Bank of England Annual Report and Accounts 1 March 2019-29

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Bank of England Annual Report and Accounts 1 March 2019-29 Annual Report The Bank of England’s mission OF ENGLAND BANK Annual Report is to promote the Good of the and Accounts People of the United Kingdom 1 March 2019–29 February 2020 by maintaining Monetary ANNUAL REPORT and Financial Stability | 1 March 2019–29 February 2020 2019–29 February 1 March Bank of England Threadneedle Street London EC2R 8AH www.bankofengland.co.uk ISSN 1467-016x Photography Front cover – © Matt Clayton page iv – © Bank of England Portraits Bank of England Print Park Communications Bank of England Annual Report and Accounts 1 March 2019 to 29 February 2020 Presented to Parliament by the Chief Secretary to the Treasury by Command of Her Majesty © Bank of England 2020 The contents of this Report encompass the requirements of Section 4 of the Bank of England Act 1998, and include: (1) a report by the Court of Directors (Court) on the matters which it reviews, monitors or otherwise considers in the performance of its oversight functions (S4(2)(a)); (2) a report by Court on the activities of the Financial Policy Committee of the Bank (S4(2)(aa)); (3) a copy of the statements for the year prepared under section 7(2) and 7(2A) and the report of the Bank’s auditors on them; (4) a statement of the rates at which non-executive directors of the Bank have been remunerated (S4(4)(a)); and (5) a statement of the Bank’s objectives and strategy for the next year, as determined by Court (S4(4)(b)). The Bank, in its capacity as the Prudential Regulation Authority, has published a separate report as required by paragraph 19 of Schedule 1ZB of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. The Bank has also published a separate report, as required by section 203B of the Banking Act 2009, paragraph 33 of Schedule 17A of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and Regulation 25 of the Central Counterparties (Amendment, etc, and Transitional Provision) (EU Exit) Regulations 2018, on its supervision of Financial Market Infrastructures. Contents Overview Financial statements Statement by the Chair of Court 1 Report of the Independent Auditor 86 Report by the Governor 3 Banking Department statement of income 90 Court and the Bank’s policy committees 5 Banking Department statement The Court of Directors 6 of comprehensive income 91 Policy committees 8 Banking Department statement Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) 8 of financial position 92 Financial Policy Committee (FPC) 9 Banking Department statement of changes in equity 93 Prudential Regulation Committee (PRC) 10 Banking Department statement Our organisation 12 of cash flows 94 Review of 2019/20 13 Notes to the Banking Department financial statements 95 Financial review 2019/20 35 Issue Department account 154 Risk management 43 Issue Department statement of balances 155 Our people 50 Notes to the Issue Department Inclusion and Sustainability 57 statements of account 156 Report of the Remuneration Committee 71 PRA income statement 159 PRA statement of balances 160 Report on Oversight Functions 78 Notes to the PRA statement of accounts 161 Report of the Audit and Risk Committee 82 Contacting the Bank of England 168 Statement of the responsibilities of the Court of Directors in relation to the financial statements 85 Bank of England Annual Report and Accounts 2019/20 iii ‘ Now know ye, that we being desirous to promote the publick Good and Benefit of our People…’ Charter of the Bank of England, 1694 iv Bank of England Annual Report and Accounts 2019/20 Overview Statement by the Chair of Court I write this foreword at an unprecedented time for the world, United Kingdom and the Bank itself. Covid-19 has disrupted our day-to-day lives and our economy. The Bank, however, continues to meet its mission to serve the people of the United Kingdom and support the economy through these challenging times. Bradley Fried Chair of Court It is meeting that mission from its staff’s homes None of this could have been achieved without a rather than from its London offices and other massive effort from our technology teams, who sites across the United Kingdom. I am very have enabled the Bank to continue working proud of what the Bank and its staff are remotely. I have seen how smooth that contributing to the UK both in their day jobs but transition has been for myself: our April Court also outside those roles in their local meeting was the first ever to be carried out over communities. conferencing facilities, and discussion was as robust and probing as when we meet in person. Those day jobs have gone well beyond business as usual. The Bank’s policy committees That Court meeting was the first attended by have launched a rapid, comprehensive and our new Governor