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March 2014 Forecast.Indd March 2014 Monthly Forecast 2 Status Update since our Overview February Forecast 3 Children and Armed Conflict Luxembourg will preside over the Security Coun- the Congo by Martin Kobler, the head of the 4 Afghanistan cil in March. UN Organization Stabilization Mission in the An open debate on children and armed con- DRC and Special Envoy to the Great Lakes 6 Syria flict is planned, to be chaired by Jean Asselborn, Region Mary Robinson; 8 South Sudan Minister of Foreign and European Affairs of Lux- • the UN Assistance Mission in Somalia, by its 10 Sudan and South embourg. Special Representative for Children head Nicholas Kay, and by the Special Repre- Sudan and Armed Conflict Leila Zerrougui, Executive sentative of the Chairperson of the AU Com- 11 Sudan (Darfur) Director of UNICEF Anthony Lake and Under- mission for Somalia, Mahamet Saleh Annadif; 12 Somalia Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Hervé Lad- • the situation in Liberia by Karin Landgren, 14 Central African sous are among expected briefers. A former Sierra Special Representative and head of the UN Republic Leone child soldier, Alhaji Babah Sawaneh, who Mission in Liberia and Ambassador Staffan spoke to the Council on 20 November 2001 when Tillander (Sweden), chair of the Liberia con- 16 Democratic Republic of the Congo he was 14, is also expected to address the Council. figuration of the PBC; Debates are expected on the situations in • the situation in South Sudan, by Ladsous and 17 Liberia Afghanistan, with a briefing by Ján Kubiš, the possibly also Executive Director of UN Wom- 18 Sierra Leone head of the UN Assistance Mission in Afghani- en Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka; 19 Libya stan and in Haiti, by Sandra Honoré, the head of • the UN Assistance Mission for Iraq by its head 21 Yemen the UN Stabilization Mission in Haiti. Nickolay Mladenov with Iraq/Kuwait missing Luxembourg is planning a wrap-up session persons and property issues being discussed in 22 Lebanon to be held at the end of the month in a private consultations; and 23 UNDOF (Golan Heights) meeting. • the Middle East peace process by Special 24 Iraq Briefings are expected on: Coordinator Robert Serry. 26 Iran • the work of the 1737 Iran Sanctions Com- Briefings in consultations are likely on: 27 DPRK mittee by its chair, Ambassador Gary Quinlan • Syria on the chemical weapons track by the (Australia); Special Coordinator of the OPCW-UN Joint 29 Haiti • the situation in Sierra Leone by the head of the Mission, Sigrid Kaag; on Geneva II peace talks 30 Peacebuilding UN Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Sier- by the UN-Arab League Joint Special Repre- 32 Notable Dates ra Leone Jens Anders Toyberg-Frandzen and sentative Lakhdar Brahimi; and on the imple- Ambassador Guillermo Rishchynski (Cana- mentation of resolution 2139 on humanitarian da), chair of the Sierra Leone configuration access by Amos; of the PBC; and • the AU/UN Hybrid Operation in Darfur by • post-conflict peacebuilding by Deputy Sec- Ladsous; retary-General Jan Eliasson and possibly the • Sudan/South Sudan issues by Special Envoy PBC chair, Ambassador Antonio de Aguiar Haile Menkerios; Patriota (Brazil) and the head of UNDP Hel- • the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei, by en Clark. Ladsous; Briefings, followed by consultations, are • the implementation of resolution 1701 on expected on: Lebanon, by Special Coordinator Derek 28 February 2014 This report is available online at • the UN Support Mission in Libya by its head Plumbly and Assistant Secretary-General for securitycouncilreport.org. Tarek Mitri and the work of the 1970 Libya Peacekeeping Edmond Mulet; For daily insights by SCR on evolving Sanctions Committee by its chair, Ambassador • the UN Disengagement Observer Force in the Security Council actions please subscribe to our “What’s In Blue” Eugène-Richard Gasana (Rwanda); Golan Heights by Mulet; series at whatsinblue.org or follow • the situation in the Central African Republic, • the work of the 751/1907 Somalia/Eritrea @SCRtweets on Twitter. by the Department of Policitcal Affairs and Sanctions Committee by its chair, Ambassa- OCHA head Amos; dor Oh Joon (Republic of Korea); and • the situation in the Democratic Republic of • Yemen, by Special Advisor Jamal Benomar. Security Council Report Monthly Forecast March 2013 securitycouncilreport.org 1 Overview (con’t) Formal sessions will be held to adopt reso- • UNAMA (Afghanistan); and An informal interactive dialogue regard- lutions renewing the mandate of: • MONUSCO (DRC). ing the AU Mission in Somalia and an Arria • the Panel of Experts assisting the 1718 A formal session will also be needed if the formula meeting with religious leaders from DPRK Sanctions Committee; Council decides to continue the partial lifting the CAR are also contemplated. • • UNSMIL (Libya); of the arms embargo on Somalia. Status Update since our February Forecast Mali and human rights law; enhancing compliance Representative for Foreign Affairs and Secu- From 