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Evaluating Operational and Newly Developed Mesocyclone and Tornado Detection Algorithms for Quasi-Linear Convective Systems Thomas James Turnage
Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2007 Evaluating Operational and Newly Developed Mesocyclone and Tornado Detection Algorithms for Quasi-Linear Convective Systems Thomas James Turnage Follow this and additional works at the FSU Digital Library. For more information, please contact [email protected] THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCES EVALUATING OPERATIONAL AND NEWLY DEVELOPED MESOCYCLONE AND TORNADO DETECTION ALGORITHMS FOR QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS By THOMAS JAMES TURNAGE A thesis submitted to the Department of Meteorology in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Degree Awarded: Summer Semester, 2007 The members of the Committee approve the thesis of Thomas J. Turnage defended on April 5th, 2007. ____________________________________ Henry E. Fuelberg Professor Directing Thesis ____________________________________ Jon E. Ahlquist Committee Member ____________________________________ Paul H. Ruscher Committee Member ____________________________________ Andrew I. Watson Committee Member The Office of Graduate Studies has verified and approved the above named committee members. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I first want to thank the Lord. Without His blessings, none of this would have been possible. Next, I want to express my deepest gratitude and appreciation to my major professor Dr. Henry Fuelberg for working with me to complete this thesis in spite of rotating shift work at the National Weather Service (NWS) in Tallahassee and a subsequent move to Michigan. His high standards of integrity and academic excellence have been an inspiration to me. I also wish to thank the members of my thesis committee, Mr. Irv Watson of the NWS in Tallahassee, and Drs. Jon Ahlquist and Paul Ruscher for their advice and support. -
Effects of Anomalous Propagation Conditions on Weather Radar Observations
13 Effects of Anomalous Propagation Conditions on Weather Radar Observations Joan Bech1, Adolfo Magaldi2, Bernat Codina1 and Jeroni Lorente1 1Dep. Astronomy and Meteorology, University of Barcelona 2Institute of Space Sciences, Spanish National Research Council (CSIC), Bellatera Spain 1. Introduction The effect of atmospheric propagation on radar observations is an important topic both for radar application developers and end-users of radar products, particularly of weather radar systems. An excellent review of this subject is given by Patterson (2008), and most general books about weather radars have a chapter on the topic –see for example Battan (1973), Collier (1996), Doviak and Zrnic (2006), Rinehart (2001) or Sauvageot (1991). In this chapter our objective is to provide an overview of the effects of anomalous propagation conditions on weather radar observations, based mostly on studies performed by the authors during the last decade, summarizing results from recent publications, presentations, or unpublished material. We believe this chapter may be useful as an introductory text for graduate students, or researchers and practitioners dealing with this topic. Throughout the text a spherical symmetric atmosphere is assumed and the focus is on the occurrence of ground and sea clutter and subsequent problems for weather radar applications. Other related topics such as long-path, over-the-horizon propagation and detection of radar targets (either clutter or weather systems) at long ranges is not considered here; however readers should be aware of the potential problems these phenomena may have as range aliasing may cause these echoes appear nearer than they are – for more details see the discussion about second trip echoes by Zrnic, this volume. -
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1136 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 25 Tornado Detection Using a Neuro–Fuzzy System to Integrate Shear and Spectral Signatures YADONG WANG,TIAN-YOU YU, AND MARK YEARY School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma ALAN SHAPIRO School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma SHAMIM NEMATI Department of Mathematics, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma MICHAEL FOSTER AND DAVID L. ANDRA JR. National Weather Service, Norman, Oklahoma MICHAEL JAIN National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma (Manuscript received 25 April 2007, in final form 22 October 2007) ABSTRACT Tornado vortices observed from Doppler radars are often associated with strong azimuthal shear and Doppler spectra that are wide and flattened. The current operational tornado detection algorithm (TDA) primarily searches for shear signatures that are larger than the predefined thresholds. In this work, a tornado detection procedure based on a fuzzy logic system is developed to integrate tornadic signatures in both the velocity and spectral domains. A novel feature of the system is that it is further enhanced by a neural network to refine the membership functions through a feedback training process. The hybrid ap- proach herein, termed the neuro–fuzzy tornado detection algorithm (NFTDA), is initially verified using simulations and is subsequently tested on real data. The results demonstrate that NFTDA can detect tornadoes even when the shear signatures are degraded significantly so that they would create difficulties for typical vortex detection schemes. The performance of the NFTDA is assessed with level I time series data collected by the KOUN radar, a research Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) operated by the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL), during two tornado outbreaks in central Oklahoma on 8 and 10 May 2003. -