Andrew Bailey. This crisis hit innovative response to the shock that has hit the as he took over from Mark Carney. We were economy and financial sector. That has been fortunate to have two exceptional Governors supported by a raft of analysis — with staff available in March to develop our initial seeking out new data sources and our Agents response to the crisis. around the country reaching out to their contacts so that the policy committees can I am grateful that Mark agreed to extend his monitor events in real time. Staff have term to enable a smooth handover. As I said in continued to develop and expand our policy last year’s Report, under Mark’s leadership, the tools, finding ways to support lending to small Bank has been modernised and the organisation and large businesses, while our markets teams has been successfully brought together to have ensured that those new tools are effective. exploit the synergies of having monetary policy, That has not been in isolation, and the Bank has macroeconomic policy and microprudential been working effectively with the UK authorities regulation together in one institution. This crisis and has been driving thinking across the global has again shown the benefits of that work. community. While I would have preferred to welcome Beyond the policy measures, staff around the Andrew to the Bank in less trying circumstances, Bank are continuing in their efforts to maintain his experience in managing crises, and his monetary and financial stability. It is important knowledge of the Bank and the financial system to ensure that money — both electronic and makes him ideally placed to help steer the physical — continues to flow through the economy through the challenging times ahead. system. It is also vital to ensure that our banks I look forward to working with Andrew, and and financial services firms are able to continue helping him deliver his vision for the Bank, to support households and businesses through including taking the best of our current ways these difficult times. of working into an organisation that focuses continually on making the most of its talented staff. Bank of England Annual Report and Accounts 2019/20 1 Overview Of course, this Report covers more than the past And as an institution the Bank has to meet its few months. And is it important not to forget own longer-term challenges. Court continues to what the Bank has achieved over the year as a focus on the diversity of the organisation. As in whole. We published a review on the Future of previous years progress continues, with a nearly Finance — and the Bank has committed to work even split of women and men at our Executive on five key areas including ways to boost access Director level. But there remains further to go, to finance for small businesses and supporting particularly with respect to BAME representation the transition to a carbon-neutral economy. We at senior levels. have also continued our work on the Future of Money, with a discussion paper in March 2020 The BAME Taskforce, led by Deputy Governor starting a dialogue on Central Bank Digital Sir Dave Ramsden, has made a real difference in Currency. supporting our BAME colleagues and raising awareness of the barriers they face. But we need Linking the technology that drives the future of to see that feed through into real changes in the finance to the cash in our pockets, we announced makeup of the Bank’s senior leadership team and this year that Alan Turing would appear on the Court will continue to monitor this closely. And new £50 polymer note and also launched our Court members continue to be closely engaged Turner £20 note. Those were supported by with ensuring the Bank delivers its project excellent public communications and outreach. portfolio, including the overhaul of the real-time And the Bank’s broader outreach continues to gross settlement system that ensures the expand, with over 300 schools getting visits from smooth functioning of electronic payments, and Bank speakers during the year and 17 citizens’ the major changes needed to support a more panels held across the country, where members streamlined and efficient delivery of the Bank’s of the public can share their views on the own central services. economic issues that are affecting them and their communities. Through all this, Court has provided support and challenge as the Bank navigates the The Bank also needs to maintain its focus on immediate, longer-term and organisational those issues that were already facing the UK and challenges. I would like to thank all my global economy. The Bank continues to work colleagues who have worked with me on hard to ensure that the financial system is Court over the past year, and in particular prepared for Brexit once the transition period welcome Ron Kalifa, Frances O’Grady and comes to an end in December this year.
