Radicalization: Relevant Psychological and Sociological Concepts
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UNCLASSIFIED Prepared for The U.S. Army Relevant Psychological and Asymmetric Warfare Group Sociological Concepts September 2010 Prepared by U.S. Army Asymmetric Warfare Group 2282 Morrison St., Ste. 5355 • Ft. Meade, MD 20755-5355 AWG CUOPS [email protected] UNCLASSIFIED AWG Portal https://portal.awg.army.mil RADICALIZATION: RELEVANT PSYCHOLOGICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL CONCEPTS SEPTEMBER 2010 CHUCK CROSSETT and JASON A. SPITALETTA THE JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY APPLIED PHYSICS LABORATORY 2 Radicalization: Relevant Psychological and Sociological Concepts EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Radicalization is the process by which an individual, group, or mass of people undergo a transformation from participating in the political process via legal means to the use or support of violence for political purposes (radicalism). Radicalism includes specific forms, such as terrorism, which is violence against the innocent bystander, or insurgency, which is violence against the state. It does not include legal and/or nonviolent political protest, such as protest that is more properly called activism. This paper is a basic reference guide for the military. It provides a summary of main ideas and trends in the psychological and sociological literature as they pertain to the process of radicalization and to the roots and context of radicalism as they pertain to the participants. It is meant to be a general read, understandable to the nonacademic, with many recommendations for further reading. It is also meant to be fairly broad and complete, but with the recognition that the topic is new and evolving, with new threads constantly emerging. The paper is also relegated to the prevailing or fairly well- studied theories and mechanisms. There are sixteen theories that have been proposed to explain the underlying cause of radicalization. They range from explanations due to societal and economic pressures, social and group dynamics, development of identity, antisocial disorders, and even specific cognitive processes involved in the decision to commit violence. There is no single explanation as to why certain individuals or groups move to violent political action. Examples are provided to demonstrate that diverse reasons are applicable across the spectrum of radical groups and terrorists, and also to show that there are usually multiple reasons operating for the radicals themselves. A single theory cannot explain all radicals, and rarely can it explain even a single one to satisfaction. However, understanding the multiple theorized causes helps us understand motivations, behaviors, and worldview of this population much more so than a simplistic view that they must be irrational actors with clinical psychological problems. The literature is fairly agreed upon this: The terrorist or radical rarely meets the definition of a psychopath. The theories are explained both in their general state and in how they are applied to the specific subject of radicalism. Those theories that have clinical definitions or methods of assessment have a short section on those subjects. • Relative deprivation theory • Uncertainty reduction theory • Social network theory • Identity theory • Social movement theory • Narcissism theory • Symbolic interactionism • Paranoia theory • Group dynamic theory • Absolutist/apocalyptic theory • Social learning theory • Antisocial theory • Social identity theory • Novelty-seeking theory • Terror management theory • Humiliation-revenge theory Along with the possible underlying causal theories, twelve mechanisms are used to explain the means by which a crowd, group, or individual psychologically undergoes the process of radicalization. These mechanisms elucidate the motivations and processes by which any of these types (crowd, group, or person) move from nonviolence to violence (and beyond to suicide, use of terror, etc.). They include the pivoting off an overreaction by the state power, to the narrative of 4 Radicalization: Relevant Psychological and Sociological Concepts martyrdom, to intragroup competition, to the internalization of a political grievance. In each case, an illustrative example is given from the real world, from Timothy McVeigh to the Provisional Irish Republican Army (PIRA), to show how these means allowed the radical to move from legal behavior to violent acts. Again, single mechanisms are not enough to explain the full complexity of the 30+-year campaign of the PIRA. But they help the reader associate the means with the outcome. The twelve mechanisms are: • Mass radicalization in conflict with an out-group – jujitsu politics • Mass radicalization in conflict with an out-group – hate • Mass radicalization in conflict with an out-group – martyrdom • Group radicalization by like-minded groups • Group radicalization under isolation and threat • Group radicalization in competition for the same base of support • Group radicalization in competition with state power – condensation • Group radicalization by within-group competition – fissioning • Individual radicalization by personal grievance • Individual radicalization by political grievance • Individual radicalization by self-persuasion in action – the slippery slope • Individual radicalization by joining a radical group – the power of love Within each mechanism, potential observed behaviors or operations can be derived to show how this process would present itself to those charged with circumvention, prevention, or defense against radicalism. Mostly these observables have been proposed and are not yet empirically proven or verified. When possible, the veracity of the claimed observable has been stated. There are programs established in certain countries that attempt to disengage or “deradicalize” individuals. These programs are few in number and most do not, to our knowledge, undertake a scientific research program to assess their success or failure. Disengagement programs, in which the focus is to get the individual to stop their participation in radical activities rather than to abandon their ideological agreement with the group or movement, are far more common. This assumes that the decision to disengage is rarely attributable to ideological reasons (the same applies to entry into the radical movement, interestingly) and that cessation of violent behavior is easier than re- programming of ideology. Re-establishing a beneficial social network, such as re-establishing familial ties or finding the radical a wife is a familiar tactic in these programs, as well as providing amnesty or assistance in finding employment. The theories and mechanisms are good background material for the reader interested in counter- radical application, but we have also identified sixteen “risk factors” within the literature. Not all of these factors have been experimentally derived or are empirically based. They do, however, merit the attention of the reader due to their importance in the establishment of any counter-radical program or process. Radicalization: Relevant Psychological and Sociological Concepts 5 The sixteen risk factors are: • Emotional vulnerability • Views on (and histories of) • Dissatisfaction with the status quo violence of political activism • Resources • Personal connection to a • External support grievance • Perceived threat • Positive (or at least non-negative) • Conflict view of violence • Humiliation • Perceived benefit of political violence • Competition • Social networks • Youth • In-group de-legitimization of the • Resonant narrative out-group 6 Radicalization: Relevant Psychological and Sociological Concepts Radicalization: Relevant Psychological and Sociological Concepts 7 TABLE OF CONTENTS Purpose of the Study .................................................................................................................. 9 Primer on Radicalization ......................................................................................................... 10 Social and Behavioral Science Concepts Relevant to the Study of Radicalization ................. 13 Sociological Theories ........................................................................................................................................................ 13 Relative Deprivation Theory ...................................................................................................................................... 14 Social Network Theory ............................................................................................................................................... 16 Social Movement Theory ............................................................................................................................................ 17 Symbolic Interactionism ............................................................................................................................................. 19 Psychological Theories ..................................................................................................................................................... 21 Social Psychology Theories ............................................................................................................................................. 22 Group Dynamic Theory ............................................................................................................................................. 22 Social Learning Theory ............................................................................................................................................... 24 Terror Management