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This bibliography provides a collection of key references and online documents from 1966 to 2006 on the economic effects of climate change on fisheries. It is aimed towards information generation, analysis and dissemination, and facilitating the identification of research needs and priorities since ultimately, the sustainability of fish stocks and coastal communities will depend on how well these resources are managed. The current collection reflects the thrust of past research which has focused largely on temperate and developed areas, since studies focusing on developing countries/regions in the tropics are fewer and more recent. Some biological, meteorological and oceanographic sources are included where they have been used extensively as background to economic studies. This bibliography was compiled by Ann Shriver of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade (IIFET) in collaboration with the staff of The WorldFish Center under the direction of Dr. Mahfuzuddin Ahmed. It was compiled for distribution at the Consultation on the Impact of Global Climate Change on Aquatic Resources, Food and Income Security of Fishing-dependent Populations, jointly organized by The WorldFish Center and the United States National Marine Fisheries Service Southwest Regional Office (San Diego, California), held on 24 and 25 August 2005. The printed document you are now reading includes the collection of references as of early May 2006; however, the collection continues to grow and is regularly updated on the internet, at www.oneFish.org, in the IIFET “Virtual Office”. Authors of relevant new economic studies are encouraged to submit them for inclusion in the online collection. Annotated Bibliography This publication is also downloadable from http://www.worldfishcenter.org on the Economic Effects of To order and for more information on The WorldFish Center publications, please contact: Global Climate Change on Fisheries Ann L. Shriver, Yeo Bee Hong, Ting Kok Onn, Marissa Garcia and Mahfuzuddin Ahmed Information and Knowledge Group The WorldFish Center P. O. Box 500 GPO, 10670 Penang, Malaysia Tel. : +(60-4) 626 1606 Fax : +(60-4) 626 5530 Email: [email protected] www.worldfishcenter.org Annotated Bibliography on the Economic Effects of Global Climate Change on Fisheries Ann L. Shriver, Yeo Bee Hong, Ting Kok Onn, Marissa Garcia and Mahfuzuddin Ahmed Prepared for the Consultation on the Impact of Global Climate Change on Aquatic Resources, Food and Income Security of Fishing-dependent Populations 24 - 25 August 2005 San Diego, California, USA Annotated Bibliography on the Economic Effects of Global Climate Change on Fisheries Edited by Ann L. Shriver Yeo Bee Hong Ting Kok Onn Marissa Garcia Mahfuzuddin Ahmed 2006 Published by The WorldFish Center, P.O. Box 500 GPO, 10670 Penang, Malaysia. This document was prepared with financial support from the United States Agency for International Development. Shriver, A.L., B.H. Yeo, K.O. Ting, M. Garcia and M. Ahmed. 2006. Annotated Bibliography on the Economic Effects of Global Climate Change on Fisheries. WorldFish Bib. 14, 48 p. Perpustakaan Malaysia. Cataloguing-in-Publication Data Annotated bibliography on the economic effects of global climate change on fisheries/Ann L. Shriver... [et al.]. ISBN 983-2346-52-5 1. Fisheries - Climatic factors - Bibliography, I. Shriver, Ann L. 016.639 Design and layout: INTACT Communications Sdn. Bhd. Cover photos by: D. Lever, L. Garces and The WorldFish Center photo collection ISBN 983-2346-52-5 The WorldFish Center Contribution No. 1787 © The WorldFish Center All rights reserved. This publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or nonprofit purposes without the permission of the copyright holders provided that acknowledgement of the source is given. This publication may not be copied, or distributed electronically, for resale or other commercial purposes without prior permission, in writing, from the WorldFish Center. The WorldFish Center is one of the 15 international research centers of the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) that has initiated the public awareness campaign, Future Harvest. ii The WorldFish Center Preface Over the past century, a significant warming trend has been experienced worldwide. Global mean surface temperatures have risen by approximately 0.5–0.6˚C, with the highest increase registered during the past two decades. Scientists posit a number of different explanations for this phenomenon, including increases in greenhouse gas concentrations (e.g., carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide) from the combustion of fossil fuels (e.g., coal, oil and natural gas) and other human activities. This increase in atmospheric temperature may already be affecting, and may continue to affect the marine environment, which in turn is anticipated to impinge on fisheries resources and fish-dependent coastal communities. Although both marine resource managers and fishing communities have successfully adapted to minor and brief variations in the earth’s temperature throughout history, the vulnerability of tropical coastal communities today to the predicted larger-scale and prolonged changes in climate patterns is increased by the several factors, including but not limited to the following list: 1. the fisheries sector is already beset with critical problems resulting in a declining resource base; 2. most fish species can only tolerate a limited range of temperature variation, such that any shifts outside this narrow band can be expected to affect the resource stock, especially in warmer waters; 3. for a majority of the poor, who lack capital resources and access to employment opportunities, any changes in the availability and distribution of fish stocks will affect coastal communities who depend on these resources as a major source of food and income; 4. socioeconomic and institutional barriers, as well as other current realities may prevent fisherfolk from utilizing long- established coping mechanisms that worked in the past; and 5. the impact of the current trend in climate change may be of a different magnitude and extent from that of historical experience, increasing the risks to these already vulnerable aquatic resources and coastal communities, and rendering past research and experience inadequate to deal with the current variations in atmospheric temperature. Studies in the past focused on the ecological impacts of global climate change on aquatic resources. There is a need to extend this effort to improve our understanding of the socioeconomic linkages and economic effects of climate change particularly on vulnerable aquatic ecosystems and resources as well as coastal populations. To this end, this bibliography provides a collection of key references and online documents from 1966 to 2006 on the economic effects of climate change on fisheries with a view toward contributing to information generation, analysis and dissemination, and facilitating the identification of research needs and priorities since ultimately, the sustainability of fish stocks and coastal communities will depend on how well these resources were managed. The current collection reflects the thrust of past research which has focused largely on temperate and developed areas, since studies focusing on developing countries/regions in the tropics are few and far between. Our goal is to focus primarily on economic research, but some biological, meteorological and oceanographic sources are included where they have been used extensively as background to economic studies. This bibliography was compiled by Ann Shriver of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade (IIFET) in collaboration with the staff of The WorldFish Center under the direction of Dr. Mahfuzuddin Ahmed. It was compiled for distribution at the Consultation on the Impact of Global Climate Change on Aquatic Resources, Food and Income Security of Fishing-dependent Populations, jointly organized by The WorldFish Center and the United States National Marine Fisheries Service Southwest Regional Office (San Diego, California), held on 24 and 25 August 2005. Abstracts from papers presented at the Bergen, Norway (June 2005) Conference are included in draft (thanks to their authors and the conference organizers) and are not for citation, pending eventual publication. The printed document you are now reading includes the collection of references as of early May 2006; however, the collection continues to grow and is regularly updated on the internet, at www.oneFish.org, in the IIFET “Virtual Office”. Authors of relevant new economic studies are encouraged to submit them for inclusion in the online collection. The team preparing this bibliography expresses its gratitude to the United States Agency for International Development for financial support for the project and publication. Authors who contributed to the collection are gratefully acknowledged. The assistance of Hong Meen Chee and Syarifah Khadiejah Syed Mohd Kamil of The WorldFish Center and Victoria Martin and Kara Keenan of Oregon State University in compiling and formatting the bibliography is gratefully acknowledged. The WorldFish Center iii Annotated Bibliography Aaheim, H.A. and L. Sygna. 2000. Economic impacts of climate change on tuna fisheries in Fiji Islands and Kiribati. CICERO Report. Vol. 4. Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway. This paper discusses the possible economic consequences of a change in the tuna fisheries in