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Economia-Digital-Y-Desarollo CON TENI DO INFORME 1. DIAGNÓSTICO 8 1.1. Introducción 9 1.2. Caracterización de los sectores relevantes de la economía 11 1.2.1. Indicadores macroeconómicos 11 1.2.2. Educación, Investigación, Desarrollo e Innovación 16 1.2.3. Sectores productivos por país 17 1.2.4. Resumen sectores relevantes y políticas de desarrollo productivo 24 1.2.5. Conclusiones 26 1.3. Caracterización general del ecosistema digital 27 1.3.1. Introducción 27 1.3.2. Índices de digitalización de Perú 27 1.3.3. Resultados de la región 32 1.3.4. Conclusiones 42 1.4. Componentes de oferta 43 1.4.1. Introducción 43 1.4.2. Estado de la Conectividad 44 1.4.2.1. Suscriptores móviles y banda ancha 44 1.4.2.2. Infraestructura de conectividad: Banda ancha internacional e IXPs 46 1.4.2.3. Calidad de Banda Ancha 48 1.4.2.4. Asequibilidad 54 1.4.2.5. Transición al protocolo IPv6 56 1.4.2.6. Índice agregado de conectividad móvil 57 1.4.3. Capacidades transaccionales 59 1.4.3.1. Bancarización 59 1.4.3.2. Infraestructura segura para soportar las transacciones 64 1.4.3.3. Acceso a financiamiento 66 1.4.4. Resultados generales de los ecosistemas digitales 67 1.4.4.1. Plataformas de aplicaciones utilizadas 68 1.4.4.2. Contenidos y aplicaciones locales 69 1.4.4.3. Estado general del comercio electrónico 72 1.4.4.4. Calidad de los servicios de Gobierno en línea 73 1.4.4.5. Contribución de los ecosistemas digitales al crecimiento del PIB 74 1.4.5. Industrias digitales locales 75 1.4.5.1. Tamaño industrias 75 1.4.5.2. Capacidades de Innovación 77 1.4.5.3. Capacidad Exportadora 78 1.4.5.4. Nivel de emprendimiento 81 1.4.5.5. Factores habilitadores para las industrias digitales locales 83 1.4.5.5.1. Educación y Talento 84 1.4.5.5.2. Propiedad intelectual 86 1.4.5.5.3. Vínculos Universidad-Industria 87 1.4.6. Conclusiones 888 1.5. Componentes de demanda 90 1.5.1. Introducción 90 1.5.2. Individuos 90 1.5.2.1. Uso de Internet 90 1.5.2.2. Economía Colaborativa 95 1.5.3. Sectores Económicos 97 1.5.4. Conclusiones 102 1.6. Entorno institucional y regulatorio 103 1.6.1. Introducción 103 1.6.2. Marcos institucionales del sector TIC 105 1.6.3. Agenda Digital Nacional 103 1.6.4. Programas de Promoción de la Industria TI 109 1.6.5. Marcos regulatorios TIC 110 1.6.6. Conclusiones 113 1.7. Anexo 1 Reportes Entrevistas 114 1.8. Bibliografía 115 INFORME 2. IDENTIFICACIÓN DE BARRERAS Y OPORTUNIDADES PARA LA ECONOMÍA DIGITAL 120 2.1. Introducción 121 2.2. Revisión de literatura: Economía Digital y Desarrollo Productivo 123 2.2.1. Introducción 123 2.2.2. Tendencias tecnológicas de la economía digital 123 2.2.3. Impacto en los países 126 2.2.4. Oportunidades para el fortalecimiento de las capacidades productivas y comerciales 127 2.2.4.1. Pequeñas y Medianas Empresas 129 2.2.4.2. Agricultura 130 2.2.4.3. Manufactura 130 2.2.4.4. Comercio 133 2.2.4.5. Servicios 133 2.2.5. Conclusiones 137 2.3. Barreras para el desarrollo de las industrias digitales 139 2.3.1. Introducción 139 2.3.2. Marco conceptual: Factores críticos para la innovación digital 140 2.3.3. Evaluación de barreras para el desarrollo de las industrias digitales 146 2.3.4. Conclusiones 160 2.4. Áreas de oportunidad para las industrias digitales 161 2.4.1. Introducción 161 2.4.2. Revisión de capacidades 161 2.4.3. Perspectivas de la demanda 168 2.4.3.1. Tendencias de la demanda en América Latina 169 2.4.3.2. Demanda global de software y servicios TI 170 2.4.3.3. Demanda global de servicios habilitados por las TIC 173 2.4.4. Conclusiones 175 2.5. Barreras al desarrollo productivo en los países 176 2.5.1. Introducción 176 2.5.2. Barreras para hacer negocios según los empresarios 176 2.5.3. Barreras al desarrollo productivo 178 2.5.4. Conclusiones 180 2.6. Oportunidades de la Economía Digital para el desarrollo productivo de los países 181 2.6.1. Introducción 181 2.6.2. Análisis de oportunidades por país 181 2.6.3. Conclusiones 187 2.7. Bibliografía 188 INFORME 3. RECOMENDACIONES DE POLÍTICA 193 3.1. Introducción 194 3.2. Revisión de Literatura: Principios de política para la economía digital 196 3.2.1. Rol del Estado en la promoción de la economía digital 196 3.2.2. Principios generales para agendas digitales y marcos regulatorios 199 3.3. Conjunto general de líneas de acción para el desarrollo digital de los países 204 3.4. Aspectos regulatorios claves de las nuevas políticas para el desarrollo digital 216 3.4.1. Regulación de Infraestructura de Internet 218 3.4.2. Regulación de la Economía Digital – Digitalización 220 3.4.3. Recomendaciones específicas para la revisión de los marcos regulatorios en economía digital 227 3.5. Visión propuesta y recomendaciones de política para el país 229 3.5.1. Perú 229 3.5.1.1. Resumen de fortalezas y áreas de oportunidad 229 3.5.1.2. Resumen de barreras a la