A Bayesian Methodology for Detecting Anomalous Propagation in Radar Reflectivity Observations
The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research A partnership between the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO A Bayesian methodology for detecting anomalous propagation in radar reflectivity observations Justin R. Peter, Alan Seed, Peter Steinle, Susan Rennie and Mark Curtis CAWCR Technical Report No. 077 December 2014 A Bayesian methodology for detecting anomalous propagation in radar reflectivity observations Justin R. Peter, Alan Seed, Peter Steinle, Susan Rennie and Mark Curtis. The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research – a partnership between CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology CAWCR Technical Report No. 077 December 2014 ISSN: 1835-9884 Authors: Peter, J.R., Seed, A., Steinle, P., Rennie, S. and Curtis, M. Title: A Bayesian methodology for detecting anomalous propagation in radar reflectivity observations. ISBN: 978-1-4863-0473-8 (Electronic Resource PDF) Series: CAWCR technical report. Notes: Includes bibliographical references and index. Contact details Enquiries should be addressed to: Dr Justin R. Peter Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research GPO Box 1289K Melbourne Vic 3001 Australia [email protected] Phone: +61 3 9669 4838 Copyright and disclaimer © 2014 CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology. To the extent permitted by law, all rights are reserved and no part of this publication covered by copyright may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any means except with the written permission of CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology. CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology advise that the information contained in this publication comprises general statements based on scientific research. The reader is advised and needs to be aware that such information may be incomplete or unable to be used in any specific situation. -
Development of Operational Doppler Weather Radars
244 WEATHER AND FORECASTING VOLUME 13 History of Operational Use of Weather Radar by U.S. Weather Services. Part II: Development of Operational Doppler Weather Radars ROGER C. WHITON* AND PAUL L. SMITH1 Air Weather Service, Scott Air Force Base, Illinois STUART G. BIGLER National Weather Service, Washington, D.C. KENNETH E. WILK National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma ALBERT C. HARBUCK# Air Weather Service, Scott Air Force Base, Illinois (Manuscript received 14 March 1997, in ®nal form 19 February 1998) ABSTRACT The second part of a history of the use of storm surveillance radars by operational military and civil weather services in the United States is presented. This part describes the genesis and evolution of two operational Doppler weather radars, the Next-Generation Weather Radar and Terminal Doppler Weather Radar. 1. Advances made by Doppler radar operational application of this capability. Thus, opera- meteorological research tional use of Doppler weather radar had to await the development of pulse-Doppler technology (that provid- The wartime Rad Lab investigators recognized the ed the range capability) for the extraction of moments possibility that radar systems could employ the Doppler such as mean radial velocity and spectrum width from effect to measure target velocities. This offered a po- tential for remote measurement of wind speeds. The pulse Doppler spectra and techniques for interpreting Weather Bureau followed up on this potential beginning the velocity patterns observable with a single radar. in fall 1956 and continued through 1960. This early Rogers (1990) reviews the history of early efforts to effort involved conducting tests on an experimental, 3- apply Doppler techniques in radar meteorology. -
Supercell Radar Signatures
Supercell Radar Signatures OBJECTIVES 1. The student will understand how to use WxScope to access current and archived radar data. 2. The student will understand the reflectivity values frequently associated with hail and heavy rain. 3. The student will understand reflectivity patterns associated with hook echoes and tornadic circulations. 4. The student will understand the fundamentals of supercell storm motion. 5. Given a series of Doppler images from a supercell, the student will be able to identify the hook echo, presence of hail, heavy rain, and tornadic circulation. 6. The student will be able to predict storm locations relative to current radar images. 7. The student will be able to compare predictions to actual storm locations to determine if the storm moved as expected, moved right or left of predicted path. PREREQUISITES MATERIALS Basic understanding of WeatherScope. Computer Completion of Understanding Weather Radar WxScope software lecture in the OCS EarthStorm series Archived radar data VOCABULARY Hook echo: A pendant-shaped echo usually toward the right rear of the echo on a radar screen that indicates the presence of a mesocyclone and possible presence of a tornado. Radar: An electronic instrument used to detect objects (such as precipitation) by their ability to reflect and scatter microwaves back to a receiver. Reflectivity: A measure of the fraction of radiation reflected by a given surface; defined as a ratio of the radiant energy reflected to the total that is incident upon a surface. Generally “reflectivity” is used in place of the phrase “radar reflectivity factor” or “equivalent radar reflectivity factor.” Supercell: A large, long-lived (up to several hours) cell consisting of one quasi-steady updraft- downdraft couplet that is generally capable or producing the most sever weather (tornadoes, high winds, and giant hail). -