Recommended publications
  • Trends in Stroke Mortality in Greater London and South East England
    Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 1997;51:121-126 121 Trends in stroke mortality in Greater London J Epidemiol Community Health: first published as 10.1136/jech.51.2.121 on 1 April 1997. Downloaded from and south east England-evidence for a cohort effect? Ravi Maheswaran, David P Strachan, Paul Elliott, Martin J Shipley Abstract to London to work in the domestic services Objective and setting - To examine time where they generally had a nutritious diet. A trends in stroke mortality in Greater Lon- study of proportional mortality from stroke don compared with the surrounding South suggested that persons born in London retained East Region of England. their lower risk of stroke when they moved Design - Age-cohort analysis based on elsewhere,3 but another study which used routine mortality data. standardised mortality ratios suggested the op- Subjects - Resident population aged 45 posite - people who moved to London acquired years or more. a lower risk of fatal stroke.4 Main outcome measure - Age specific While standardised mortality ratios for stroke stroke mortality rates, 1951-92. for all ages in Greater London are low, Health Main results - In 1951, stroke mortality of the Nation indicators for district health au- was lower in Greater London than the sur- thorities suggest that stroke mortality for rounding South East Region in all age Greater London relative to other areas may bands over 45. It has been declining in vary with age.5 both areas but the rate ofdecline has been The aim of this study was to examine time significantly slower in Greater London trends for stroke mortality in Greater London (p<0.0001).
    [Show full text]
  • Transport with So Many Ways to Get to and Around London, Doing Business Here Has Never Been Easier
    Transport With so many ways to get to and around London, doing business here has never been easier First Capital Connect runs up to four trains an hour to Blackfriars/London Bridge. Fares from £8.90 single; journey time 35 mins. firstcapitalconnect.co.uk To London by coach There is an hourly coach service to Victoria Coach Station run by National Express Airport. Fares from £7.30 single; journey time 1 hour 20 mins. nationalexpress.com London Heathrow Airport T: +44 (0)844 335 1801 baa.com To London by Tube The Piccadilly line connects all five terminals with central London. Fares from £4 single (from £2.20 with an Oyster card); journey time about an hour. tfl.gov.uk/tube To London by rail The Heathrow Express runs four non- Greater London & airport locations stop trains an hour to and from London Paddington station. Fares from £16.50 single; journey time 15-20 mins. Transport for London (TfL) Travelcards are not valid This section details the various types Getting here on this service. of transport available in London, providing heathrowexpress.com information on how to get to the city On arrival from the airports, and how to get around Heathrow Connect runs between once in town. There are also listings for London City Airport Heathrow and Paddington via five stations transport companies, whether travelling T: +44 (0)20 7646 0088 in west London. Fares from £7.40 single. by road, rail, river, or even by bike or on londoncityairport.com Trains run every 30 mins; journey time foot. See the Transport & Sightseeing around 25 mins.
