North Korea: the Demise of a Stalinist Totalitarian State
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NORTH KOREA: THE DEMISE OF A STALINIST TOTALITARIAN STATE ____________ A Thesis Presented to the Faculty of California State University, Chico ____________ In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Arts in Political Science ____________ by ©Bradley W. Bourdon 2012 Spring 2012 NORTH KOREA: THE DEMISE OF A STALINIST TOTALITARIAN STATE A Thesis by Bradley W. Bourdon Spring 2012 APPROVED BY THE DEAN OF THE GRADUATE SCHOOL AND VICE PROVOST FOR RESEARCH: _________________________________ Eun K. Park, Ph.D. APPROVED BY THE GRADUATE ADVISORY COMMITTEE: _________________________________ _________________________________ Matthew O. Thomas, Ph.D. James Jacob, Ph.D., Chair Graduate Coordinator _________________________________ Paul Viotti, Ph.D. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank several people as this project comes to an end. First, I would like to thank my parents, John and Sandy. They have always been entirely supportive of all my endeavors, no matter how crazy. Without their unconditional love and reinforcement, I would not be the man I am today. I would also like to thank my oldest friend Mary Tchamkina for her insight, wisdom, ability to put things in perspective, and always having the uncanny talent of providing the perfect pep-talk for me whenever I need it. I am also thankful to Bill Myers, Ph.D. of the University of Alaska Anchorage for providing me with a top-notch undergraduate educational experience that more than adequately prepared me for the rigors of graduate school. I also want to thank James Jacob Ph.D. for his belief and trust in me and for being such an inspirational figure. I am honored for the privilege to be his teaching assistant. I would also like to thank Paul Viotti Ph.D. for being on my thesis committee and helping me think more outside the box. And lastly, I would like to thank whoever is reading this thesis right now. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE Acknowledgements .................................................................................................... iii Abstract ...................................................................................................................... v CHAPTER I. Introduction ............................................................................................... 1 II. Literature Review ...................................................................................... 7 III. The Weaknesses of the Kim Regime ........................................................ 31 Kim Il-sung ......................................................................................... 32 Juche Philosophy ................................................................................ 34 Consolidation of Government ............................................................. 37 Kim Jong-il ......................................................................................... 39 Kim Jong-un........................................................................................ 46 Outlook for the Future ........................................................................ 51 IV. Visionary Reunification ............................................................................ 53 South Korea‘s Economy Versus North Korea‘s Economy ................. 54 Political, Social, and Technological Differences ................................ 58 The Sunshine Policy ........................................................................... 60 North Korea‘s Vision for Reunification ............................................. 65 Germany‘s Reunification Not Comparable to Korean Reunification . 69 V. China‘s Eroding Relationship With North Korea ...................................... 75 China and North Korea‘s Historical Relationship .............................. 77 Postmodernism and China .................................................................. 80 China and South Korea ....................................................................... 83 Chinese Attitudes Towards Democracy.............................................. 84 China‘s Distaste for North Korea‘s Nuclear Goals............................. 85 The Future of the Increasingly Strained Relationship ........................ 87 VI. Conclusion ................................................................................................ 90 References ............................................................................................................. 97 iv ABSTRACT NORTH KOREA: THE DEMISE OF A STALINIST TOTALITARIAN STATE by Bradley W. Bourdon Master of Arts in Political Science California State University, Chico Spring 2012 In this thesis, an attempt will be made to anticipate the future of North Korea in the 21st century. North Korea faces staggering difficulties that may result in the continuing weakening of the country and even the collapse of the Kim regime. North Korea is a unique country like no other. Its government system is based on a cult of personality and a military-first mindset. It is an impoverished nation that relies on foreign aid, primarily from China and the United States, to sustain itself. It has a nuclear program and has one of the largest standing armies in the world. However, North Korea faces many problems and it has inherent weaknesses that will be ever more so pronounced in the 21st century. This thesis will start with a literature review aimed at surveying the contemporary issues facing North Korea. Next, the three most significant elements threatening North Korea‘s viability will be examined. First, the leadership of North Korea is inherently defective and the cult of personality is unsustainable. The government v system is becoming more fragmented. Second, reunification of the Korean Peninsula is extremely unlikely. South Korea has too much at stake, the two political and cultural identities of the countries are divergent, and North Korea‘s vision of reunification is vastly different from that of South Korea, China, and the United States vision. And last, North Korea relies on China for political and material support. However, China‘s political and cultural ideology is changing and China is adopting elements of postmodernism. Throughout the 1990‘s and 2000‘s, China has shown an increasing reluctance to support North Korea, and this trend will continue in the 21st century. All of these factors will hobble North Korea‘s development and hasten the demise of the Kim regime. vi CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION In the heart of North Korea‘s capital Pyongyang stands a commanding, enormous, and undeniably impressive pyramid. Standing at over 1,000 feet and with over 100 floors, the Ryugyong Hotel sternly dominates the city‘s skyline. Bold and ambitious, Kim Il-sung imagined the Ryugyong Hotel to be a definitive statement on the resolve of North Korea, and an architectural marvel for the rest of the world. Its aggressive architectural design and unavoidable size visually imposes itself onto all the citizens of Pyongyang. However, behind its glass façade lays a dormant shell of a building that is structurally unsound. Moreover, ―even by Communist standards, the 3,000-room hotel is hideously ugly‖ and it ―isn‘t just the worst designed building in the world – it‘s the worst built building, too‖ (Hagberg 2008). Built with inferior concrete and with major construction flaws such as crooked (and therefore unusable) elevator shafts, the Ryugyong hotel is fundamentally damaged. Although construction started in 1987, once the Soviet Union collapsed, North Korea was unable to continue construction and therefore for over two decades the hotel stood as an empty concrete shell. Recently, a foreign investor accepted the task to finish the hotel‘s exterior so it could fully masquerade as a successful construction project and therefore hide the truth of its existence. The Ryugyong hotel stands as a metaphor for North Korea itself. 1 2 This thesis will examine all the difficulties North Korea faces and it will suggest that North Korea is indeed on a path towards its own assured demise, primarily because of the Kim regime‘s inability to maintain power. Internal, rather than external, forces will most likely weaken the North Korean government to the point where the Kim regime will be rendered ineffective. Its current government system is arguably inherently flawed and unsustainable. Additionally, North Korea is becoming more and more isolated. By reviewing the intricacies of the Kim regime, the impossibilities of reunification, and China‘s apparent abandonment of North Korea, this thesis will cover the main reasons why the Kim regime will face potentially insurmountable challenges in the 21st century, and how the future of North Korea‘s success lies in the balance. The North Korean government is one of the most oppressive in the world and it invades every facet of life for its citizens. Under the guise of a cult of personality, North Korea‘s propaganda machine paints a very unrealistic picture of the Kim regime. Almost solely relying on false appearances and postures, North Korea is far weaker than it suggests to both its own citizens as well as to the rest of the world. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, North Korea has been unable to move forward and progress in any noteworthy capacity. North Korea is on a trajectory that suggests it is headed towards failure. The cult of personality and political philosophy of juche, invented by North Korea‘s first leader Kim Il-sung, are not sustainable practices that will ensure longevity. Juche philosophy asserts political independence,