, concurrent with President George W. proved as feasible, policymakers, mili- “decisionmakers should imagine them- Bush’s AUMF (Public Law 107-40), tary leaders, and intelligence officials selves on a future day when [they have] the United States commenced its first grappled with the formulation of a com- not succeeded in stopping al [Qaeda] armed MQ-1 sortie over Afghanistan— prehensive, multiyear counterterrorism attacks and hundreds of Americans lay harkening the evolutionary era of armed campaign to address the al Qaeda threat. dead in several countries, including the RPA operations as both a military tool Even though RPA strike approv- [United States].”18 Unfortunately, while and a tool of American foreign policy. als were granted through the National there is no evidence that a decapita- Subsequently, because of the pre-9/11 Security Council and aligned with U.S.
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