    [Show full text]
  • South East Greater London Wales East of England West
    2021 REVALUATION: REGIONAL WINNERS & LOSERS Roll over the region titles below to find out These figures have been extracted from CoStar and are based on the anticipated changes in rateable values within each individual Administrative area across England and Wales. The extent of your change in rateable value will depend on the exact location of your property. Even if you are in an area where rateable values are predicted to fall, it is important to have your assessment verified, as there may still be opportunities to secure further reductions. For a detailed analysis of the likely impact of the 2021 revaluation and advice on what to do next, please contact a member of our Business Rates team. Email us at [email protected] or visit us at lsh.co.uk INDUSTRIAL REGION AVERAGE GROWTH MIN GROWTH MIN LOCATION MAX GROWTH MAX LOCATION WALES 27% 17% Blaenau Gwent 50% Neath Port Talbot GREATER LONDON 38% 34% Hackney 44% Harrow SOUTH EAST 27% 14% Dover 44% Milton Keynes EAST OF ENGLAND 31% 18% South Norfolk 44% Brentwood EAST MIDLANDS 27% 16% Derby 36% Hinckley NORTH WEST 25% 15% Barrow-In-Furness 35% Liverpool SOUTH WEST 19% 14% West Devon 27% Swindon WEST MIDLANDS 19% 14% Tamworth 26% Solihull NORTH EAST 18% 14% South Tyneside 26% Darlington YORKSHIRE 16% 11% Doncaster 21% Hull & THE HUMBER ALL UK AVG 25% OFFICE REGION AVERAGE GROWTH MIN GROWTH MIN LOCATION MAX GROWTH MAX LOCATION EAST OF ENGLAND 23% 9% Norwich 44% Watford SOUTH WEST 18% 7% Devon 41% Bristol Core GREATER LONDON 20% 5% Covent Garden 37% Sutton SOUTH EAST 25% 17% Reading Central 33%
    [Show full text]
  • Seigniorage Is Profit from Money Creation, a Way for Governments To
    Copyrighted Material seigniorage money system, seigniorage revenue is given by the product of the inflation rate and the inflation tax base. This inflation tax base reflects the purchasing power of the public’s money holdings and is the level of real money balances (nominal money holdings divided by the price level). Undertaking more rapid monetary expansion causes the inflation rate to rise, but the revenue effects are partially offset as indi- viduals attempt to quickly spend the extra money before it depreciates further. If people spend money faster thanitis beingprinted, therateof price increase comes to exceed the rate of money issuance. Hyperinflation Agovernmentthatisunableto fund its expenditures through conventional taxes or bond sales may become dependent on seigniorage revenues to maintain its existence. Attempts to raise seigniorage revenues are, however, not only infla- tionary but eventually self-defeating. Under cir- cumstances where the decline in real money balances seigniorage becomes proportionately larger than the rise in the Seigniorage is profit from money creation, a way for inflation rate, the inflationary policy actually back- governments to generate revenue without levying fires and lowers seigniorage revenue. The economist conventional taxes. In the days of commodity Phillip Cagan’s classic analysis of hyperinflations, money, seigniorage revenue was the difference be- with inflation rates exceeding 50 percent per month, tween the face value of the minted coins and the suggested instances where the process had, in fact, actual market value of the precious metal they con- been pushed beyond the revenue-maximizing point. tained. When this markup was insufficient for the It is possible that lags in the adjustment of inflation government’s revenue needs, the authorities might expectations may actually have allowed continued substitute less valuable base metal for some of the seigniorage gains, however, and subsequent analysis precious metal that was supposed to be in the coins.
    [Show full text]
  • Airport Surface Access Strategy 2012-2017
    Airport Surface Access Strategy 2012-2017 Contents 1 Introduction 4 APPENDIX A – LOCAL PUBLIC TRANSPORT SERVICES 36 2 Vision 6 APPENDIX B – TRAFFIC FLOWS 40 3 Policy Context 8 APPENDIX C – PASSENGER SURFACE ACCESS 41 3.2 National 8 C.1 Passenger Numbers 41 3.3 Local 8 C.2 Passenger Journeys by time of day 41 C.3 CAA Passenger Survey 43 4 London Luton Airport Today 10 C.4 Passenger Mode Shares 44 4.2 Bus and Coach 10 C.5 Passenger Mode Shares – by journey purpose and UK/non-UK origin 44 4.3 Rail 12 C.6 Passenger Catchment 46 4.4 On-site Bus Services 14 C.7 Passenger Mode Shares – by catchment 48 4.5 Road Access 14 C.8 Car and Taxi Use – by catchment 52 4.6 Car Parking 17 4.7 Taxis 18 APPENDIX D – STAFF SURFACE ACCESS 54 4.8 Walking and Cycling 18 D.1 