World War III – the Military Defeat of America
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mark h lane www.biblenumbersforlife.com World War III – The Military Defeat of America INTRODUCTION The purpose of this document is to show there is a reasonable basis using strategic studies (the science of warfare) to believe that America will suffer defeat at the hands of any one of the three totalitarian power blocs on the earth: Russia, China, or Islam. Most will scoff at the possibility America could be defeated in battle. The purpose of this paper is to show the defeat of America is not only possible it is likely. The only question is when it will occur. In fact, world events leading to this defeat are now in motion. KEY INSIGHT In nature the big fish eat the little fish. The greater the size difference between the creatures the more likely it is the smaller creature will chose to run away from the larger creature. This is the law of the ocean and the law of the jungle. The little fish knows it cannot fight the big fish. The little fish flees at the sight of the big fish and seeks the comfort of other small fish to provide a sense of security. The big fish manoeuvre the little fish into a tight circle by swimming threateningly around them. When the little fish are trapped, the big fish swim directly into the dense mass of small fish and fill their hungry bellies. America knows it needs a coalition, a company of smaller nations, to fight the big totalitarian powers. This is not a winning strategy. 1 | P a g e mark h lane www.biblenumbersforlife.com WORLD MILITARY BALANCE OF POWER To simplify the scale and sophistication of world military forces we will reduce global armies to the iconic pieces on a chess board. This will enable the reader to see at a glance how strong America is relative to other powers. We will show that America is weak relative to her enemies and requires a coalition of allies to attain a balance of power on paper. We make the following assumptions: 1) “A Pawn” = 1,000,000 soldiers. A soldier is defined as regular army, reserves, national guard, and paramilitary troops; 2) “A Knight” = 1,333 military aircraft. We include fighter/bomber jets plus attack helicopters; 3) “A Bishop” = 10,000 tanks; 4) “A Castle” = 10 aircraft carriers, 20 nuclear subs, 50 amphibious assault ships, 160 subs, 1,333 cruisers, or 2,000 destroyers. We have chosen the dimensions of the military hardware for the knight, the bishop, and the castle to reflect a cost of $40 billion. Our assumption is that dollars invested fairly reflect the relative potency of weapons in armed combat in a global arena. In order for that assumption not to be true the intelligence of all the central planners of military forces in the world would have to be faulty. For example, we use $4 million as the typical cost of a main battle tank. $40 billion divided by $4 million equals 10,000 tanks. We estimate the cost of a fighter aircraft to be $30 million, which is also the cost of an attack helicopter. We estimate the cost of an aircraft carrier to be $4 billion, a nuclear submarine $2 billion, an amphibious assault ship to be $750 million, a conventionally powered submarine to be $250 million, a cruiser to be $30 million, and a destroyer to be $20 million. We estimate the cost of equipping, transporting, and housing a soldier to be $4,000. Actual cost will vary greatly by country. WORLD POWER BLOCS The truth is there are only two power blocs on earth: Russia and China. They are the only super powers on earth whose military might is under the continuous command and control of a single party in power, the Communist Party. America is a super power but because of the necessity of elections leadership is shuffled frequently, and no single party is continuously in power. Europe is fragmented and the rest of the world contains many nations with few alliances and fluctuating allegiances. The destabilizing influence of terrorist organizations will not be examined in detail here. But we believe it is the spark that will cause WW III. We will not consider relative nuclear warheads for reasons we explain later. This analysis reflects conventional warfare. 