Chapter Ii the Syrian Civil War and Us-Syrian Political Relations
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Bashar Al-Assad's Struggle for Survival
Bashar al-Assad’s Struggle for Survival: Has the Miracle Occurred? Eyal Zisser The summer of 2014 marked the beginning of a turn in the tide of the civil war in Syria. The accomplishments of the rebels in battles against the regime tilted the scales in their favor and raised doubts regarding Bashar al-Assad’s ability to continue securing his rule, even in the heart of the Syrian state – the thin strip stretching from the capital Damascus to the city of Aleppo, to the Alawite coastal region in the north, and perhaps also to the city of Daraa and the Druze Mountain in the south. This changing tide in the Syrian war was the result of the ongoing depletion of the ranks of the Syrian regime and the exhaustion of the manpower at its disposal. Marked by fatigue and low morale, Bashar’s army was in growing need of members of his Alawite community who remained willing to fight and even die for him, as well as the Hizbollah fighters who were sent to his aid from neighboring Lebanon. The rebels, on the other hand, proved motivated, determined, and capable of perseverance. Indeed, they succeeded in unifying their ranks, and today, in contrast to the hundreds of groups that had been operating throughout the country, there are now only a few groups operating – all, incidentally, of radical Islamic character. Countries coming to the aid of the rebels also included Turkey, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, who decided to topple the Assad regime and showed determination equal to that of Bashar’s allies – Iran, Hizbollah, and Russia. -
Administration of Barack Obama, 2011 Nominations Submitted to The
Administration of Barack Obama, 2011 Nominations Submitted to the Senate December 16, 2011 The following list does not include promotions of members of the Uniformed Services, nominations to the Service Academies, or nominations of Foreign Service Officers. Submitted January 5 Arenda L. Wright Allen, of Virginia, to be U.S. District Judge for the Eastern District of Virginia, vice Jerome B. Friedman, retired. Anthony J. Battaglia, of California, to be U.S. District Judge for the Southern District of California, vice M. James Lorenz, retired. Cathy Bissoon, of Pennsylvania, to be U.S. District Judge for the Western District of Pennsylvania, vice Thomas M. Hardiman, elevated. James Emanuel Boasberg, of the District of Columbia, to be U.S. District Judge for the District of Columbia, vice Thomas F. Hogan, retired. Vincent L. Briccetti, of New York, to be U.S. District Judge for the Southern District of New York, vice Kimba M. Wood, retired. Louis B. Butler, Jr., of Wisconsin, to be U.S. District Judge for the Western District of Wisconsin, vice John C. Shabaz, retired. Susan L. Carney, of Connecticut, to be U.S. Circuit Judge for the Second Circuit, vice Barrington D. Parker, retired. Claire C. Cecchi, of New Jersey, to be U.S. District Judge for the District of New Jersey, vice Joseph A. Greenaway, elevated. Edward Milton Chen, of California, to be U.S. District Judge for the Northern District of California, vice Martin J. Jenkins, resigned. Max Oliver Cogburn, Jr., of North Carolina, to be U.S. District Judge for the Western District of North Carolina, vice Lacy H. -
State-Led Urban Development in Syria and the Prospects for Effective Post-Conflict Reconstruction
5 State-led urban development in Syria and the prospects for effective post-conflict reconstruction NADINE ALMANASFI As the militarized phase of the Syrian Uprising and Civil War winds down, questions surrounding how destroyed cities and towns will be rebuilt, with what funding and by whom pervade the political discourse on Syria. There have been concerns that if the international community engages with reconstruction ef- forts they are legitimizing the regime and its war crimes, leaving the regime in a position to control and benefit from reconstruc- tion. Acting Assistant Secretary of State of the United States, Ambassador David Satterfield stated that until a political process is in place that ensures the Syrian people are able to choose a leadership ‘without Assad at its helm’, then the United States will not be funding reconstruction projects.1 The Ambassador of France to the United Nations also stated that France will not be taking part in any reconstruction process ‘unless a political transition is effectively carried out’ and this is also the position of the European Union.1 Bashar al-Assad him- self has outrightly claimed that the West will have no part to play 1 Beals, E (2018). Assad’s Reconstruction Agenda Isn’t Waiting for Peace. Neither Should Ours. Available: https://tcf.org/content/report/assads-recon- struction-agenda-isnt-waiting-peace-neither/?agreed=1. 1 Irish, J & Bayoumy, Y. (2017). Anti-Assad nations say no to Syria recon- struction until political process on track. Available: https://uk.reu- ters.com/article/uk-un-assembly-syria/anti-assad-nations-say-no-to-syria- reconstruction-until-political-process-on-track-idUKKCN1BU04J. -
