weekly football tip sheet

ISSUE 3 NFL WEEK 2 college football week 3 Football Weekly Football Weekly INDEX Rotation Schedule...... 2 NFL VI Picks...... 3 NFL Head-to-Head Series Breakdown...... 4 VegasInsider NFL Strength Ratings...... 6 NFL Top Weekly Trends...... 7 Transitioning from Week 1 to Week 2...... 8 NFL Matchups...... 10 Football Line Moves...... 16 College Football VI Picks...... 17 VegasInsider College Football Strength Ratings...... 18 College Football Head-to-Head Series Breakdown...... 20 Top 10 College Football Stability Mismatches...... 23 College Football Matchups...... 24 College Football Top Weekly Trends...... 35

Welcome to Week 3 of the Vegas Insider WELCOME TO THE Football Weekly. We hope you have enjoyed the first two “kickoff” issues of this year’s subscription. Now that the season’s VEGASINSIDER initial fanfare has concluded, rest assured that we will get down to work for the next FOOTBALL 20 weeks or so. Hopefully you were able to catch last week’s feature articles as the systems we WEEKLY have revealed for you won big in both college and prop football. Our “Stability” series top 10 games were 7-3 ATS in college, thus running the season record to 13-7 ATS. That is good for 65%. Don’t worry, we’ve included this week’s games once again for you, and as an added bonus, there are 11 games on this week’s list of Stability Mismatches. Look for those games and the updated chart in the college football section of this week’s pub.

The week 1 NFL Systems piece was a major hit, that is judging from the feedback of our readers, some of whom simply took System #1 and won all four games on Sunday with Denver, New Orleans, Detroit, San Francisco and stopped at that. For those of you that may have been hesitant about backing these angles, we are giving it another try this week with a NFL feature article highlighting Transitional Systems from Week 1 to Week 2. We have prepared 21 top angles for you to consider, simply taking the results of week 1 and how they have influenced the lines and totals for week 2.

As always, we cover EVERY FBS college and pro game this week in some capacity, detailing key matchup stats, trends, with written previews as well. These will be accompanied by detailed looks at the head-to-head histories between teams, plus strategic handicapping articles by some of the industry’s leading writers. Our group of handicappers is off to a slow start but they have promised a quick turnaround. (Or they will be fired and replaced. Haha!)

We thank you for reading the Vegas Insider Football Weekly and welcome you to become a regular subscriber by following any of the appropriately tagged ads on our web property, VegasInsider.com. While there, of course, take advantage of everything we have to offer, including daily free and premium picks, stats, editorial analysis, and more.

Good luck this weekend!

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Football Weekly Football Weekly ROTATION SCHEDULE NFL WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued NFL WEEK 2 cont'd THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 101 NY JETS 44.5 43.5 147 BOSTON COLLEGE 43 43 195 SAN DIEGO 51.5 53 P: 5:25PM C: 7:25PM E: 8:25PM NFL P: 12:00PM C: 2:00PM E: 3:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 102 NEW ENGLAND -10 -13 148 USC -18 -14 196 PHILADELPHIA -7 -7 149 IOWA -3 -2.5 197 CLEVELAND 42 43.5 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM FOX 1 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 150 IOWA ST 48.5 48 198 BALTIMORE -6 -6.5 103 TCU -6 -3 151 ALABAMA -7 -7.5 199 TENNESSEE 44 44 SCHEDULE ROTATION P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM ESPN P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBS P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 104 TEXAS TECH 62 62 152 TEXAS A&M 63 63 200 HOUSTON -8.5 -8.5 105 TULANE 59 58 153 N ILLINOIS -24 -28 201 MIAMI 43 42 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM FOX 1 P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 106 LOUISIANA TECH -7.5 -7.5 154 IDAHO 63 62 202 INDIANAPOLIS -1.5 -3 107 TROY 67 66.5 155 MISSISSIPPI ST 52.5 51 203 CAROLINA -2.5 -3 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM ESPNU P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN2 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 108 ARKANSAS ST -10 -10 156 AUBURN -7 -6.5 204 BUFFALO 44 44 157 WASHINGTON -7.5 -10 205 ST LOUIS 47 47 FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 13, 2013 P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM BIG10 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 109 AIR FORCE 59 57.5 158 ILLINOIS 64 63 206 ATLANTA -6 -6.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPN 159 UCF 48.5 50.5 207 WASHINGTON 48 48.5 110 BOISE ST -24 -23 P: 3:00PM C: 5:00PM E: 6:00PM BIG10 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 160 PENN ST -3 -5 208 GREEN BAY -6.5 -7.5 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 161 BALL ST -2.5 -3 209 DALLAS 46.5 46.5 111 E MICHIGAN 52 51 P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM FOX 1 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 162 NORTH TEXAS 60 61 210 KANSAS CITY -2.5 -3 112 RUTGERS -34 -28 163 MEMPHIS 53 52 211 MINNESOTA 40 41.5 113 STANFORD -30 -29 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM CBSC 164 MIDDLE TENN ST -3.5 -6.5 212 CHICAGO -5.5 -6 114 ARMY 52 52 165 SOUTHERN MISS 50.5 50 213 NEW ORLEANS -3 -3 115 GEORGIA ST 56 56.5 P: 9:20AM C: 11:20AM E: 12:20PM P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM 166 ARKANSAS -19 -22 214 TAMPA BAY 47 47 116 WEST VIRGINIA -38 -39 167 VANDERBILT 49.5 50.5 215 DETROIT 0 -2 117 LOUISVILLE -7.5 -13 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN2 P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN 168 SOUTH CAROLINA -11 -13 216 ARIZONA 46 47.5 118 KENTUCKY 56.5 59 169 TULSA 49 49 217 JACKSONVILLE 41 39.5 119 MARSHALL -6 -7.5 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN2 P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPNN 170 OKLAHOMA -28 -25 218 OAKLAND -3.5 -6 120 OHIO U 66 68.5 171 OHIO ST -19 -19 219 DENVER -6 -4.5 121 AKRON 56.5 57 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM FOX P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM BIG10 172 CALIFORNIA 62.5 62.5 220 NY GIANTS 52.5 55 122 MICHIGAN -36 -37 173 MASSACHUSETTS 54.5 54.5 221 SAN FRANCISCO 44.5 44.5 123 BOWLING GREEN 61 61.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NBC P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPNU 174 KANSAS ST -36 -39 222 SEATTLE -3 -3 124 INDIANA -4 -3 175 FLA ATLANTIC 44.5 43.5 125 VIRGINIA TECH -7 -7.5 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 16, 2013 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM FOX 1 176 SOUTH FLORIDA -11 -12 223 PITTSBURGH 40 40.5 126 EAST CAROLINA 50 51.5 177 KANSAS 57 58 P: 5:40PM C: 7:40PM E: 8:40PM ESPN 127 MARYLAND -7 -7 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM CBSC 224 CINCINNATI -6 -6.5 P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM 178 RICE -4 -6 128 CONNECTICUT 47 48 179 KENT ST 55.5 55.5 129 NEW MEXICO 52 52 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPNU P: 9:30AM C: 11:30AM E: 12:30PM 180 LSU -38 -37 130 PITTSBURGH -21 -21 181 NOTRE DAME -23 -21 131 LA MONROE 53.5 53.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ABC P: 9:30AM C: 11:30AM E: 12:30PM 182 PURDUE 50.5 50 132 WAKE FOREST -3.5 -3.5 183 UTEP -6 -6.5 133 W KENTUCKY -7.5 -11 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM 184 NEW MEXICO ST 54.5 55 134 S ALABAMA 53 53.5 185 W MICHIGAN 57 57.5 135 FRESNO ST -10 -9.5 P: 6:00PM C: 8:00PM E: 9:00PM BIG10 P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM 186 NORTHWESTERN -35 -32 136 COLORADO 65 67.5 187 TX-SAN ANTONIO 65 64.5 137 NEVADA 66 66 P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPN2 188 ARIZONA -25 -26 138 FLORIDA ST -35 -32 189 OREGON ST 57 57 139 UCLA 68 69.5 P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM FOX 1 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ABC 190 UTAH 3 -3 140 NEBRASKA -4 -4.5 191 C MICHIGAN 58 56 141 GEORGIA TECH -10 -8.5 P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ESPNU 192 UNLV -16 -7 142 DUKE 55.5 56 193 WISCONSIN 51 52.5 143 TENNESSEE 70 70 P: 7:30PM C: 9:30PM E: 10:30PM ESPN P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ABC 194 ARIZONA ST -4 -5.5 144 OREGON -20 -27 145 OLE MISS 73.5 73.5 P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM 146 TEXAS -4.5 -8

2 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL VI PICKS VI VI VI Power Effective Forecaster Bettors Consensus Jim Jason Paul Ratings Strength Ratings NFL VI PICKS 4-5 (44%) 1-8 (11%) 2-7 (22%) 4-5 (44%) 4-5 (44%) 4-5 (44%) 4-5 (44%) 3-6 (33%) 1-2* 1-1* 0-3* * – indicates Best Bet (BB) September 15, 2013 - (197) CLEVELAND at (198) BALTIMORE (-6.5) Cleveland Baltimore* Baltimore* Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore Cleveland Baltimore

September 15, 2013 - (197) CLEVELAND at (198) BALTIMORE - TOTAL (43.5) OVER OVER UNDER* OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER

September 15, 2013 - (205) ST LOUIS at (206) ATLANTA (-6.5) Atlanta* Atlanta Atlanta Atlanta Atlanta Atlanta Atlanta Atlanta

September 15, 2013 - (205) ST LOUIS at (206) ATLANTA - TOTAL (47) UNDER OVER* OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER

September 15, 2013 - (211) MINNESOTA at (212) CHICAGO (-6) Minnesota* Minnesota Chicago* Chicago Chicago Chicago Chicago Chicago

September 15, 2013 - (211) MINNESOTA at (212) CHICAGO - TOTAL (41) UNDER OVER OVER UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER

September 15, 2013 - (215) DETROIT at (216) ARIZONA (+1.5) Arizona* Arizona* Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona

September 15, 2013 - (215) DETROIT at (216) ARIZONA - TOTAL (47) OVER UNDER OVER UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER

September 15, 2013 - (221) SAN FRANCISCO at (222) SEATTLE (-3) San San Seattle Seattle Seattle Seattle San Seattle Francisco Francisco Francisco September 15, 2013 - (221) SAN FRANCISCO at (222) SEATTLE - TOTAL (44.5) OVER OVER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER OVER OVER

VI Jim says…I happen to have VI Jason says…I can’t help VI Paul says…The defending been given the NFL systems but be influenced by what Super Bowl champs were article in this week’s Vegas Insider has gone on lately between humbled in Denver and return Football Weekly before I had Detroit and Arizona. The home to the adoring fans to make my picks and I have Cardinals have has won four seeking to get back on track to say that this system caught straight games against the defensively. This should not be my eye: Teams that lost their Lions while going 3-1 ATS, all problem against Cleveland opening game on the road since 2005. Moreover, there who had all kinds of issues bounce back at a 19-10 SU & is a phenomenal series trend moving the ball with any 20-8-1 ATS (71.4%) rate when that finds HOME teams as consistency against Miami playing at home in week 2 over winners of 10 straight games in their loss. I fully expect the the L3 seasons. I consider that against the spread! These Browns to suffer the same angle even more potent when teams simply aren’t known fate against the Baltimore the team that lost on the road for being good road teams. defense. Though Cleveland is a Super Bowl contender and In this case, the Lions are has a good secondary, Joe only lost in heartbreaking fashion actually a road favorite! Is Flacco will still takes shots and to a team that was riding a big that a bit of an overreaction he has to know his tight ends wave of emotion. The Falcons to a week 1 win that was not Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson may have beaten the Saints on very decisive? I think so, and cannot play any worse. With any other week, but the return believe that Arizona looks Cleveland 2-10 ATS off an of Sean Payton was too much to like a much more dynamic upset loss by 10 points or overcome. In this week’s game, offense now with Carson more as a favorite, the Ravens look for Atlanta to take care Palmer. They look like a live are the play. of business, as they usually do under dog to me. against the Rams. Falcons win the Steven Jackson bowl handily. 3 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

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the first of that trend with Andrew Luck under center for the Colts. That game was a 23-20 NFL decision in Indy in November. Less than 11 months later, the Dolphins get the chance for payback in the same building. Indianapolis HEAD-TO-HEAD pulled the upset in that game as 2.5-point dogs, but prior to that, road teams had been SERIES on a 9-2 ATS run in head-to-head play. (203) CAROLINA at (204) BUFFALO Road teams are on a surge of 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS

BREAKDOWN BREAKDOWN in the head-to-head series between Carolina For every issue of the Vegas Insider Football and Buffalo. The Bills won the most recent NFL HEAD-TO-HEAD Weekly this season, we’ll take a look at each game in Carolina in ’09, 20-9, but a lot has upcoming NFL matchup from a head-to-head changed since then of course. The Panthers series standpoint, searching for edges on either were last in Orchard Park in ’05, winning 13-9 side or total wagering option. Here are this as 3.5-point road favorites. Buffalo was 1-3 SU & week’s breakdowns, in rotation number order. ATS versus NFC foes a year ago, with two of the losses coming by 33 & 42 points, easily its most SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 decisive defeats. (101) NY JETS at (102) NEW ENGLAND A few years ago the Jets had started to (205) ST LOUIS at (206) ATLANTA become a consistent threat to New England’s Atlanta is 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS in its L5 games reign atop the AFC East division, but as is overall versus St. Louis, but there are some the case in most situations, the strong have even more significant trends in other areas survived and the Patriots have once again regarding this NFC series. First off, favorites are regained dominance in head-to-head play. on a remarkable run of 11-3 ATS dating back HC Bill Belichick’s team has won four straight to ’98. However, the last dog to cover was over New York while going 3-1 ATS, scoring a the Rams (+14), a year ago in Atlanta, a 31-27 whopping 36.3 PPG. Games in this rivalry have Falcons’ win. Secondly, OVER the total has been high scoring of late, with seven straight converted in five straight h2h games, with the going OVER the total. winning team averaging 34.8 PPG.

SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 (207) WASHINGTON at (208) GREEN BAY (195) SAN DIEGO at (196) PHILADELPHIA As two of the longtime powers of the NFC, it’s San Diego is on a run of 3-1-1 ATS (3-2 SU) in its unusual that the Redskins and Packers have intra-conference series against Philadelphia met just five times over the L25 seasons. Green dating back to ’95. The Chargers haven’t been Bay holds the edge in those recent contests in Philly since ’05 however, and are looking for at 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS, but Packers’ QB Aaron their first outright win in the City of Brotherly Rodgers has only been in one of those, a 16-13 Love since ’95. They are also looking to reverse loss at Washington in 2010, and Redskins’ QB a trend of 0-4 SU & ATS versus the NFC last RG III is making his series debut. Washington is season. The Eagles were 1-3 ATS vs. the AFC in looking for its first win at Lambeau Field since 2012. ’98 (0-3 SU & 0-2-1 ATS).

(197) CLEVELAND at (198) BALTIMORE (209) DALLAS at (210) KANSAS CITY Since Cleveland’s last victory over Baltimore Dallas has won four of the L5 head-to-head back in November ’07, the Ravens have meetings with AFC foe Kansas City, but the absolutely dominated head-to-head play, Chiefs lead the ATS ledger, 2-1-2. In fact, the winning 10 straight games outright while going last time that the Cowboys beat the Vegas 7-3 ATS. That said, the Browns have been number in this series was way back in ’92. highly competitive in Baltimore, covering the Kansas City is 2-0 ATS at home vs. Dallas pointspread in three straight, losing by a TD or since then, including a 26-20 loss as 7.5-point less each time. Road teams are on a 7-game underdogs in the most recent meeting of ’09. ATS winning streak overall and the L5 games The Cowboys were 3-1 SU & ATS against AFC between these teams have gone UNDER the competition in 2012. total. (211) MINNESOTA at (212) CHICAGO (199) TENNESSEE at (200) HOUSTON Minnesota plays its second straight road Houston swept the season series against divisional game to open the 2013 season. Tennessee last season, running its ATS winning After taking on Detroit in week 1, the Vikings streak in head-to-head play to four straight. move on to Chicago to face the rival Bears. Dating back even further, the Texans are on a The Windy City has been anything but friendly 7-2 ATS run. Three of the L5 games in Houston confines for Minnesota, who is just 1-11 SU & were decided by 3 points or less and the hosts 2-10 ATS in its L12 visits. The overall trend in this are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in those. OVER the total is NFC North rivalry has favored home teams, 12-5 in the L17 matchups overall. 16-5 ATS in the L21.

(201) MIAMI at (202) INDIANAPOLIS (213) NEW ORLEANS at (214) TAMPA BAY Indianapolis has won four straight games New Orleans swept the season series with against Miami (3-1 ATS), including last season in Tampa Bay last year and has had little 4 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly

trouble putting points on the board versus the (221) SAN FRANCISCO at (222) SEATTLE Buccaneers in general, averaging 34.3 PPG A huge early season game in the NFC West is in the L3 meetings. Even still, this has been a showcased by NBC on Sunday night in week lower scoring series by oddsmakers’ standards, 2 as the Seahawks play host to the 49ers. San NFL HEAD-TO-HEAD with eight of the L9 games having gone UNDER Francisco reached the Super Bowl last year but BREAKDOWN the total. Dating back to ’92. The Saints own an suffered a resounding 42-13 defeat in Seattle impressive 9-3 ATS mark at Tampa. en route. The Seahawks have aspirations of making it to New York in February for the NFL (215) DETROIT at (216) ARIZONA title game, but need to be better than 3-3 SU & Arizona has won four straight games against ATS versus divisional foes, as they were in 2012. Detroit, going 3-1 ATS in the process. That Home teams are on a 7-1 ATS run in this h2h winning streak dates back to 2005, and series since ’09. ironically, the Lions only pointspread cover in that span was a 31-24 loss at home as 14-point SEPTEMBER 16, 2013 dogs back in ’09. That result, and last year’s (223) PITTSBURGH at (224) CINCINNATI 38-10 Cardinals’ win in Glendale, is part of The road team has won three of the four an amazing series trend that finds HOME matchups between Pittsburgh & Cincinnati teams as winners of 10 straight games against over the last couple of seasons, both outright the spread! OVER the total is also a highly and ATS. The winner here will get a nice early profitable 9-1 in that span. jump in the race for the AFC North crown in 2013, and if history is any indication, that (217) JACKSONVILLE at (218) OAKLAND winner will be Pittsburgh, as the Steelers own Jacksonville puts a 5-game ATS winning streak a 10-3 SU & ATS edge in the L13 games of the in head-to-head play on the line when it series. However, favorites are on a 5-1 ATS run, travels to Oakland on Sunday. Ironically, the a role the Bengals have not played in this series only Jaguars’ outright loss during that span was since ’06. a year ago, in Oakland, when they lost 26-23 as 6-point road dogs. In that game, the Raiders outgained Jacksonville 351-209 but turned the ball over three times. The L3 games in this set have gone OVER the total, producing a surprising 59.3 PPG.