Convective Storm Structure and Evolution Presented by the Warning Decision Training Branch
Distance Learning Operations Course IC 5.7: Convective Storm Structure and Evolution Presented by the Warning Decision Training Branch Version: 0308.2 Distance Learning Operations Course Table of Contents Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1 Objectives ................................................................................................................................................ 3 Lesson 1....................................................................................................................................3 Lesson 2....................................................................................................................................3 Lesson 3....................................................................................................................................3 Lesson 1: Fundamental Relationships Between Shear and Instability on Convective Storm Structure and Type. ......................................................... 6 Objective 1 ............................................................................................................................................... 6 Effects of Shear .........................................................................................................................6 Objective 2 ............................................................................................................................................... 7 Objective 3 ............................................................................................................................................ -
Correlation of Tornado Intensity with Dual-Polarization Radar Information
Correlation of Tornado Intensity with Dual-Polarization Radar Information Undergraduate Research Thesis Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for graduation “with honors research distinction in Atmospheric Sciences” in the undergraduate colleges of The Ohio State University by John Banghoff The Ohio State University December 2015 Project Advisor: Professor Jay S. Hobgood, Department of Geography i Table of Contents Section Page List of Tables iii List of Figures iv Abstract 1 I Introduction 2 II Literature Review 4 III Methods 8 IV Results 12 V Discussion 21 VI Acknowledgements 25 VII References 25 ii List of Tables Table Page 1 Breakdown of tornadoes investigated by EF-Scale 13 2 TDS and rotational velocity criteria for tornado warning issuance 22 iii List of Figures Figure Page 1 El Reno, OK tornado debris signature on 31 May 2013 9 2 Hattiesburg, MS (2/10/13) TDS demonstrating TDS height 11 3 Minimum correlation coefficient vs. maximum rated wind speed 13 4 Maximum TDS height vs. maximum rated wind speed 15 5 Maximum TDS diameter vs. tornado diameter 17 6 Moore, OK tornado on 20 May 2013 qualitative analysis 19 7 Time tendencies of TDS height and rotational velocity 20 iv ABSTRACT Analysis of National Weather Service radar data associated with tornadoes documented by the Storm Prediction Center through May 2014 indicates that 332 of all tornadoes and 126 significant tornadoes exhibited a polarimetric tornado debris signature (TDS). This study documented confirmed TDS events associated with significant tornadoes (EF2 or greater) from May 2010 through May 2014 and characterized multiple characteristics throughout the life cycle of each tornado. -
The Effects of Land Cover Type on Tornado Intensity in the Southeastern U.S
The Effects of Land Cover Type on Tornado Intensity in the Southeastern U.S. A thesis presented to the faculty of the College of Arts and Sciences of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Master of Science Kelly M. Butler August 2017 © 2017 Kelly M. Butler. All Rights Reserved. 2 This thesis titled The Effects of Land Cover Type on Tornado Intensity in the Southeastern U. S. by KELLY M. BUTLER has been approved for the Department of Geography and the College of Arts and Sciences by Jana B. Houser Assistant Professor of Geography Robert Frank Dean, College of Arts and Sciences 3 ABSTRACT BUTLER, KELLY M., M.S., August 2017, Geography The Effects of Land Cover Type on Tornado Intensity in the Southeastern U.S. Director of Thesis: Jana B. Houser While storm-scale mechanisms are known to be associated with changes in tornado intensity, tornadoes also intensify and weaken without direct correlation to a known storm- or tornado-scale feature. One non-storm mechanism that could influence the intensity of a tornado is the land cover over which the vortex is traversing. In theory, friction disrupts the cyclostrophic balance achieved between the pressure gradient force and the centrifugal force. While conserving angular momentum, a new balance must be achieved which ultimately alters the rotational velocities. The purpose of this research is to determine if there are statistical relationships between land cover (a proxy for friction) and tornado intensity (as quantified by the difference between the maximum inbound and the maximum outbound Doppler velocities, ΔVmax). -
