High AA, Positive Daniel Rupli
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Swiss Credit Handbook Canton of Basel-Stadt – High AA, Positive Daniel Rupli Rating rationale Degree of self-financing / self-financing ratio The rating of the Canton of Basel-Stadt is supported by sound financial statements over past years that were dominated by increasing capitalization, a lower debt burden, excess revenues CHF m 750 400% and self-financing ratios that came in clearly above 100%, with the exception of last year due to a disproportionately high net investment as a result of the disincorporation of the hospitals, 600 320% which reduced the canton's assets substantially. Excluding this effect, the canton would have 450 240% been able to fully self-finance its net investments. We highlight the canton's high debt per 300 160% capital reading at end-December 2012, reflecting its status as a "city canton." From a quality 150 80% perspective, Basel-Stadt benefits from a strong CS locational quality index reading, which is supported by strong transportational accessibility and good availability of highly qualified labor, 0 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 partially offset by the below-average tax regime. We also highlight the strong resource index 2013B reading. These factors position the canton to benefit from an above-average population and the Degree of self-financing Self-financing ratio (r.h.s.) ability to increase taxable income in the future. Financial ratios (CHF m) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013B Total debt and interest expense Operating account CHF m Total expenditure operating account 4,365.3 4,903.0 4,688.4 3,839.4 3,920.1 6,000 10% Of which: Interest expense 79.1 75.5 70.4 58.6 77.5 4,800 8% Of which: Depreciation of administrative assets 173.2 212.1 172.3 120.4 130.2 Total revenue operating account 4,591.5 5,180.5 4,905.7 4,022.4 3,920.1 3,600 6% Excess expenditure / revenue 226.2 277.5 217.3 183.0 7.7 2,400 4% Primary operating balance 305.2 353.0 287.7 241.6 85.2 1,200 2% Investment account Total expenditure investment account 312.7 316.3 347.9 623.8 401.2 0 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Total revenue investment account 71.2 22.9 21.4 51.0 28.3 2013B Gross debt Net investment 241.5 293.5 326.4 572.8 373.0 Interest expense/total revenues (r.h.s.) Total revenue 4,414.4 4,953.2 4,637.1 3,814.6 3,948.4 Total expenditure 4,122.5 4,565.5 4,448.7 3,955.8 4,191.1 Financing Debt maturity profile (as of end-2012) Degree of self-financing 399.4 489.6 389.6 303.4 142.8 Financing deficit / surplus 157.9 196.1 63.2 -269.4 -230.2 CHF m 1,000 Self-financing ratio 165.4% 166.8% 119.4% 53.0% 38.3% 800 Balance sheet Total assets 5,366.8 6,120.9 6,381.8 6,690.6 n.a. 600 1 Gross debt 3,826.1 4,449.7 4,328.9 4,511.7 4,741.9 400 Equity (+) / balance sheet deficit (–) 414.6 1,161.5 1,416.5 1,656.9 1,664.61 200 Key ratios Primary operating balance/Total revenue 6.9% 7.1% 6.2% 6.3% 2.2% 0 Financing balance/Total revenue 3.6% 4.0% 1.4% -7.1% -5.8% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 > 2018 Gross debt/Total revenue 86.7% 89.8% 93.4% 118.3% 120.1% Maturity profile financial debt Interest expense/Total revenue 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% Interest expense/Total expenditure 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1 Per capita gross debt (in CHF) 20,362.4 24,058.8 23,245.8 24,075.2 25,291.6 Source: FkF, Swiss Federal Statistical Office, Swiss Canton data, Credit Suisse 1 Estimates Credit Suisse Financial ratios based on FkF and Swiss Canton data B = Budget n.a. = not available SWOT analysis Strengths / Opportunities Weaknesses / Threats An economic center that benefits from the strong presence of the Given its quasi city-canton character, the canton shares one of the highest debt pharmaceutical sector as well as its proximity to neighboring countries. per capita ratios in Switzerland. Another year of solid budgetary outperformance reflected in excess revenues The canton faces increasing uncertainty with regard to contingent liabilities given and a solid self-financing ratio of clearly above 100% (excluding hospitals). its guarantee for the cantonal bank. The resource index further improved, which underpins the canton's good position Relatively high share of short-dated debt will result in increased refinancing to generate future tax income. needs over the coming years. The locational quality index reading benefits from the canton's availability of highly skilled labor and its very good transportational accessibility. High investments from the private sector indicate a good growth engine. Credit Suisse I September 2013 Swiss Credit Handbook Glossary of financial terms Adjusted capital expenditures (capex) Commercial paper (CD) Gross capital expenditures (excluding acquisitions) plus the Short-term debt instruments (up to nine