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The Tallest 20 in 2020: Predictions Vs. Reality

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The Tallest 20 in 2020: Predictions Vs. Reality Tall Buildings in Numbers The Tallest 20 in 2020: Predictions vs. Reality In the first edition of the 2012 Journal, CTBUH published a Tall Buildings in Numbers study titled Tallest 20 in 2020: Era of the Megatall—The Projected World’s Tallest 20 Skyscrapers in the Year 2020. Now that we have arrived at the second edition of 2020, we look back on the fates of each of the buildings predicted to be the tallest in existence this year—and those that actually did make the list. This report serves as a companion to the research paper beginning on page 44, which provides more background. For an interactive version, and a link to the original article, visit skyscrapercenter.com/tallest-in-2020. The 20 Tallest Buildings in 2020 In this graphic, the 20 tallest buildings in 2020 are shown in the foreground, while the skyline that was originally predicted in 2012 is shown in gray in the background. 1. Jeddah Tower (2012 Name: Kingdom Tower) Jeddah, 1,000+ m 2. Burj Khalifa 5. Signature Dubai Tower Jakarta 828 m Jakarta 3. Ping An Finance 638 m 8. Makkah Royal Center 6. Shanghai Clock Tower Hotel Shenzhen Tower 7. Wuhan Makkah 660 m Shanghai Greenland 4. Seoul Light 601 m 632 m Center DMC Tower 9. Goldin Finance 117 Wuhan Seoul Tianjin 606 m 640 m 597 m 10. Lotte World Tower Seoul 555 m 1. Burj Khalifa 2. Shanghai 3. Makkah Royal 4. Ping An 5. Lotte World 6. One World =7. Guangzhou CTF =7. Tianjin CTF 9. CITIC 10. TAIPEI 101 Dubai Tower Clock Tower Finance Center Tower Trade Center Finance Centre Finance Centre Tower Taipei 828 m Shanghai Mecca Shenzhen Seoul New York City Guangzhou Tianjin Beijing 508 m 632 m 601 m 599 m 555 m 541 m 530 m 530 m 528 m Three of the 20 buildings If each building had The Burj Khalifa on the original 2012 list been constructed in began life as the “Grollo were not completed as sequence, the Tallest Tower”—a 1990s planned, due in part to 20 in 2020 would development concept, aviation restrictions after the have taken 126 years originally proposed for projects had already begun. to complete. Melbourne, Australia. 52 | Tall Building in Numbers CTBUH Journal | 2020 Issue II What HappenedKey: # Ctoompleted, the current 2012 rank PredictedUnder CoTallestnstruction 20 Skyline?Proposal While the timeline below shows the progress of each building between 2012 and 2020, some buildings completed prior to 2012. Key: # Completed, current rank Under Construction Proposal 1. Jeddah Tower (Kingdom Tower) 2. Burj Khalifa (2010) 1 1. Jeddah Tower (Kingdom3. To Pwer)ing An Finance Center Height changes from 660m to 599m 4 2. Burj Khalifa (2010)4. Seoul Light1 DMC Tower 5. Signature Tower Jakarta 3. Ping An Finance Center Height changes from 660m to 599m 4 4. Seoul Light DMC Tower 6. Shanghai Tower 2 5. Signature Tower7. Jak Wuhanarta Greenland Center Proposal height changes from 606m to 636m Height changes from 636m to 476m On hold 8. Makkah Royal Clock Tower 6. Shanghai Tower 3 2 9. Goldin Finance 117 On hold 7. Wuhan Greenland Center Proposal height changes from 606m to 636m Height changes from 636m to 476m On hold 10. Lotte World Tower 5 8. Makkah Royal Clock Tower 3 11. Doha Convention Center Tower Never completed 9. Goldin Finance 117 On hold 12. One World Trade Center 6 10. Lotte World Tower 5 =13. Guangzhou CTF Finance Centre 11. Doha Convention Center Towe(Chowr TaiNever Fook completedGuangzhou) =7 12. One World Trade Center 6 =13. Tianjin CTF Finance Centre =7 =13. Guangzhou CTF Finance(Tianjin Centre Chow Tai Fook Binhai Center) =7 (Chow Tai Fook Guangzhou)15. Dalian Greenland Center On hold =13. Tianjin CTF Finance Ce16.ntre Pentominium Tower On hold (Tianjin Chow Tai Fook Binhai Center) =7 17. Busan Lotte Town Tower 15. Dalian Greenland Center On hold 18. TAIPEI 101 (2004) 10 16. Pentominium Tower On hold 19. Kaisa Feng Long Centre 500m proposal redesigned into a 250m building 17. Busan Lotte Town Tower 20. Shanghai World Financial Center (2008) 11 18. TAIPEI 101 (2004) 10 19. Kaisa Feng Long Centre 2012 500m proposal2013 redesigned into2014 a 250m building 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20. Shanghai World Financial11. Doha Center Convention (2008) 11 =13. Guangzhou CTF Center and Tower2012 2013Finance Centre2014 2015 15. Dalian2016 Greenland 2017 2018 2019 2020 Doha (2012 Name: Center =13. Tianjin CTF 17. Busan Lotte 19. Kaisa Feng 551 m Chow Tai Fook Dalian Finance Centre Town Tower Long Centre Guangzhou) 518 m 12. One World (2012 Name: Busan Shenzhen Guangzhou Trade Center Tianjin Chow 510 m 500 m 530 m 16. Pentominium New York City Tai Fook Binhai Dubai 18. TAIPEI 101 20. Shanghai World 541 m Center), Tianjin 516 m Taipei Financial Center 530 m 508 m Shanghai 492 m 11. Shanghai World 12. International 13. Lakhta 14. Vincom 15. Changsha IFS =16. Petronas Twin 18. Suzhou IFS 19. Zifeng 20. The Exchange Financial Center Commerce Centre Center Landmark 81 Tower T1 Towers 1 & 2 Suzhou Tower 106 Shanghai Hong Kong St. Petersburg Ho Chi Minh City Changsha Kuala Lumpur 450 m Nanjing Kuala Lumpur 492 m 484 m 462 m 461 m 452 m 452 m 450 m 445 m In 2012, South Korea was The sum of heights of the predicted to have three of the The Goldin Finance actual 20 Tallest Buildings world’s tallest buildings by 2020. 117 tower was in 2020 is 10,452 meters, Instead it has only one—but modeled after a ∆ 1,501 compared to 11,953 for Lotte World Tower, Seoul, is walking stick. meters the 2012 projection. the world’s fi fth-tallest building. CTBUH Journal | 2020 Issue II Tall Building in Numbers | 53.
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