Nota De Coyuntura Centro De Estudios Internacionales Gilberto Bosques

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Nota De Coyuntura Centro De Estudios Internacionales Gilberto Bosques NOTA DE COYUNTURA CENTRO DE ESTUDIOS INTERNACIONALES GILBERTO BOSQUES Senado de la República, 11 de febrero de 2015 TRAS 16 AÑOS DE LITIGIO, LA CORTE INTERNACIONAL DE JUSTICIA DETERMINA QUE NI SERBIA NI CROACIA SON CULPABLES DE GENOCIDIO DURANTE LA GUERRA DE LOS BALCANES Banderas de Croacia (derecha) y Serbia (izquierda) Fuente: Flags of the world, s.f. Consultado el 6 de febrero de 2015 en: http://1389blog.com/pix/serb-and-croat- flags.jpg 1 Introducción La Guerra de los Balcanes fue un cruento y prolongado conflicto bélico registrado entre 1991 y 1999 que culminó con la disolución de Yugoslavia en seis países independientes, a saber: 1) Bosnia y Herzegovina; 2) Croacia; 3) Montenegro; 4) Macedonia; 5) Serbia; y, 6) Eslovenia.1 Se estima que a lo largo del conflicto, murieron entre 130 y 200 mil personas, siendo el segundo conflicto en territorio europeo que históricamente ha cobrado un mayor número de víctimas, sólo por detrás de la Segunda Guerra Mundial.2 En 1999 Croacia demandó por genocidio a Serbia ante la Corte Internacional de Justicia (CIJ), mientras que Serbia hizo lo propio en 2010. Tras 16 años de litigio, el 3 de febrero de 2015, dicho tribunal internacional rechazó las demandas de ambas partes y determinó que no pudieron probar que se cometió genocidio debido a dos razones: 1) los crímenes denunciados no se corresponden con las disposiciones de la Convención para la Prevención y Sanción del Genocidio de 1948; y, 2) el genocidio requiere la intención expresa de destruir a un grupo humano concreto, por lo que para que la “limpieza étnica” sea considerada como tal, se requiere demostrar que las fuerzas combatientes tenían el propósito sistemático de acabar con otra etnia, y, en opinión, de los jueces de la CIJ, ni Serbia ni Croacia aportaron evidencias concretas para comprobarlo.3 El fallo es vinculante y en opinión de algunos analistas internacionales puede ser un paso positivo para que tanto Serbia como Croacia avancen hacía una reconciliación, mientras que otros expertos en la materia consideran que podrían exacerbarse las tensiones, pues el trágico pasado común, aún sigue siendo materia de profunda división entre ambos pueblos. El objetivo de la presente nota de coyuntura consiste en contextualizar las demandas de ambas partes en el marco de la Guerra de Los Balcanes, así como analizar las razones por las que este litigio se llevó a cabo en la CIJ y no en el Tribunal Penal Internacional para la ex Yugoslavia. Posteriormente, se explicarán los pormenores del procedimiento legal y el razonamiento de la Corte para determinar que ninguna parte incurrió en el delito de genocidio. Por último, se realizará un ejercicio de prospectiva sobre las implicaciones de esta resolución en las relaciones bilaterales entre Serbia y Croacia. La Guerra de Los Balcanes: una recapitulación histórica Tras el fin de la Guerra Fría, luego de la reunificación de Alemania, el colapso de la Unión de Repúblicas Socialistas Soviéticas (URSS) y la adopción de la democracia y el libre mercado por parte de los países miembros del Pacto de Varsovia la comunidad internacional consideraba que iniciaría una larga etapa de prosperidad en Europa. 4No obstante, en 1991 dicha percepción positiva cambió drásticamente por el estallido de un conflicto armado en Yugoslavia que se extendería por más de ocho años. 5 A continuación se resumen los acontecimientos más relevantes a manera de cronología:6 1 Kosovo se escinde de Serbia a partir de una Declaración Unilateral de Independencia del 17 de febrero de 2008 cuya compatibilidad con el derecho internacional fue también avalada, en su momento, por la Corte Internacional de Justicia en su fallo del 22 de julio de 2010. 2 Necrometrics, " Wars and Atrocities of the 20th Century", s.f. Consultado el 6 de febrero de 2015 en: http://goo.gl/VKL4cq 3 Isabel Ferrer, "El Tribunal de la ONU falla que Serbia y Croacia no cometieron genocidio", El País, 3 de febrero de 2015. Consultado el 6 de febrero de 2015 en: http://internacional.elpais.com/internacional/2015/02/02/actualidad/1422906156_541250.html 4 Acuerdo de cooperación militar firmado en 1955 por la URSS, Polonia, Bulgaria, Checoslovaquia, Hungría, Rumania, Albania y la República Democrática Alemana, con el objetivo de contrarrestar la influencia de la Organización del Tratado del Atlántico Norte. 