Introduction 54 4.9 Accessibility 18 D.2 Staff Journeys – by time of day 54 4.10 Central Terminal Area 18 D.3 Staff Mode Shares 55 4.11 Onward Travel Centre 18 D.4 Staff Catchment 57 4.12 Staff Travelcard Scheme 19 D.5 Staff Mode Shares – by catchment 58 4.13 Employee Car Share Scheme 19 APPENDIX E – DfT ASAS GUIDANCE (1999) 59 5 Travel Patterns Today 20 5.1 Passenger Numbers 20 5.2 Passenger Mode Shares 20 5.3 Comparative Performance 22 5.4 Passenger Catchment 23 5.5 Achieving Mode Shift 24 5.6 Staff Travel 24 6 Objectives and Action Plans 26 6.2 Passengers 26 6.3 Staff 30 7 Stakeholder Engagement, Consultation and Monitoring 32 7.1 Stakeholder Engagement and Consultation 32 7.2 Airport Transport Forum 32 7.3 Monitoring 32 7.4 Reporting on Progress 34 2 Airport Surface Access Strategy 2012-2017 Contents 3 London Luton Airport is the fi fth busiest “passenger airport in the UK, with excellent transport links connecting it to London, the South East, the East of“ England Introduction and the South Midlands 11.1.1 London Luton Airport is the fi fth 1.1.3 This ASAS sets out challenging 1.1.5 The Strategy is divided into the busiest passenger airport in the new targets, with a view to building on following sections: UK, with excellent transport links this success.
    [Show full text]
  • Seigniorage Or Sovereignty? L
    Seigniorage or Sovereignty? L. Randall Wray, University of Missouri, Kansas City In this chapter, I will explore two competing approaches to analysis of national currency emission. I will call one the seigniorage view, to be contrasted with what I will call the sovereignty view. Before proceeding, let me say that I am not interested in presenting either a historical analysis, nor will I pursue the etymology of these terms. I will first briefly define the terms as I will be using them, and then will identify the views associated with each. I then argue that the view I identify with sovereignty is more useful for understanding operation of most modern national currencies. While much of the discussion will focus on domestic use of the currency, I will also explore issues surrounding an ” open economy„ and foreign currency reserves. Seigniorage Seigniorage is usually defined by reference to a supposed earlier stage in which full- bodied coins were minted by the State. Each coin would contain an amount of precious metal equal in value as a commodity to the coin—s exchange value as well as to the nominal value stamped on the coin. The State—s mint would accept gold for coining, assessing a fee, called a seigniorage charge. So long as that fee exceeded the mint—s costs, the State would receive net revenue from its minting operation… seigniorage revenue. If for example, a gold miner brought a pound of gold to the mint for coining, the State might charge a fee equivalent to one ounce of gold and provide fifteen one-ounce coins.
    [Show full text]
  • Money Demand ECON 40364: Monetary Theory & Policy
    Money Demand ECON 40364: Monetary Theory & Policy Eric Sims University of Notre Dame Fall 2018 1 / 37 Readings I Mishkin Ch. 19 2 / 37 Classical Monetary Theory I We have now defined what money is and how the supply of money is set I What determines the demand for money? I How do the demand and supply of money determine the price level, interest rates, and inflation? I We will focus on a framework in which money is neutral and the classical dichotomy holds: real variables (such as output and the real interest rate) are determined independently of nominal variables like money I We can think of such a world as characterizing the \medium" or \long" runs (periods of time measured in several years) I We will soon discuss the \short run" when money is not neutral 3 / 37 Velocity and the Equation of Exchange I Let Yt denote real output in period t, which we can take to be exogenous with respect to the money supply I Pt is the dollar price of output, so Pt Yt is the dollar value of output (i.e. nominal GDP) 1 I is the \price" of money measured in terms of goods Pt I Define velocity as as the average number of times per year that the typical unit of money, Mt , is spent on goods and serves. Denote by Vt I The \equation of exchange" or \quantity equation" is: Mt Vt = Pt Yt I This equation is an identity and defines velocity as the ratio of nominal GDP to the money supply 4 / 37 From Equation of Exchange to Quantity Theory I The quantity equation can be interpreted as a theory of money demand by making assumptions about velocity I Can write: 1 Mt = Pt Yt Vt I Monetarists: velocity is determined primarily by payments technology (e.g.
