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2002 Beyle.Pdf GOVERNORS Governors: Elections, Powers and Priorities By Thad Beyle This article traces the governorship in recent decades. It examines who the governors are, how they became governors and some of their recent political history. The author discusses the timing and costs of gubernatorial elections, as well as the powers these officials have and the priorities of our current governors. Finally, the arti- cle points out the need for continuing efforts to reorganize state executive branches across the country, especial- ly as states continue to maintain a myriad of other separately elected executive-branch officials. The governors continue to be in the forefront of the state at age 74. Clearly, he was also the oldest activity as we enter the 21st century. With the incumbent governor to be defeated for re-election in Republican governors across the states serving as his the state, if not in the country. major supporters and guides, Texas Gov. George W. As can be seen in Table A, in the 427 gubernatorial Bush sought and won the presidency in the 2000 elec- elections held between 1970 and 2001, incumbents tion. He became the fourth of the last five presidents were eligible to seek another term in 328 (77 percent) who had served as governor just prior to seeking and of the contests; 256 eligible incumbents sought re-elec- winning the presidency.1 When George H. W. Bush, a tion (78 percent) and 193 of them succeeded (75 per- nongovernor, won the presidential election in 1988, he cent). Those who were defeated for re-election were beat a governor, Michael Dukakis (D-Mass.), who more likely to lose in the general election than in their served from 1975-1979 and 1983-1991. Clearly, presi- own party primary by slightly more than a three-to-one dential politics in the last quarter century ratio (See Table A). following the Watergate scandal finds governors as Between 1970 and 1993, Democrats won 202 of the major actors. 326 races for governor (62 percent). Then between Additionally, the demands on the governors to pro- 1994 – when the Republicans won races up and down pose state budgets and then to keep them in balance the ballots across the states – and 1998, Republicans during the two separate recessions of the early 1990s won 55 of the 88 races (63 percent). In the three most and early 2000s has made that governor’s chair a “hot recent election years, 1999-2001, Democrats moved seat” in more ways than one.2 Currently, governors back into the lead by winning 12 of the 16 races (75 have moved from a half-decade of an economic boom, percent). Democratic candidates even won eight of the in which they could propose tax cuts and program 11 races in 2000, when Gov. Bush won the presidency increases, to a period in which there is more demand in a very close race. for program support and less income to use. Easy times Another factor in determining how many governors have switched to hard times.3 have served in the states is how many of the newly elected governors are truly new to the office, and how Gubernatorial Elections many are returning after complying with constitutional Only 13 governorships were contested and decided term limits or holding other positions. Looking at the by the elections of 2000 and 2001. In seven of these number of actual new governors taking office over a states, incumbents were eligible to seek re-election, decade, the average number of new governors in the and six of them did run for another term, all in 2000.4 states dropped from 2.3 new governors per state in the The five winning incumbents were Frank O’Bannon 1950s to 1.9 in the 1970s and 1.1 in the 1980s. In the (D-Indiana), Jeanne Shaheen (D-New Hampshire), 1990s, the rate began to move up a bit to 1.4 new gov- Mike Leavitt (R-Utah), Howard Dean (D-Vermont), ernors per state. and Gary Locke (D-Washington). Their average win- And now as we enter the first decade of the 21st ning margin was just less than 