innovación digital 231 3.5.1.3. Visión y acciones de política para el impulso de la economía digital 233 3.5.1.4. Hoja de ruta para el desarrollo digital 240 3.6. Iniciativas regionales para el desarrollo digital 242 3.7. Bibliografía 244 . I N F O R Diagnóstico M E 1. Introducción La nueva economía digital, asociada a la digitalización de la producción y el comercio, está convirtiéndose una fuerza económica representativa para la estructura productiva de los países y ofrece inmensas oportunidades para los sectores económicos en términos de fortalecimiento de las interacciones con clientes, proveedores y grupos de interés, mayor acceso a mercados, disponibilidad de información para la toma de decisiones, mejora de la productividad y nuevas posibilidades de innovación en productos, procesos y modelos de negocio. Los países en desarrollo tienen el reto de prepararse e insertarse rápidamente en esta nueva realidad global, para no desaprovechar la oportunidad que se les presenta en materia de crecimiento económico, generación de empleo, acceso a mercados y fortalecimiento de sus capacidades productivas. Por esta razón, resulta relevante para los países de América Latina contar con elementos para un mejor entendimiento de sus ecosistemas digitales, y de las posibilidades y retos que les plantea la nueva economía digital. 9 La presente investigación se realiza para la Asociación Latinoamericana de Internet (ALAI) y tiene por objetivo caracterizar el estado del ecosistema digital en Perú y proponer las principales políticas públicas que permitan impulsar la economía digital en este país, y que, al impulsar la digitalización, contribuyan al desarrollo productivo y comercial de los sectores relevantes en su economía. La investigación se orienta a dar respuesta a las siguientes preguntas de investigación: i. ¿Cuáles son las principales barreras y áreas de oportunidad para el desarrollo de la economía digital en el país bajo estudio?, ii. ¿Qué nuevas oportunidades y áreas de desarrollo productivo, que no se están aprovechando, permite la economía digital para Perú en los sectores relevantes de su economía? y iii. ¿Qué acciones estratégicas deben implementarse en el corto y mediano plazo para aprovechar las nuevas oportunidades y áreas de desarrollo productivo que abre la economía digital en los sectores económicos relevantes?. El presente informe corresponde a la fase de diagnóstico del estudio y su objetivo es desarrollar un entendimiento general, a partir de información pública existente, de los principales sectores económicos del país, así como del estado actual de su ecosistema digital. Igualmente, se busca entender la relación existente entre el ecosistema digital y los sectores económicos estudiados. El estudio contiene inicialmente una descripción de la economía de Perú y de sus principales sectores productivos. A continuación, se muestra un análisis comparativo de los principales indicadores internacionales que miden el nivel de digitalización del Perú. El capítulo 4 contiene la revisión de las principales características de los componentes de oferta de los ecosistemas digitales en distintos países en términos de estado de la conectividad, resultados generados y nivel de desarrollo de las industrias locales de software, aplicaciones y contenidos asociados. El capítulo 5, por su parte, presenta los resultados de la revisión de principales características de los componentes de demanda del ecosistema digital, en dos dimensiones: individuos y sectores económicos. Finalmente, el capítulo 6 contiene el análisis del entorno institu- cional y regulatorio del ecosistema digital de Perú, con el fin de establecer sus principales fortalezas y debilidades. 10 1.2. CARACTERIZACIÓN DE LOS SECTORES RELEVANTES DE LA ECONOMÍA En este capítulo se busca caracterizar tanto la economía en general, como los sectores y las apuestas productivas, del Perú. Para esto, se consideran los principales indicadores económicos existentes (PIB, exportaciones e importaciones, inversión, empleo, pobreza), los rankings internacionales, y las cuentas nacionales. Adicionalmente se revisan los pla- nes nacionales de desarrollo y las políticas de desarrollo productivo que han definido los gobiernos de estos países. 1.2.1. INDICADORES MACROECONÓMICOS Inicialmente se comparan los indicadores generales de la economía peruana (Tabla 1). Tabla 1. INDICADORES GENERALES Fuente: Banco Mundial 11 La Tabla 2 presenta las variables asociadas a la participación del Perú en el comercio internacional. Tabla 2. EXPORTACIONES E IMPORTACIONES Fuente: Banco Mundial Tal como se puede ver en la Tabla 3, los flujos entrantes de inversión extranjera directa de Perú ascienden a US$ 6.734 millones, junto con una inversión privada en telecomunicaciones que asciende a US$ 1.112 millones.
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