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Sabermetrics: the Past, the Present, and the Future
Sabermetrics: The Past, the Present, and the Future Jim Albert February 12, 2010 Abstract This article provides an overview of sabermetrics, the science of learn- ing about baseball through objective evidence. Statistics and baseball have always had a strong kinship, as many famous players are known by their famous statistical accomplishments such as Joe Dimaggio’s 56-game hitting streak and Ted Williams’ .406 batting average in the 1941 baseball season. We give an overview of how one measures performance in batting, pitching, and fielding. In baseball, the traditional measures are batting av- erage, slugging percentage, and on-base percentage, but modern measures such as OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging percentage) are better in predicting the number of runs a team will score in a game. Pitching is a harder aspect of performance to measure, since traditional measures such as winning percentage and earned run average are confounded by the abilities of the pitcher teammates. Modern measures of pitching such as DIPS (defense independent pitching statistics) are helpful in isolating the contributions of a pitcher that do not involve his teammates. It is also challenging to measure the quality of a player’s fielding ability, since the standard measure of fielding, the fielding percentage, is not helpful in understanding the range of a player in moving towards a batted ball. New measures of fielding have been developed that are useful in measuring a player’s fielding range. Major League Baseball is measuring the game in new ways, and sabermetrics is using this new data to find better mea- sures of player performance. -
Girls' Elite 2 0 2 0 - 2 1 S E a S O N by the Numbers
GIRLS' ELITE 2 0 2 0 - 2 1 S E A S O N BY THE NUMBERS COMPARING NORMAL SEASON TO 2020-21 NORMAL 2020-21 SEASON SEASON SEASON LENGTH SEASON LENGTH 6.5 Months; Dec - Jun 6.5 Months, Split Season The 2020-21 Season will be split into two segments running from mid-September through mid-February, taking a break for the IHSA season, and then returning May through mid- June. The season length is virtually the exact same amount of time as previous years. TRAINING PROGRAM TRAINING PROGRAM 25 Weeks; 157 Hours 25 Weeks; 156 Hours The training hours for the 2020-21 season are nearly exact to last season's plan. The training hours do not include 16 additional in-house scrimmage hours on the weekends Sep-Dec. Courtney DeBolt-Slinko returns as our Technical Director. 4 new courts this season. STRENGTH PROGRAM STRENGTH PROGRAM 3 Days/Week; 72 Hours 3 Days/Week; 76 Hours Similar to the Training Time, the 2020-21 schedule will actually allow for a 4 additional hours at Oak Strength in our Sparta Science Strength & Conditioning program. These hours are in addition to the volleyball-specific Training Time. Oak Strength is expanding by 8,800 sq. ft. RECRUITING SUPPORT RECRUITING SUPPORT Full Season Enhanced Full Season In response to the recruiting challenges created by the pandemic, we are ADDING livestreaming/recording of scrimmages and scheduled in-person visits from Lauren, Mikaela or Peter. This is in addition to our normal support services throughout the season. TOURNAMENT DATES TOURNAMENT DATES 24-28 Dates; 10-12 Events TBD Dates; TBD Events We are preparing for 15 Dates/6 Events Dec-Feb. -
Basic Combinatorics
Basic Combinatorics Carl G. Wagner Department of Mathematics The University of Tennessee Knoxville, TN 37996-1300 Contents List of Figures iv List of Tables v 1 The Fibonacci Numbers From a Combinatorial Perspective 1 1.1 A Simple Counting Problem . 1 1.2 A Closed Form Expression for f(n) . 2 1.3 The Method of Generating Functions . 3 1.4 Approximation of f(n) . 4 2 Functions, Sequences, Words, and Distributions 5 2.1 Multisets and sets . 5 2.2 Functions . 6 2.3 Sequences and words . 7 2.4 Distributions . 7 2.5 The cardinality of a set . 8 2.6 The addition and multiplication rules . 9 2.7 Useful counting strategies . 11 2.8 The pigeonhole principle . 13 2.9 Functions with empty domain and/or codomain . 14 3 Subsets with Prescribed Cardinality 17 3.1 The power set of a set . 17 3.2 Binomial coefficients . 17 4 Sequences of Two Sorts of Things with Prescribed Frequency 23 4.1 A special sequence counting problem . 23 4.2 The binomial theorem . 24 4.3 Counting lattice paths in the plane . 26 5 Sequences of Integers with Prescribed Sum 28 5.1 Urn problems with indistinguishable balls . 28 5.2 The family of all compositions of n . 30 5.3 Upper bounds on the terms of sequences with prescribed sum . 31 i CONTENTS 6 Sequences of k Sorts of Things with Prescribed Frequency 33 6.1 Trinomial Coefficients . 33 6.2 The trinomial theorem . 35 6.3 Multinomial coefficients and the multinomial theorem . 37 7 Combinatorics and Probability 39 7.1 The Multinomial Distribution . -
Fracking by the Numbers