2 | P a g e mark h lane www.biblenumbersforlife.com MAP OF WORLD POWERS Ukraine Kurds Blue: America, United Kingdom, Israel, South Korea, Taiwan and Japan Yellow: China, North Korea, Mongolia. Green: Islamic – including both Sunni (light green) and Shia (dark green) Red: Russia, Former USSR Central Asia Republics Brown: African nations – democratic Tan: Non-aligned nations Purple: European nations Grey: (Conflict Zones) Ukraine, Kurdistan CONFLICT ZONES The two areas of heated battles in the world today are between Europe and USSR (Ukraine) and between America and Islam (Syria, Iraq and Kurdistan). However, there has been constant friction between India and Islam, Africa and Islam, & China and Japan 3 | P a g e mark h lane www.biblenumbersforlife.com BALANCE OF FORCES WORLD SUMMARY EUROPE RUSSIA Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop ISLAM 18 11 2 3 2 France 1.4 0.4 - 0.3 0.7 Russia 10.4 3.2 2.3 2.7 2.2 CHINA 17 12 1 2 2 Greece 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 Azerbaijan 0.5 0.4 - 0.1 - RUSSIA 11 4 2 3 2 Italy 1.0 0.4 - 0.3 0.3 Kazakhstan 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 - TYRANNY 46 27 5 8 6 Poland 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 Uzbekistan 0.2 0.1 - 0.1 - AMERICA 28 10 2 9 7 Germany 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.4 - Turkmenistan 0.1 - - 0.1 - EUROPE 11 5 1 3 2 Belarus 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 - Total Forces 11.5 3.8 2.4 3.1 2.2 INDIA 7 5 0 1 1 Spain 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 Total Forces (#) 11 4 2 3 2 FREE WORLD 46 20 3 13 10 Bulgaria 0.5 0.4 - 0.1 - NON-ALIGNED 25 19 2 3 1 Finland 0.5 0.4 - 0.1 - AMERICA TOTAL 117 66 10 24 17 Switzerland 0.4 0.3 - 0.1 - Romania 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 - Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop ISLAM Sweden 0.3 0.2 - 0.1 - US 15.6 2.2 0.9 7.3 5.2 Other 1.4 0.9 - 0.4 0.1 SOUTH KOREA 6.2 5.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop Total Forces 10.5 5.2 0.9 2.6 1.8 TAIWAN 2.5 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 Iran 3.8 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 Total Forces (#) 11 5 1 3 2 U.K. 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 Syria 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 - ISRAEL 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.0 Iraq 0.8 0.8 - - - NON-ALIGNED JAPAN 0.6 - 0.1 0.3 0.2 Lebanon 0.3 0.3 - - - Total Forces 27.8 10.3 1.6 8.9 7.0 Total - SHIA 6.3 4.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop Total Forces (#) 28 10 2 9 7 Pakistan 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 Vietnam 5.8 5.5 0.2 0.1 - Indonesia 1.2 1.0 - 0.1 0.1 Brazil 2.6 2.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 INDIA Malaysia 0.9 0.9 - - - Ukraine 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 - Bangladesh 0.3 0.2 - 0.1 - Cuba 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.2 - Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop Total - SUNNI (Asia) 4.7 3.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 Thailand 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.2 INDIA 7.0 4.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 Egypt 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.3 Colombia 1.4 1.4 - - - Total Forces 7.0 4.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 Turkey 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 Algeria 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.3 - Total Forces (#) 7 5 - 1 1 Afghanistan 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 - Myanmar 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 - Saudi Arabia 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 - Libya 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 - CHINA Jordan 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 - Philippines 0.6 0.3 - 0.1 0.2 Yemen 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 - Morocco 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 - Country Pieces Pawns Castle Knight Bishop United Arab Emirates 0.2 0.1 - 0.1 - Singapore 0.6 0.5 - 0.1 - North Korea 9.0 7.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 Total - SUNNI (Mid.E.) 7.4 3.3 1.2 1.8 1.1 Other 5.7 4.3 0.4 0.9 0.1 China 7.7 4.1 1.0 1.3 1.3 Total Forces 18.4 11.0 2.3 3.1 2.0 Total Forces 24.5 18.7 1.8 3.3 0.7 Total Forces 16.7 11.8 1.4 1.8 1.7 Total Forces (#) 18 11 2 3 2 Total Forces (#) 25 19 2 3 1 Total Forces (#) 17 12 1 2 2 INSTABILITY OF POWER BLOCS Europe is the least stable power bloc.