Shuttle Diplomacy” in the Arab-Israeli Conflict: Retrospect and Realities
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Issue 2 (20), 2020 MFA VIRTUAL PROMOTE REPRESENT INSTRUMENTS BUSINESS CYBER DIGITAL COMMERCIAL PUBLIC COMMUNICATIONS REALPOLITIK TWIPLOMACY DIPLOMACYCHALLENGES PRESENCE TRADE CONVENTIONALEFFECTIVENESS TECHNOLOGIES ANNIVERSARY • CONVENTIONAL DIPLOMACY • DIGITAL DIPLOMACY • QUARANTINE DIPLOMACY 5YEARS UA: Ukraine Analytica · 2 (20), 2020 1 BOARD OF ADVISERS Dr. Dimitar Bechev (Bulgaria, Director of the European Policy Institute) Issue 2 (20), 2020 Dr. Iulian Chifu Analysis and Early Warning Center) (Romania, Director of the Conflict Diplomacy Amb., Dr. Sergiy Korsunsky (Ukraine, Director of the Diplomatic Academy under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine) Editors Dr. Igor Koval (Ukraine, Rector of Odessa National Dr. Hanna Shelest University by I.I. Mechnikov) Dr. Mykola Kapitonenko Marcel Röthig (Germany, Director of the Representation of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation in Ukraine) Publisher: Published by NGO “Promotion of Intercultural (United Kingdom, Head of the Russia Cooperation” (Ukraine), Centre of International James Nixey and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House, the Royal Institute of International Affairs) of the Representation of the Friedrich Ebert Studies (Ukraine), with the financial support Foundation in Ukraine, the Black Sea Trust. Dr. Róbert Ondrejcsák (Slovakia, former State Secretary, Ministry of Defence) UA: Ukraine Analytica analytical journal in English on International is the first Ukrainian Amb., Dr. Oleg Shamshur (Ukraine, former Relations, Politics and Economics. The journal Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of is aimed for experts, diplomats, academics, Ukraine to France) students interested in the international relations and Ukraine in particular. Dr. Stephan De Spiegeleire (The Netherlands, Director Defence Transformation at The Hague Contacts: Center for Strategic Studies) website: http://ukraine-analytica.org/ e-mail: [email protected] Ivanna Klympush-Tsintsadze (Ukraine, Head Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ of the Parliamentary Committee on European ukraineanalytica Integration) Twitter: https://twitter.com/UA_Analytica Dr. Dimitris Triantaphyllou (Greece, Director of The views and opinions expressed in the Center for International and European Studies, articles are those of the authors and do not Kadir Has University (Turkey)) Analytica, its editors, Board of Advisors or Dr. Asle Toje (Norway, Research Director at the necessarily reflect the position of UA: Ukraine donors. Norwegian Nobel Institute) ISSN 2518-7481 500 copies UA: Ukraine Analytica · 2 (20), 2020 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS THE LIMITS OF DIPLOMACY’S EFFECTIVENESS ARE WHERE WE ARE ABLE TO EXPAND THEM 3 Interview with H.E. Amb. Dmytro Kuleba, Minister for Foreign Affairs of Ukraine DIPLOMACY IN A WORLD TO COME 6 Sergiy Korsunsky CONVENTIONAL DIPLOMACY VS DIGITAL REALITY 11 Viktoriia Gulenko DIGITAL DIPLOMACY: HOW INTERNATIONAL ACTORS TRANSFORM THEIR FOREIGN POLICY ACTIVITY 19 Nataliya Pipchenko CYBER DIPLOMACY: AN INTANGIBLE REALITY OR A FAIT ACCOMPLI? 26 Olga Rusova TIME FOR A NEW DIPLOMACY? 34 Andriy Voynarovsky PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT IN COMMERCIAL DIPLOMACY 41 Piotr Hajdecki “SHUTTLE DIPLOMACY” IN THE ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICT: RETROSPECT AND REALITIES 50 Iryna Zubarenko 2 UA: Ukraine Analytica · 2 (20), 2020 “SHUTTLE DIPLOMACY” IN THE ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICT: RETROSPECT AND REALITIES Dr. Iryna Zubarenko Odessa I. I. Mechnikov National University The primary purpose of the article is to demonstrate in retrospect the practical implementation of “shuttle diplomacy” in resolving the Arab-Israeli conflict. Taking into consideration the fact that “shuttle diplomacy”, whose success falls to the first half of the 1970s, exerted the biggest influence on Egypt among all the conflicting parties, the article presents historical facts that can serve to study this phenomenon. The analysis of the US-Egyptian relations in the context of “shuttle diplomacy” is based on striving to crystallise both positive and negative experiences and shows why this model of interaction is limited. Setting the Scene diplomacy” by focusing on his personal The issue of resolving the Arab-Israeli Some officials blame Kissinger for “shuttle towards Israel.1 Nevertheless, a number territorial problems that were exacerbated sympathiesof factors that and are Washington’s presented officialin the articlepolicy byconflict the Six-Dayremains War relevant in 1967 to gavethis day.rise toThe a indicate his ability to keep balance skilfully series of misunderstandings and, in some in the triangle of ties among the United cases, a hostile relationship between the States, Israel, and