Fracking by the Numbers The Damage to Our Water, Land and Climate from a Decade of Dirty Drilling Fracking by the Numbers The Damage to Our Water, Land and Climate from a Decade of Dirty Drilling Written by: Elizabeth Ridlington and Kim Norman Frontier Group Rachel Richardson Environment America Research & Policy Center April 2016 Acknowledgments Environment America Research & Policy Center sincerely thanks Amy Mall, Senior Policy Analyst, Land & Wildlife Program, Natural Resources Defense Council; Courtney Bernhardt, Senior Research Analyst, Environmental Integrity Project; and Professor Anthony Ingraffea of Cornell University for their review of drafts of this document, as well as their insights and suggestions. Frontier Group interns Dana Bradley and Danielle Elefritz provided valuable research assistance. Our appreciation goes to Jeff Inglis for data assistance. Thanks also to Tony Dutzik and Gideon Weissman of Frontier Group for editorial help. We also are grateful to the many state agency staff who answered our numerous questions and requests for data. Many of them are listed by name in the methodology. The authors bear responsibility for any factual errors. The recommendations are those of Environment America Research & Policy Center. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of our funders or those who provided review. 2016 Environment America Research & Policy Center. Some Rights Reserved. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives 3.0 Unported License. To view the terms of this license, visit creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0. Environment America Research & Policy Center is a 501(c)(3) organization. -
Trustworthy Whole-System Provenance for the Linux Kernel
Trustworthy Whole-System Provenance for the Linux Kernel Adam Bates, Dave (Jing) Tian, Thomas Moyer Kevin R.B. Butler University of Florida MIT Lincoln Laboratory {adammbates,daveti,butler}@ufl.edu [email protected] Abstract is presently of enormous interest in a variety of dis- In a provenance-aware system, mechanisms gather parate communities including scientific data processing, and report metadata that describes the history of each ob- databases, software development, and storage [43, 53]. ject being processed on the system, allowing users to un- Provenance has also been demonstrated to be of great derstand how data objects came to exist in their present value to security by identifying malicious activity in data state. However, while past work has demonstrated the centers [5, 27, 56, 65, 66], improving Mandatory Access usefulness of provenance, less attention has been given Control (MAC) labels [45, 46, 47], and assuring regula- to securing provenance-aware systems. Provenance it- tory compliance [3]. self is a ripe attack vector, and its authenticity and in- Unfortunately, most provenance collection mecha- tegrity must be guaranteed before it can be put to use. nisms in the literature exist as fully-trusted user space We present Linux Provenance Modules (LPM), applications [28, 27, 41, 56]. Even kernel-based prove- the first general framework for the development of nance mechanisms [43, 48] and sketches for trusted provenance-aware systems. We demonstrate that LPM provenance architectures [40, 42] fall short of providing creates a trusted provenance-aware execution environ- a provenance-aware system for malicious environments. ment, collecting complete whole-system provenance The problem of whether or not to trust provenance is fur- while imposing as little as 2.7% performance overhead ther exacerbated in distributed environments, or in lay- on normal system operation. -
The Wavelet Tutorial Second Edition Part I by Robi Polikar
THE WAVELET TUTORIAL SECOND EDITION PART I BY ROBI POLIKAR FUNDAMENTAL CONCEPTS & AN OVERVIEW OF THE WAVELET THEORY Welcome to this introductory tutorial on wavelet transforms. The wavelet transform is a relatively new concept (about 10 years old), but yet there are quite a few articles and books written on them. However, most of these books and articles are written by math people, for the other math people; still most of the math people don't know what the other math people are 1 talking about (a math professor of mine made this confession). In other words, majority of the literature available on wavelet transforms are of little help, if any, to those who are new to this subject (this is my personal opinion). When I first started working on wavelet transforms I have struggled for many hours and days to figure out what was going on in this mysterious world of wavelet transforms, due to the lack of introductory level text(s) in this subject. Therefore, I have decided to write this tutorial for the ones who are new to the topic. I consider myself quite new to the subject too, and I have to confess that I have not figured out all the theoretical details yet. However, as far as the engineering applications are concerned, I think all the theoretical details are not necessarily necessary (!). In this tutorial I will try to give basic principles underlying the wavelet theory. The proofs of the theorems and related equations will not be given in this tutorial due to the simple assumption that the intended readers of this tutorial do not need them at this time. -
INVESTIGATING PENDULUMS University of California, Berkeley Adapted from FOSS “Swingers” Activity
