SPORTS, INC. Advancing the World of Sports Soccer Analysis
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Cornell University‟s ILR School Volume III, Issue 1 Fall 2010 SPORTS, INC. Advancing the World of Sports Soccer Analysis: Comparing the World‟s Best Leagues And: Defensive Evolution Plus: ESPN 30 for 30 Reviews 2010 Ivy Sports Symposium Coverage Interview with Daniel Halem „88, MLB SVP Labor Relations Fall 2010 1 Sports Management Club Welcome, Thank you for reading this latest Sports, Inc. is- sue. As former editor-in-chiefs Jeffrey Lebow ‘11, Joshua Erenstein ‘11, and I graduate this spring, we take this space to briefly give thanks and share a vision for the mag- The ILR Sports Management Club is located in Cor- azine‘s future. nell University‘s School of Industrial and Labor Relations Each current and former writer and editor has (ILR). We are an undergraduate student organization dedi- contributed with great effort and dedication. Working cated to involving our members in the sports industry and through first and second (and sometimes third and fourth) advancing the world of sports. Our club supports this mis- drafts, the time our student editors have dedicated, while sion through four main activities: balancing many other responsibilities, to this issue and the previous four is greatly appreciated. Additional thanks are 1. Guest speakers and club events due to our printer, Bloomberg LP, as well as the club‘s 2. Weekly radio show faculty advisor, Kevin Harris, for his advice and enthusi- 3. Blog asm. 4. (This) semesterly magazine This magazine itself is in a broader sense a ―thank you‖ to our professors and advisors. The goal for each Learn more about the club through our official website: issue is to present intelligent, educational, and accessible articles. Whether the subject is MLS labor negotiations, rso.cornell.edu/ilrsmc/home.php NCAA football attendance, or advanced NFL player met- rics, the analytical tools used—which could be statistical, And connect with us through: financial, legal, mathematical, historical, or cultural—are essential to our mission. Subject matter we learn in ILR and our time at Cornell influences and inspires all that we do. Facebook LinkedIn Twitter Blogger YouTube Current ILRSMC seniors started the first issue two years ago and grew with each subsequent installment, yet we have great faith in our next editor-in-chief, Jake Makar ‘13, and the still-expanding editorial team. We trust that the magazine will continue to strive for higher editorial standards and develop stronger relationships with writers and readers. Previous issues and articles have been mailed to alumni, handed to an NBA and MLB General Manager, shared with high school students considering applying to ILR, emailed to league commissioners and presidents, discussed by professional journalists, presented in Cornell courses and lectures, linked to by blogs, cited by national media and research papers alike, and even read cover-to-cover by Fortune 500 executives, but there is more the magazine can and will do. Our writers and edi- tors aren‘t content to simply observe and comment on the sports industry; we truly wish to advance it. The ILR School Quad – home of Wiffle Ball Wednesdays. This We hope you find this current issue interesting publication is not reviewed or approved by, nor does it neces- and insightful and come back for the next one. sarily express or reflect the policies or opinions of, Cornell Uni- versity or its designated representatives. All photo credits are Happy reading, on page 50. Gabe Editor-in-chief Gabe Gershenfeld, ILR ‘11 Executive Editor Jake Makar, A&S ‘13 Layout Editor Alyssa Murrett, ILR ‘13 Business Manager Michael Hansen, CALS ‘14 Editor Leanne Westfall, ILR ‘11 Editor Joey Shampain, A&S ‘13 Editor Willie Candell, ILR ‘13 Editor Jeffrey Lebow, ILR ‘11 Editor Maddie Kaufman, A&S ‘11 Editor Mat Sevin, ILR ‘11 Editor Alex Kuczynski-Brown, A&S ‘12 Editor Matt Gordon, MILR ‘12 Volume III, Issue 1: Fall 2010 Dissecting the New NFL Overtime Rules Why new rule changes extend the game and the debate 4 Ross Berger & Joey Shampain ESPN 30 for 30 Reviews 30 Compiled by Joey Shampain Minimum Age Restrictions in Professional Sports Madden NFL A tantalizing tango of antitrust and labor law The game‟s influence around the league 7 George Yorgakaros 32 Michael Hansen Quantifying Succession Planning and The (In)significance of BABIP Player Development Luck and future performance in baseball What the HR nine-box can learn from baseball analysis, 33 Willie Candell and vice versa 10 Gabe Gershenfeld Joe Mauer‟s Power Home run analysis Comparing the Best Soccer Leagues in 34 Mat Sevin the World A „style of play‟ statistical breakdown Television Blackouts in the NFL 14 Chris Anderson A progressive plan for the future 36 Louis Goldstein Soccer‟s Defensive Evolution Strategy and statistics from Herrera catenaccio to MLB Salary Arbitration modern catenaccio Has it raised salaries to free agency levels? 