(219) DENVER at (220) NY GIANTS Since the Giants’ win over the Broncos in the 1987 Super Bowl game, the teams have split six games outright with the latter owning a 4-2 ATS edge. The two games in New York have been close, decided by 1 & 4 points, but this will be the first game there since ’05, and obviously the first time the teams have met at MetLife Stadium, where both teams hope to be playing in February. The big story of course will be the matchup of the Mannings, Eli & Peyton, with Peyton holding a 2-0 all-time edge while with the Colts.

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Four different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in VEGASINSIDER VegasInsider Weekly. In the chart below, you’ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown for the upcoming games. The Power NFL STRENGTH Ratings columns are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength RATINGS (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team’s performance against varied schedule strengths. The Simulation is run using a formula factoring in a number of variables, most notably stats in recent games. Finally, the Bettors’ Ratings (Bettors’ Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team’s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors’ feel about a team. Each

RATINGS rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you.

VI NFL STRENGTH Edges are given when a projection varies 4.5 points or more from an actual line or total.

BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Simulation Bettors’ Rtng #’’s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 101 NY JETS 43.5 17 11.8 12.7 15.0 102 NEW ENGLAND -12.5 26 -12.5 34.7 NE 30.4 NE 26.8

195 SAN DIEGO 53 18 21.7 UNDER 18.6 UNDER 19.4 UNDER 196 PHILADELPHIA -7 23 -8.5 26.3 29.1 28.6

197 CLEVELAND 43.5 17 17.9 18.7 19.7 198 BALTIMORE -6.5 22 -8.5 27.9 27.1 24.1

199 TENNESSEE 44 20 14.8 16.8 16.4 200 HOUSTON -8.5 26 -9.5 31.1 HOU 27.8 27.8

201 MIAMI 42 21 20.6 18.9 20.2 202 INDIANAPOLIS -3 22 -4.5 20.3 21.5 22.0

203 CAROLINA -3 21 23.9 23.5 22.3 204 BUFFALO 44 15 2.5 20.2 22.1 23.6

205 ST LOUIS 47 20 16.4 17.2 17.9 206 ATLANTA -6.5 25 -8.5 28.2 ATL 26.8 25.9

207 WASHINGTON 48.5 20 20.0 21.0 17.6 208 GREEN BAY -7.5 25 -8.5 28.7 27.2 27.2

209 DALLAS 46.5 22 20.8 UNDER 21.0 20.4 210 KANSAS CITY -3 21 -2.5 20.8 23.5 25.2

211 MINNESOTA 41.5 19 16.1 14.5 15.0 212 CHICAGO -6 24 -8.5 27.9 CHI 23.4 26.2 CHI

213 NEW ORLEANS -3 26 24.8 27.8 OVER 21.5 214 TAMPA BAY 47 20 2.5 24.1 26.7 24.2 TB

215 DETROIT -2 21 21.4 22.2 23.3 216 ARIZONA 47.5 20 -2.5 ARI 26.3 ARI 21.2 23.7

217 JACKSONVILLE 39.5 13 16.2 15.9 18.7 218 OAKLAND -6 16 -6.5 21.8 24.4 25.1

219 DENVER -4.5 29 25.4 UNDER 28.6 24.1 UNDER 220 NY GIANTS 55 22 3.5 24.9 24.6 24.2 NYG

221 SAN FRANCISCO 44.5 27 20.2 18.3 21.8 222 SEATTLE -3 27 -3.5 28.1 SEA 23.7 24.0

223 PITTSBURGH 40.5 20 17.0 16.5 17.6 224 CINCINNATI -6.5 24 -7.5 25.5 22.1 20.8 6 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL TOP NFL TOP WEEKLY WEEKLY NFL TOP TRENDS TRENDS TRENDS TEAMS TO PLAY ON TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST (203) CAROLINA AT (223) PITTSBURGH AT (204) BUFFALO (224) CINCINNATI 43.2% CAROLINA is 27-9 ATS(L50G) 28.2% CINCINNATI is 15-32-3 ROI as FAV - Against poor rushing ROI ATS(L50G) at HOME - As defenses yielding more than favorite 4.4 yards per carry(CS) ( $1550 Profit with a 28.2% ROI ) ( $1710 Profit with a 43.2% ROI )

(197) CLEVELAND AT (209) DALLAS AT (198) BALTIMORE (210) KANSAS CITY 30.0% BALTIMORE is 33-15-2 ATS(L50G) 28.0% KANSAS CITY is 16-33-1 ROI at HOME - as favorite of 7 or ROI ATS(L50G) - Against lesser less points rushing teams averaging less ( $1650 Profit with a 30.0% ROI ) than 3.9 yards per carry(CS) ( $1540 Profit with a 28.0% ROI )

(221) SAN FRANCISCO AT (205) ST LOUIS AT (222) SEATTLE (206) ATLANTA 33.8% SEATTLE is 34-14-2 ATS(L50G) at 29.8% ST LOUIS is 8-17 ATS(L25G) - In ROI HOME - AT CENTURYLINK FIELD ROI September ( $1860 Profit with a 33.8% ROI ) ( $820 Profit with a 29.8% ROI )

GAMES TO PLAY OVER GAMES TO PLAY UNDER (215) DETROIT AT (205) ST LOUIS AT (216) ARIZONA (206) ATLANTA 45.1% DETROIT is 19-6 OVER(L25G) - 45.1% ATLANTA is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) ROI As favorite ROI at HOME - Against poor ( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI ) passing defenses yielding more than 6.9 yards per attempt(CS) ( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI )

(207) WASHINGTON AT (201) MIAMI AT (208) GREEN BAY (202) INDIANAPOLIS 34.5% GREEN BAY is 31-13 52.7% INDIANAPOLIS is 20-5 ROI OVER(L50G) - as favorite of ROI UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against more than 7 points efficient offenses averaging less ( $1670 Profit with a 34.5% ROI ) than 14.3 yards per point(CS) ( $1450 Profit with a 52.7% ROI )

(101) NY JETS AT (201) MIAMI AT (102) NEW ENGLAND (202) INDIANAPOLIS 29.8% NEW ENGLAND is 34-16 36.1% MIAMI is 23-9-1 UNDER(L5Y) on ROI OVER(L50G) - All Games ROI ROAD - All Games ( $1640 Profit with a 29.8% ROI ( $1310 Profit with a 36.1% ROI )

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VI Analysis: These week 1 overachievers lit it up against unfamiliar opponents. In week 2, they TRANSITIONING typically come back down to earth offensively against higher totals.

FROM WEEK 1 3. Of the last 14 teams that were upset in week 1 divisional games, 12 have gone OVER (12-2, 85.7%) the total in week 2 (+9.8 units, R.O.I.: 70.0%, TO WEEK 2 Rating: 6*) As usual, the NFL opening weekend was jam packed 2013 Potential Plays: OVER in WAS-GB with storylines, highlights, and controversy. Broncos’ VI Analysis: In all likelihood, these teams that were quarterback Peyton Manning was fantastic, as were upset in Week 1 underperformed, especially 49ers QB Colin Kapernick & WR Anquan Boldin. And offensively, and come back flying in Week 2. how about Tony Romo? Many experts had written off the Cowboys’ chances for this year. As bettors, all 4. Week 2 teams that went under their week 1 total we really care about is that those teams beat their by at least 17 points are 12-2 OVER (85.7%) the respective pointspreads, and that their offensive total since ‘08 (+9.8 units, R.O.I.: 70.0%, Rating: 6*) performances were enough to take their games 2013 Potential Plays: OVER in CAR-BUF, SF-SEA TRANSITIONING over the total. Of course, even more importantly, we VI Analysis: These teams fully underachieved FROM WEEK 1 TO 2 want to know how we can take what happened offensively in week 1, creating a situation last week and turn it into week 2 profits. That’s where where oddsmakers adjust their total downward this article comes in, as we have analyzed numerous erroneously. week 1 to week 2 transitional situations in the NFL to uncover some highly profitable systems to utilize in 5. Teams that lost as road favorites have gone 9-1 the coming weekend. OVER (90%) the total in week 2 over the L2 seasons (+7.9 units, R.O.I.: 79.0%, Rating: 6*) Before getting into the top week 2 systems and 2013 Potential Plays: OVER in NO-TB plays however, let’s theorize as to why some of this VI Analysis: The analysis in #3 goes a step further, logic might be successful. First off, the NFL is a huge as typically, only teams with potent offenses are momentum league, and with one game every granted roles as road favorites this early in the week, it gives a team a lot of time to either stew on season. a loss or bask in a victory. During this time, the losing teams may be starting to doubt themselves, or the 6. Teams that lost on the pointspread by 15 or winning teams may be thinking too highly of their more points in week 1 divisional games are 7-4 SU own games. The betting public and media glorifies & 9-1-1 ATS (90%) in week 2 since ‘07 (+7.9 units, this type of thinking, and expects that what they R.O.I.: 71.8%, Rating: 6*) just saw in Week 1 is the new standard. Bookmakers 2013 Potential Plays: NONE are thus placed in a precarious position of having VI Analysis: Second week pointspread adjustments to balance what just happened with what could/ tend to go against teams that were blown out by should happen in the follow-up week. divisional opponents in week 1, in most cases over- adjustments. In our opinion, these systems come as a result of bookmakers not wanting to over-adjust. They have 7. Teams that lost as road favorites in week have a tendency to do this in college football and it bounced back with a record of 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS opens up a number of unwarranted early season (90%) in week 2 over the L2 seasons (+7.9 units, value plays. In the pro’s, with all the money that is R.O.I.: 79.0%, Rating: 6*) wagered each week, they realize that they can’t 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON TAMPA BAY radically adjust their lines in such a short window VI Analysis: If a team is good enough to have simply because of one game result. They are been a road favorite in week 1, they have proven forced to wait out the first few weeks of any given good enough to be able to bounce back from season in hopes that everything balances out. a loss in that game, in most cases avoiding a 0-2 start. Think of this explanation as you read through each system, and trust in the ones that you think make 8. Week 2 teams playing as favorites or underdogs the most sense. of less than 3 points against an opponent that scored more than 30 points in the prior week are 1. Teams playing a second straight divisional 19-5 SU 16-5-3 ATS (76.2%) since ‘03 (+10.5 units, game in week 2 are an impressive 25-8 SU & 24- R.O.I.: 43.8%, Rating: 6*) 8-1 ATS (75.0%) since ‘03 (+15.2 units, R.O.I.: 46.1%, 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON KANSAS CITY, Rating: 7*) ARIZONA, SEATTLE, DENVER 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON NEW ENGLAND, NEW VI Analysis: It seems that these 30-point teams may ORLEANS, MINNESOTA have overachieved in week 1 and are naturally VI Analysis: Divisional games typically require due for a letdown, or an overinflated line in week 2. greater focus and intensity, and these teams are well prepared the second time around. 9. Teams playing as underdogs in their second of back-to-back divisional games are 13-4 SU & 14-3 2. Teams that beat their week 1 pointspread by ATS (82.4%) in week 2 since ‘04 (+10.7 units, R.O.I.: more than 8 points in non-conference games are 62.9%, Rating: 6*) 13-2-1 UNDER (86.7%) the total in week 2 since ‘02 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON MINNESOTA (+10.8 units, R.O.I.: 67.5%, Rating: 7*) VI Analysis: Much like #4 above, the motivation 2013 Potential Plays: NONE Unfortunately of being an underdog to a divisional opponent 8 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly

provides the needed incentive for these week 2 VI Analysis: Oddsmakers simply can’t put totals dogs to pull the upset. high enough on these teams as they get on an early season roll offensively. 10. Teams that lost their opening game on the road bounce back at a 19-10 SU & 20-8-1 ATS (71.4%) 17. Teams that played as road favorites in week 1 rate when playing at home in week 2 over the L3 have gone 26-13-1 OVER (66.7%) the total in week seasons. (+11.2 units, R.O.I.: 38.6%, Rating: 5*) 2 since ‘06 (+11.7 units, R.O.I.: 29.3%, Rating: 4*) 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON BALTIMORE, ATLANTA, 2013 Potential Plays: OVER in NYJ-NE, TEN-HOU, TAMPA BAY, GREEN BAY, OAKLAND, ARIZONA, NY DAL-KC, NO-TB, SF-SEA

GIANTS, CINCINNATI VI Analysis: Again, week 1 road favorites are FROM WEEK 1 TO 2

VI Analysis: This system typically produces a lot typically the best offensive teams in football, TRANSITIONING of teams qualifying each season, and the 2012 OVER’s a natural tendency. teams combined to go 7-1-1 ATS. Home openers can provide much needed incentive to turn some 18. Teams that recorded big week 1 divisional wins negative momentum around. by more than 7 points are 14-7-1 OVER (66.7%) the total since ‘06 (+6.3 units, R.O.I.: 28.6%, Rating: 4*) 11. Teams whose opponent played in the 2013 Potential Plays: NONE weeknight season opening game and thus have VI Analysis: These teams come into week 2 games extra rest are 9-7 SU & 13-3 ATS (81.3%) in week 2 with a lot of momentum based on their big since ‘05 (+9.7 units, R.O.I.: 60.6%, Rating: 6*) divisional win, and that typically results in another 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON TAMPA BAY, SEATTLE strong offensive effort. VI Analysis: Routine, Routine, Routine. Teams that play in the season opener are out of that typical 19. Teams that were upset in week 1 divisional routine, and most teams rely on that for peak games bounce back at a 16-7 SU & 15-8 ATS performance throughout the season. (65.2%) rate in week 2 since ‘02 (+6.2 units, R.O.I.: 26.9%, Rating: 3*) 12. Teams facing opponents that allowed 38 or 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON WASHINGTON more points in week 1 are 15-6 SU & 15-5-1 ATS VI Analysis: Urgency. Teams upset by divisional (75%) coming back in week 2 since ‘02 (+9.5 units, foes in week 1 naturally come into week 2 with a R.O.I.: 45.2%, Rating: 5*) greater sense of urgency. 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON CLEVELAND VI Analysis: Note that Buffalo & Kansas City 20. Week 2 home teams that pulled upsets as road cancelled each other out for this system. Playing underdogs in week 1 are 12-5 SU & 10-5-2 ATS against teams that came up bad defensively (66.7%) since ‘06 (+4.5 units, R.O.I.: 26.4%, Rating: in week 1 is a good idea, as in many cases, the 3*) ground has already been laid for these being bet 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON PHILADELPHIA against teams for the season. VI Analysis: Week 1 road upsets have proven to be a big momentum builder for teams heading into 13. Teams that lost close games in week 1 (3 points week 2. Most of these teams are headed for 2-0. or less) are 9-2 OVER (81.8%) the total in week 2 since ‘08 (+6.8 units, R.O.I.: 61.8%, Rating: 5*) 21. Teams that recorded big week 1 divisional wins 2013 Potential Plays: OVER in CAR-BUF, SD-PHI, NO- by more than 7 points are 14-8 SU & 13-7-2 ATS TB, DET-ARI, PIT-CIN (65%) since ‘06 (+5.3 units, R.O.I.: 24.1%, Rating: 3*) VI Analysis: As it has turned out lately, teams losing 2013 Potential Plays: NONE heartbreakers in week 1 have slipped defensively VI Analysis: Like #17 above, the momentum in week 2. created by a big divisional win in week 1 has carried over into week 2. 14. Week 1 favorites of 6-points or more that lost their game have bounced back with a record of 22. Week 2 teams facing an opponent whose 9-2 SU & ATS (81.8%) in week 2 since ‘02 (+6.8 units, pointspread is more than 10 points better than the R.O.I.: 61.8%, Rating: 5*) prior week are 8-4-1 ATS (66.7%) since ‘07 (+3.6 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON PITTSBURGH units, R.O.I.: 27.6%, Rating: 3*) VI Analysis: Teams favored by 6-points or more in 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON SAN DIEGO, week 1 are typically well-respected clubs in the CLEVELAND, ATLANTA (at -7 or higher), NFL, and naturally they tend to bounce back WASHINGTON, JACKSONVILLE when aided by a sense of urgency. VI Analysis: Teams whose lines move 10 points or more from the prior week are most often being 15. Teams that won close games in week 1 (3 over-adjusted by oddsmakers. Take advantage. points or less) are 15-6-1 UNDER (71.4%) the total in week 2 since ‘05 (+8.4 units, R.O.I.: 38.2%, Rating: 23. Week 1 underdogs of 7-points or more that 5*) won ATS in their game are 5-6 SU & 6-2-3 ATS 2013 Potential Plays: UNDER in NYJ-NE, MIN-CHI, (75.0%) in week 2 since ‘06 (+3.8 units, R.O.I.: STL-ATL, TEN-HOU 34.5%, Rating: 2*) VI Analysis: In all honesty, this one is tough to 2013 Potential Plays: Play ON BUFFALO, OAKLAND explain. Perhaps the teams are a little worn down VI Analysis: Perhaps these teams are better than from their tight week 1 battle. oddsmakers and other so-called experts realize.

16. Teams that scored 35 points or more in week 1 Good luck with your Week 2 NFL plays! are 14-6-1 OVER (70%) the total in week 2 since ‘07 (+7.4 units, R.O.I.: 35.2%, Rating: 4*) 2013 Potential Plays: OVER in DAL-KC, DEN-NYG 9 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (101) NY JETS [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (102) NEW ENGLAND (-12 | 43.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 8:25 PM on NFL - GILLETTE STADIUM (FOXBORO, MA)

Offensive Statistics DefensiveDefensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NY JETS 18.0 22 29-90 [3.1] 39-24-214 [5.5] 16.9 17.0 12 25-65 [2.6] 31-15-185 [6.0] 14.7 0 +1.0 NEW ENGLAND 23.0 26 35-158 [4.5] 52-29-273 [5.2] 18.7 21.0 15 34-136 [4.0] 27-18-150 [5.6] 13.6 -1 +2.0

Thanks to a Lavonte David-wrapped gift to the Jets, this is a battle of 1-0 AFC East teams. Tom Brady and his new cast of support characters struggled to gel and were pushed to the limit in Buffalo, but that didn’t take away from Danny Amendola’s excellent debut. Even though Shane Vereen (wrist surgery) and Zach Sudfield (hamstring) are injured, the Pats are staring at another double-digit-favorite proposition. Geno Smith’s debut has to be considered a success despite the Jets’ mistake-filled win. In the last two seasons, the Jets were 8-13 ATS on short rest, while the Pats were 11-0 SU/9-1-1 ATS off a division win, and 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS as 10’-14-point home favorites.

