The Finance Curse: exploring the possible impacts of hosting an oversized financial centre John Christensen,1 Tax Justice Network, Chesham, U.K. Nicholas Shaxson,2 Tax Justice Network, Berlin, Germany Contact author: John Christensen –
[email protected] Draft: Not for quoting Abstract. The paradoxical situation whereby resource rich countries depending on earnings from natural resources like oil and gas can frequently suffer lower economic growth, higher inequality and poverty, elevated corruption, and stronger political repression than their resource-poor peers is recognised and widely known. It is sometimes known as the Paradox of Poverty from Plenty, or the Resource Curse. This paper explores a similar, related phenomenon that seems to afflict some countries with whose financial centres have grown very large in relation to the domestic economy. Emerging evidence suggests that Beyond a certain point, growth of the financial services sector harms the host country in various ways, including lower long-term growth, greater inequality, a propensity towards rent-seeking and accompanying loss of genuine productivity and entrepreneurial and other skills, corruption and state capture. Citing case study material from several jurisdictions hosting oversized financial centres – notaBly Cyprus, Jersey and the United Kingdom – the paper explores how economic 1 John Christensen directs the global activities of the Tax Justice Network. He is a former economic adviser to the States of Jersey. 2 Nicholas Shaxson is author of Poisoned Wells: The Dirty Politics of African Oil and Treasure Islands: Tax Havens and the Men Who Stole the World. - 1 - crowding-out, brain drain and financialisation create path dependencies that reinforce a tendency for financial services interests to dominate the domestic political, economic and cultural landscape, to the detriment of other sectors.