    [Show full text]
  • Unconventional Monetary Policies and Central Bank Profits: Seigniorage As Fiscal Revenue in the Aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis
    Working Paper No. 916 Unconventional Monetary Policies and Central Bank Profits: Seigniorage as Fiscal Revenue in the Aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis by Jörg Bibow* Levy Economics Institute of Bard College and Skidmore College October 2018 * The author gratefully acknowledges comments on an earlier draft from: Forrest Capie, Charles Goodhart, Perry Mehrling, Bernard Shull, Andrea Terzi, Walker Todd, and Andy Watt, as well as research assistance by Julia Budsey and Naira Abdula. The Levy Economics Institute Working Paper Collection presents research in progress by Levy Institute scholars and conference participants. The purpose of the series is to disseminate ideas to and elicit comments from academics and professionals. Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, founded in 1986, is a nonprofit, nonpartisan, independently funded research organization devoted to public service. Through scholarship and economic research it generates viable, effective public policy responses to important economic problems that profoundly affect the quality of life in the United States and abroad. Levy Economics Institute P.O. Box 5000 Annandale-on-Hudson, NY 12504-5000 http://www.levyinstitute.org Copyright © Levy Economics Institute 2018 All rights reserved ISSN 1547-366X ABSTRACT This study investigates the evolution of central bank profits as fiscal revenue (or: seigniorage) before and in the aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2008–9, focusing on a select group of central banks—namely the Bank of England, the United States Federal Reserve System, the Bank of Japan, the Swiss National Bank, the European Central Bank, and the Eurosystem (specifically Deutsche Bundesbank, Banca d’Italia, and Banco de España)—and the impact of experimental monetary policies on central bank profits, profit distributions, and financial buffers, and the outlook for these measures going forward as monetary policies are seeing their gradual “normalization.” Seigniorage exposes the connections between currency issuance and public finances, and between monetary and fiscal policies.
    [Show full text]
  • Land Use United Kingdom
    The Governance of Land Use United Kingdom The planning system Levels of government and their responsibilities The United Kingdom is a unitary state with three devolved governments in Northern Ireland, Wales and Scotland, respectively. At the local level, 389 local authorities with varying status and powers exist. Among them are 27 county councils, which exist in parts of England and are strictly speaking an intermediate level of government because they operate above other local authorities, except where they are unitary authorities. The UK government is responsible for allocating funds to local authorities and for preparing the National Planning Policy Framework in England. It can also facilitate important infrastructure projects through specific legislation or by placing them under direct ministerial control. The Welsh and Scottish governments have been granted far reaching powers regarding land-use policies. They enact national spatial planning frameworks that structure the planning system in their territories. The Scottish government also prepares a Scottish Land Use Strategy, the only such document in the United Kingdom. Furthermore, both governments decide about appeals against local planning decisions and have the power to fast track infrastructure project in their territories. Local authorities are responsible for local land-use planning and public housing. They also decide on planning applications. Some local authorities have contracted land-use planning out to the private sector. County councils as an intermediate level of government are – where they exist – responsible for strategic planning and for planning applications related to waste disposal sites, mineral extraction and county owned land. In London, the Greater London Authority has a distinct legal status as a metropolitan authority and is among other issues responsible for transport and for the preparation of the London Plan, a strategic plan that provides binding guidelines to local authorities in the greater London area.