NFL GAME TRENDS • NEW ENGLAND is 35-14-1 ATS(L50G) - Against elite defensive teams allowing less than 17 MATCHUPS PPG(CS) • NY JETS is 14-32-1 ATS(L50G) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(CS) • NEW ENGLAND is 22-8 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Conference games

(195) SAN DIEGO [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] AT (196) PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 | 53) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on CBS - LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD (PHILADELPHIA, PA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN DIEGO 28.0 14 20-80 [4.0] 29-14-183 [6.3] 9.4 31.0 26 28-120 [4.3] 45-34-329 [7.3] 14.5 0 -3.0 PHILADELPHIA 33.0 26 49-263 [5.4] 25-15-180 [7.2] 13.4 27.0 25 18-74 [4.1] 49-30-308 [6.3] 14.1 +1 +6.0

It was an eye-opening beginning to the Chip Kelly Era in Philly, complete with 26 points, 322 yards and 21 first downs by halftime on Mike Shanahan’s home turf. The Eagles ran 77 plays in all, and Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy were perfectly explosive fits in Kelly’s hurry-up system. Fifteen seconds into Mike McCoy’s tenure, the Chargers led 7-0. Their lead grew to 21 points, but they found a way to surrender 24 unanswered points late (really late for East Coast viewers). More bad news is the Chargers were 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS in non-conference games the last two seasons. The Eagles were 4-3 SU but 1-5-1 ATS in the last two Septembers.

GAME TRENDS • SAN DIEGO is 0-8 ATS(L3Y) - Non-conference games • PHILADELPHIA is 7-1-2 OVER(L10G) at HOME - Non-conference games • SAN DIEGO is 18-6-1 OVER(L25G) on ROAD - All Games

(197) CLEVELAND [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (198) BALTIMORE (-6.5 | 43.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on CBS - M&T BANK STADIUM (BALTIMORE, MD)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20122013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CLEVELAND 10.0 20 13-47 [3.6] 53-26-244 [4.6] 29.1 23.0 18 23-20 [0.9] 38-24-255 [6.7] 12.0 -2 -13.0 BALTIMORE 27.0 24 21-58 [2.8] 62-34-335 [5.4] 14.6 49.0 24 23-65 [2.8] 42-27-445 [10.6] 10.4 0 -22.0

The Ravens play on extra rest after their second-half collapse in the Denver altitude. With a depleted passing game that misses Dennis Pitta, the running of Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce must be emphasized. While Joe Flacco wasn’t great, let’s not get carried away with one road game against a revenge-stoked opponent. The Ravens defense didn’t have answers for Peyton Manning and Co., but the Browns offense looked inept against Miami, who picked Brandon Weeden three times. In the last two seasons, the Ravens were 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS as home favorites of 3’-7 points. The total may be a bad omen for Cleveland -- 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS the last two seasons when the total was 42’-45.

GAME TRENDS • BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS(L10G) at HOME - More than 6 days rest • BALTIMORE is 7-2-1 ATS(L10G) - After playing DENVER • CLEVELAND is 6-0 UNDER(L3Y) as DOG - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest

10 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (199) TENNESSEE [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (200) HOUSTON (-8.5 | 41) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on CBS - RELIANT STADIUM (HOUSTON, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20122013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TENNESSEE 16.0 17 42-112 [2.7] 20-11-117 [5.8] 14.3 9.0 14 15-32 [2.1] 33-21-163 [4.9] 21.7 +2 +7.0 HOUSTON 31.0 26 28-120 [4.3] 45-34-329 [7.3] 14.5 28.0 14 20-80 [4.0] 29-14-183 [6.3] 9.4 0 +3.0

After a defense-led upset in Pittsburgh, the Titans get a tougher challenge -- a Texans team that rallied from a 21-point deficit to win in San Diego. Gregg Williams’ new-look defense throttled Ben Roethlisberger and an inexperienced offensive line that lost Maurkice Pouncey, and the Titans’ running game helped control the clock. All three phases clicked in the Texas’ second-half

comeback, as the defense scored once and shut down Philip Rivers, and the punt unit executed MATCHUPS a successful fake/run play for a key first down. Tennessee has struggled within the division the last

two seasons (4-8 SU/2-10 ATS), while Houston has gone 9-3 SU/8-3-1 ATS in the AFC South in that NFL span.

• GAME TRENDS • HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS(L10G) at HOME - Conference games • TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - VS AFC-SOUTH • TENNESSEE is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - Against weak defensive teams allowing more than 24.5 PPG(CS)

(201) MIAMI [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (202) INDIANAPOLIS (-3 | 42) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on CBS - LUCAS OIL STADIUM (INDIANAPOLIS, IN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIAMI 23.0 18 23-20 [0.9] 38-24-255 [6.7] 12.0 10.0 20 13-47 [3.6] 53-26-244 [4.6] 29.1 +2 +13.0 INDIANAPOLIS 21.0 18 26-127 [4.9] 23-18-147 [6.4] 13.0 17.0 20 33-171 [5.2] 29-19-201 [6.9] 21.9 +2 +4.0

The Dolphins defense picked Brandon Weeden three times after totaling only 10 all last season. But Miami must find some semblance of a running game, as Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas combined for only 20 yards. Mike Wallace wasn’t thrilled at being a double-covered decoy, but that opened up things for Brian Hartline and Brian Gibson. The Colts couldn’t handle the double- digit favorite’s role, and found themselves out-gained and trailing the Raiders late, until a huge hole opened for Andrew Luck on a game-winning 19-yard run. Indy has had slow-start issues the last two Septembers, going 2-5 SU and ATS. The Fish were 1-4 SU and ATS vs. AFC South the last two seasons.

GAME TRENDS • MIAMI is 7-0 ATS(L5Y) as DOG - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.4 yards per carry(CS) • INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) at HOME - Conference games • MIAMI is 9-0-1 UNDER(L10G) - Conference games

(203) CAROLINA (-3 | 44) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (204) BUFFALO [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on FOX - RALPH WILSON STADIUM (BUFFALO, NY)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CAROLINA 7.0 16 26-134 [5.2] 23-16-119 [5.2] 36.1 12.0 18 26-70 [2.7] 33-25-300 [9.1] 30.8 -1 -5.0 BUFFALO 21.0 15 34-136 [4.0] 27-18-150 [5.6] 13.6 23.0 26 35-158 [4.5] 52-29-273 [5.2] 18.7 +1 -2.0

The Panthers defense dominated play before a protracted Seahawks drive ended in a game- winning TD -- and another close loss for Ron Rivera, who badly needs to win early this season. Too- conservative play calling didn’t help against a top-rated Seahawks defense. Now the Panthers are road favorites, and in the last two seasons, they were 3-1 SU and ATS as road favorites of three or fewer points, and 7-9 SU/10-6 ATS in road games. E.J. Manuel had his moments and didn’t make any big mistakes in his debut, and the Bills got 14 points off turnovers against New England. As home dogs of three or fewer points, the Bills were 2-1 SU and ATS the last two seasons.

GAME TRENDS • BUFFALO is 0-5 ATS(L3Y) - Against decent rushing defenses yielding less than 3.9 yards per carry(CS) • CAROLINA is 9-0 OVER(L3Y) - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.5 yards per carry(CS) • BUFFALO is 10-0 OVER(L10G) at HOME - Against elite rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards per carry(CS)

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Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (205) ST LOUIS [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (206) ATLANTA (-6.5 | 47) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on FOX - THE GEORGIA DOME (ATLANTA, GA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20122013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ST LOUIS 27.0 20 24-67 [2.8] 38-27-299 [7.9] 13.6 24.0 25 26-86 [3.3] 40-26-304 [7.6] 16.2 0 +3.0 ATLANTA 17.0 18 14-88 [6.3] 38-25-279 [7.3] 21.6 23.0 18 29-78 [2.7] 35-26-341 [9.7] 18.2 -1 -6.0

After jumping out to a 10-0 lead, the Falcons shaky offensive line had its hands full against a rejuvenated Saints defense, and Matt Ryan couldn’t push in a last-minute TD in a 23-17 loss. Roddy White is expected to play despite a bad ankle that limited him in Week 1. The Rams erased an 11-point deficit with two TDs and a game-winning FG in the final 16:47. TE Jared Cook, paying immediate free-agent dividends, caught two TD passes from Sam Bradford, who barely missed a 300-yard passing game. The Rams were 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS as 3’-7-point road dogs in the last two seasons, while the Falcons were 8-0 SU/2-4-2 ATS as favorites of 3’-9’ points.

NFL GAME TRENDS • ATLANTA is 8-2 ATS(L10G) as FAV - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 23.5 MATCHUPS PPG(CS) • ST LOUIS is 0-10 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - Against elite offensive teams averaging more than 6.0 yards per play(CS) • ATLANTA is 8-2 OVER(L10G) as FAV - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9 yards per carry(CS)

(207) WASHINGTON [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (208) GREEN BAY (-7.5 | 48.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on FOX - LAMBEAU FIELD (GREEN BAY, WI)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WASHINGTON 27.0 25 18-74 [4.1] 49-30-308 [6.3] 14.1 33.0 26 49-263 [5.4] 25-15-180 [7.2] 13.4 -1 -6.0 GREEN BAY 28.0 23 19-63 [3.3] 37-21-322 [8.7] 13.8 34.0 23 34-90 [2.6] 39-27-404 [10.4] 14.5 -2 -6.0

The Packers inexperienced offensive line held up pretty well in San Francisco, and the defense took away Colin Kaepernick’s read-option running, but couldn’t contain Anquan Boldin. Rookie RB Eddie Lacey also looks like the real deal -- running hard, but fumbling once against a rugged 49ers defense. Robert Griffin III is back, but his recovery is a work in progress, as the Redskins managed only three first-half first downs, and didn’t score an offensive touchdown until late in the third quarter. Since 2011-12, the Pack is 22-6 SU/17-11 ATS when playing on grass. The Redskins are 15-11 ATS against conference opponents since 2011-12.

GAME TRENDS • GREEN BAY is 9-1 ATS(L10G) - Against efficient offenses averaging less than 14.3 yards per point(CS) • GREEN BAY is 9-1 OVER(L10G) at HOME - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 6.75 yards per attempt(CS) • WASHINGTON is 5-0 OVER(L2Y) - In September

(209) DALLAS [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (210) KANSAS CITY (-3 | 46.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on FOX - ARROWHEAD STADIUM (KANSAS CITY, MO)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF DALLAS 36.0 22 23-87 [3.8] 49-36-244 [5.0] 9.2 31.0 21 14-50 [3.6] 42-27-428 [10.2] 15.4 +5 +5.0 KANSAS CITY 28.0 17 28-120 [4.3] 34-21-171 [5.0] 10.4 2.0 12 23-71 [3.1] 41-19-107 [2.6] 89.0 +2 +26.0

Andy Reid and the Cowboys are no strangers, of course, as he was 17-12 SU against them as the Eagles’ head coach (but only 7-10 in his last 17). But Reid and his Chiefs bring some element of the unexpected into this one, and could equal their 2012 season win total. The Chiefs defense dominated Jacksonville with six sacks and a pick-six, and Alex Smith had a solid-if-unspectacular debut. Monte Kiffin’s Cowboys defense gets its next test after forcing six Giants turnovers, and we’ll find out how much of the Chiefs’ success at the expense of a bad Jaguars team is eal.r In the last two seasons, the Cowboys were 5-3 SU/6-2 ATS in non-conference games.

GAME TRENDS • DALLAS is 7-0 ATS(L5Y) as DOG - Non-conference games • KANSAS CITY is 0-5 ATS(L3Y) as FAV - AT ARROWHEAD STADIUM • KANSAS CITY is 10-0 UNDER(L10G) - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(CS)

12 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (211) MINNESOTA [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (212) CHICAGO (-6 | 41.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 1:00 PM on FOX - SOLDIER FIELD (CHICAGO, IL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20122013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MINNESOTA 24.0 16 22-105 [4.8] 28-18-225 [8.0] 13.8 34.0 28 33-117 [3.5] 43-28-352 [8.2] 13.8 -2 -10.0 CHICAGO 24.0 17 28-81 [2.9] 33-21-242 [7.3] 13.5 21.0 18 21-63 [3.0] 33-26-277 [8.4] 16.2 +2 +3.0

After a spotty first half, the Bears offense rallied from an 11-point deficit to win on the road against a projected AFC title contender. There were zero sacks for Jay Cutler despite two rookie OL starters, and less-risk-averse play calling from Marc Trestman is a better fit for his quarterback. It was mostly downhill for the Vikings after Adrian Peterson’s early 78-yard TD run, as Christian

Ponder threw three INTs and fumbled once, and the defense allowed 469 yards. The Bears were MATCHUPS 6-6 SU/4-8 ATS vs. division opponents in the last two seasons under Lovie Smith. The Vikes were 2-4 NFL

SU and ATS as 3’-7-point road dogs in the last two seasons. NFL MATCHUPS

GAME TRENDS • MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS(L10G) - AT SOLDIER FIELD • CHICAGO is 5-1 UNDER(L2Y) - VS NFC-NORTH • MINNESOTA is 4-1 UNDER(L2Y) - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 25 PPG or more(CS)

(213) NEW ORLEANS (-3 | 47) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (214) TAMPA BAY [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 4:05 PM on FOX - RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM (TAMPA, FL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEW ORLEANS 23.0 18 29-78 [2.7] 35-26-341 [9.7] 18.2 17.0 18 14-88 [6.3] 38-25-279 [7.3] 21.6 +1 +6.0 TAMPA BAY 17.0 12 25-65 [2.6] 31-15-185 [6.0] 14.7 18.0 22 29-90 [3.1] 39-24-214 [5.5] 16.9 0 -1.0

Sean Payton is back, and you know what that should mean for the Saints offense. But it was the defense under new DC Rob Ryan that held it together despite losing two starters and getting down 10-0 early, and allowed only 367 yards after averaging a record 440 per game last season. LB Lavonte David made Week 1’s costliest mistake with an out-of-bounds hit on Geno Smith that set up the Jets’ game-winning field goal, but to get to that point, the Bucs totaled only 250 yards and were flagged for 12 other penalties. The Saints like the favorite’s role, going 19-7 SU/18-8 ATS the last two seasons. The Bucs are 13-19-1 ATS since 2011-12.

GAME TRENDS • NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS(L3Y) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9 yards per carry(CS) • TAMPA BAY is 1-5 ATS(L2Y) at HOME - Conference games • NEW ORLEANS is 5-1 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - In September

(215) DETROIT (-2 | 47.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (216) ARIZONA [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 4:05 PM on FOX - UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX STADIUM (GLENDALE, AZ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF DETROIT 34.0 28 33-117 [3.5] 43-28-352 [8.2] 13.8 24.0 16 22-105 [4.8] 28-18-225 [8.0] 13.8 +2 +10.0 ARIZONA 24.0 25 26-86 [3.3] 40-26-304 [7.6] 16.2 27.0 20 24-67 [2.8] 38-27-299 [7.9] 13.6 0 -3.0

Reggie Bush (25 touches, 191 yards) makes the offense a better-balanced yardage machine, and they could have scored more than 35 if they had cashed in on first-half opportunities. The Lions visit the desert for the second consecutive season, and were 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS against NFC West teams the last two years. Carson Palmer (26-40, 327 yards) is a big upgrade, but O-line deficiencies again hampered the Cards offense, as Palmer was sacked four times (three allowed by LT Levi Brown). The defense blew an 11-point lead in the final 16:47. The Cards were 6-2 ATS in the last two September’s, but 1-4 against NFC North opponents the last two seasons.

GAME TRENDS • DETROIT is 10-0 OVER(L10G) on ROAD as FAV - All Games • DETROIT is 0-4-1 ATS(L5Y) - 1500 or more travel miles • ARIZONA is 5-1 ATS(L3Y) as DOG - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(CS)

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Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (217) JACKSONVILLE [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (218) OAKLAND (-6 | 39.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 4:25 PM on CBS - O.CO COLISEUM (OAKLAND, CA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20122013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF JACKSONVILLE 2.0 12 23-71 [3.1] 41-19-107 [2.6] 89.0 28.0 17 28-120 [4.3] 34-21-171 [5.0] 10.4 -2 -26.0 OAKLAND 17.0 20 33-171 [5.2] 29-19-201 [6.9] 21.9 21.0 18 26-127 [4.9] 23-18-147 [6.4] 13.0 -2 -4.0

There’s little respect in Vegas for the Jaguars, who opened as 5.5-point underdogs. And why not, as it couldn’t have been a worse debut for Gus Bradley. The offense managed only 157 passing and 178 total yards on 70 plays in an embarrassing home defeat. Meanwhile, the Raiders were the surprise of Week 1, out-gaining the Colts 372-274 in a 21-17 loss. Terrelle Pryor led two long scoring drives, threw for 217 yards, and ran for 112 before taking a sack and getting picked on a final drive that could have won the game. The Jags were 1-12 SU/3-9-1 ATS as 3’-9-point underdogs the last two seasons. The Raiders were 4-6 SU/3-7 ATS as favorites in the last two seasons. NFL GAME TRENDS MATCHUPS • OAKLAND is 9-1 ATS(L10G) - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.15 yards per attempt(CS) • JACKSONVILLE is 1-5 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD as DOG - Against lesser-scoring teams averaging 18.5 PPG or less(CS) • OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) - Against lesser offensive teams averaging less than 5.1 yards per play(CS)

(219) DENVER (-4.5 | 55) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (220) NY GIANTS [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 4:25 PM on CBS - METLIFE STADIUM (EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF DENVER 49.0 24 23-65 [2.8] 42-27-445 [10.6] 10.4 27.0 24 21-58 [2.8] 62-34-335 [5.4] 14.6 0 +22.0 NY GIANTS 31.0 21 14-50 [3.6] 42-27-428 [10.2] 15.4 36.0 22 23-87 [3.8] 49-36-244 [5.0] 9.2 -5 -5.0

This edition of Manning vs. Manning has the principals coming off disparate openers -- Peyton’s record-tying, seven-touchdown masterpiece, and Eli’s three picks as part of a six-turnover debacle (although he did throw for 450 yards). The brotherly matchup should provide another motivation for Denver, which obviously was primed for a revenge win last Thursday. Who will run the ball for the Giants, as David Wilson fumbled twice, prompting mid-week looks at Brandon Jacobs and Willis McGahee? The Giants have bounced back well off division losses, going 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS the last two seasons. The Broncos haven’t played an NFC East opponent since 2010-11.

