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About Singapore How India is Perceived in South East Asia Hank Lim Introduction India is a latecomer in opening and liberalising its economy. Since independence in 1947, India has adopted an economic system which relies mainly on state planning and ownership along with free enterprise and market economy. Over-reliance on state control and management has led to an inefficient and slumbering Indian economy grounded by complex bureaucracy and political bickering among politicians and civil servants. India is the largest democracy in the world, but until lately it produced meagre economic growth. The end of the Cold War in 1990, the accelerating globalisation process has finally awakened India to realise its full potential. Unlike other big powers in Asia, India is relatively free of obstacles to soft power. It does not have to deal with historical legacies like Japan, ideological transitions like China or dissonance with Western European / American worldviews like Russia. India has garnered substantial political dividend as the world’s largest democracy and its growing economic status that is projected to emerge as a key economic driver (Bava). This soft power role is endorsed by the West with little objections. India, as the acknowledged leader of the South, is transcending that role to play a larger global role which is endorsed by both the US and the European Union (EU) in their respective Strategic Partnerships with India (Bava). In this manner, India would be useful as a counter-balancer for ASEAN against non-Western aligned big powers in the region like China, possibly the fastest-growing power in the region, second most powerful military in the region and with the greatest potential for power projections, the objectives of which are not clearly enunciated to ASEAN. Historically, India was a founder of neutralist institutions. India was active with its soft power approach and played a significant role in the decolonisation process and in other international institutions like the United Nations and in leading the Non-Aligned Movement (Bava). Such historical precedents serve ASEAN well as a partner since the organisation itself is a neutralist bloc made up of a variety of configurations of powers with varying extents of alliances and animosities with all big powers in the region. Different to its newfound global role emerging within the confines of Western democratic rubric and its neutralist intentions, India also emanates economic soft power. It presents an alternative model to Japan’s highly-disciplined and more structured government-led economic model or to China’s socialist-capitalist hybrid with economic development prioritized over political reforms. India as an economic model may have more relevance to countries within ASEAN since there are similar attributes of weaker central governments, laissez-faire attitudes to development and low starting base with opportunities for leapfrogging to lighter and more efficient software economies. India’s performance in the soft infrastructure with its exceptional growth in the IT sector has changed the perception of the Indian economy to a major extent, along with its good legal structure, corporate governance, banking system, financial sector, property rights security, its skilled manpower and young work force, has made it the new economic icon of emerging powers (Bava). India’s development model is managing to deliver long term economic payoffs at much lower levels of investment and, in an increasingly networked world, India is a brand leader enabling a technologically networked world (Bava). India’s economic soft power in Southeast Asia is long in history and extensive in engagement. India looks at Southeast Asia as a region with which it has had a long historical (back to the Hindu Majapahit empire) and trading link as a natural trading partner and India has the same strategic worldview of sea-lanes as bloodlines of trade, free of warfare, piracy and a strategic asset that should be safe and secure. This worldview also fits in with India’s strategic vision of the Indian Ocean where it defines its maritime security extending from the Gulf of Hormuz in West Asia to the Straits of Malacca in Southeast Asia – (reiterated also in the Ministry of Defence Annual Report) with this large maritime zone home to some of the busiest sea-lanes for oil and raw material, both of which are critical to India’s sustained economic growth and thus linked to its economic security (Bava). Furthermore, the Indian diaspora in Southeast Asia is economically strong and visible, buoyed by a growing politically assertive elite class with influence in the Western powers of US and Great Britain and interactions between the political / economic elite in the two leading industrial democracies. This, combined with economic diasporic power in Southeast Asia, provide India with tremendous valuable political and economic mileage to influence on the one hand global and on the other hand regional politics in areas like Southeast Asia. India’s