Committee on Foreign Affairs
1 Union Calendar No. 559 113TH CONGRESS " ! REPORT 2nd Session HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 113–728 LEGISLATIVE REVIEW AND OVERSIGHT ACTIVITIES OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS ONE HUNDRED THIRTEENTH CONGRESS A REPORT FILED PURSUANT TO RULE XI OF THE RULES OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AND SECTION 136 OF THE LEGISLATIVE REORGANIZATION ACT OF 1946 (2 U.S.C. 190d), AS AMENDED BY SECTION 118 OF THE LEGISLATIVE REORGANIZATION ACT OF 1970 (PUBLIC LAW 91–510), AS AMENDED BY PUBLIC LAW 92–136 JANUARY 2, 2015.—Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on the State of the Union and ordered to be printed U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 49–006 WASHINGTON : 2015 VerDate Sep 11 2014 17:06 Jan 08, 2015 Jkt 049006 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 4012 Sfmt 4012 E:\HR\OC\HR728.XXX HR728 mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with HEARINGS E:\Seals\Congress.#13 U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS COMMITTEE MEMBERSHIP 113TH CONGRESS EDWARD R. ROYCE, California, Chairman (25–21) CHRISTOPHER H. SMITH, New Jersey ELIOT L. ENGEL, New York ILEANA ROS-LEHTINEN, Florida ENI F.H. FALEOMAVAEGA, American DANA ROHRABACHER, California Samoa STEVE CHABOT, Ohio BRAD SHERMAN, California JOE WILSON, South Carolina GREGORY W. MEEKS, New York MICHAEL T. MCCAUL, Texas ALBIO SIRES, New Jersey TED POE, Texas GERALD E. CONNOLLY, Virginia MATT SALMON, Arizona THEODORE E. DEUTCH, Florida TOM MARINO, Pennsylvania BRIAN HIGGINS, New York JEFF DUNCAN, South Carolina KAREN BASS, California ADAM KINZINGER, Illinois WILLIAM KEATING, Massachusetts MO BROOKS, Alabama DAVID CICILLINE, Rhode Island TOM COTTON, Arkansas ALAN GRAYSON, Florida PAUL COOK, California JUAN VARGAS, California GEORGE HOLDING, North Carolina BRADLEY S. -
Seizures of Western Diplomatic Facilities Historical Timelines, 1979–2019
Research Report C O R P O R A T I O N JACQUELINE GARDNER BURNS, CHRISTOPHER A. MOUTON, ADAM R. GRISSOM, JOHN P. GODGES Seizures of Western Diplomatic Facilities Historical Timelines, 1979–2019 hen local or international crises occur around the world, American and allied dip- lomatic facilities are frequent targets of contention and violence. As the most visible Wsymbols of Western governments and their policies, such diplomatic facilities are also common targets of international terrorist organizations. To develop effective response capabilities, it is necessary to know the timelines under which response forces will need to operate. Specifically, a response will be effective only if it occurs before the attack culminates. We conducted a review of attacks on Western diplomatic facilities as part of a larger project that analyzed possible responses to attacks on U.S. diplomatic facilities. To assess the parameters of an effective response, we reviewed all historical attacks on Western diplomatic facil- ities over the past four decades and identified any relevant trends in the timelines of those attacks. We found that the trends confirm the need for a three-tiered planning approach consisting of Early Security Augmentation, Anticipatory Security Augmentation, and In KEY FINDINGS Extremis Response. Q There have been 33 successful seizures of Western diplomatic facilities since 1979, outside of areas of active armed conflict involving U.S. or allied contingency forces. Methodology Q The majority of attacks culminated in two hours or less, and over We compiled data on all embassy 90 percent culminated in six hours or less. seizures that were either fully or par- Q In the past decade, however, the median attack duration was four tially successful from 1979 to 2019. -
Democracy to the Rescue
AJT-10 MIDDLE EAST Andrew Tabler is an Institute Fellow based in Damascus and Beirut studying Lebanese ICWA affairs and Syrian reform. Democracy to the Rescue LETTERS By Andrew Tabler MARCH 2006 DAMASCUS, Syria–As I approached the demonstration, I realized that the more Since 1925 the Institute of things change in Syria, the more the state’s reaction stays the same. It was March Current World Affairs (the Crane- 9, the 43rd anniversary of the declaration of “emergency law” in Syria. For the Rogers Foundation) has provided second year in a row, members of the Syrian Students’ National Union (SSNU) long-term fellowships to enable were busy beating up and chasing off opposition figures staging a sit-in in front outstanding young professionals of the old Ministry of Justice — a stone’s throw away from the radio station where to live outside the United States martial law was declared in 1963 the morning after the Ba’ath Party seized power and write about international in a military coup. Multi-party politics in Syria was suspended that day, all in the areas and issues. An exempt operating foundation endowed by the late Charles R. Crane, the Institute is also supported by contributions from like-minded individuals and foundations. TRUSTEES Bryn Barnard Joseph Battat Mary Lynne Bird Steven Butler Sharon F. Doorasamy Peter Geithner Gary Hartshorn Katherine Roth Kono Cheng Li Peter Bird Martin Dasa Obereigner A mob from the Syrian Students’ National Union (SSNU) abuse and assault a member David Z. Robinson of Syria’s opposition protesting 43 years of “Emergency Rule” in Syria on March 9. -