months) that are issued by depreciation part from operating leases. established corporations in large sums and traded at a discount. They are a key funding tool and an alternative to bank credits. Adjusted cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents, including investments that can be Comprehensive income liquidated in the immediate future, adjusted for cash required for Net profit attributable to shareholders plus other income, i.e. operating activities. unrealized gains/losses bypassing the P&L, e.g. foreign currency translation gains/losses or unrealized gains/losses on securities held Adjusted CFO for sale. Cash flow from operations, after changes in net working capital and Core working capital adjusted for the depreciation part from leasing and rental obligations and pension-related charges and contributions. Core working capital = receivables plus inventories minus payables. Adjusted EBIT Covenants Earnings before interest and taxes adjusted for the interest part from Debt covenants form part of credit agreements stipulating ratios and leasing and rental obligations and pension-related charges. conditions applicable to financial obligations. Adjusted EBITDA Credit metrics Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization adjusted Financial ratios (typically debt and debt-service-related) which are for leasing and rental charges and pension-related charges. used to assess financial strength including debt service capacity. Adjusted equity Degree of self-financing Shareholder equity (including minorities) less pension deficit. Excess revenue plus depreciation on administrative property. This figure provides an indication of the cash flow of cantons and is Adjusted FCF comparable to cash from operating activities for corporates. Cash flow from operations less gross capital expenditures, excluding Foundation for accounting and reporting regulations (FER) acquisition-related investments and dividends, adjusted for leasing and rental depreciation charges and pension-related expenses. Independent Swiss institution tasked with the further development of accounting standards in Switzerland to improve the quality and Adjusted FFO comparability of company accounts and to align them with the Funds from operations adjusted for the depreciation part from leasing requirements of international accounting standards. and rental and pension-related expenses and contributions. Goodwill Adjusted gross debt An asset created when the price to acquire a company exceeds the Short and long-term interest-bearing liabilities adjusted for off- value of its net assets and identifiable, measurable intangible assets. balance-sheet debt from debt related to pensions (deficit), leasing and IFRS accounting standards rental obligations, contingencies and guarantees. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a key Adjusted gross leverage and adjusted net leverage instrument in the global harmonization of corporate accounting. They Adjusted debt on a gross/net basis in relation to total adjusted equity are issued by the International Accounting Standards Committee plus adjusted debt on a gross/net basis. (IASC), an international association established in London in 1973. Adjusted interest expense Impairment Interest expenses adjusted for the interest part from leasing and rental The permanent loss in value on investments, assets or goodwill that is obligations and the net interest expense from pensions. subsequently written off via the P&L statement. Adjusted net debt Intangible assets Adjusted debt less adjusted cash and cash equivalents (whereby a Non-physical assets other than goodwill such as patents, licenses, negative figure indicates net adjusted cash). brands, trade names, business secrets (procedures), formulas, supply contracts and customer relationships. Adjusted net gearing Adjusted debt on a net basis in relation to total adjusted equity. Interest coverage This ratio shows adjusted EBITDA or EBIT to either gross or net Adjusted total asset base adjusted interest charges. Reported total assets plus operating leasing debt (operating lease expense x multiple). Net debt/GWh This ratio is used to measure the efficiency of an electrical utility by Combined ratio comparing the level of debt involved to the amount of electricity Expenses and losses divided by revenue from premiums. The result is produced p.a., which is measured in GWh and serves as a proxy for expressed as a percentage, and a value less than 100% means the generation capacity. company is taking in more than it is paying out. Credit Suisse I September 2013 Swiss Credit Handbook Net profit Net income attributable to shareholders, i.e. profit generated by the company less minority interests. Primary operating balance This ratio is calculated as excess revenue plus interest expense. It indicates the success of the operating performance in a single year.