GAME TRENDS • DENVER is 7-0 ATS(L2Y) - as favorite of 7 or less points • DENVER is 9-1 ATS(L2Y) as FAV - OU line of 45 or more • DENVER is 7-3 OVER(L10G) - VS NFC-EAST

(221) SAN FRANCISCO [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (222) SEATTLE (-3 | 44.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 15, 2013 8:30 PM on NBC - CENTURYLINK FIELD (SEATTLE, WA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN FRANCISCO 34.0 23 34-90 [2.6] 39-27-404 [10.4] 14.5 28.0 23 19-63 [3.3] 37-21-322 [8.7] 13.8 +2 +6.0 SEATTLE 12.0 18 26-70 [2.7] 33-25-300 [9.1] 30.8 7.0 16 26-134 [5.2] 23-16-119 [5.2] 36.1 +1 +5.0

Welcome to San Francisco, Anquan Boldin. Thirteen catches, 208 yards and a touchdown add up to another way the 49ers can beat you. Rookie S Eric Reid also had an excellent debut with six tackles and an INT. But it doesn’t get any easier for the 49ers, as remember that they were embarrassed in Seattle in Week 16 last season. The Seahawks couldn’t run the ball, and needed some more fourth-quarter Russell Wilson brilliance to win an early East Coast game at Carolina. The 49ers were 6-3 SU/6-2-1 ATS as underdogs the last two seasons. There has been no better ATS team at home than Pete Carroll’s Seahawks -- 12-3 the last two seasons.

GAME TRENDS • SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS(L10G) at HOME - division games • SEATTLE is 9-1 OVER(L10G) - Against solid rushing defenses yielding less than 3.75 yards per carry(CS) • SAN FRANCISCO is 9-1 OVER(L10G) - All Games

14 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (223) PITTSBURGH [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (224) CINCINNATI (-6.5 | 40.5) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-0-1] SEPTEMBER 16, 2013 8:40 PM on ESPN - PAUL BROWN STADIUM (CINCINNATI, OH)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 20132012 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PITTSBURGH 9.0 14 15-32 [2.1] 33-21-163 [4.9] 21.7 16.0 17 42-112 [2.7] 20-11-117 [5.8] 14.3 -2 -7.0 CINCINNATI 21.0 18 21-63 [3.0] 33-26-277 [8.4] 16.2 24.0 17 28-81 [2.9] 33-21-242 [7.3] 13.5 -2 -3.0

The Steelers get an extra day after their dreadful home opener, but you wonder if they can bounce back from potentially season-ending injuries to C Maurkice Pouncey, RB LaRod Stephens- Howling and LB Larry Foote. An inept line in front of Ben Roethlisberger and no Mike Wallace leads to an offense in disarray. Jonathan Dwyer has been re-signed to help Isaac Redman and

Felix Jones in a thin backfield. The Bengals were the best of an entirely winless AFC North in Week MATCHUPS 1, especially A.J. Green. The Steelers were 8-9 SU/5-12 ATS in road games the last two seasons. Cincinnati likes the favorite’s role -- 8-0 SU/5-1-2 ATS as 3’-9’-point favorites the last two seasons. NFL

GAME TRENDS • PITTSBURGH is 8-1-1 ATS(L10G) - AT PAUL BROWN STADIUM • CINCINNATI is 0-9-1 ATS(L10G) at HOME as FAV - After SU loss • CINCINNATI is 5-0 OVER(L5Y) as FAV - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG(CS)

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(169) TULSA at (170) OKLAHOMA 12:00 ET ESPN2 FOOTBALL LINE It was a given Oklahoma would be more of a running team this season with the quarterbacks on the roster. Trevor Knight won the job over MOVES Blake Bell for his all-around skills, yet displayed With football in high gear, let’s review what little accuracy before being hurt against those betting football are things thinking this West Virginia and Bell was not much of an week. improvement. While the Sooners have better talent in this matchup, how Oklahoma scores CFB (VIW TAKE: 13-5 ATS) was enough for the line to be lowered two (107) TROY at (108) ARKANSAS STATE points to 24.5. VIW Take – Lean with Oklahoma 7:30 ET ESPNU It is the Sun Belt Conference opener for (177) KANSAS at (178) RICE both teams and Troy has been better than 7:30 ET CBSSN expected in the early going. The Trojans If you saw Rice at Texas A&M, you know the defense has been weaker in recent years, but Owls can move the pigskin and score points. has held its first two opponents to 64 rushing With Kansas only having two starters back on yards a game and they have fallen from +10 to defense, Rice is expected to score and has +8. Still, Arkansas State averages 329 yards on been lifted from -4 to -6.5. It does not hurt the the ground and is 16-6 ATS as a favorite. VIW Owls are 12-4 ATS at Rice Stadium as favorites Take – Lean with Troy since 2003. VIW Take – Rice covers FOOTBALL

LINE MOVES (117) LOUISVILLE at (118) KENTUCKY NFL (VIW TAKE: 2-3 ATS) 12:00 ET ESPN (209) DALLAS at (210) KANSAS CITY There are whispers among college football 1:00 ET FOX experts that Louisville might be even better in With a couple of Dallas players nicked and 2013, playing with the confidence of last year’s Kansas City dissolving Jacksonville, the experience. The wagering public is also buying Chiefs have been bumped from -1 to -3 for in and has elevated the Teddy Bridgewater their home opener. K.C. is 28-13 ATS in non- and the Cardinals from -11.5 to -14.5. Kentucky conference home games the past 20 years, can cover if they protect their quarterback, but the Cowboys are a sparkling 7-2 ATS versus however, a 0-9 ATS record as an underdog of the AFC lately. Find it hard to back the home 10.5 to 21 points is a real negative. VIW Take – team. VIW Take – Dallas covers Lean with Louisville (215) DETROIT at (216) ARIZONA (139) UCLA at (140) NEBRASKA 4:05 ET FOX 12:00 ET ABC Reggie Bush sparked the Detroit offense with This line move shows a lack of faith in almost 200 yards of offense, as the Lions were the Nebraska defense even playing with sharp in the opener. Arizona hired Bruce Arians redemption against the Bruins. The Cornhuskers to be their coach; nevertheless, it was still the were sent out at -6 and have been lowered same old Cardinals who blew an 11-point to -4. The Huskers struggled with Wyoming’s fourth quarter lead at St. Louis. Detroit players multiple offense in the opener and UCLA has believe they will have a bounce back year many of the same characteristics to move the and so do bettors this week, raising the Lions ball. The Bruins have not taken to the road well from a Pick to -1.5. VIW Take – Detroit covers with a 0-7 ATS mark after a cover. VIW Take – Nebraska covers (217) JACKSONVILLE at (218) OAKLAND 4:25 ET CBS (143) TENNESSEE at (144) OREGON Jacksonville started where they left off last year 3:30 ET ABC in being smoked at home by Kansas City 28-2. Oregon displayed blinding speed and great With Oakland providing a representative effort strength in overwhelming Virginia 59-10 on the against the Colts, the Raiders were moved road. Now back home in Eugene, football from -3.5 to -6. Here is question of the day; can bettors give Tennessee no shot to complete you really back a team like the Raiders who and took the Vols from +24.5 to +28. Making are 9-23 ATS as a home favorite since 2003? matters worse, the Volunteers are 0-7 ATS after VIW Take – Lean with Jacksonville one or more wins against the spread the last two seasons. VIW Take – Lean with Oregon (219) DENVER at (220) N.Y. GIANTS 4:25 ET CBS (163) MEMPHIS at (164) MID. TENN. STATE The next Manning Bowl is the doubleheader 7:00 ET CSS game and there is expected to be no Memphis looked very much like the same old shortage of points. The original number of 54.5 Memphis in losing to Duke at 28-14. Middle has been replaced by 56. This seems like an Tennessee State also was defeated at North overreaction to last week’s results, though I did Carolina, but they were catching the Tar Heels find the Giants are 8-1 OVER after a division loss off a disappointing performance. Though the by seven or less points with the average total Blue Raiders are just 2-9 ATS playing at home score at 58.8. Hmm. VIW Take – Lean Over the past two years, they were lifted from -4.5 to -7 vs. the unsavory Tigers. VIW Take – Lean with Mid. Tenn. St. 16 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL VI PICKS VI VI VI Power Effective Forecaster Bettors Consensus Jim Jason Paul Ratings Strength Ratings 7-13 (35%) 9-11 (45%) 11-9 (55%) 12-8 (60%) 8-12 (40%) 5-15 (25%) 9-11 (45%) 8-12 (40%) 2-4 (33%)* 2-4 (33%)* 2-4 (33%)* * – indicates Best Bet (BB) September 12, 2013 - (103) TCU at (104) TEXAS TECH (+3) Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas Tech* Tech Tech Tech Tech Tech Tech Tech September 14, 2013 - (119) MARSHALL at (120) OHIO U (+7.5) Marshall* Ohio U Ohio U Marshall Marshall Marshall Marshall Marshall COLLEGE FOOTBALL September 14, 2013 - (125) VIRGINIA TECH at (126) EAST CAROLINA (+7.5) Virginia Virginia Virginia East East East Virginia East VI PICKS Tech Tech* Tech Carolina Carolina Carolina Tech Carolina September 14, 2013 - (135) FRESNO ST at (136) COLORADO (+9.5) Fresno St Colorado Colorado* Colorado Fresno St Fresno St Colorado Colorado

September 14, 2013 - (151) ALABAMA at (152) TEXAS A&M (+7.5) Texas Texas Texas A&M Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas A&M A&M* A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M September 14, 2013 - (155) MISSISSIPPI ST at (156) AUBURN (-6.5) Missisippi Auburn Auburn* Auburn Missisippi Missisippi Missisippi Missisippi St* St St St St September 14, 2013 - (159) UCF at (160) PENN ST (-5) Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St

September 14, 2013 - (167) VANDERBILT at (168) SOUTH CAROLINA (-3) South South South South South Vanderbilt South South Carolina Carolina* Carolina* Carolina Carolina Carolina Carolina September 14, 2013 - (189) OREGON ST at (190) UTAH (-3) Oregon St Oregon St Utah Oregon St Oregon St Oregon St Utah Oregon St

September 14, 2013 - (193) WISCONSIN at (194) ARIZONA ST (-5.5) Wisconsin Wisconsin Arizona St Wisconsin Arizona St Wisconsin Arizona St Wisconsin

VI Jim says…Is Auburn really VI Jason says…Oddsmakers have VI Paul says…The turnaround that much better than a year really created an interesting line will not be immediate, but ago where they are going for the big Alabama-Texas A&M Colorado will continue to to make up for what was a showdown for this week, setting improve under coach Mike 388-216 yardage differential the Tide as 8.5-point favorites at MacIntyre in his first year in in the 28-10 loss to MSU? pick time. To me this is not even Boulder. The Buffaloes have Quite frankly, the Bulldogs taking into account last year’s already adopted the passing dominated that game in all game, remember the one totally game and are averaging facets. I for one am not sold controlled by Aggies’ QB Johnny over 370 yards a game thru yet on what I have seen so Manziel? This line is only 5 points the air. Fresno State also has far from Auburn. Sure they less than that one and I think a terrific offense and runs a are 2-0 and obviously better everyone who knows anything high risk/high reward defense, than they were under Gene about college football knows which Colorado can exploit. Chizik in 2012, but this game what a huge home field edge the The Bulldogs are allowing is a SEC game, and the Tigers Aggies enjoy. I suppose you could 479 yards on defense and have lost ALL of their L10 consider that ‘Bama is motivated 38 points a game and I think conference games. Now all of by revenge, but how mad could Colorado has the firepower a sudden they are a near-TD they possibly be? They won the to keep them in the contest. favorite in their first one of national championship. The Tide’s I’ll take the home underdog 2013? To me it doesn’t add week off could also play a factor to backdoor, easily cover or up. I only take underdogs in the high line. Whatever the case, maybe even pull off the upset in this range that I think can I expected this line to be in the 4.5- in this offensive duel. win. I think Mississippi State is 5 range, and I’ll take 3 or 4 points capable of winning, and will in of value in a big game anytime. the game the full 60 minutes. Game lives up to the billing and A&M plays Alabama tough. 17 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

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Four different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created VEGASINSIDER for use in VegasInsider Weekly. In the chart below, you’ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown COLLEGE FOOTBALL for the upcoming games. The Power Ratings columns are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for STRENGTH RATINGS every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team’s performance against varied schedule strengths. The Simulation is run using a formula factoring in a number of variables, most notably stats in recent games. Finally, the Bettors’ Ratings (Bettors’ Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team’s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors’ feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 4.5 points or more from an actual line or total.

BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Simulation Bettors’ Rtng #’’s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 103 TCU -3 49 32.4 31.9 26.0 UNDER 104 TEXAS TECH 62 46 -1.3 32.4 32.5 29.3 TT

105 TULANE 58 23 23.1 22.5 25.1 106 LOUISIANA TECH -7.5 28 -8.8 37.3 LT 34.4 36.3

VI CFB 107 TROY 66.5 28 21.1 UNDER 26.5 23.4 UNDER 108 ARKANSAS ST -7.5 35 -11.3 35.6 ASU 37.7 35.9 AST

STRENGTH RATINGS 109 AIR FORCE 57.5 27 17.1 20.1 AF 20.2 110 BOISE ST -23.5 45 -23.8 42.5 37.9 39.9

111 E MICHIGAN 51 18 15.1 EMU 17.1 EMU 14.6 OVER 112 RUTGERS -27.5 39 -24.5 37.3 32.2 42.5

113 STANFORD -28.5 56 45.1 STA 33.7 UNDER 39.5 114 ARMY 52 25 28.0 9.8 13.8 ARMY 12.0

115 GEORGIA ST 56.5 6 7.1 12.7 OVER 6.9 116 WEST VIRGINIA -39 38 -36.5 46.6 49.3 53.6 WVU

117 LOUISVILLE -13 54 LOU 36.6 39.6 32.2 UNDER 118 KENTUCKY 59 32 18.8 21.3 23.1 16.8

119 MARSHALL -7.5 42 33.2 UNDER 36.2 UNDER 32.8 UNDER 120 OHIO U 68.5 28 10.0 24.6 24.7 23.4

121 AKRON 57 18 9.6 12.5 AKR 10.8 122 MICHIGAN -37 53 -39.8 50.9 42.4 48.9

123 BOWLING GREEN 61.5 41 31.9 32.3 BG 28.4 124 INDIANA -3 38 0.0 31.9 30.4 32.0

125 VIRGINIA TECH -7.5 44 29.2 18.7 UNDER 31.2 126 EAST CAROLINA 51.5 35 4.8 26.4 ECU 19.8 ECU 21.8

127 MARYLAND -7 40 31.4 OVER 31.3 OVER 25.9 128 CONNECTICUT 48 32 4.0 21.8 21.3 23.0

129 NEW MEXICO 52 21 15.9 22.1 NM 13.7 130 PITTSBURGH -21 40 -23.3 38.0 37.7 OVER 39.2 PIT

131 LA MONROE 53.5 31 31.2 LAM 20.9 LAM 23.6 132 WAKE FOREST -3.5 31 -3.5 23.2 16.6 UNDER 28.4

133 W KENTUCKY -10.5 28 32.3 32.6 OVER 32.2 134 S ALABAMA 53.5 19 6.8 22.0 26.1 23.1

135 FRESNO ST -9.5 43 46.0 FST 38.2 FST 38.0 136 COLORADO 67.5 32 7.8 24.8 24.1 UNDER 28.7

137 NEVADA 66 29 16.2 19.3 NEV 12.9 UNDER 138 FLORIDA ST -32 55 -30.5 50.8 45.9 46.1

139 UCLA 69.5 47 36.4 OVER 38.7 OVER 27.1 UNDER 140 NEBRASKA -4.5 48 -6.3 38.0 43.0 37.3 NEB

18 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly

BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Simulation Bettors’ Rtng #’’s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 141 GEORGIA TECH -8.5 45 34.4 OVER 26.2 UNDER 35.8 OVER 142 DUKE 56 36 6.0 30.8 DUKE 23.5 DUKE 31.9 DUKE

143 TENNESSEE 70 44 23.3 OVER 23.2 24.2 OVER 144 OREGON -27 64 -25.8 56.9 ORE 51.1 52.4

145 OLE MISS 73.5 49 31.5 34.6 OVER 27.1 UNDER 146 TEXAS -8 52 -7.3 42.0 46.3 37.0

147 BOSTON COLLEGE 43 35 15.0 OVER 8.1 UNDER 15.4 OVER 148 USC -14 47 -16.5 32.9 21.4 35.5 USC

149 IOWA -2.5 37 24.7 OVER 29.3 OVER 24.6 150 IOWA ST 48 32 1.3 28.6 IST 30.7 23.8

151 ALABAMA -7.5 65 39.7 OVER 27.2 UNDER 33.1 152 TEXAS A&M 63 58 2.3 A&M 37.2 A&M 24.6 A&M 27.9

155 MISSISSIPPI ST 51 41 27.0 OVER 22.9 26.5 OVER 156 AUBURN -6.5 44 -7.5 30.3 29.1 29.6 STRENGTH RATINGS

157 WASHINGTON -10 46 37.3 39.3 OVER 36.6

158 ILLINOIS 63 32 10.8 23.0 30.7 28.0 VI CFB

159 UCF 50.5 41 21.8 16.6 UNDER 17.4 UNDER 160 PENN ST -5 44 -8.0 29.5 25.4 26.3

161 BALL ST -3 35 32.4 BST 33.8 30.9 162 NORTH TEXAS 61 27 5.0 24.5 30.3 27.9

163 MEMPHIS 52 26 25.7 24.2 MEM 23.4 OVER 164 MIDDLE TENN ST -6.5 28 -5.0 29.6 25.7 34.0

165 SOUTHERN MISS 50 20 12.8 13.0 11.6 166 ARKANSAS -21.5 42 -26.8 ARK 39.7 ARK 33.8 42.5 ARK

167 VANDERBILT 50.5 44 21.8 OVER 25.8 OVER 17.4 168 SOUTH CAROLINA -13 55 -16.3 37.7 37.4 34.0

169 TULSA 49 36 14.4 OVER 12.5 TLS 5.7 UNDER 170 OKLAHOMA -24.5 53 -22.5 39.4 31.5 UNDER 35.6 OKL

171 OHIO ST -18.5 56 43.8 OVER 40.8 OVER 38.1 172 CALIFORNIA 62.5 33 19.3 23.4 26.6 22.3

173 MASSACHUSETTS 54.5 12 5.9 13.5 MAS 3.6 174 KANSAS ST -38.5 42 -34.5 51.1 KST 42.4 47.2 KST

175 FLA ATLANTIC 43.5 19 18.6 16.3 FAU 15.0 OVER 176 SOUTH FLORIDA -11.5 28 -12.0 28.3 20.8 UNDER 36.7 USF

177 KANSAS 58 30 26.5 30.1 OVER 30.6 KAN 178 RICE -6 32 -5.5 32.8 40.7 28.4

179 KENT ST 55.5 27 18.3 KST 16.3 KST 6.4 UNDER 180 LSU -37 55 -33.0 41.1 36.2 40.1

181 NOTRE DAME -20.5 52 38.2 OVER 34.3 34.5 182 PURDUE 50 32 16.5 18.9 19.6 PUR 15.4

183 UTEP -6.5 20 30.6 39.2 OVER 28.1 184 NEW MEXICO ST 55 14 4.0 22.3 37.2 26.4 NMST

185 W MICHIGAN 57.5 23 16.4 OVER 18.8 WMU 18.4 WMU 186 NORTHWESTERN -31 48 -28.5 45.9 40.6 40.2

187 TX-SAN ANTONIO 64.5 23 17.2 18.3 UNDER 15.0 188 ARIZONA -26 46 -27.0 44.5 39.9 48.4 ARI

189 OREGON ST 57 43 33.9 OVER 35.7 OST 25.4 190 UTAH -3 40 -1.5 32.6 33.7 OVER 28.4

191 C MICHIGAN 56 22 CMU 24.8 24.6 23.9 192 UNLV -7 21 -2.5 29.2 29.3 31.6

193 WISCONSIN 52.5 50 26.5 OVER 19.0 UNDER 25.1 194 ARIZONA ST -5.5 49 -3.5 34.8 23.7 31.0 19 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

