ISSN: 2560-1601 Vol. 18, No. 4 (EE) May 2019 Estonia external relations briefing: A year of elections in Estonia: a political perpetuum mobile E-MAP Foundation MTÜ 1052 Budapest Petőfi Sándor utca 11. +36 1 5858 690 Kiadó: Kína-KKE Intézet Nonprofit Kft.
[email protected] Szerkesztésért felelős személy: Chen Xin Kiadásért felelős személy: Huang Ping china-cee.eu 2017/01 A year of elections in Estonia: a political perpetuum mobile From about September-October 2018 until the end of May 2019, the Republic of Estonia had to go through a long as well as tempestuous political process of electing the newest Riigikogu (for the country) and a group of Estonia-bound members of the European Parliament (for the EU). Predictably, the latter segment of the grand-process became a logical continuation of the former one. What the electorate liked or, especially, did not like in the context of the outcome of the Riigikogu elections was ‘destined’ to be addressed during the European Parliament-focused campaign, which simply ended up to be a follow-up of the most recent political ‘battle’ on the formation of the country’s Government. Having been extensively discussed in the previous briefings, the March 2019 Riigikogu elections (particularly, its incredible finale) made it practically impossible for the Prime Minister’s party (the Estonian Centre Party or ‘centrists’) to count on its pre-March level of popularity. Scoring 23.1% then, the ‘centrists’ were supported only by 17% of the prospective Estonian voters (aggregation trend line Kalman Smooth)1 on 16 May when the electronic voting in the country had begun2.