ESCAPE: Exploring Science Collaboration at Pinole-family Elementaries 2/2/201 INVESTIGATING PENDULUMS University of California, Berkeley Adapted from FOSS “Swingers” activity OVERVIEW: This lesson introduces students to variables and controlled experimentation as they study how different features of a pendulum affect how it swings. Students will build and observe a simple pendulum, identify variables that might affect how fast it moves, and conduct controlled experiments to study the effect of specific variables (bob mass, release position and string length) on the number of swings the pendulum makes in 15 seconds. By manipulating one variable and keeping others constant they gain experience with the concept of a variable and in using experiments to understand the relationships between variables. The pendulum is a simple system and is good for introducing experiments as there are several easily manipulated variables and consistent outcomes. The pendulum also introduces the physical principles of gravity and inertia. PURPOSE: In this lesson students will: Use systematic thinking and reasoning to discover how pendulums work. Identify variables. Conduct an experiment Make graphs Use graphs to explore the relationships between two variables and interpret results. Introduce the physical principals of gravity, inertia, energy. BACKGROUND: About Pendulums A pendulum is any object that hangs from a fixed point (also called a pivot) on a string and, when pushed from its resting position, swings freely back and forth. The downward swing of the object is caused by the pull of gravity. The upward swing of the object is due to inertia (the tendency of an object, once in motion, to stay in motion, Newton’s First Law). -
Numbers and Tempo: 1630-1800 Beverly Jerold
Performance Practice Review Volume 17 | Number 1 Article 4 Numbers and Tempo: 1630-1800 Beverly Jerold Follow this and additional works at: http://scholarship.claremont.edu/ppr Part of the Music Practice Commons Jerold, Beverly (2012) "Numbers and Tempo: 1630-1800," Performance Practice Review: Vol. 17: No. 1, Article 4. DOI: 10.5642/ perfpr.201217.01.04 Available at: http://scholarship.claremont.edu/ppr/vol17/iss1/4 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Journals at Claremont at Scholarship @ Claremont. It has been accepted for inclusion in Performance Practice Review by an authorized administrator of Scholarship @ Claremont. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Numbers and Tempo: 1630-1800 Beverly Jerold Copyright © 2012 Claremont Graduate University Ever since antiquity, the human species has been drawn to numbers. In music, for example, numbers seem to be tangible when compared to the language in early musical texts, which may have a different meaning for us than it did for them. But numbers, too, may be misleading. For measuring time, we have electronic metronomes and scientific instruments of great precision, but in the time frame 1630-1800 a few scientists had pendulums, while the wealthy owned watches and clocks of varying accuracy. Their standards were not our standards, for they lacked the advantages of our technology. How could they have achieved the extremely rapid tempos that many today have attributed to them? Before discussing the numbers in sources thought to support these tempos, let us consider three factors related to technology: 1) The incalculable value of the unconscious training in every aspect of music that we gain from recordings. -
FAA Aviation News for an Article on Developing Your Indi- Vidual Personal Minimums.)
More than Math Understanding Performance Limits DAVE SwaRTZ hate it when you complete the takeoff run hang- ing upside down from the seat belts. A few years ago, that happened to me, and I really should Ihave known better. You see, I’m an aeronautical engi- neer and I occasionally do performance calculations for a living, so I have no excuse. That fateful day the conditions looked marginal, so I looked at “the book.” It said I could make it. One of my mistakes was taking the book numbers too seriously. They didn’t take into account the tailwind I didn’t know I had. Since that day, I have been thinking and learn- ing a lot about what went wrong. I hope you find my mistakes useful in avoiding some of your own. According to the 2006 Nall Report, published by the Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association’s Air Safety Foundation (AOPA/ASF), about one out of six takeoff accidents is fatal. It’s sobering to realize that you have the same odds in Russian roulette. I am one of the lucky ones. Where Do Performance Numbers Come From? Honestly, it’s really a mixed bag. In the case of many older airplanes, the Pilot’s Operating Handbook (POH) contains limited information at best. Yet, you can still be confident that most airplanes have been tested by steely-eyed test pilots to determine what the airplane can, and will, do under specific conditions. Then, engineers try to replicate what they think an average pilot will do. Engineers start with the takeoff distances that the test pilots achieve and correct them for things like density altitude and runway conditions. -