18 Ramzi BenSaid 38 Elizabeth McInnis Football as America‟s New Pastime The Commitment Behind Fan Loyalty Storylines as the gridiron stole the crown “I bleed red” 21 Alfonse Muglia 40 Leanne Westfall Street League Skateboarding The Dodgers Move West Marketing an extreme sport to a mainstream audience A history of negotiating franchise relocation 24 Jake Makar 45 Pyrs Carvolth, Gabe Gershenfeld, Michelle McCutcheon-Schour, & Rustin Rodewald The 2004-05 NHL Lockout Was it financially beneficial for the league? 2010 Ivy Sports Symposium 26 Mathew Mullery 51 Compiled by Jake Makar Daniel Halem Interview 51 Gabe Gershenfeld Dissecting the New NFL Overtime Rules Why new rule changes extend the game and the debate Ross Berger, CALS ‗14 & Joey Shampain, A&S ‗13 [email protected] & [email protected] Introduction Team B must answer with a score of its with the increased skill of field goal kick- own, a touchdown winning the game or a ers have made the NFL overtime format The battle has lasted for 60 field goal resulting in a sudden death situ- unacceptable. minutes. The score is tied. The coaches ation. If Team A fails to score on its first This fact was evident in the 2010 prepare their players. The fans cross their possession, the next team to score wins. NFC Championship game, when the New fingers. The most important play of the These changes decrease the Orleans Saints beat the Minnesota Vi- game is underway. A flick of the ref‘s competitive advantage gained by a ran- kings in overtime by kicking a field goal fingers and it is… heads. dom coin toss, yet after a thorough analy- on their first possession. Brett Favre The NFL coin flip to determine sis, it is evident that further improve- threw an interception to end regulation; possession in overtime is one of the most ments and changes are still needed. his offense would never see the ball crucial plays in all of sports, and the play- again. The Saints won the coin flip in ers are not even on the field. Fans, play- Analysis of the Problem overtime and returned the ball to the 39- ers, and coaches have all had their gripes yard line. Thirty-nine yards later – com- about this act of chance that determines a The root of the NFL overtime posed of two questionable penalties total- game of skill and determination. This is dilemma is the increased skill of field ing 17 yards and a measly 22 yard offen- not only because the teams have no con- goal kickers. In 1974, the league field sive gain - Garrett Hartley converted a 40 trol over the outcome, but also because goal percentage was 60.6%; in 2008, this -yard field goal, which eliminated the statistically the team that wins the coin number increased to 84.5%. In 1974, 36% Vikings and sent the Saints to their first flip has a better chance of winning the of field goal attempts were from 40+ super bowl in franchise history. It took an game. Only 7 teams in the 36-year history yards; in 2008, this number increased to event of this magnitude to make the NFL of the NFL overtime system, encompass- 41%. These statistics prove that, ―in dec- realize that the current overtime system ing 445 overtime regular-season games, ades past, when teams kicked off from the was compromising the integrity of the have chosen to kick off rather than re- 35 or 40 yard line and when field goal game. After much controversy and de- ceive. In the past decade, there have been kickers were not as accurate as they are bate, league officials and the owners de- 158 overtime games. 96 times or 61% of today, starting overtime with the ball did cided to enact the new postseason over- the time, the winner of the coin flip won not offer much, if any, edge‖ (Leonhardt). time rules this past offseason. the game. 58 times or 37% of the time, In today‘s game, the the losing team‘s offense never touched kickoff is at the 30-yard the ball (Burke). Essentially the team that line and the current field wins the coin flip has 3:2 odds of winning goal kickers make field the game, which has caused years of de- goals of well over 50 bate and recently resulted in a rule yards meaning that the change. receiving team does not On March 23rd, 2010, NFL own- even have to drive half of ers voted by a margin of 28-4 to establish the field to get into scor- new overtime rules in the playoffs. In ing position. many ways the new system is similar to It is no secret the old one; there is a coin flip, a kickoff, that teams play for the and in many scenarios the game will re- field goal in overtime.