13 points, with margins century, we find that eight of the 12 states with elec- ranging from nearly 19 points for Locke to a tight 5- tions in 2000 and 2001 elected new governors (67 per- point win for Shaheen. cent), so these states are starting the new century out The one incumbent who lost in 2000 was Cecil with new leadership at the top. With 15 incumbent gov- Underwood (R-West Virginia), who was defeated by ernors term limited and three others retiring or seeking Congressman Bob Wise (D). In 1956, Underwood had a seat in the U.S. Senate, there will be at least 18 new the distinction of being the youngest person ever elect- governors elected in 2002. Thus, in the first three elec- ed governor of West Virginia at the age of 34, and in tion years at the beginning of this century, over half of 1996 he was the oldest person ever elected governor in the states will have elected new governors. We should The Council of State Governments 135 GOVERNORS Table A: Gubernatorial Elections: 1970 - 2001 Democratic Winner Eligible to run Actually ran Won Lost Number In general Year of races Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent In primary election 1970 35 22 63 29 83 24 83 16 64 8 36 1 (a) 7 (b) 1971 3 3 100 0 . 1972 18 11 61 15 83 11 73 7 64 4 36 2 (c) 2 (d) 1973 2 1 50 1 50 1 100 . 1 100 1 (e) . 1974 35 28 (f) 80 29 83 22 76 17 77 5 24 1 (g) 4 (h) 1975 3 3 100 2 66 2 100 2 100 . 1976 14 9 64 12 86 8 67 5 63 3 33 1 (i) 2 (j) 1977 2 1 50 1 50 1 100 1 100 . 1978 36 21 58 29 81 22 76 16 73 6 27 1 (k) 5 (l) 1979 3 2 67 0 0 . 1980 13 6 46 12 92 12 100 7 58 5 42 2 (m) 3 (n) 1981 2 1 50 0 0 . 1982 36 27 75 33 92 25 76 19 76 6 24 1 (o) 5 (p) 1983 3 3 100 0 0 . 1984 13 5 38 9 69 6 67 4 67 2 33 . 2 (q) 1985 2 1 50 1 50 1 100 1 100 . 1986 36 19 53 24 67 18 75 15 83 3 18 1 (r) 2 (s) 1987 3 3 100 2 67 1 50 0 0 1 100 1 (t) . 1988 12 5 42 9 75 9 100 8 89 1 11 . 1 (u) 1989 2 2 100 0 0 . 1990 36 19 (v) 53 33 92 23 70 17 74 6 26 . 6 (w) 1991 3 2 67 2 67 2 100 0 0 2 100 1 (x) 1 (y) 1992 12 8 67 9 75 4 44 4 100 0 0 . 1993 2 0 0 1 50 1 100 0 0 1 100 . 1 (z) 1994 36 11 (aa) 31 30 83 23 77 17 74 6 26 2 (bb) 4 (cc) 1995 3 1 33 2 67 1 50 1 100 0 0 . 1996 11 7 36 9 82 7 78 7 100 0 0 . 1997 2 0 0 1 50 1 100 1 100 0 0 . 1998 36 11 (dd) 31 27 75 25 93 23 92 2 8 . 2 (ee) 1999 3 2 67 2 67 2 100 2 100 0 0 . 2000 11 8 73 7 88 6 86 5 83 1 17 . 1 (ff) 2001 2 2 100 0 . Totals: Number 427.0 242.0 328.0 256.0 193.0 63.0 15.0 48.0 Percent 100.0 56.7 76.8 78.0 75.4 24.6 23.8 76.2 Source: Thad Beyle, using information from The Book of the States, 1994- (p) Frank D. White, R-Ark.; Charles Thone, R-Neb.; Robert F. List, R- 1995, selected issues of CQ Weekly Report,1970-date and Campaign Nev.; Hugh J. Gallen, D-N.H.; William P. Clements, R-Texas. Insider, 1999-2001. See http://www.unc.edu/~beyle. (q) Allen I. Olson, R-N.D.; John D. Spellman, R-Wash. Notes: (r) Bill Sheffield, D-Alaska (a) Albert Brewer, D-Alabama. (s) Mark White, D-Texas; Anthony S. Earl, D-Wis. (b) Keith Miller, R-Alaska; Winthrop Rockefeller, R-Ark.; Claude (t) Edwin Edwards, D-La. Kirk, R-Fla.; Don Samuelson, R-Idaho; Norbert Tieman, R-Neb.; Dewey (u) Arch A. Moore, R- W. Va. Bartlett, R-Okla.; Frank Rarrar, R-S.D. (v) Two Independent candidates won: Walter Hickel (Alaska) and (c) Walter Peterson, R-N.H.; Preston Smith, D-Texas. Lowell Weiker (Conn.). Both were former statewide Republican office (d) Russell Peterson, R-N.H.; Richard Ogilvie, R-Ill. holders. (e) William Cahill, R-N.J. (w) Bob Martinez, R-Fla.; Mike Hayden, R-Kan.; James Blanchard, D- (f) One independent candidate won: James Longley of Maine. Mich.; Rudy Perpich, DFL-Minn.; Kay Orr, R-Neb.; Edward DiPrete, R-R.I. (g) David Hall, D-Okla. (x) Buddy Roemer, R-La. (h) John Vanderhoof, R-Colo.; Francis Sargent, R-Mass.; Malcolm (y) Ray Mabus, D-Miss. Wilson, R-N.Y.; John Gilligan, D-Ohio. (z) James Florio, D-N.J. (i) Dan Walker, D-Ill. (aa) One Independent candidate won: Angus King of Maine.
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