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(113) STANFORD at (114) ARMY Army is looking for its third straight win over COLLEGE Stanford, but before going and laying all your money on what will be a very heavy underdog, recognize that the last meeting between the FOOTBALL teams was back in ’79, and obviously a lot has changed since then. The Knights have been a solid home dog though of late, 5-2 ATS over the HEAD TO HEAD L2 seasons. Stanford is 8-1 ATS as road chalk under - - David Shaw. SERIES (115) GEORGIA ST at (116) WEST VIRGINIA West Virginia struggled out of the gate in its home opener against William & Mary and now will look BREAKDOWN to halt a disturbing trend of 2-7 ATS as home chalk when it hosts Georgia State on Saturday. The For every issue of the Vegas Insider Football Weekly Panthers have played three prior games as 30+ this season, we’ll take a look at each upcoming point underdogs, and are 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS, with an college football matchup from a head-to-head average loss of 50.0 PPG. series standpoint, searching for edges on either side or total wagering option. Here are this week’s (117) LOUISVILLE at (118) KENTUCKY breakdowns, in rotation number order. The Louisville-Kentucky rivalry is huge in college basketball, but not so prominent on the gridiron. SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 That said, the teams square off every season, (103) TCU at (104) TEXAS TECH with every other year played in Lexington on the In the teams’ first head-to-head matchup in six season’s third week. This year Louisville will be a seasons last October, TCU & Texas Tech put up 109 prohibitive favorite and boasting a 5-2 SU & ATS points, with the Red Raiders scoring a 56-53 upset record in its L7 trips to Commonwealth Stadium. The win as 2-point dogs in Fort Worth. They rallied from Wildcats are 3-2-1 ATS in their L6 as home dogs. a 21-0 deficit in that game and won despite being outgained 516-389. The rematch is in Lubbock, (119) MARSHALL at (120) OHIO U where Tech last beat TCU 70-35 in 2004. Marshall and Ohio U used to be significant rivals

HEAD-T0-HEAD while in the MAC together through 2004. The teams (105) TULANE at (106) LOUISIANA TECH

SERIES BREAKDOWN have resumed their series by squaring off in each It would be a stretch to term the Tulane-Louisiana of the L4 seasons, with the SU & ATS ledger split 2/2 Tech matchup on Thursday as an in-state rivalry in that span. In last year’s game at Marshall, the contest, as the teams have not faced one Bobcats scored a 27-24 win, failing to cover as another since ’98 and Tulane has won all of the L8 5.5-point favorites, but yielded 432 yards through meetings. The teams are not familiar and the series the air, season highs for both their defense and the has been one-sided, and this will be the only time Herd offense. they play as mates in Conference USA. The Green Wave are looking to snap an 11-game road losing (121) AKRON at (122) MICHIGAN skid. Michigan makes regular mincemeat out MAC opponents when welcoming them to Ann Arbor (107) TROY at (108) ARKANSAS ST and will look to do so once again when it hosts Arkansas State has won back-to-back games Akron on Saturday. It will be the first time the teams against Troy after the Trojans had taken the prior will have played one another, with the Wolverines four contests. Last year’s late season contest looking to extend a run of 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS while featured 75 points and 1,113 yards of offense, with hosting MAC foes, average margin of victory: 35.4 the Red Wolves (-3) coming out on the favorable PPG. end of a 41-34 decision in Troy. In 2011, ASU (-18) blasted Troy 45-14 at home. (123) BOWLING GREEN at (124) INDIANA Bowling Green and Indiana will meet for the first SEPTEMBER 13, 2013 time on Saturday, with the Hoosiers looking to turn (109) AIR FORCE at (110) BOISE ST around a disturbing trend that finds them just 2-3 SU The 2011 matchup between Air Force and Boise & 1-4 ATS when hosting MAC foes since ’08. Bowling State was the only head-to-head contest ever Green meanwhile is 6-2 ATS in its L8 trips into Big Ten played between the schools, and the Broncos country. came out on the winning end, 37-26 in Boise. That game was much closer than the oddsmakers’ (125) VIRGINIA TECH at (126) EAST CAROLINA predicted, as the Falcons easily covered as Virginia Tech and East Carolina last met in 2011 and 30-point dogs. The spread figures to be much the Pirates nearly pulled the upset, losing 17-10 at tighter this time around as Air Force looks to turn home as 17-point underdogs. They are once again around a 1-5 ATS road trend from 2012. the host for this year’s showdown and looking to keep the momentum going from a 2-0 start. The SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 Hokies, who’ve won three straight versus ECU (2-1 (111) E MICHIGAN at (112) RUTGERS ATS), lost all five true road games ATS in 2012. Rutgers looks to rid itself of the taste of last year’s upset loss at the hands of Kent State when it hosts (127) MARYLAND at (128) CONNECTICUT fellow MAC foe Eastern Michigan on Saturday. Last year’s 24-21 Connecticut win in College Park The Knights’ lost 35-23 despite being double-digit strangely marked the first time in 70 years that the favorites and are actually just 5-2 SU & 3-3-1 ATS Huskies and Terps squared off on the gridiron. The when hosting the MAC since ’02. EMU is 7-41 on the contest last year was a much bigger defensive road since ’05. struggle than the score indicates, as the teams combined for just 428 yards of offense. UConn 20 pushed on the Vegas number. THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly

(129) NEW MEXICO at (130) PITTSBURGH the Rebels in Oxford, 66-31, gaining 676 yards of Pittsburgh had last week off to recover from the offense. It’s been 21 years since Texas hosted a SEC Labor Day thumping at the hands of Florida State, team other than Arkansas. and will now host New Mexico for the first time ever. If this sounds like a rare matchup, it truly is, as (147) BOSTON COLLEGE at (148) USC the Lobos are rarely in this part of the country and USC is 3-0 all-time against Boston College with the have only played at one ACC stadium in the L20 only recent meeting being a 24-13 decision in the years, that being a 34-14 loss at NC State in ’02. 2009 Emerald Bowl game played in San Francisco. The Trojans covered that game as 7.5-point (131) LA MONROE at (132) WAKE FOREST favorites but will be much higher chalk this time The rare matchups continue with this first ever around in Los Angeles. BC’s only other trip to a meeting between Louisiana-Monroe and Wake Pac 12 school of late was a 38-22 loss at Stanford Forest. The Demon Deacons in fact, have never in 2001. faced a Sun Belt Conference team. They are just 15-25-1 ATS as home chalk in the Jim Grobe era. (149) IOWA at (150) IOWA ST The Warhawks have made two trips to ACC land Iowa State’s 9-6 win at Iowa last season marked since ’07, splitting the ATS ledger 1/1. the first two-game winning streak in the head-to- head series since 2002. Even still, they own a strong (133) W KENTUCKY at (134) S ALABAMA 7-3 ATS mark in this rivalry since that time. It’s been South Alabama was the lone team in the Sun Belt a dog-dominated series (9-3 ATS L12) and one Conference that Western Kentucky didn’t face in marked by lower scoring battles (UNDER 7-1 since 2012, thus this week’s clash will mark the first ever ’05). meeting between the two schools. WKU was 17-7

ATS in three seasons versus SBC foes under Willie (151) ALABAMA at (152) TEXAS A&M SERIES BREAKDOWN

Taggert. The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS at home since One of the most hyped games of the college HEAD-TO-HEAD becoming a FBS program. football season kicks off Saturday in College Station, with top-ranked Alabama looking to (135) FRESNO ST at (136) COLORADO avenge its only defeat of 2012, a 29-24 home loss If Colorado is truly improved this year, it can prove it to Texas A&M. The Tide actually outgained the this week by avenging the 69-14 thrashing handed Aggies in that game 431-418, but were on the short to them at Fresno State last September. The end of a minus-3 turnover differential. A&M was 2-2 rematch is in Boulder, but the Buffaloes have a lot SU & ATS at home vs. SEC foes in 2012. of ground to make up, as they were outgained by the Bulldogs 665-283 in the blowout. (153) N ILLINOIS at (154) IDAHO Road underdogs swept two games between (137) NEVADA at (138) FLORIDA ST Northern Illinois and Idaho in 2007 & 2009, with both Florida State and new QB Jameis Winston had a games soaring over the total after producing at remarkable start to the season, winning handily at least 65 points. Of course, there’s no chance of Pittsburgh. The Seminoles will look to keep it going a road upset once again, as NIU will be heavily here at home in a first ever matchup with Nevada. favored. That said, the Huskies are in the midst of a They are 11-8 ATS at home under Jimbo Fisher. The 7-1 ATS run in true road games. Wolf Pack are making their first lined trip into ACC land. (155) MISSISSIPPI ST at (156) AUBURN Mississippi State snapped a 4-game losing streak (139) UCLA at (140) NEBRASKA to Auburn last season with a resounding 28-10 Jim Mora, Jr. started to make believers out of his win at home. The Bulldogs are just 3-8 ATS in their Bruins after their 36-30 upset win over Nebraska at L11 games of this head-to-head series however, home in week 2 of last season. Though they were including 1-4 SU & ATS in their L5 visits to Jordan- outgained by 214 yards as the Cornhuskers put Hare Stadium. The series has been lower scoring up 653, they still persevered for the win. This year’s in general, with UNDER the total 6-2 in the L8, rematch is in Lincoln, where UCLA last visited in ’94, including of course, the memorable 3-2 decision losing 49-21 to a powerhouse Tom Osborne-led of ’08. Nebraska club. (157) WASHINGTON at (158) ILLINOIS (141) GEORGIA TECH at (142) DUKE Illinois and Washington have not faced each other Duke last beat Georgia Tech in 2003, but since, the since ’72, but for what it’s worth, the Huskies have series has been all Yellow Jackets. They are 9-0 SU won five of the L6 series meetings. This contest will & 7-1-1 ATS since then, playing as the chalk every be played at Soldier Field in Chicago, and the Illini time out. The fewest points Tech has scored in that should have a sizeable regional advantage, if not span has been 24 points, and they’ve averaged considered the host team. If so, consider that Illinois 37.2 PPG. Duke is on a 8-2 ATS run at home. is just 1-7 ATS in its L8 home games versus Pac 12 teams. (143) TENNESSEE at (144) OREGON Tennessee and Oregon have met only one other (159) UCF at (160) PENN ST time in their programs’ prestigious histories, and that Penn State has won both prior meetings versus was in 2010 in Knoxville, when the Ducks somehow UCF, splitting the ATS stakes. The Nittany Lions were scored 45 unanswered points to close the game double-digit hosts for both games, in ’02 & ’04. and erase a 13-3 deficit. Oregon is host this time This time around figures to be UCF’s best shot at a around, but only 1-4 ATS in its L5 at home versus victory, and the Knights come into this game on an non-SEC foes. 8-4 ATS run as road dogs.

(145) OLE MISS at (146) TEXAS (161) BALL ST at (162) NORTH TEXAS Texas scored its most points in seven seasons in North Texas pulled a sizeable upset the last time its trip to Mississippi last year and now looks to that it hooked up with Ball State, a 20-10 decision duplicate that success this year in front of the on a 15-point line in Muncie in 2009. The rematch home folks in Austin. The Longhorns (-10.5) whipped is in Denton four years later, and the Mean Green 21 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

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have started to turn it around at home, going 8-4 This year’s rematch is at Rice, and Kansas is hoping SU & 7-5 ATS in their L12 as hosts. The Cardinals are to reverse a trend of 3-8 ATS on the road. Rice plays 33-12 ATS in their L45 road games, one of the best its home opener and is 9-5-1 ATS in its L15 games as well-kept secret trends in college football. host.

(163) MEMPHIS at (164) MIDDLE TENN ST (179) KENT ST at (180) LSU This will mark the fifth straight season that Memphis With as maligned as LSU’s non-conference and Middle Tennessee State will play each other schedule typically is, it might be somewhat of a in football. MTSU leads the series 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS surprise that the Tigers have never faced Kent in those previous four contests, including the most State before. The Golden Flashes have played SEC decisive win a year ago, 48-30 in Memphis. That teams before however, as they are 0-11 all-time, was the highest scoring game the Blue Raiders 0-4 ATS in lined games. played in all season. Underdogs are on a 3-1-1 ATS run overall in this set. (181) NOTRE DAME at (182) PURDUE Notre Dame looks for its sixth straight win over (165) SOUTHERN MISS at (166) ARKANSAS Purdue when the teams meet Saturday in West Southern Miss and Arkansas are meeting for the Lafayette. The Irish have been double digit first time ever in football. The Golden Eagles are no favorites in each of the L3 games, and still the series stranger to SEC foes however, as they have played has been at least competitive, 1-1-1 ATS in those nine times in SEC country since ’01, unfortunately three and 2-2-1 ATS in L5. Dating back a bit further, going 0-9 SU & 2-7 ATS. Arkansas HC Bret Bielema is road teams have been the side of choice 6-2-2 ATS on a 23-0 SU run at home against non-conference since ’04. foes. (183) UTEP at (184) NEW MEXICO ST (167) VANDERBILT at (168) SOUTH CAROLINA UTEP is on a 4-game winning streak against New South Carolina has been on the favorable end of Mexico State, with the Lobos having only one the scoreboard in four straight meetings against pointspread victory in that time. That ATS win was Vanderbilt, but the Commodores have done the in last year’s game a 41-28 decision in El Paso on yeoman’s work for their betting backers recently a 14-point spread. The Aggies continued a trend in the series, going 4-2 ATS since ’07. Even still, no of road dominance, at least where the Vegas talk of this SEC set would be complete without number is concerned, 6-1-1 ATS in the L8. mentioning that the last six games of the series

HEAD-T0-HEAD have gone UNDER the total, producing just 28.3 (185) W MICHIGAN at (186) NORTHWESTERN

SERIES BREAKDOWN PPG. Western Michigan is a regular visitor at Big Ten stadiums but this is the first time the Broncos will (169) TULSA at (170) OKLAHOMA have ever played Northwestern. They have been The three football meetings between Tulsa and very competitive against Big Ten teams and while Oklahoma over the last six seasons have been all they are only 0-5 SU & 2-3 ATS in the L5, the average Sooners, with an average margin of victory of 39.6 loss has been just 8.6 PPG and three games were PPG. They have put up 51.3 PPG in the three wins. decided by 5 points or less. Oklahoma has next week off, so consider this a final tune-up to get ready for the showdown with (187) TX-SAN ANTONIO at (188) ARIZONA Notre Dame on September 28th. Texas-San Antonio has opened a lot of eyes in its short FBS tenure, and after hosting Oklahoma State (171) OHIO ST at (172) CALIFORNIA of the Big 12 last week, the Roadrunners take on The back end of a home-and-home series another major player this week, this time on the between Ohio State and California finds the road at Arizona. It is the first time that UTSA will be Buckeyes visiting Berkeley. They won the game last playing a Pac 12 team, and they are looking to year in Columbus, but by no means was it decisive, continue a string of 6-1 ATS in road contests. as Cal, a 17-point dog, hung tight before falling 35-28. In fact, the Golden Bears were the dominant (189) OREGON ST at (190) UTAH team from scrimmage, outgaining the Buckeyes Oregon State and Utah will be meeting for a third 512-412. straight season, and the Utes will be looking to give the home teams a third straight outright & ATS win. (173) MASSACHUSETTS at (174) KANSAS ST The two previous contests were very similar, with the Kansas State wraps up a 3-game season opening Utes winning 27-8 in 2011, and the Beavers returning homestand with a non-conference tilt versus the favor last year, 21-7. Both games easily went Massachusetts. The Wildcats have faced the UNDER the posted total. Minutemen twice previously, eeking out a 21-17 win as 18-point favorites in 2009, and a more decisive (191) C MICHIGAN at (192) UNLV 38-7 contest in ’03. UMass is on a 2-7 ATS slide as a UNLV and Central Michigan last met in the ’94 road underdog. season, and amazingly, they faced each other twice that season, both times in Las Vegas. In the (175) FLA ATLANTIC at (176) SOUTH FLORIDA regular season game, the Chippewas won 25-20, The in-state series between Florida Atlantic and only to have UNLV get payback in the Las Vegas South Florida has seen three previous installments, Bowl, 52-24. Neither game was lined. and the Bulls own a 3-0 edge. Only the two most recent games were lined and those games were (193) WISCONSIN at (194) ARIZONA ST split 1-1 ATS with the host team sweeping the set Wisconsin makes a September trip out west for a against the spread. second straight season, hoping to avoid replicating the loss suffered at Oregon State in 2012. This is the (177) KANSAS at (178) RICE road opener for the Badgers, and they are on a Rice scored a 25-24 upset win in Lawrence last year run of 3-1-1 ATS in their first away games over the L5 as a 12.5-point dog, but in hindsight, it may not seasons. In the only recent meeting between these have truly been an “upset”. Rice went on to a 7-6 schools, the host Badgers (-11) eeked out a 20-19 22 finish while the Jayhawks won just a single game. win in 2010. THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly

In the first two issues of the Vegas Insider Football Weekly, we detailed our method for determining TOP 10 COLLEGE college football program stability and stressed how important it was in handicapping early season games. We posted the top 10 stability mismatches FOOTBALL in both weeks and after the 7-3 ATS performance in week 2, those plays have now combined to go 13-7 ATS, good for 65%! As requested, we will STABILITY continue posting these plays through week 4, as we believe that is when the effectiveness of this stability strategy wears off, as oddsmakers catch up. Please MISMATCHES note that we have also made some adjustments for quarterback injuries at TCU, Cincinnati, etc, as well as the Defensive Coordinator change at Texas. That said, here are the top College Football Stability Mismatches for Week 3, with a bonus 11th play this week due to a tie at 9:

1. (171) OHIO ST at (172) CALIFORNIA - Advantage: OHIO ST by 15 *w/o QB Miller advantage is 11 2. (135) FRESNO ST at (136) COLORADO - Advantage: FRESNO ST by 14 3. (105) TULANE at (106) LOUISIANA TECH - Advantage: TULANE by 13 4. (103) TCU at (104) TEXAS TECH - Advantage: TCU by 11 5. (185) W MICHIGAN at (186) NORTHWESTERN - Advantage: NORTHWESTERN by 11 6. (193) WISCONSIN at (194) ARIZONA ST - Advantage: ARIZONA ST by 10 7. (175) FLA ATLANTIC at (176) SOUTH FLORIDA - Advantage: FLA ATLANTIC by 10

8. (117) LOUISVILLE at (118) KENTUCKY - Advantage: LOUISVILLE by 10 COLLEGE FOOTBALL 9. (107) TROY at (108) ARKANSAS ST - Advantage: TROY by 10 10. (155) MISSISSIPPI ST at (156) AUBURN - Advantage: MISSISSIPPI ST by 9 MISMATCHES 11. (115) GEORGIA ST at (116) WEST VIRGINIA - Advantage: WEST VIRGINIA by 9 2012 Change? (0-yes) Ret TOTAL 2012 Change? (0-yes) Ret TOTAL Team (Conference) Record HC?OC?DC?QB? Strs STABILITY Team (Conference) Record HC?OC?DC?QB? Strs STABILITY AIR FORCE (MTN WEST) 6-7 4 3 0 0 2 (10) 9 NAVY (IND) 8-5 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 AKRON (MAC) 1-11 4 0 3 0 3 (14) 10 NC STATE (ACC) 7-6 0 0 0 0 2 (10) 2 ALABAMA (SEC) 13-1 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 NEBRASKA (BIG 10) 10-4 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 ARIZONA (PAC 12) 8-5 4 3 3 0 4 (17) 14 NEVADA (MTN WEST) 7-6 0 0 0 4 2 (11) 6 ARIZONA ST (PAC 12) 8-5 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 NEW MEXICO (MTN WEST) 4-9 4 3 3 0 2 (10) 12 ARKANSAS (SEC) 4-8 0 0 0 0 2 (12) 2 NEW MEXICO ST (IND) 1-11 0 0 0 0 3 (14) 3 ARKANSAS ST (SUN BELT) 10-3 0 0 3 0 2 (11) 5 NORTH CAROLINA (ACC) 8-4 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 ARMY (IND) 2-10 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 NORTH TEXAS (CUSA) 4-8 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 AUBURN (SEC) 3-9 0 0 0 4 3 (15) 7 NORTHWESTERN (BIG 10) 10-3 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 BALL ST (MAC) 9-4 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 NOTRE DAME (IND) 12-1 4 0 3 0 3 (14) 10 BAYLOR (BIG 12) 8-5 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 OHIO ST (BIG 10) 12-0 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 BOISE ST (MTN WEST) 11-2 4 3 3 4 1 (9) 15 OHIO U (MAC) 9-4 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC) 2-10 0 0 0 4 4 (18) 8 OKLAHOMA (BIG 12) 10-3 4 3 3 0 2 (11) 12 BOWLING GREEN (MAC) 8-5 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 OKLAHOMA ST (BIG 12) 8-5 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 BUFFALO (MAC) 4-8 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 OLD DOMINION (IND) 11-2 4 3 0 4 3 (15) 14 BYU (IND) 8-5 4 0 3 0 2 (12) 9 OLE MISS (SEC) 7-6 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 C MICHIGAN (MAC) 7-6 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 OREGON (PAC 12) 12-1 0 0 3 4 3 (15) 10 CALIFORNIA (PAC 12) 3-9 0 0 0 0 2 (11) 2 OREGON ST (PAC 12) 9-4 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 CINCINNATI (AMER ATH) 10-3 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 7 PENN ST (BIG 10) 8-4 4 3 3 0 3 (14) 13 CLEMSON (ACC) 11-2 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 PITTSBURGH (ACC) 6-7 4 3 0 0 3 (13) 10 COLORADO (PAC 12) 1-11 0 0 0 0 3 (16) 3 PURDUE (BIG 10) 6-7 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 3 COLORADO ST (MTN WEST) 4-8 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 RICE (CUSA) 7-6 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 CONNECTICUT (AMER ATH) 5-7 4 0 0 4 3 (13) 11 RUTGERS (AMER ATH) 9-4 4 0 0 4 2 (10) 10 DUKE (ACC) 6-7 4 3 3 0 3 (14) 13 S ALABAMA (SUN BELT) 2-11 4 3 0 4 4 (17) 15 E MICHIGAN (MAC) 2-10 4 0 0 4 3 (13) 11 SAN DIEGO ST (MTN WEST) 9-4 4 0 3 0 3 (15) 10 EAST CAROLINA (CUSA) 8-5 4 3 0 4 4 (18) 15 SAN JOSE ST (MTN WEST) 11-2 0 0 0 4 2 (12) 6 FLA ATLANTIC (CUSA) 3-9 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 SMU (AMER ATH) 7-6 4 3 3 4 2 (11) 16 FLA INTERNATIONL (CUSA) 3-9 0 0 0 4 1 (8) 5 SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC) 11-2 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 FLORIDA (SEC) 11-2 4 3 0 4 2 (10) 13 SOUTH FLORIDA (AMER ATH) 3-9 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 3 FLORIDA ST (ACC) 12-2 4 3 0 0 2 (11) 9 SOUTHERN MISS (CUSA) 0-12 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 3 FRESNO ST (MTN WEST) 9-4 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 STANFORD (PAC 12) 12-2 4 0 3 4 3 (14) 14 GEORGIA (SEC) 12-2 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 SYRACUSE (ACC) 8-5 0 0 0 0 2 (12) 2 GEORGIA ST (SUN BELT) 1-10 0 0 0 0 3 (16) 3 TCU (BIG 12) 7-6 4 3 3 0 3 (16) 17 GEORGIA TECH (ACC) 7-7 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 TEMPLE (AMER ATH) 4-7 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 HAWAII (MTN WEST) 3-9 4 0 3 4 3 (16) 14 TENNESSEE (SEC) 5-7 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 3 HOUSTON (AMER ATH) 5-7 4 0 0 4 3 (15) 11 TEXAS (BIG 12) 9-4 4 3 0 4 4 (19) 15 IDAHO (IND) 1-11 0 0 0 0 2 (10) 2 TEXAS A&M (SEC) 11-2 4 0 3 4 2 (11) 13 ILLINOIS (BIG 10) 2-10 4 0 3 4 2 (12) 13 TEXAS ST UNIV (SUN BELT) 4-8 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 INDIANA (BIG 10) 4-8 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 TEXAS TECH (BIG 12) 8-5 0 0 3 0 3 (13) 6 IOWA (BIG 10) 4-8 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 TOLEDO (MAC) 9-4 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 IOWA ST (BIG 12) 6-7 4 3 3 0 1 (9) 11 TROY (SUN BELT) 5-7 4 3 3 4 1 (9) 15 KANSAS (BIG 12) 1-11 4 3 3 0 1 (9) 11 TULANE (CUSA) 2-10 4 3 3 0 3 (16) 13 KANSAS ST (BIG 12) 11-2 4 3 3 0 2 (10) 12 TULSA (CUSA) 11-3 4 3 3 4 2 (10) 16 KENT ST (MAC) 11-3 0 3 0 0 2 (11) 5 TX-SAN ANTONIO (CUSA) 8-4 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 KENTUCKY (SEC) 2-10 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 UAB (CUSA) 3-9 4 0 3 4 3 (16) 14 LA LAFAYETTE (SUN BELT) 9-4 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 UCF (AMER ATH) 10-4 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 LA MONROE (SUN BELT) 8-5 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 UCLA (PAC 12) 9-5 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 LOUISIANA TECH (CUSA) 9-3 0 0 0 0 0 (7) 0 UNLV (MTN WEST) 2-11 4 0 0 4 4 (18) 12 LOUISVILLE (AMER ATH) 11-2 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 USC (PAC 12) 7-6 4 0 0 0 3 (15) 7 LSU (SEC) 10-3 4 0 3 4 2 (12) 13 UTAH (PAC 12) 5-7 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 MARSHALL (CUSA) 5-7 4 3 0 4 3 (15) 14 UTAH ST (MTN WEST) 11-2 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 MARYLAND (ACC) 4-8 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 UTEP (CUSA) 3-9 0 0 0 0 2 (12) 2 MASSACHUSETTS (MAC) 1-11 4 0 3 4 2 (11) 13 VANDERBILT (SEC) 9-4 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 MEMPHIS (AMER ATH) 4-8 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 VIRGINIA (ACC) 4-8 4 0 0 0 3 (16) 7 MIAMI FL (ACC) 7-5 4 0 3 4 4 (18) 15 VIRGINIA TECH (ACC) 7-6 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 MIAMI OHIO (MAC) 4-8 4 3 3 0 3 (14) 13 W KENTUCKY (SUN BELT) 7-6 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 MICHIGAN (BIG 10) 8-5 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 W MICHIGAN (MAC) 4-8 0 0 0 4 2 (12) 6 MICHIGAN ST (BIG 10) 7-6 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 WAKE FOREST (ACC) 5-7 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 MIDDLE TENN ST (CUSA) 8-4 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 WASHINGTON (PAC 12) 7-6 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 MINNESOTA (BIG 10) 6-7 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 WASHINGTON ST (PAC 12) 3-9 4 3 3 0 3 (16) 13 MISSISSIPPI ST (SEC) 8-5 4 3 3 4 2 (12) 16 WEST VIRGINIA (BIG 12) 7-6 4 3 3 0 2 (10) 12 MISSOURI (SEC) 5-7 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 WISCONSIN (BIG 10) 8-6 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 N ILLINOIS (MAC) 12-2 0 0 3 4 2 (12) 9 WYOMING (MTN WEST) 4-8 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 23 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (103) TCU (-3 | 62) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (104) TEXAS TECH [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 7:30 PM on ESPN - JONES AT&T STADIUM (LUBBOCK, TX) Offensive Offensive Statistics Statistics DefensiveDefensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TCU (24) 32.5 16 32-141 [4.4] 28-16-189 [6.8] 10.2 27.0 22 46-202 [4.3] 27-14-191 [7.0] 14.6 +2 +5.5 TEXAS TECH 51.0 33 32-142 [4.5] 53-37-453 [8.5] 11.7 18.0 23 31-85 [2.7] 53-33-337 [6.4] 23.4 -2 +33.0

TCU’s quarterback duel which had leaked into the regular season, has essentially been settled with Casey Pachall suffering a fractured left wrist this past Saturday. Trevone Boykin once again has the job to himself and is the lynchpin to the Horned Frogs success if he avoids mistakes. TCU is a road favorite and is 18-4 ATS off two or more spread losses. Texas Tech put up 714 yards on offense in stuffing SF Austin, yet still committed four turnovers in 61-13 thrashing. The Red Raiders will not be able to do that against TCU and they are 7-4 ATS as home underdog since 2003. These teams played a 56-53 thriller last year.

GAME TRENDS • TEXAS TECH is 1-9 ATS(L10G) as DOG - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than 16.7 yards per point(CS) • TCU is 5-1 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against strong teams outscoring opponents by more than 10 points per game(CS) • TEXAS TECH is 5-0 OVER(L5Y) - Against anemic teams being outscored by opponents by more than 13.5 points per game(CS)

(105) TULANE [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] AT (106) LOUISIANA TECH (-7.5 | 58) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 7:30 PM on FOX1 - JOE AILLET STADIUM (RUSTON, LA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TULANE 36.5 18 35-101 [2.9] 31-18-238 [7.6] 9.3 24.0 21 46-140 [3.0] 31-17-270 [8.7] 17.1 +7 +12.5 LOUISIANA TECH 20.5 17 35-208 [5.9] 29-18-172 [5.8] 18.5 27.0 24 46-163 [3.6] 34-20-288 [8.5] 16.7 -1 -6.5

MATCHUPS GAME TRENDS • LOUISIANA TECH is 17-5 OVER(L25G) - AT JOE AILLET STADIUM COLLEGE FOOTBALL (107) TROY [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] AT (108) ARKANSAS ST (-7.5 | 66.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 12, 2013 7:30 PM on ESPNU - LIBERTY BANK STADIUM (JONESBORO, AR)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TROY 50.0 26 39-214 [5.4] 32-29-299 [9.2] 10.3 17.0 14 27-64 [2.3] 30-16-236 [7.9] 17.6 0 +33.0 ARKANSAS ST 35.5 24 48-329 [6.9] 27-19-217 [8.1] 15.4 24.5 15 40-156 [3.9] 23-12-164 [7.1] 13.1 -2 +11.0

GAME TRENDS • ARKANSAS ST is 5-20 ATS(L25G) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards per carry(CS)

(109) AIR FORCE [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (110) BOISE ST (-23.5 | 57.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 13, 2013 8:00 PM on ESPN - BRONCO STADIUM (BOISE, ID)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF AIR FORCE 29.0 22 56-285 [5.1] 14-6-90 [6.2] 12.9 32.5 25 43-187 [4.3] 33-23-251 [7.5] 13.5 +1 -3.5 BOISE ST 34.5 24 45-195 [4.3] 39-24-213 [5.5] 11.8 26.0 26 51-207 [4.1] 33-22-267 [8.1] 18.2 +5 +8.5

Boise State enjoyed a feel good performance in trashing Tenn.-Martin 63-14, as they found answers after the Washington disaster. The Broncos focused a lot of attention on throwing the ball down the field and averaged 12.6 yards per completion. Is Boise State really back, we start to find out in their conference opener. The Broncos are 61-3 SU at home the last decade but just 30-27 ATS (2-10 L2Y) in that time span. Air Force was pulverized by Utah State at home 52-20 and were never in the game. The usually reliable option attack produced just 149 yards on the ground. The Falcons are a miserable 4-16 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points.

GAME TRENDS • AIR FORCE is 9-1 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - Against anemic passing teams averaging less than 5.7 yards per attempt(CS) • BOISE ST is 0-7 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards per carry(CS) • AIR FORCE is 10-0 OVER(L10G) on ROAD as DOG - After OU over

24 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (111) E MICHIGAN [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (112) RUTGERS (-27.5 | 51) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 1:00 PM on ESPN3 - HIGH POINT SOLUTIONS STADIUM (PISCATAWAY, NJ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF E MICHIGAN 20.5 16 38-115 [3.0] 27-18-166 [6.1] 13.7 34.5 21 37-226 [6.1] 33-22-252 [7.5] 13.9 +3 -14.0 RUTGERS 44.5 20 44-234 [5.3] 31-19-249 [7.9] 10.9 26.0 19 25-70 [2.8] 50-30-272 [5.4] 13.2 +2 +18.5

GAME TRENDS • RUTGERS is 17-6 UNDER(L25G) - All Games

(113) STANFORD (-28.5 | 52) [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (114) ARMY [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM on CBSS - MICHIE STADIUM (WEST POINT, NY)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF STANFORD (5) 34.0 25 41-197 [4.8] 27-17-207 [7.7] 11.9 13.0 22 23-35 [1.5] 44-29-216 [4.9] 19.3 0 +21.0 ARMY 21.0 19 53-329 [6.2] 14-5-88 [6.3] 19.9 26.0 20 43-150 [3.5] 23-14-220 [9.4] 14.2 -1 -5.0

GAME TRENDS • STANFORD is 18-6-1 ATS(L25G) - After blowout win

(115) GEORGIA ST [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] AT (116) WEST VIRGINIA (-39 | 56.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1]

SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM - MOUNTAINEER FIELD (MORGANTOWN, WV) COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics MATCHUPS 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GEORGIA ST 17.5 16 21-51 [2.4] 43-22-332 [7.7] 21.9 36.5 20 48-253 [5.3] 23-15-150 [6.5] 11.0 -1 -19.0 WEST VIRGINIA 15.5 21 34-170 [5.0] 34-20-227 [6.7] 25.6 16.5 16 44-209 [4.8] 24-14-163 [6.8] 22.5 0 -1.0

GAME TRENDS • WEST VIRGINIA is 17-7 OVER(L25G) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.6 yards per carry(CS)

(117) LOUISVILLE (-13 | 59.5) [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] AT (118) KENTUCKY [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM on ESPN - COMMONWEALTH STADIUM (LEXINGTON, KY)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LOUISVILLE (7) 46.5 23 34-138 [4.1] 32-24-406 [12.5] 11.7 7.0 12 35-94 [2.7] 23-12-145 [6.2] 34.1 +2 +39.5 KENTUCKY 33.5 21 35-239 [6.7] 31-21-308 [9.8] 16.3 21.0 15 42-157 [3.8] 24-15-147 [6.1] 14.5 0 +12.5

It is the Bluegrass rivalry matchup and Louisville is solid double digit favorite. The Cardinals Teddy Bridgewater is appearing to be a top candidate for the Heisman Trophy and his team is giving the appearance it might be better than the crew which slammed Florida in the Sugar Bowl. Louisville is 4-8 ATS the past four years as a double digit favorite. With the return of sophomore QB Mark Smith, Kentucky gave its first evidence of its “Air Raid” attack. The Wildcats mauled Miami- Ohio 41-7 and could make this a far more interesting encounter than anticipated. What Kentucky has to do is keep the pressure off of Smith and have receivers run precise routes against the Cards talented secondary.

GAME TRENDS • LOUISVILLE is 9-1 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - After ATS loss • KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS(L5Y) as DOG - In September • LOUISVILLE is 7-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against decent teams outscoring opponents by more than 7 points per game(CS)

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Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (119) MARSHALL (-7.5 | 68.5) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] AT (120) OHIO U [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 8:00 PM on ESPNNEWS - PEDEN STADIUM (ATHENS, OH)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MARSHALL 53.5 30 48-264 [5.5] 36-23-286 [7.9] 10.3 7.0 11 39-70 [1.8] 21-9-141 [6.6] 30.1 +5 +46.5 OHIO U 17.0 16 34-142 [4.2] 30-17-215 [7.1] 21.0 35.0 19 39-151 [3.9] 30-22-305 [10.2] 13.0 +1 -18.0

Marshall’s QB Rakeem Cato remains sharp and is the catalyst to the Thundering Herd’s offense and they will have stiff road challenge in Athens. Marshall wants to return to the glory days of Chad Pennington, Byron Leftwich and Randy Moss and be the dominant team in Conference USA. Coach Doc Holliday has them headed in that direct, but they are only 3-10-2 ATS as road favorites. Ohio U. had a two-touchdown lead over North Texas, but needed a pair of fourth quarter fields to edge the mean Green 27-21. Their inability to put away North Texas left questions facing a high-powered opponent. The Bobcats are only 2-3 in previous five meetings, yet are 5-0 ATS.

