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Success Determinants of Crowdfunding Projects Fedor Levin Review of Business and Economics Studies EDITOR-IN-CHIEF Rzeszow University of Information Prof. Dmitry Sorokin Prof. Alexander Ilyinsky Technology and Management, Deputy Rector for Research, Financial Dean, International Finance Faculty, Poland University, Russia Financial University, Moscow, Russia [email protected] Prof. Vladimir Kvint Prof. Robert L. Tang Chair of Financial Strategy, Moscow Vice Chancellor for Academic, De La EXECUTIVE EDITOR School of Economics, Moscow State Salle College of Saint Benilde, Manila, Dr. Alexander Kaffka University, Russia The Philippines EDITORIAL BOARD Prof. Alexander Melnikov Dr. Dimitrios Tsomocos Department of Mathematical and Saïd Business School, Fellow in Dr. Mark Aleksanyan Statistical Sciences, University of Management, University of Oxford; Adam Smith Business School, Alberta, Canada Senior Research Associate, Financial The Business School, University Markets Group, London School of Glasgow, UK Prof. George Kleiner of Economics, UK Deputy Director, Central Economics and Prof. Edoardo Croci Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy Prof. Sun Xiaoqin Research Director, IEFE Centre for of Sciences, Russia Dean, Graduate School of Business, Research on Energy and Environmental Guangdong University of Foreign Economics and Policy, Università Prof. Kwok Kwong Studies, China Bocconi, Italy Director, Asian Pacifi c Business Institute, California State University, Los Prof. Moorad Choudhry Angeles, USA Dept.of Mathematical Sciences, Brunel REVIEW OF BUSINESS University, UK Prof. Dimitrios Mavrakis Director, Energy Policy and AND ECONOMICS STUDIES Prof. David Dickinson Development Centre, National and (ROBES) is the quarterly peer- Department of Economics, Birmingham Kapodistrian University of Athens, reviewed scholarly journal published Business School, University of Greece by the Financial University under Birmingham, UK the Government of Russian Prof. Steve McGuire Federation, Moscow. Journal’s Prof. Chien-Te Fan Director, Entrepreneurship Institute, mission is to provide scientifi c Institute of Law for Science and California State University, Los Angeles, perspective on wide range of topical Technology, National Tsing Hua USA economic and business subjects. University, Taiwan Prof. Rustem Nureev Prof. Wing M. Fok Head of the Department of Economic CONTACT INFORMATION Director, Asia Business Studies, College Theory, Financial University, Financial University of Business, Loyola University New Russia Oleko Dundich St. 23, Orleans, USA 123995 Moscow Dr. Oleg V. Pavlov Russian Federation Prof. Konstantin P. Gluschenko Associate Professor of Economics and Telephone: +7(499) 277-28-19 Faculty of Economics, Novosibirsk State System Dynamics, Department of Social Website: www.robes.fa.ru University, Russia Science and Policy Studies, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, USA AUTHOR INQUIRIES Prof. George E. Halkos Inquiries relating to the Associate Editor in Environment and Prof. Boris Porfi riev Development Economics, Cambridge Deputy Director, Institute of Economic submission of articles can be sent University Press; Director of Operations Forecasting, Russian Academy of by electronic mail to [email protected]. Research Laboratory, University of Sciences, Russia Thessaly, Greece COPYRIGHT AND PHOTOCOPYING Prof. Svetlozar T. Rachev © 2015 Review of Business and Dr. Christopher A. Hartwell Professor of Finance, College of Economics Studies. All rights President, CASE - Center for Social and Business, Stony Brook University, USA reserved. No part of this publication Economic Research, Warsaw, Poland may be reproduced, stored Prof. Boris Rubtsov or transmitted in any form or by any Prof. S. Jaimungal Chair of Financial Markets and means without the prior permission Associate Chair of Graduate Financial Engineering, Financial Studies, Dept. Statistical Sciences University, Russia in writing from the copyright holder. & Mathematical Finance Program, Single photocopies of articles may University of Toronto, Canada Dr. Minghao Shen be made for personal use as allowed Dean, Center for Cantonese Merchants by national copyright laws. Prof. Bartlomiej Kaminski Research, Guangdong University of ISSN 2308-944X University of Maryland, USA; Foreign Studies, China Вестник исследований бизнеса и экономики ГЛАВНЫЙ РЕДАКТОР Д. Мавракис, профессор, Ч.Т. Фан, профессор, Институт А.И. Ильинский, профессор, декан директор Центра политики права в области науки и технологии, Международного финансо вого фа- и развития энергетики национальный университет Цин Хуа культета Финансового университета Национального университета (Тайвань) Афин (Греция) ВЫПУСКАЮЩИЙ РЕДАКТОР В. Фок, профессор, директор по А.