31 January to 3 February, Council by non-state armed groups; ensuring humani- rity Policy, briefed the Council on the activi- members took part in a visiting mission to tarian access; and promoting accountability.) ties of the EU in maintenance of interna- Mali (Bamako and Mopti) led by Chad and The debate also provided an opportunity to tional peace and security. At the meeting, the France (S/2014/72). The mission was under- consider the Secretary-General’s most recent Council adopted the first-ever presidential taken to reiterate the Council’s urgent call for thematic report on the protection of civilians, statement on cooperation between the UN an inclusive and credible negotiation process issued on 22 November (S/2013/689). It fea- and the EU, highlighting the EU’s compre- open to all communities of the north, as well tured briefings by Under-Secretary-General hensive approach to maintenance of interna- as emphasising the Council’s full support of for Humanitarian Affairs Valerie Amos, Under- tional peace and security (S/PRST/2014/4). the good offices of the Special Representative Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Opera- for Mali. On 26 February, the Council was tions Hervé Ladsous, High Commissioner Counter-Terrorism briefed by the co-leads of the visiting mission for Human Rights Navi Pillay and the Direc- On 16 February, Council members released (S/PV.7120). tor General of the International Committee a press statement condemning the terrorist of the Red Cross, Yves Daccord. In addition attack targeting a bus with Korean tourists Kosovo to Council members, more than 45 member in the Sinai Peninsula (Egypt) killing at least On 10 February, the Council held its quar- states also spoke.The presidential statement four people and injuring dozens (SC/11284). terly debate on Kosovo (S/PV.7108) and was reiterated the Council’s commitment to the briefed by Farid Zarif, the Special Repre- protection of civilians and contained as an Rule of Law sentative and head of UNMIK on the latest annex an updated aide mémoire aimed at On 19 February, the Council held an open report of the Secretary-General (S/2014/68). facilitating the Council’s consideration of pro- debate on the “the promotion and strength- tection issues. (First endorsed by the Coun- ening of the rule of law in the maintenance UNOCA (Central Africa) cil in a presidential statement on 15 March of international peace and security”, chaired On 10 February, the Secretary-General 2002 [S/PRST/2002/6] the aide memoire has by the Foreign Minister of Lithuania, Lin- extended the mandate of UNOCA until 31 been updated several times, most recently in a as Linkevičius (S/PV.7113). The Secretary- August 2015 in an exchange of letters with 22 November 2010 presidential statement [S/ General briefed the Council and represen- the Council (S/2014/103 and S/2014/104). PRST/2010/25]). While the Council had in the tatives of 63 member states, the EU and past “adopted” the aide memoire, this time it Palestine participated. On 21 February, the Cyprus instead “recognize[d] the contribution of the Council adopted a presidential statement (S/ On 11 February, the Council issued a press updated aide memoire for the consideration of PRST/2014/5) underlining the importance of statement welcoming the joint communi- issues pertaining to the protection of civilians support to strengthening the rule of law insti- qué agreed between the Greek Cypriots and in armed conflict.” tutions of the host country by a number of Turkish Cypriots leaders (SC/11273). peacekeeping operations and special political Burundi missions within the scope of their mandates. Protection of Civilians On 13 February, the Council adopted resolu- On 12 February, the Council held its semi- tion 2137, extending the mandate of BNUB OSCE annual open debate on the protection of civil- until 31 December 2014 (S/PV.7110). The On 24 February the Council was briefed by ians in armed conflict (S/PV.7109) and adopt- Council also requested the Secretary-Gener- the Swiss Minister of Foreign Affairs Didier ed a presidential statement (S/PRST/2014/3). al to prepare BNUB’s transition and transfer Burkhalter, the Chairperson-in-Office of the The concept note for the debate proposed a of responsibilities to the UN country team Organisation for Security and Co-operation focus on effective implementation of protection by that date. in Europe (OSCE). Burkhalter presented of civilians mandates in UN peacekeeping mis- the main objectives of the OSCE in 2014 sions, which is one of the five core protection EU-UN Cooperation and addressed the recent crisis in Ukraine challenges identified by the Secretary-General On 14 February, the Council held a meeting (S/PV.7117). (S/2014/74). (The other four are enhancing focusing on its cooperation with the EU (S/ compliance with international humanitarian PV.7112). Catherine Ashton, the EU High 2 whatsinblue.org Security Council Report Monthly Forecast March 2013 Status Update since our Forecast (con’t) Israel/Palestine achieve the two-state solution.
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