GAME TRENDS • OHIO is 10-0 ATS(L10G) at HOME - Against decent rushing defenses yielding less than 3.6 yards per carry(CS) • MARSHALL is 1-8 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 6.0 yards per play(CS) • MARSHALL is 10-0 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 7.9 yards per attempt(CS)

(121) AKRON [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (122) MICHIGAN (-37 | 57) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM on BTN - MICHIGAN STADIUM (ANN ARBOR, MI)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF AKRON 21.0 14 30-101 [3.4] 28-19-201 [7.1] 14.4 35.5 24 45-172 [3.8] 35-24-314 [9.0] 13.7 -1 -14.5 MATCHUPS MICHIGAN (11) 50.0 23 43-204 [4.7] 27-17-257 [9.5] 9.2 19.5 17 24-81 [3.4] 40-21-229 [5.7] 15.9 0 +30.5

COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME TRENDS • AKRON is 6-16-1 ATS(L25G) - Against opportunistic offenses averaging less than 12.35 yards per point(CS)

(123) BOWLING GREEN [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] AT (124) INDIANA (-3 | 62.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM on ESPNU - MEMORIAL STADIUM (BLOOMINGTON, IN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BOWLING GREEN 37.5 24 49-226 [4.6] 26-15-260 [9.8] 13.0 14.5 13 26-94 [3.6] 34-17-193 [5.6] 19.8 +2 +23.0 INDIANA 54.0 27 40-215 [5.4] 36-24-341 [9.3] 10.3 38.0 21 54-287 [5.3] 18-7-123 [6.6] 10.8 -2 +16.0

Coming into the season, the assumption was Indiana would move the ball and score, but would its defense hold up. After Navy rushed for 444 yards against the Hoosiers in their 41-35 upset, will this be the side of the ball which prevents Indiana from its first winning regular season since 1994? The Hoosiers are 1-7 ATS in non-conference clashes when favored by 13 or fewer points. Bowling Green is emerging as the team to beat in the MAC East with their 2-0 start. Already buoyed by a strong defense, the Falcons might have found their answer at quarterback after sophomore Matt Johnson passed for 357 yards last week. Bowling Green is 24-14 as road underdogs since ’03.

GAME TRENDS • INDIANA is 6-0 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - OU line of 60 or more • BOWLING GREEN is 5-0 OVER(L5Y) as DOG - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.6 yards per carry(CS) • BOWLING GREEN is 1-6 ATS(L10G) on ROAD as DOG - OU line of 60 or more

(125) VIRGINIA TECH (-7.5 | 51.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-1-1] AT (126) EAST CAROLINA [SU:2-0 | ATS:0-1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM on FOX1 - DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM (GREENVILLE, NC)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF VIRGINIA TECH 27.5 15 33-195 [5.8] 30-12-142 [4.7] 12.3 19.0 9 39-103 [2.7] 19-7-80 [4.2] 9.6 0 +8.5 EAST CAROLINA 41.5 21 28-72 [2.6] 42-33-324 [7.7] 9.5 25.5 21 28-97 [3.4] 46-31-274 [6.0] 14.5 +2 +16.0

GAME TRENDS • VIRGINIA TECH is 17-7-1 ATS(L25G) - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(CS)

26 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (127) MARYLAND (-7 | 48.5) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] AT (128) CONNECTICUT [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:30 PM on ESPN3 - RENTSCHLER FIELD (HARTFORD, CT)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MARYLAND 45.0 27 44-281 [6.4] 26-19-300 [11.5] 12.9 10.0 13 39-128 [3.3] 30-15-125 [4.1] 25.3 +2 +35.0 CONNECTICUT 18.0 15 27-81 [3.0] 28-16-206 [7.4] 15.9 33.0 17 50-201 [4.0] 20-13-192 [9.6] 11.9 -1 -15.0

GAME TRENDS • CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS(L5Y) as DOG - Against decent defensive teams yielding less than 5.0 yards per play(CS)

(129) NEW MEXICO [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] AT (130) PITTSBURGH (-21 | 52) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:30 PM on ESPN3 - HEINZ FIELD (PITTSBURGH, PA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEW MEXICO 27.5 20 49-294 [5.9] 12-5-86 [7.2] 13.8 28.0 22 39-218 [5.5] 27-18-178 [6.6] 14.1 0 -0.5 PITTSBURGH 13.0 16 27-96 [3.6] 28-15-201 [7.2] 22.8 41.0 24 34-156 [4.6] 29-27-377 [13.0] 13.0 -2 -28.0

GAME TRENDS • NEW MEXICO is 17-8 UNDER(L3Y) - All Games

(131) LA MONROE [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (132) WAKE FOREST (-3.5 | 54) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:30 PM on ESPN3 - GROVES STADIUM (WINSTON-SALEM, NC) MATCHUPS Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LA MONROE 24.0 17 30-202 [6.8] 34-18-166 [4.8] 15.3 22.0 18 42-199 [4.8] 28-12-133 [4.7] 15.1 -2 +2.0 WAKE FOREST 20.5 20 46-122 [2.6] 28-16-205 [7.3] 16.0 15.5 9 35-146 [4.2] 16-9-86 [5.2] 15.0 +2 +5.0

GAME TRENDS • LA MONROE is 9-1 OVER(L10G) as DOG - Against elite defensive teams allowing less than 17.5 PPG(CS)

(133) W KENTUCKY (-9.5 | 53.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] AT (134) S ALABAMA [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:30 PM on ESPN3 - LADD-PEEBLES STADIUM (MOBILE, AL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF W KENTUCKY 27.5 21 37-193 [5.2] 35-22-246 [7.0] 16.0 39.0 17 38-228 [5.9] 23-14-172 [7.3] 10.3 -7 -11.5 S ALABAMA 31.0 20 39-177 [4.6] 30-19-222 [7.3] 12.9 30.5 17 33-89 [2.7] 35-21-255 [7.2] 11.3 -2 +0.5

GAME TRENDS • W KENTUCKY is 19-8 ATS(L3Y) - All Games

(135) FRESNO ST (-9.5 | 67.5) [SU:2-0 | ATS:0-2] AT (136) COLORADO [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 2:00 PM - FOLSOM FIELD (BOULDER, CO)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF FRESNO ST 46.5 28 31-121 [3.9] 54-38-339 [6.3] 9.9 38.0 19 40-183 [4.5] 34-20-296 [8.7] 12.6 -1 +8.5 COLORADO 39.5 23 34-98 [2.9] 41-28-370 [9.0] 11.8 25.5 17 27-77 [2.9] 47-27-240 [5.1] 12.4 +2 +14.0

GAME TRENDS • COLORADO is 5-14 ATS(L3Y) - AS underdog of more than 7 points

(137) NEVADA [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] AT (138) FLORIDA ST (-32 | 65.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 3:30 PM on ESPN - DOAK CAMPBELL STADIUM (TALLAHASSE, FL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEVADA 28.0 27 57-219 [3.8] 31-21-225 [7.3] 15.9 32.5 21 36-231 [6.4] 31-18-240 [7.7] 14.5 +2 -4.5 FLORIDA ST (10) 41.0 24 34-156 [4.6] 29-27-377 [13.0] 13.0 13.0 16 27-96 [3.6] 28-15-201 [7.2] 22.8 +2 +28.0

GAME TRENDS • NEVADA is 10-0 OVER(L10G) on ROAD as DOG - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(CS)

27 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (139) UCLA [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (140) NEBRASKA (-4.5 | 70) [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM on ABC - MEMORIAL STADIUM (LINCOLN, NE)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UCLA (16) 58.0 32 47-345 [7.3] 35-24-302 [8.6] 11.2 20.0 24 51-171 [3.4] 35-21-182 [5.2] 17.6 -1 +38.0 NEBRASKA (23) 46.5 28 54-330 [6.1] 25-18-174 [7.0] 10.8 23.5 25 28-140 [4.9] 40-25-302 [7.5] 18.8 +3 +23.0

Nebraska started and finished the deal versus Southern Miss compared to the Wyoming opener and should have chip on their shoulder preparing UCLA. The Cornhuskers surrendered 653 yards in L.A. last season, falling 36-30. The Nebraska defense is still full of uncertainty and might have to produce turnovers to contain UCLA. The Huskers come into this battle 21-39 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. Maybe it has been the opposition, but most teams are ready to play off a bye week. Not UCLA, who is 4-17 ATS in road games with a week between conflicts. If the Bruins offense remains balanced and the defensive front seven holds up, UCLA will have a shot.

GAME TRENDS • NEBRASKA is 7-1 ATS(L25G) at HOME as FAV - VS AP top 25 • UCLA is 1-7 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD as DOG - More than 6 days rest • UCLA is 9-1 OVER(L10G) as DOG - VS AP top 25

(141) GEORGIA TECH (-8.5 | 56) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (142) DUKE [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 3:30 PM on ESPNU - WALLACE WADE STADIUM (DURHAM, NC)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GEORGIA TECH 70.0 23 50-368 [7.4] 11-7-189 [17.2] 8.0 0.0 16 34-89 [2.6] 35-20-164 [4.7] 0.0 +4 +70.0 DUKE 36.5 26 47-215 [4.6] 32-23-264 [8.1] 13.1 7.0 10 31-85 [2.7] 28-14-125 [4.5] 30.0 0 +29.5

Duke’s 2-0 start is tempered with the news starting QB Anthony Boone is out with an apparent MATCHUPS broken collarbone. In comes Brandon Connette to run coach David Cutcliffe’s offense and his style means change, starting with being left-handed for pass catchers. The Blue Devils defense

COLLEGE FOOTBALL has performed admirably to date, but Georgia Tech has rushed for 330 yards on average the past four years. Duke is 12-23 ATS as home dog since 2005. With a week off, the Yellow Jackets are after their fifth 2-0 start in seven years on the road. Coach Paul Johnson thinks this could be his best squad since they won the ACC in 2009 and they are 6-1-1 ATS vs. Duke in recent outings.

GAME TRENDS • DUKE is 9-1 OVER(L10G) - VS ACC • DUKE is 1-9 ATS(L10G) at HOME - Against elite defensive teams yielding less than 4.4 yards per play(CS) • GEORGIA TECH is 9-1 OVER(L5Y) as FAV - In September

(143) TENNESSEE [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] AT (144) OREGON (-27 | 70) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 3:30 PM on ABC - AUTZEN STADIUM (EUGENE, OR)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TENNESSEE 48.5 25 48-277 [5.7] 20-13-137 [6.8] 8.5 10.0 16 30-125 [4.1] 31-15-177 [5.7] 30.2 +7 +38.5 OREGON (2) 62.5 28 42-425 [10.0] 27-15-239 [8.7] 10.6 6.5 20 38-105 [2.8] 48-28-215 [4.4] 49.2 +6 +56.0

Tennessee took full advantage of seven Western Kentucky turnovers in a 52-20 romp. While this was a feeding frenzy in Knoxville, the Volunteers will try not to be engulfed on Eugene. Though Coach Butch Jones was pleased with the effort, he said after the game, “As we continue to move forward, we can’t make silly of mistakes.” In the Vols last 13 attempts; they are 8-5 ATS as away underdogs vs. Top 10 foes. Oregon is back home after their longest road trip on 40 years after vanquishing Virginia. The Ducks were expected to have a superior offense, yet the defense has been just as impressive. Oregon is 14-2 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more YPP in consecutive games.

GAME TRENDS • OREGON is 6-0-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against opportunistic offenses averaging less than 12.35 yards per point(CS) • TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS(L3Y) - After ATS win • OREGON is 6-0 OVER(L5Y) at HOME as FAV - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.7 yards per carry(CS)

28 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (145) OLE MISS [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] AT (146) TEXAS (-4.5 | NL) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 8:00 PM on LHN - DARRELL K. ROYAL - TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM (AUSTIN, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OLE MISS (25) 35.0 26 43-239 [5.5] 39-22-271 [6.9] 14.6 24.0 18 37-109 [3.0] 30-18-229 [7.7] 14.1 +1 +11.0 TEXAS 38.5 24 40-245 [6.1] 37-23-334 [9.0] 15.0 23.5 25 55-327 [5.9] 36-20-185 [5.1] 21.8 +2 +15.0

BYU rushed for 550 yards against the Texas defense and the fallout was swift as DC Manny Diaz was relieved of his duties, with veteran coach Greg Robinson taking over as defensive coordinator. Mack Brown is in full damage control and having to prepare for a diverse Ole Miss offense only makes the situation doubly tough. The Longhorns are 1-11 ATS in Austin if opponent is off a victory and over .500. Hard to say if Mississippi is catching Texas at the right time or not, will they find an angry group of Horns or a confused bunch? Coach Hugh Freeze has the offense to confuse an already shaken Texas defense and his teams are 10-2 ATS on the road.

GAME TRENDS • TEXAS is 0-6 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - VS AP top 25 • TEXAS is 1-9 ATS(L10G) at HOME - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(CS) • MISSISSIPPI is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - Against strong offensive teams averaging more than 6.0 yards per play(CS)

(147) BOSTON COLLEGE [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] AT (148) USC (-14 | 43) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 3:00 PM on PAC12 - LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM (LOS ANGELES, CA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics MATCHUPS 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BOSTON COLLEGE 24.0 18 43-159 [3.7] 22-15-204 [9.3] 15.1 12.0 16 37-126 [3.4] 28-17-174 [6.2] 25.0 +5 +12.0 USC 18.5 18 43-165 [3.8] 25-13-113 [4.5] 15.0 11.5 13 26-15 [0.6] 39-21-211 [5.4] 19.7 +3 +7.0

GAME TRENDS • BOSTON COLLEGE is 35-12 UNDER(L5Y) - All Games

(149) IOWA (-2.5 | 48) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (150) IOWA ST [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 6:00 PM on FOX1 - JACK TRICE STADIUM (AMES, IA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF IOWA 27.5 24 50-249 [4.9] 32-20-224 [6.9] 17.2 22.0 16 32-116 [3.6] 35-19-201 [5.7] 14.4 -1 +5.5 IOWA ST 20.0 21 44-168 [3.8] 32-22-242 [7.6] 20.5 28.0 23 33-228 [6.9] 29-22-229 [7.9] 16.3 +2 -8.0

GAME TRENDS • IOWA is 2-9-1 ATS(L2Y) - VS Non-ranked team

(151) ALABAMA (-7 | 62) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (152) TEXAS A&M [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 3:30 PM on CBS - KYLE FIELD (COLLEGE STATION, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ALABAMA (1) 35.0 11 38-96 [2.5] 24-10-110 [4.6] 5.9 10.0 7 33-153 [4.6] 26-5-59 [2.3] 21.2 0 +25.0 TEXAS A&M (6) 58.5 31 39-208 [5.3] 37-27-392 [10.5] 10.3 29.5 21 46-273 [5.9] 26-14-176 [6.7] 15.2 +2 +29.0

Let the hype begin for the most anticipated matchup of the early season. Johnny Manziel cares little about his public persona and most Texas A&M fans do also, as long as he leads the Aggies to wins. The Texas A&M offense looks awesome under Manziel. The same cannot be said about the Aggies defense, which has allowed 546 yards on the ground in two games. A&M is 9-6-1 ATS as a home pooch since 2004. The Alabama offensive line was criticized after the running backs averaged 2.5 YPC against Virginia Tech. The reality is, this is a benchmark contest for both clubs and though the Aggies won last season, Nick Saban is 9-1 ATS in September road affairs at Bama.

GAME TRENDS • ALABAMA is 27-14 ATS(L5Y) - as favorite of more than 7 points • TEXAS A&M is 5-18-1 ATS(L25G) as DOG - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest • TEXAS A&M is 18-6-1 OVER(L25G) as DOG - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.5 yards per attempt(CS)

29 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (153) N ILLINOIS (-28 | 62) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] AT (154) IDAHO [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 5:00 PM - KIBBIE ACTIVITY CENTER (MOSCOW, ID)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF N ILLINOIS 30.0 20 42-163 [3.9] 41-25-275 [6.7] 14.6 27.0 24 43-202 [4.7] 37-21-256 [6.9] 17.0 +2 +3.0 IDAHO 8.0 15 40-149 [3.7] 30-21-217 [7.1] 45.8 41.0 26 42-224 [5.3] 36-25-353 [9.7] 14.1 -2 -33.0

GAME TRENDS • N ILLINOIS is 17-8 UNDER(L25G) - OU line of 60 or more

(155) MISSISSIPPI ST [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] AT (156) AUBURN (-6.5 | 51) [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:00 PM on ESPN2 - JORDAN-HARE STADIUM (AUBURN, AL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MISSISSIPPI ST 27.0 23 45-194 [4.3] 33-18-250 [7.6] 16.4 14.0 14 32-157 [4.8] 29-16-140 [4.8] 21.2 0 +13.0 AUBURN 34.5 19 47-299 [6.3] 19-10-133 [6.8] 12.5 16.5 26 31-135 [4.4] 53-32-308 [5.8] 26.8 +2 +18.0

GAME TRENDS MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-17 ATS(L25G) as DOG - All Games

(157) WASHINGTON (-9.5 | 63) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] VS (158) ILLINOIS [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 6:00 PM on BTN - SOLDIER FIELD (CHICAGO, IL)[NEUT]

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WASHINGTON (19) 38.0 33 54-268 [5.0] 31-23-324 [10.5] 15.6 6.0 23 42-171 [4.1] 46-29-175 [3.8] 57.7 0 +32.0 ILLINOIS 43.5 24 34-129 [3.8] 37-27-363 [9.8] 11.3 25.5 20 29-107 [3.7] 41-24-324 [7.8] 16.9 0 +18.0

After a sensational opening game performance, Washington heads to the Windy City to face

MATCHUPS a possibly better than presumed Illinois squad. The Huskies 17 returning starters were crisp in bouncing Boise State and have to play with the same passion away from Seattle. Keith Price directs an offense which hung 592 yards on the Broncos and Washington is 8-1 ATS off a bye with COLLEGE FOOTBALL Steve Sarkisian as coach. Illinois crushed Cincinnati with a diversified passing attack spearheaded by Nathan Scheelhaase. The Fighting Illini QB threw for 312 yards, four touchdowns and utilized nine different receivers. History dictates Illinois is a poor wager (10-22 ATS after 475+ yards offense), but they are 11-2 ATS in away games after zero turnovers.

GAME TRENDS • ILLINOIS is 19-6 ATS(L25G) - Against high-scoring teams averaging 32 PPG or more(CS) • WASHINGTON is 6-15-3 ATS(L25G) - As ranked team VS non-ranked team • ILLINOIS is 16-6 UNDER(L25G) - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 15.3 yards per point(CS)

(159) UCF [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] AT (160) PENN ST (-5 | 50.5) [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 6:00 PM on BTN - BEAVER STADIUM (UNIVERSITY PARK, PA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UCF 38.0 19 38-161 [4.2] 24-16-272 [11.3] 11.4 3.5 12 32-82 [2.6] 26-18-129 [4.9] 60.3 +3 +34.5 PENN ST 34.0 19 38-154 [4.0] 33-24-309 [9.2] 13.6 12.0 11 36-66 [1.8] 32-17-155 [4.8] 18.4 -3 +22.0

Since becoming a FBS program in 2002, Central Florida has steadily beefed up its nonconference schedule and this year makes the trip to Happy Valley. Coach George O’Leary is already in his 10th season with UCF and has a club which could finish as high as second in the new AAC. The Knights have whipped two inferior foes and are as tough as their coach. O’Leary is 13-2 ATS in road games after a win by 28 or more points in his career. Penn State’s run defense is off to great start, ranked eighth in the country. Coach Bill O’Brien continues to receive max effort from his players and his club is 6-0 ATS off a home triumph.