Egypt. In this sense, the experience of Kissinger’s “shuttle diplomacy” 1970s, it had become clear that a peaceful may be useful for today’s cases due to the settlementconflicting parties.between By Israel the beginning and the ofArabs the current geopolitical situation in which the would imply a search for new ways of bipolarity of the international relations interaction. The desire of Arab leaders to system has lost its former importance. take revenge through the ensuing war had turned into a failure. It was that moment when the famous “shuttle diplomacy” of Dictionary as “discussions between two or Henry Kissinger, the US national security more“Shuttle countries, diplomacy” in iswhich defined someone by Cambridge travels adviser, was used to mitigate the long- between the different countries, talking to the governments involved, carrying standing conflict. 1 (M. Heikal, Autumn of Fury: The Story about the Beginning and the End of Sadat’s Epoch, Dar Ash-Sharaf: Cairo 1983, p. 122). 50 UA: Ukraine Analytica · 2 (20), 2020 messages, and suggesting ways of dealing As for practical implementation of “shuttle with problems”. 2 diplomacy” in the 1970s regarding the The very idea of “shuttle diplomacy” was to hold separate bilateral negotiations put forward in the late 1960s by W. Michael Arab-Israeli conflict, the key point was Reisman, a professor at Yale Law School, who tried in his work The Art of the Possible: agreeingbetween onUS theofficials most andeffective representatives course of Diplomatic Alternatives in the Middle East to action.of the conflictingThe idea partiesof “shuttle with diplomacy”a view to give it a certain historical and legal basis. By was presented to the Arabs almost as a describing the multidimensionality of this reorientation of the US Middle East policy. region with its various economic systems, ideologies, faiths, and religious trends, concern about it, having contributed in fact Reisman found it impossible to elaborate toOfficial the growingTel Aviv, intransigence for its part, didof thenot Israelicause a comprehensive approach to resolving position. It was not only a matter of ways how to implement “shuttle diplomacy”, but issues seemed to be reduced to the US- also of who carried it out. President Richard Sovietthe Arab-Israeli confrontation. conflict, “Relations in which betweenall acute Nixon entrusted maintaining contacts with Israel and Egypt, Israel and Syria, Israel and the Israeli government to National Security Jordan and Palestinian people”, Reisman Adviser Kissinger, who was also well known wrote, “are a series of problems and each as a skilful defender of the Rockefellers’ of them requires a special approach and a separate diplomatic strategy”.3 Under interests. the special approach, he meant not a and some other influential Jewish families’ radical solution for the Middle East peace It is worthwhile to mention that political settlement but partial, separate agreements leadership shift in Egypt in October 1970 on certain issues. Reisman proposed to became one of the most favourable factors begin with the establishment of a so-called for conducting “shuttle diplomacy”. The minimum order in the Middle East, the idea of a rapprochement with the United most important component of which, in his States based on their ability to maintain opinion, could be “a project for the Sinai contact with both parties of the Arab- Peninsula comprehensive development” under effective external control. He strongly on Tel Aviv pushed President Anwar Sadat recommended creating an international toIsraeli take conflict radical andsteps. to exertOn 17 some July influence1972, he corporation titled the Sinai Development announced the termination of the mission Trust whose fund would consist of the of 15,000 Soviet military advisers and USA, the Middle East counties, and other specialists in Egypt, who had been assisting interested parties’ contributions. Egypt, in in the reorganisation of the Egyptian accordance with that idea, had to transfer armed forces since 1968. The reaction of the Suez Canal to the trust as a concession American decision-makers to this event was for a period of 50 years while retaining rather ironic. One of the most outstanding sovereignty over its territory. Egyptian scholars, Mohamed Heikal, quoted 2 Shuttle Diplomacy, “Cambridge Dictionary”, Cambridge University Press 2019 [https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/shuttle diplomacy access: 16 July 2019]. 3 W.M. Reisman, The Art of the Possible: Diplomatic Alternatives in the Middle East, Princeton University Press: Princeton 1970, p. 20. UA: Ukraine Analytica · 2 (20), 2020 51 Kissinger: “If Sadat had informed us about At two secret meetings with Egyptian such his intention earlier, we would have National Security Adviser Hafez Izmail, given him something in return. However, in which took place in Paris (February and politics just like in any other business, no April 1973),