В. Каффка С. Макгвайр, профессор, дирек- исследованиям азиатского бизне- тор Института предпринимательства са Бизнес-колледжа Университета РЕДАКЦИОННЫЙ СОВЕТ Университета штата Калифорния, Лойола (США) Лос-Анджелес (США) М.М. Алексанян, профессор Бизнес- Д.Е. Халкос, профессор, Университет школы им. Адама Смита, Университет А. Мельников, профессор Фессалии (Греция) Глазго (Великобритания) Депар та мента математических и ста тистических исследований К.А. Хартвелл, президент Центра К. Вонг, профессор, директор Инсти- Университета провинции Альберта социальных и экономических иссле- тута азиатско-тихоокеанского бизнеса (Канада) дований CASE (Польша) Университета штата Калифорния, Лос-Анджелес (США) Р.М. Нуреев, профессор, заведующий М. Чудри, профессор, Университет кафедрой "Экономическая теория" Брунеля (Великобритания) К.П. Глущенко, профессор экономи- Финансового университета ческого факультета Новосибирского Сун Цяокин, профессор, декан Выс- госуниверситета О.В. Павлов, профессор шей школы бизнеса Гуандунского Депар та мента по литологии университета зарубежных исследова- С. Джеимангал, профессор Депар- и полити ческих исследований ний (КНР) тамента статистики и математиче- Ворчестерского политехнического ских финансов Университета Торонто института (США) М. Шен, декан Центра кантонских (Канада) рыночных исследований Гуандунско- Б. Н. Порфирьев, профессор, го университета (КНР) Д. Дикинсон, профессор Департамен- член-корреспондент РАН, заме- та экономики Бирмингемской бизнес- ститель директора Института Издательство Финансового школы, Бирмингемский университет народнохозяйственного прогнози- университета (Великобритания) рования РАН 123995, Москва, ГСП-5, ул. Олеко Дундича, 23, Б. Каминский, профессор, С. Рачев, профессор Бизнес-кол- комн. 105 Мэрилендский университет (США); леджа Университета Стони Брук Тел. 8 (499) 277-28-19. Университет информационных (США) Интернет: www.robes.fa.ru. технологий и менеджмента в Жешуве (Польша) Б.Б. Рубцов, профессор, заведующий Журнал "Review of Business and кафедрой "Финансовые рынки и фи- Economics Studies" ("Вест ник В.Л. Квинт, заведующий кафедрой нансовый инжиниринг" Финансового исследований бизнеса и эко- финансовой стратегии Московской университета номики") зарегистрирован школы экономики МГУ, профессор в Федеральной службе по над- Школы бизнеса Лассальского универ- Д.Е. Сорокин, профессор, член- зору в сфере связи, информаци- ситета (США) корреспондент РАН, проректор онных технологий и массовых коммуникаций 9 июля 2013 г. Финансового университета Свидетельство о регистрации Г. Б. Клейнер, профессор, член-кор- по научной работе ПИ № ФС77-54658. респондент РАН, заместитель дирек- тора Центрального экономико-мате- Р. Тан, профессор, проректор Подписано в печать: 18.12.2015. матического института РАН Колледжа Де Ла Саль Св. Бенильды Формат 60 × 84 1/8. (Филиппины) Заказ № 1058 от 18.12.2015. Э. Крочи, профессор, директор по Отпечатано в ООП Издательства научной работе Центра исследований Д. Тсомокос, Оксфордский универ- Финуниверситета в области энергетики и экономики ситет, старший научный сотрудник (Ленинградский проспект, д. 49). окружающей среды Университета Лондонской школы экономики 16+ Боккони (Италия) (Великобритания) Review of Business and Economics Studies Volume 3, Number 4, 2015 CONTENTS Innovation Policy in Contemporary Russia and the Struggle for Infl uence between the Leading Groups within the Establishment Alexander Shatilov, Pavel Seleznev . .5 Energy Price Shocks in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium: The Case of Bangladesh Sakib B. Amin, Laura Marsiliani . .12 Validity of Fama and French Model on RTS Index Sergey Ozornov . .22 Financial Market Modeling with Quantum Neural Networks Carlos Pedro Gonçalves . .44 Analysis of Long-Term Shareholders Value Drivers: Evidence from UC RUSAL Nadezhda Trusova . .64 Success Determinants of Crowdfunding Projects Fedor Levin . .79 Geometry of Economics: Volumetric Distribution Analysis of Economic Continuity and Stability Ilya Kuntsevich . .88 Вестник исследований бизнеса и экономики № 4, 2015 CОДЕРЖАНИЕ Современная инновационная политика России в контексте борьбы за влияние ведущих элитных групп Александр Шатилов, Павел Селезнев . .5 Колебания цен на электроэнергию в динамической стохастической модели общего равновесия на примере Бангладеш Сакиб Амин, Лаура Марсилиани . .12 Оценка адекватности модели Фама-Френча на индексе РТС Сергей Озорнов . 22 Моделирование финансовых рынков с использованием квантовых нейронных сетей Карлуш Педро Гонсалвеш . 44 Анализ факторов создания долгосрочной акционерной стоимости бизнеса на примере компании «РУСАЛ» Надежда Трусова . 64 Определяющие факторы успеха краудфандинговых проектов Федор Левин . 79 Геометрия в экономике: анализ экономической непрерывности и стабильности с помощью объемного распределения Илья Кунцевич . 88 Review of Business and Economics Studies Volume 3, Number 4, 2015 Innovation Policy
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