Dangerous Climate Change in Brazil A BrAzil-UK AnAlysis of ClimAte ChAnge And deforestAtion impacts in the AmAzon DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE IN BRAZIL 1 April 2011 Dangerous Climate Change in Brazil A BrAzil-UK AnAlysis of ClimAte ChAnge And deforestAtion impacts in the AmAzon A collaborative project between the Centro de Ciência do Sistema Terrestre (CCST) of the Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), Brazil, and the Met Office Hadley Centre, UK DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE IN BRAZIL 3 DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE IN BRAZIL Authors . Brazil Jose A. Marengo ( Coordinator ) Ph.D, CCST-INPE, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] www.inpe.br www.ccst.inpe.br Carlos A. Nobre Ph.D, CCST-INPE, CEPED-MCT, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] Sin Chan Chou Ph.D, CPTEC-INPE, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] Javier Tomasella Ph.D, CCST-INPE, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] Gilvan Sampaio Ph.D, CCST-INPE, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] Lincoln M. Alves M.S, CCST-INPE, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] Guillermo O. Obregón Ph.D, CCST-INPE, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] Wagner R. Soares Ph.D, CCST-INPE, São Paulo, Brazil
[email protected] Authors . UK Richard Betts ( Coordinator ) Ph.D, Met Office Hadley Centre
[email protected] www.metoffice.gov.uk Gillian Kay Ph.D, Met Office Hadley Centre
[email protected] COVER Ana Cíntia Guazzelli (WWF) 4 DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE IN BRAZIL Photo: Eduardo Arraut / INPE 07 Preface John Hirst, UK Met Office 08 Preface Gilberto Câmara, INPE 09 Preface Carlos A.