Analysis of the Airline Pilot Shortage
Scientia et Humanitas: A Journal of Student Research Analysis of the Airline Pilot Shortage Victoria Crouch Abstract The pilot shortage in the United States currently affects airlines and pilots drastically. The airlines have been forced to implement new solutions to recruit and retain pilots. These solutions include dramatic pay raises and cadet programs. One of the most significant causes of the pilot shortage is the aviation industry’s rapid growth. Other factors include the aging pilot popula- tion and high flight training costs. In addition, regional airlines, a major source of pilots for major airlines, have a historically low pay rate, which deters pilots from wanting to work for them. This situation is compounded by a lack of hiring in the 2000s for various reasons. The effects of the pilot shortage include decreased flights, loss of revenue, and closing of some re- gional airlines. Airlines have implemented various solutions aimed at increasing the number of pilots. These include an increased pay rate, job pathway programs through universities, and guaranteed interviews or jobs. The solutions proposed will likely prove their effectiveness in minimizing the pilot shortage over the next decade. Note: This research was correct prior to the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, which has affected the airline industry. 92 Spring 2020 Scientia et Humanitas: A Journal of Student Research A global pilot shortage currently affects not only pilots but also their employ- ers. As a result, commercial airlines are forced to ground aircrafts because there are not enough pilots to fly them. Analysts project that the airlines will be short 8,000 pilots by 2023 and 14,139 pilots by 2026 (Klapper and Ruff-Stahl, 2019). -
Sabermetrics Over Time: Persuasion and Symbolic Convergence Across a Diffusion of Innovations
SABERMETRICS OVER TIME: PERSUASION AND SYMBOLIC CONVERGENCE ACROSS A DIFFUSION OF INNOVATIONS BY NATHANIEL H. STOLTZ A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY GRADUATE SCHOOL OF ARTS AND SCIENCES in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of MASTER OF ARTS Communication May 2014 Winston-Salem, North Carolina Approved By: Michael D. Hazen, Ph. D., Advisor John T. Llewellyn, Ph. D., Chair Todd A. McFall, Ph. D. ii Acknowledgments First and foremost, I would like to thank everyone who has assisted me along the way in what has not always been the smoothest of academic journeys. It begins with the wonderful group of faculty I encountered as an undergraduate in the James Madison Writing, Rhetoric, and Technical Communication department, especially my advisor, Cindy Allen. Without them, I would never have been prepared to complete my undergraduate studies, let alone take on the challenges of graduate work. I also want to thank the admissions committee at Wake Forest for giving me the opportunity to have a graduate school experience at a leading program. Further, I have unending gratitude for the guidance and patience of my thesis committee: Dr. Michael Hazen, who guided me from sitting in his office with no ideas all the way up to achieving a completed thesis, Dr. John Llewellyn, whose attention to detail helped me push myself and my writing to greater heights, and Dr. Todd McFall, who agreed to assist the project on short notice and contributed a number of interesting ideas. Finally, I have many to thank on a personal level. -
Numb3rs Episode Guide Episodes 001–118
Numb3rs Episode Guide Episodes 001–118 Last episode aired Friday March 12, 2010 www.cbs.com c c 2010 www.tv.com c 2010 www.cbs.com c 2010 www.redhawke.org c 2010 vitemo.com The summaries and recaps of all the Numb3rs episodes were downloaded from http://www.tv.com and http://www. cbs.com and http://www.redhawke.org and http://vitemo.com and processed through a perl program to transform them in a LATEX file, for pretty printing. So, do not blame me for errors in the text ^¨ This booklet was LATEXed on June 28, 2017 by footstep11 with create_eps_guide v0.59 Contents Season 1 1 1 Pilot ...............................................3 2 Uncertainty Principle . .5 3 Vector ..............................................7 4 Structural Corruption . .9 5 Prime Suspect . 11 6 Sabotage . 13 7 Counterfeit Reality . 15 8 Identity Crisis . 17 9 Sniper Zero . 19 10 Dirty Bomb . 21 11 Sacrifice . 23 12 Noisy Edge . 25 13 Man Hunt . 27 Season 2 29 1 Judgment Call . 31 2 Bettor or Worse . 33 3 Obsession . 37 4 Calculated Risk . 39 5 Assassin . 41 6 Soft Target . 43 7 Convergence . 45 8 In Plain Sight . 47 9 Toxin............................................... 49 10 Bones of Contention . 51 11 Scorched . 53 12 TheOG ............................................. 55 13 Double Down . 57 14 Harvest . 59 15 The Running Man . 61 16 Protest . 63 17 Mind Games . 65 18 All’s Fair . 67 19 Dark Matter . 69 20 Guns and Roses . 71 21 Rampage . 73 22 Backscatter . 75 23 Undercurrents . 77 24 Hot Shot . 81 Numb3rs Episode Guide Season 3 83 1 Spree .............................................