WHY? a Brief History and Definitions
1. WHY? A Brief History and Definitions “By the very nature of their impact, however, revolutions are very difficult to analyze satisfactorily, surrounded as they are and must be by a cloud of hope and disillusion, of love, hatred and fear, of their own myths and the myths of counter-propaganda.” Eric J. Hobsbawm (1965, 252) As soon as the popular reaction to the killing of Rafiq Hariri began, the battle to define what was actually happening started. The fight for a definition was not driven, of course, by scientific accuracy, but by each actor’s goals and individual sensibilities. Internationally, almost immediately, the title ‘Cedar Revolution’ gained ground, proposed first by the US administration (by Paula Dobriansky, to be precise, at the time US Under Secretary for Global Affairs at the Department of State), which was looking to ‘spread democracy’ in the Middle East and immediately realised the political opportunity the events unfolding in Lebanon could represent. From the US administration’s perspective, the 2003 Iraq invasion, and the new US policy towards the region (which has been labelled in many ways: ‘constructive instability’, ‘creative chaos’, ‘regional democratisation’, etc.), coupled with the successfully and barely finished 2003 Georgian ‘Rose Revolution’ and the 2004 Ukrainian ‘Orange Revolution’, had spurred a democratic ‘conjuncture’ that was expected to create a ‘domino effect’ and spread to the whole Middle East. Originally, the country from which the democratic movement was going to start to re-shape the political face of the region had to be Iraq; unfortunately, events in Iraq were not conducive to this.
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