    [Show full text]
  • Greater London Authority
    GREATER LONDON AUTHORITY NOTICE OF ELECTION ELECTION OF MAYOR OF LONDON AND LONDON-WIDE MEMBERS OF THE LONDON ASSEMBLY DATE OF THE POLL 1. In the event of a contest, the date of the poll will be Thursday, 6 May 2021. NOMINATION PAPERS 2. Nomination papers to stand in the elections for the Mayor of London and the 11 London-wide Members (party list and individual) of the London Assembly may be obtained from the office of the Greater London Returning Officer, City Hall, The Queen’s Walk, More London, London SE1 2AA on working days between 9am and 4.30pm. Nomination packs can be downloaded at: https://www.londonelects.org.uk/im-candidate/nominations DELIVERY OF NOMINATION PAPERS 3. Completed nomination papers must be delivered in person and hardcopy (not by email) to the Greater London Returning Officer, Committee Room 1, Lower Ground Floor, City Hall, The Queen’s Walk, More London, London SE1 2AA, on any weekday from the date of this notice between 9am and 4.30pm, but by no later than 4pm on Tuesday 30 March 2021. PAYMENT OF DEPOSITS 4. The deposit for each Mayoral candidate is £10,000. The deposit for each party list or individual candidate in the election of London-wide Members is £5,000. Payment should be made by electronic transfer into the GLA Income Account (Royal Bank of Scotland; sort code 16-00-38; account number 00780445). Payment can also be made by cash or bankers draft (banks operating in the UK only). Cleared funds must be received by 4pm on Tuesday 30 March 2021.
    [Show full text]
  • A Mayor and Assembly for London: 10 Years On
    2 July 2010 A Mayor and Assembly for London: 10 years on Tony Travers and Christine Whitehead A brief history… It is 10 years since the Greater London Authority was created as a metropolitan or regional tier of government for London. There have been five different arrangements of ‘upper tier’ government in the capital since the Metropolitan Board of Works (MBW) was created in 1855 to build infrastructure. The MBW was succeeded by the London County Council (LCC), a powerful authority for the inner part of the contemporary city. Within this area 28 metropolitan boroughs and the City of London delivered ‘local’ services. Two factors were particularly important in influencing the progress of London’s government. First, the physical expansion of the city created demands for provision across a wider area than the City of London’s original and long-evolved ‘square mile’. The Metropolitan Police Service was created by the government in 1829 to meet the law and order requirements of a fast-growing city. The squalor and chaos of the London of the 1850s prompted Parliament to legislate for London’s first-ever metropolitan government, an indirectly-elected entity. Further physical expansion between the end of the 19 th century and 1939 generated a debate about the need for a ‘Greater London’ government 1. The second important factor in determining the kinds of institutions that emerged was the local power and parochialism of both the City of London and the parish-based or ad hoc bodies that developed to deliver services in the absence of a city-wide government.
    [Show full text]
  • Dynamic Seigniorage Theory
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1, 1997, 588–614. Printed in the United States of America. DYNAMIC SEIGNIORAGE THEORY An Exploration MAURICE OBSTFELD University of California, Berkeley National Bureau of Economic Research and Centre for Economic Policy Research This paper develops a dynamic model of seigniorage in which economies’ equilibrium paths reflect the ongoing strategic interaction between an optimizing government and a rational public. The model extends existing positive models of monetary policy and inflation by explicitly incorporating the intertemporal linkages among budget deficits, debt, and inflation. A central finding is that the public’s rational responses to government policies may well create incentives for the government to reduce inflation and the public debt over time. A sufficiently myopic government may, however, provoke a rising equilibrium path of inflation and public debt. Keywords: Seigniorage, Dynamic Games, Time Consistency, Markov Perfect Equilibrium 1. INTRODUCTION This paper develops a dynamic model of seigniorage whose equilibrium paths are generated by the ongoing strategic interaction of an optimizing government with a rational public. The model extends existing positive models of inflation by explicitly incorporating the intertemporal linkages among budget deficits, debt, and inflation. A central finding is that the public’s rational responses to policies may lead the government to reduce inflation and the public debt over time, even in the absence of self-supporting reputational expectation mechanisms. Recent research aiming to explain observed inflation patterns has proceeded along two main lines. The first focuses on the temptation to effect resource transfers I am grateful for conversations with several individuals, particularly Guillermo Calvo, Torsten Persson, and Lars Svensson.
    [Show full text]