5 The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, "What Happened to Yugoslavia? ", 2004. Consultado el 9 de febrero de 2015 en: http://www.unc.edu/depts/europe/teachingresources/balkan-crisis.pdf 6 Elaboración propia con información de: The Washington Post, "Balkans: 1940 to 1999", 2000. Consultado el 10 de febrero de 2015 en: http://goo.gl/PlFHsi; Borgna Brunner y David Johnson, "Timeline: The Former Yugoslavia", Infoplease, s.f. Consultado el 10 de febrero de 2015 en: http://goo.gl/Tc2NDN; Sabrina Petra Ramet, "War in the Balkans", Foreign Affairs, 1992. Consultado el 10 de febrero de 2015 en: http://goo.gl/sxoKcU; y, El Mundo (España), "La desintegración de Yugoslavia, paso a paso", 17 de febrero de 2008. Consultado el 10 de febrero de 2015 en: http://goo.gl/eHG7GH 2 1918: Al cabo de la Primera Guerra Mundial y la subsecuente disolución del Imperio Austrohúngaro, las comunidades eslavas de Los Balcanes se unieron en un Estado multicultural y federativo conocido como Reino de los Serbios, Croatas y Eslovenos, designando como monarca al serbio Petar I. Karadjordevic. Croacia, Eslovenia y Serbia habían formado parte del Imperio Austrohúngaro, mientras que Serbia y Montenegro eran Estados independientes. Mapa 1: Situación geográfica del Reino de los Serbios, Croatas y Eslovenos7 1929: El nombre del reino es cambiado a Yugoslavia. 1941: Las potencias del Eje (Alemania, Italia y Japón) invaden Yugoslavia en el marco de la Segunda Guerra Mundial. 1945: Después de la Segunda Guerra Mundial, los Balcanes quedaron en manos de los soviéticos, quienes pretendían crear una federación de Estados comunistas. El nuevo Estado es denominado República Federal Popular de Yugoslavia, y Josip Broz Tito es nombrado jefe de Estado. El nuevo país estaba compuesto de seis Repúblicas: 1) Serbia; 2) Croacia; 3) Bosnia y Herzegovina; 4) Macedonia; 5) Eslovenia; y 6) Montenegro; y, dos provincias autónomas: Kosovo y Vojvodina. Mapa 2: Situación geográfica de la República Federal Popular de Yugoslavia8. 1980: Muere Tito y una presidencia colegiada de 8 miembros asume el poder (6 de cada república y 2 de las provincias autónomas). Las diferencias étnicas y nacionalistas empiezan a profundizarse. 7 Boston College, "Balkans after World War I", s.f. Consultado el 9 de febrero de 2015 en: http://goo.gl/uJqlRU 8 CRW Flags, "Map of Yugoslavia (1945-1991)", s.f. Consultado el 9 de febrero de 2015 en: http://goo.gl/iBMNAv 3 Mapa 3: Composición étnica de Yugoslavia en 19899 1987: Slobodan Milosevic se convierte en líder del Partido Socialista Serbio, prometiendo a los serbios que recuperaría Kosovo. 1989: El Parlamento serbio enmienda la Constitución y reduce la autonomía de Kosovo, al regresar la policía y el sistema judicial local al control de las autoridades serbias. Inmediatamente se producen disturbios en los que mueren más de 20 personas. En septiembre, Milosevic es electo presidente de Serbia, y tras la caída del Muro de Berlín en noviembre, comenzó a expandirse un sentimiento nacionalista entre las repúblicas yugoslavas. 1990: Se disuelve el gobierno y el Parlamento de Kosovo, con lo que es totalmente abolida su autonomía. Mientras tanto, 88.5% de la población de Eslovenia vota en un plebiscito a favor de la independencia. Durante un congreso del Partido Socialista Serbio, algunos eslovenos protestaron porque consideraban que dicha agrupación representaba a Serbia y era un vehículo para que Milosevic expandiera sus intereses. 1991: Eslovenia y Croacia declaran su independencia. En el primer país la transición es pacífica, en virtud de que 90% de la población eran eslovenos, mientras que en el segundo, se presentaron enfrentamientos con el Ejército de Serbia, pues 12% de sus habitantes eran serbios y los croatas pretendían expulsarlos de su territorio, además de que los serbios de la región de la Krajina declararon su separación de la república. Mientras tanto, en Macedonia, 95.09% de la población se pronuncia a favor de la independencia, y en Kosovo, 90% votan a favor en un plebiscito clandestino. El Parlamento bosnio vota por la independencia, y también se desatan tensiones étnicas, ya que 43% de la población de Bosnia era musulmana, 31% serbia y 17% croata. 1992: Macedonia y Bosnia y Herzegovina declaran su independencia y solicitan su reconocimiento internacional. Los serbios que habitaban Bosnia proclaman la República Serbia de Bosnia y comienza la guerra, mientras que en Belgrado, Milosevic establece la República Federal de Yugoslavia, que engloba a Montenegro y Serbia, pero no es reconocida por Estados Unidos. Eslovenia y Croacia, mientras tanto, son admitidas por la ONU. 9 The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, op. cit. 4 Mapa 4: Situación geográfica de Yugoslavia en 199210 1993: Macedonia es reconocida por la ONU. 1995: Militares serbobosnios tomaron la ciudad de Srebrenica y asesinaron a más de 8 mil hombres musulmanes, a pesar de que ese enclave había sido declarado por la ONU como “zona protegida”. Croacia recupera la ciudad de la Krajina, tras lanzar la operación “Storm” y se produce un éxodo de 200 mil serbios que huyen de los croatas. La OTAN comienza a bombardear objetivos serbios en Bosnia, y Estados Unidos funge como mediador de los Acuerdos de Dayton para lograr la paz en Bosnia, luego de que se acordara crear dos entidades autónomas: la República Serbia de Bosnia y la Federación Croata-Musulmana. Mapa 5: Situación geográfica de Yugoslavia en 199511 1996: Surge la organización separatista armada albano-kosovar Ejército de Liberación de Kosovo.
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