GAME TRENDS • UCF is 34-20 ATS(L5Y) - All Games • PENN ST is 4-20-1 ATS(L25G) - Against strong teams outscoring opponents by more than 10 points per game(CS) • PENN ST is 16-2 UNDER(L5Y) - Non-conference games

30 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (161) BALL ST (-3 | 61) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] AT (162) NORTH TEXAS [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 4:00 PM - APOGEE STADIUM (DENTON, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BALL ST 45.5 23 33-97 [3.0] 38-23-332 [8.6] 9.4 21.0 19 50-218 [4.4] 24-13-179 [7.3] 18.9 +4 +24.5 NORTH TEXAS 30.5 20 41-145 [3.5] 31-23-299 [9.5] 14.6 16.5 17 37-181 [4.8] 29-19-234 [8.1] 25.2 0 +14.0

GAME TRENDS • NORTH TEXAS is 7-18 ATS(L25G) as DOG - Against good teams with 60%+ winning pct(CS)

(163) MEMPHIS [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (164) MIDDLE TENN ST (-6.5 | 52) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:00 PM - FLOYD STADIUM (MURFREESBORO, TN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MEMPHIS 14.0 12 33-89 [2.7] 24-14-148 [6.2] 16.9 28.0 25 45-173 [3.8] 37-25-297 [8.0] 16.8 +1 -14.0 MIDDLE TENN ST 32.5 25 45-214 [4.7] 34-21-224 [6.6] 13.5 32.0 22 38-124 [3.3] 36-22-317 [8.8] 13.8 -2 +0.5

GAME TRENDS • MIDDLE TENN ST is 19-5-1 ATS(L25G) - Against poor offensive teams averaging less than 4.8 yards per play(CS)

(165) SOUTHERN MISS [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] AT (166) ARKANSAS (-22 | 49.5) [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:21 PM on ESPN3 - RAZORBACK STADIUM (FAYETTEVILLE, AR) MATCHUPS Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SOUTHERN MISS 14.0 16 25-42 [1.7] 45-24-299 [6.7] 24.4 39.0 21 43-183 [4.3] 25-16-164 [6.6] 8.9 -8 -25.0 ARKANSAS 32.5 23 52-312 [6.0] 20-12-177 [8.9] 15.0 17.5 16 28-99 [3.5] 29-18-153 [5.2] 14.4 -1 +15.0

GAME TRENDS • ARKANSAS is 16-6 OVER(L25G) as FAV - AT RAZORBACK STADIUM

(167) VANDERBILT [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (168) SOUTH CAROLINA (-13 | 50.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:00 PM on ESPN - WILLIAMS-BRICE STADIUM (COLUMBIA, SC)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF VANDERBILT 36.5 20 34-147 [4.3] 32-20-286 [8.8] 11.9 21.0 17 35-145 [4.1] 31-21-168 [5.3] 14.9 -2 +15.5 SOUTH CAROLINA (13) 28.5 19 37-227 [6.1] 23-14-203 [8.8] 15.1 25.5 21 44-163 [3.7] 33-21-251 [7.6] 16.2 0 +3.0

Jadeveon Clowney is whining he’s not being properly to make plays by his South Carolina coaches. Granted, there is some truth to Clowney’s complaining, still, his general overall effort is lacking. He and his Gamecock teammates will want to square up their SEC East record with Vandy in town. The South Carolina offense continues to move the pigskin and with their multiple attack, they should add up points against a Vanderbilt defense which scuffled with Mississippi. The Commodores are 2-8 and 3-6-1 ATS at Columbia and will look to run right on the other USC like the first two opponents have. A true test for Vandy QB Austyn Carta-Samuels to maintain his poise and play smart on the road.

GAME TRENDS • SOUTH CAROLINA is 30-17-1 ATS(L5Y) - On grass field • VANDERBILT is 7-15-1 ATS(L5Y) - AS underdog of more than 7 points • SOUTH CAROLINA is 18-5-1 OVER(L25G) at HOME - Against inefficient defenses allowing less than 15.3 yards per point(CS)

(169) TULSA [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (170) OKLAHOMA (-24.5 | 49) [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 12:00 PM on ESPN2 - OKLAHOMA MEMORIAL STADIUM AT OWEN FIELD (NORMAN, OK)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TULSA 18.5 17 34-133 [3.9] 40-20-217 [5.4] 18.9 30.5 16 44-205 [4.7] 28-12-135 [4.8] 11.1 -1 -12.0 OKLAHOMA (14) 25.0 23 53-310 [5.8] 27-12-121 [4.5] 17.2 3.5 14 23-103 [4.5] 40-20-173 [4.3] 78.9 0 +21.5

GAME TRENDS • TULSA is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.5 yards per attempt(CS)

31 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3

Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (171) OHIO ST [SU:2-0 | ATS:1-1] AT (172) CALIFORNIA (NL | NL) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:00 PM on FOX - CALIFORNIA MEMORIAL STADIUM (BERKELEY, CA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OHIO ST (4) 41.0 22 42-262 [6.2] 26-18-190 [7.2] 11.0 13.5 17 31-68 [2.2] 36-20-200 [5.5] 19.9 +2 +27.5 CALIFORNIA 33.5 30 39-112 [2.8] 57-36-470 [8.2] 17.4 37.0 22 39-227 [5.7] 29-16-303 [10.3] 14.3 +1 -3.5

The early week reports have QB Braxton Miller “day to day” with a strained MCL. It could makes sense to sit the junior and have him ready for Wisconsin in two weeks, especially since backup Kenny Guiton does the job each time he’s called upon. The Ohio State defense will be tested by Cal coach Sonny Dykes passing offense, which is the best in college football at 470 YPG. The Buckeyes are 11-4 SU and ATS against the Pac-12 since 1993. The California offense could put up prolific passing numbers, but wins will be scarce unless the defense can do better than allow 37 PPG. The Bears are 2-9 ATS as home dogs the last nine years.

GAME TRENDS • OHIO ST is 20-4-1 ATS(L25G) - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.7 yards per play(CS) • OHIO ST is 34-18-1 ATS(L5Y) - All Games • OHIO ST is 20-5 UNDER(L25G) - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(CS)

(173) MASSACHUSETTS [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] AT (174) KANSAS ST (-38.5 | 54.5) [SU:1-1 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:00 PM - BILL SNYDER STADIUM (MANHATTAN, KS)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MASSACHUSETTS 7.0 13 25-82 [3.2] 36-17-156 [4.3] 34.0 34.5 21 44-320 [7.2] 23-15-236 [10.3] 16.1 0 -27.5 KANSAS ST 34.5 20 30-95 [3.2] 31-22-292 [9.3] 11.2 25.5 19 41-196 [4.7] 30-19-179 [5.9] 14.7 -2 +9.0

MATCHUPS GAME TRENDS • MASSACHUSETTS is 4-11 ATS(L3Y) - As underdog COLLEGE FOOTBALL (175) FLA ATLANTIC [SU:0-2 | ATS:1-0-1] AT (176) SOUTH FLORIDA (-11.5 | 43.5) [SU:0-2 | ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:00 PM on ESPN3 - RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM (TAMPA, FL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF FLA ATLANTIC 9.5 17 38-118 [3.1] 36-19-147 [4.1] 27.9 32.5 18 36-206 [5.7] 30-19-201 [6.6] 12.5 -1 -23.0 SOUTH FLORIDA 13.5 13 28-111 [4.0] 33-12-137 [4.2] 18.4 37.0 17 40-175 [4.4] 24-14-169 [6.9] 9.3 -2 -23.5

GAME TRENDS • FL ATLANTIC is 7-23-1 ATS(L5Y) - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than 16.7 yards per point(CS)

(177) KANSAS [SU:1-0 | ATS:0-1] AT (178) RICE (-6.5 | 58) [SU:0-1 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:30 PM on CBSS - RICE STADIUM (HOUSTON, TX)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF KANSAS 31.0 20 50-280 [5.6] 20-10-110 [5.5] 12.6 14.0 15 43-219 [5.1] 18-8-67 [3.7] 20.4 0 +17.0 RICE 31.0 28 51-306 [6.0] 37-21-203 [5.5] 16.4 52.0 25 39-202 [5.2] 27-20-284 [10.5] 9.3 -1 -21.0

GAME TRENDS • KANSAS is 21-3 ATS(L25G) - Against poor passing teams averaging less than 6.15 yards per attempt(CS)

(179) KENT ST [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (180) LSU (-36.5 | 55) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 7:00 PM on ESPNU - TIGER STADIUM (BATON ROUGE, LA)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF KENT ST 19.5 17 38-152 [4.0] 28-18-179 [6.4] 17.0 25.5 18 34-126 [3.7] 23-16-273 [11.6] 15.6 -2 -6.0 LSU (8) 46.5 24 41-174 [4.3] 26-16-272 [10.5] 9.6 22.0 15 34-137 [4.0] 26-12-140 [5.3] 12.6 +1 +24.5

GAME TRENDS • KENT ST is 1-9 ATS(L10G) - On grass field

32 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (181) NOTRE DAME (-20.5 | 50) [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (182) PURDUE [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 8:00 PM on ABC - ROSS-ADE STADIUM (WEST LAFAYETTE, IN)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NOTRE DAME (21) 29.0 22 27-142 [5.3] 40-23-334 [8.4] 16.4 23.5 25 34-150 [4.4] 40-22-261 [6.5] 17.5 0 +5.5 PURDUE 13.5 14 34-99 [2.9] 29-16-155 [5.3] 18.8 28.0 18 34-130 [3.8] 35-23-230 [6.6] 12.9 0 -14.5

It is beginning to appear the vaunted Notre Dame defense is missing its inspirational leader Manti Te’o, ranked 78th in total defense. The Fighting Irish has not been able to contain the opposing quarterbacks and the secondary has been made a mockery of. Facing an inferior opponent like Purdue should help the stats; however, the Irish are a feckless 8-19 ATS as double digit faves. The Boilermakers escaped with a 20-14 home victory over Indiana State and it was hardly a cause for celebration as 17-point favorites. Senior QB Rob Henry continues with below average efforts and Purdue could suffer a brutal year as this begins a scheduling gauntlet for the Boilers.

GAME TRENDS • NOTRE DAME is 11-22-3 ATS(L5Y) as FAV - VS Non-ranked team • PURDUE is 20-5 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 7.5 yards per attempt(CS) • NOTRE DAME is 34-18-1 UNDER(L5Y) - All Games

(183) UTEP (-6.5 | 55) [SU:0-1 | ATS:0-1] AT (184) NEW MEXICO ST [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 8:00 PM - AGGIE MEMORIAL STADIUM (LAS CRUCES, NM)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics MATCHUPS 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UTEP 35.0 22 46-280 [6.1] 20-15-119 [6.0] 11.4 42.0 25 57-395 [6.9] 7-4-88 [12.6] 11.5 +1 -7.0 NEW MEXICO ST 14.0 19 39-103 [2.6] 43-30-247 [5.8] 25.0 50.0 23 42-350 [8.2] 22-15-241 [10.7] 11.8 0 -36.0

GAME TRENDS • UTEP is 1-9 ATS(L10G) as FAV - All Games

(185) W MICHIGAN [SU:0-2 | ATS:1-1] AT (186) NORTHWESTERN (-31.5 | 58.5) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 9:00 PM on BTN - RYAN FIELD (EVANSTON, IL)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF W MICHIGAN 18.0 22 35-121 [3.4] 45-21-223 [4.9] 19.1 26.5 18 41-201 [4.9] 27-13-170 [6.2] 14.0 -2 -8.5 NORTHWESTERN (17) 46.0 24 42-207 [4.9] 33-24-337 [10.1] 11.8 28.5 29 34-113 [3.3] 54-34-378 [6.9] 17.2 +4 +17.5

GAME TRENDS • W MICHIGAN is 3-6-1 ATS(L10G) - Against good teams with 60%+ winning pct(CS)

(187) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO [SU:1-1 | ATS:2-0] AT (188) ARIZONA (-26 | 64) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 10:30 PM on PAC12 - ARIZONA STADIUM (TUCSON, AZ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 28.0 26 32-146 [4.5] 42-25-303 [7.2] 16.0 34.5 22 37-140 [3.8] 30-20-301 [10.0] 12.8 -3 -6.5 ARIZONA 46.5 19 51-351 [6.9] 17-8-84 [4.9] 9.4 6.5 12 37-125 [3.4] 32-15-150 [4.7] 42.3 +5 +40.0

GAME TRENDS • ARIZONA is 11-4 OVER(L3Y) - VS Non-ranked team

(189) OREGON ST [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (190) UTAH (-3 | 57) [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 10:00 PM on FOX1 - RICE-ECCLES STADIUM (SALT LAKE CITY, UT)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OREGON ST 39.5 27 28-81 [2.8] 47-36-436 [9.3] 13.1 31.5 23 31-123 [4.0] 33-22-309 [9.4] 13.7 0 +8.0 UTAH 50.0 24 41-243 [5.9] 26-17-296 [11.4] 10.8 16.5 20 41-121 [3.0] 32-22-225 [6.9] 21.0 +2 +33.5

GAME TRENDS • UTAH is 19-5-1 ATS(L25G) as FAV - Against poor rushing teams averaging less than 3.4 yards per carry(CS)

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Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (191) C MICHIGAN [SU:1-1 | ATS:0-2] AT (192) UNLV (-7 | 56) [SU:0-2 | ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 10:00 PM - SAM BOYD STADIUM (LAS VEGAS, NV)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF C MICHIGAN 16.5 14 28-85 [3.0] 32-17-238 [7.3] 19.6 40.0 20 45-200 [4.4] 24-15-224 [9.3] 10.6 +2 -23.5 UNLV 18.0 15 34-175 [5.1] 39-22-175 [4.4] 19.4 54.5 21 53-309 [5.8] 22-9-90 [4.1] 7.3 -3 -36.5

GAME TRENDS • C MICHIGAN is 7-20 ATS(L3Y) - All Games

(193) WISCONSIN [SU:2-0 | ATS:2-0] AT (194) ARIZONA ST (-5.5 | 52.5) [SU:1-0 | ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 14, 2013 10:30 PM on ESPN - SUN DEVIL STADIUM (TEMPE, AZ)

Offensive Statistics Offensive Statistics Defensive Defensive Statistics Statistics 2013 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPTYPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WISCONSIN (20) 46.5 25 47-390 [8.2] 23-17-212 [9.0] 12.9 0.0 9 29-72 [2.4] 24-11-90 [3.7] 0.0 +2 +46.5 ARIZONA ST 55.0 27 44-158 [3.6] 36-27-365 [10.1] 9.5 0.0 6 31-51 [1.6] 23-12-116 [5.0] 0.0 +4 +55.0

Wisconsin has pitched two shutouts versus two FCS squads at Madison makes the sojourn to the desert to face a team with a pulse. Oddsmakers are not overly impressed with the Badgers, making them a fairly standard road underdog in this Big Ten/Pac-12 clash. Curious to watch how Wisconsin handles the heat against Arizona State’s up-tempo offense. Bucky is 0-6 ATS in away games after registering 42 or more points. The Sun Devils have only faced Sacramento State, thus they are hardly prepared for physical play. Taylor Kelly is an unheralded quarterback, who regularly produces. ASU has covered eight of nine as the bettor’s choice and we will learn far more about each team after this tilt.

GAME TRENDS • WISCONSIN is 18-6 ATS(L25G) - Against elite offensive teams averaging more than 6.3 yards per play(CS) MATCHUPS • WISCONSIN is 8-2 OVER(L10G) - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(CS) • ARIZONA ST is 10-1 OVER(L5Y) - More than 6 days rest COLLEGE FOOTBALL

34 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION Football Weekly Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP WEEKLY TRENDS TEAMS TO PLAY ON TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST (113) STANFORD AT (191) C MICHIGAN AT (114) ARMY (192) UNLV 42.1% STANFORD is 30-10-1 ATS(L5Y) - 37.5% UNLV is 7-18 ATS(L25G) - As ROI After SU win ROI favorite ( $1900 Profit with a 42.1% ROI ) ( $1030 Profit with a 37.5% ROI )

(125) VIRGINIA TECH AT (119) MARSHALL AT (126) EAST CAROLINA (120) OHIO U TOP WEEKLY TRENDS 52.7% VIRGINIA TECH is 20-5 45.5% MARSHALL is 5-17-1 ATS(L25G) COLLEGE FOOTBALL ROI ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Against ROI on ROAD as FAV - All Games good teams with 60%+ ( $1150 Profit with a 45.5% ROI ) winning pct(CS) ( $1450 Profit with a 52.7% ROI )

(185) W MICHIGAN AT (159) UCF AT (186) NORTHWESTERN (160) PENN ST 78.2% NORTHWESTERN is 14-1 60.8% PENN ST is 3-16 ATS(L5Y) - ROI ATS(L2Y) - All Games ROI Against decent defensive ( $1290 Profit with a 78.2% ROI ) teams yielding less than 5.0 yards per play(CS) ( $1270 Profit with a 60.8% ROI )

GAMES TO PLAY OVER GAMES TO PLAY UNDER (123) BOWLING GREEN AT (181) NOTRE DAME AT (124) INDIANA (182) PURDUE 47.5% INDIANA is 17-5 OVER(L25G) - 28.1% NOTRE DAME is 31-15-1 ROI All Games ROI UNDER(L5Y) - Non-conference ( $1150 Profit with a 47.5% ROI ) games ( $1450 Profit with a 28.1% ROI )

(177) KANSAS AT (119) MARSHALL AT (178) RICE (120) OHIO U 60.4% RICE is 21-4 OVER(L25G) - 56.2% MARSHALL is 9-2 UNDER(L5Y) ROI Against efficient offenses ROI - Against lesser passing averaging less than 13.2 yards defenses yielding more than per point(CS) 7.5 yards per attempt(CS) ( $1660 Profit with a 60.4% ROI ) ( $680 Profit with a 56.2% ROI )

(143) TENNESSEE AT (107) TROY AT (144) OREGON (108) ARKANSAS ST 31.0% OREGON is 35-16 OVER(L5Y) - 52.7% ARKANSAS ST is 20-5 ROI All Games ROI UNDER(L25G) - Against decent ( $1740 Profit with a 31.0% ROI ) rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(CS) ( $1450 Profit with a 52.7% ROI )

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