diaspora acts as an economic bridge and outreach to Southeast Asia, which transmits and receives India’s soft power and indigenises it for Southeast Asian consumption. India’s opportunities for ASEAN An economically resurgent India provides opportunities for ASEAN. Though currently small in numerical volume, India-ASEAN trade has grown fast. Indian-ASEAN trade in 2003-04 was about USD 13.25 billion, over 5 times the 1993-94 trade figure of USD 2.5 billion (CII:1). Furthermore, both India and ASEAN as a whole have attained growth in exports, at rates higher than the global average in the last two decades (CII: 1). In terms of product category, India’s imports of electronic goods from ASEAN have turned out to be the most important, a good sign for ASEAN as it tries to climb the technological ladders to move away from more labour-intensive low-cost production (CII: 4). The small volume of trade between India and ASEAN is hardly an indicator of its economic importance to India (CII: 5). What is more compelling is the fact that despite the small volume of trade, the export basket has potential to move up the value chain and diversify to cater to the emerging and growing demand in ASEAN countries (CII: 5). At the same time, with increased liberalisation of the external sector, Indian companies are increasingly looking overseas for investments. An important aspect to note is that since the majority of FDI in India is directed towards the services sector, it is unlikely to be a direct competitor of ASEAN for FDI in labour-intensive manufacturing industries in the short-term (Razeen and Sen 2005: 7). Furthermore, with India being in a position to cooperate with ASEAN in diverse areas, from substantially lowering costs of essential drugs, including those for HIV- AIDS, to cooperation in food and energy security, the huge potential for expansion of ASEAN-India investments is evident (Razeen and Sen 2005: 7). These ideas were entrenched in the ASEAN-India 2020 Vision submitted at the ASEAN- India Summit in 2003. The Vision places heavy emphasis on human resource development and job creation to ensure employment for all through small and medium enterprises, commercial agriculture, agro-industries, IT and IT-enabled services, among other sectors (SIIA). Information technology has been highlighted by the Leaders of ASEAN as playing a key role in bridging the gap between the old and the new members – Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam (CLMV) – in the Initiative for ASEAN Integration (SIIA). IT and human resource development are India’s strengths and thereby open enormous opportunities for cooperation in enabling the CMLV countries to gain equitable, political and economic status in the comity of ASEAN countries (SIIA). A long-term strategic roadmap is proposed that will enable them to exploit the synergies and foster a community of nations firmly integrated through commercial, cultural, political and social spheres and to achieve their respective long-term developmental goals (SIIA). India and its relations with different ASEAN countries As a region, ASEAN signed a framework agreement with India in 2003 to establish a Free Trade Area by 2011, covering goods, services and investment (IBEF 2004a: 2). India, Thailand and Myanmar have inked a regional commerce agreement comprising of nations based around the Bay of Bengal (IBEF 2004a: 2). Specifically, Indian companies are investing in significant magnitudes in selected ASEAN countries – Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand. Since the majority of FDI in India is directed towards the services sector, it is not a direct competitor of ASEAN with respect to seeking FDI in labour-intensive manufacturing industries (Srivastava ad Rajan: 16). In this aspect, Malaysia and Singapore’s experience and competencies in infrastructural development complements India’s need for physical infrastructure (Srivastava and Rajan: 16). At the same time, India is in a position to cooperate with ASEAN in substantially lowering costs of essential drugs, including those for HIV- AIDS, as well as cooperating in food and energy security (Srivastava and Rajan: 16). India also exerts soft power on ASEAN’s economy. In a market dominated by Thai, Chinese and Japanese products, the made-in-India brand has already made an unusual foray: video discs of latest Indian films sell like hot cakes on the by-lanes of Yangon, and strains of popular film music from India as well as Indipop, which can be heard across Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore where a lot of this merchandise finds its way to these markets through informal routes (IBEF 2004b: 4). India has also outreached to the Indo-Chinese states. Physically, a 1400 km highway is being built to connect India and Southeast Asia (IBEF 2004a: 5). The 1400 km highway network, blueprinted by the three countries in 2002, will extend from Moreh on India’s north-eastern edge and pass through Myanmar before crossing over to Thailand (IBEF 2004b: 2).
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