Evaluation of Atmospheric Anomalous Propagation Conditions: an Application for Weather Radars
Evaluation of atmospheric anomalous propagation conditions: an application for weather radars J. Becha,c, D. Bebbingtonb, B. Codinac, A. Sairounic, J. Lorentec a Servei de Meteorologia de Catalunya, Dep. de Medi Ambient, Catalunya, Spain b Wave Propagation Research Group, Dep. Mathematics, Essex University, UK c Dep. d'Astronomia i Meteorologia, Universitat de Barcelona, Catalunya, Spain ABSTRACT Several meteorological conditions are known to cause anomalous propagation (AP) of microwave radiation. The effect of AP in weather radar measurements may be important as spurious echoes from distant ground targets may appear as precipitation leading to wrong rainfall estimations. AP may also affect dramatically the quality of clear air radar observations. In this study, more than one hundred radiosonde ascents are examined to evaluate the occurrence of AP at the coastal site of Barcelona (Spain). Temperature and humidity profiles are used to calculate refractivity gradients and to estimate the existence of ducting layers. Ducts represent the worst case of super refraction and within them microwaves travel trapped like in a waveguide. To detect thin AP features a vertical resolution higher than that given by standard operational radiosonde data is desirable. For this reason, radiosonde data recorded every 10 s have been used. Results are compared against standard operational radiosonde analysis revealing a significantly higher number of AP layers. The output of a mesoscale numerical weather prediction model is also used to derive refractivity gradients. The ability of the model to simulate the propagation conditions is overviewed in order to assess the feasibility of an operational diagnostic AP product. Keywords: anomalous propagation, subrefraction, ducting, weather radar, atmospheric refractivity, radar rainfall estimation, radiosonde, numerical weather prediction 1. -
A History of Radar Meteorology: People, Technology, and Theory
A History of Radar Meteorology: People, Technology, and Theory Jeff Duda Overview • Will cover the period from just before World War II through about 1980 – Pre-WWII – WWII – 1940s post-WWII – 1950s – 1960s – 1970s 2 3 Pre-World War II • Concept of using radio waves established starting in the very early 1900s (Tesla) • U.S. Navy (among others) tried using CW radio waves as a “trip beam” to detect presence of ships • First measurements of ionosphere height made in 1924 and 1925 – E. V. Appleton and M. A. F. Barnett of Britain on 11 December 1924 – Merle A. Tuve (Johns Hopkins) and Gregory Breit (Carnegie Inst.) in July 1925 • First that used pulsed energy instead of CW 4 Pre-World War II • Robert Alexander Watson Watt • “Death Ray” against Germans • Assignment given to Arnold F. “Skip” Wilkins: – “Please calculate the amount of radio frequency power which should be radiated to raise the temperature of eight pints of water from 98 °F to 105 °F at a distance of 5 km and a height of 1 km.” – Not feasible with current power production Watson Watt 5 Pre-World War II • Watson Watt and Wilkins pondered whether radio waves could be used merely to detect aircraft • Memo drafted by Watson Watt on February 12, 1935: “Detection of Aircraft by Radio Methods” – Memo earned Watson Watt the title of “the father of radar” – Term “RADAR” officially coined as an acronym by U.S. Navy Lt. Cmdr. Samuel M. Tucker and F. R. Furth in November 1940 • The Daventry experiment – February 26, 1935 – First recorded detection of aircraft by radio waves – Began the full-speed-ahead -
Evolution of a Wintertime Pacific Northwest Mini-Supercell and Tornado
13B.4 EVOLUTION OF A WINTERTIME PACIFIC NORTHWEST MINI-SUPERCELL AND TORNADO David Elson*, Jonathan Wolfe, Charles Dalton, William R. Schneider NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office Portland, Oregon 1. INTRODUCTION 2. PACIFIC NORTHWEST THUNDERSTORM On 10 January 2008, a rare mini-supercell CLIMATOLOGY developed over southwest Washington, producing a series of tornado touchdowns along a 19 km track in The Pacific Northwest is not typically known for Clark County, Washington. The first touchdown likely severe convective weather, especially west of the occurred on the western shore of Vancouver Lake, Cascade Mountains. Most severe weather reported in while the first significant damage occurred on the east this region is non-convective, and occurs during the side of the lake (Figure 1), where the tornado fall and winter months. Occasionally though, destroyed a boathouse full of sculling equipment. The conditions conducive to development of severe tornado went on to damage over 200 trees, some of thunderstorms and tornadoes do evolve. Such was which were more than 1 meter in diameter. Thirty to the case with the January 2008 tornado that swept forty homes were damaged, and the tornado tipped across Vancouver, Washington. over a parked semi-trailer as it trekked across Clark The National Weather Service Forecast Office in County. The extended lifetime and track length of this Portland, Oregon, serves a county warning area EF-1 tornado made it the most damaging to occur in (CWA) comprised of southwest Washington and the region in 35 years. northwest Oregon. This area averages about one The close proximity of the storm to the KRTX tornado per year, based on reports from 1950 through Weather Surveillance Radar gave meteorologists an 2008.