Syria—A Decade of Lost Chances Repression and Revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring
Syria—A Decade of Lost Chances Repression and Revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring By Carsten Wieland Syria—A Decade of Lost Chances Repression and Revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring © 2012 By Carsten Wieland Cune Press, Seattle 2012 Hardback ISBN 978-1-61457-001-1 $34.95 Paperback ISBN 978-1-61457-002-8 $19.95 eBook ISBN 978-1-61457-003-5 $4.95 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Wieland, Carsten. Syria--a decade of lost chances : repression and revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring / by Carsten Wieland. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-61457-001-1 (hardback : alk. paper) ISBN 978-1- 61457-002-8 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN 978-1-61457-003-5 (ebook) 1. Syria--Politics and government--2000- 2. Syria- -Social conditions--1971- 3. Political persecution--Syria- -History--21st century. 4. Protest movements--Syria- -History--21st century. 5. Assad, Bashar, 1965- I. Title. DS98.6.W528 2012 956.9104’2--dc23 Photo Credits for Cover: Picture-Alliance Syria Cross Road Select titles in the Syria Cross Road Series: Steel & Silk: Men and Women Who Shaped Syria 1900 - 2000 - by Sami Moubayed A Pen of Damascus Steel: The Political Cartoons of an Arab Master - by Ali Farzat The Road from Damascus: A Journey Through Syria - by Scott C. Davis Syria - Ballots or Bullets? Democracy, Islamism, and Secularism in the Levant - by Carsten Wieland www.cunepress.com | www.cunepress.net Contents Foreword 10 1 Hariqa: The Fire Spreads 16 2 Regime Reflexes & Reactions 28 3 A Decade of Lost Chances -
November 2020 #1
CATALOGUE: November 2020 #1 https://pahor.de/ Antiquariat Daša Pahor GbR Alexander Johnson, Ph.D. & Daša Pahor, Ph.D. Jakob-Klar-Str. 12 Germany - 80796 München +49 89 27 37 23 52 www.pahor.de [email protected] Answers to the Most Common Questions - We offer worldwide free shipping. - We cover the customs fees, provide all the paperwork and deal with the customs. We send outside the EU daily and we are used to taking over the control of exporting and importing. - For all the manuscripts, ordered from outside the EU, please give us approximately 10 days to deal with the additional paperwork. - We offer a 20% institutional discount. - We offer original researches and high resolution scans of our maps and prints, which we are happy to forward to the buyers and researchers on request. - For any questions, please e-mail us at: [email protected]. Stay safe, Daša & Alex TERMS AND CONDITIONS IN THE TIME OF COVID-19: We continue working from our offices in an uninterrupted fashion and are available for all questions and orders per e-mail and telephone. We ship orders daily per Fedex free of charge, as usually. Most deliveries have proceeded normally, however there are sometimes delays of a few days to some parcels. SPECIAL NOTE FOR THE INSTITUTIONS AND CLIENTS, WHO CAN NOT RECEIVE PARCELS AT THE MOMENT: We would be happy to take your orders even if you can not receive mail or process the invoices at the moment. We will reserve the items for you and forward the parcels with the invoices once your institution reopens. -
Islamists, Religion, and the Revolution in Syria
Islamists, Religion, and the Revolution in Syria Mohammad Abu Rumman ΔϴϤηΎϬϟΔϴϧΩέϷΔϜϠϤϤϟ ΔϴϨρϮϟΔΒΘϜϤϟΓήΩϯΪϟωΪϳϹϢϗέ (2013/9/3259) ή˷ΒόϳϻϭϪϔϨμϣϯϮΘΤϣϦϋΔϴϧϮϧΎϘϟΔϴϟϭΆδϤϟϞϣΎϛϒϟΆϤϟϞϤΤΘϳ ϯήΧΔϴϣϮϜΣΔϬΟϱϭϪϴϨρϮϟΔΒΘϜϤϟΓήΩϱέ ϦϋϒϨμϤϟάϫ Imprint Published in 2013 by Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, FES Jordan & Iraq / FES Syria FES Jordan & Iraq P.O. Box 941876 Amman 11194, Jordan Email: [email protected] Website: www.fes-jordan.org FES Syria P.O. Box 116107 Riad El Solh Beirut 1107 2210, Lebanon Not for sale. © FES Jordan & Iraq / FES Syria All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reprinted, reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means without prior written permission from the publishers. The views and opinions expressed in this publication are solely those of the original authors. They do not necessarily represent those of the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung or the editor. Translation: Dr. Hassan Barari Editing: Anja Wehler-Schoeck Cover: Ramzi al-Arabi Printing: Economic Printing Press ISBN: 978-9957-484-26-2 2 Foreword In the current fall of 2013, not a single day passes by without the crisis in Syria making new headlines. The international community has demonstrated indecision regarding concerted strategic action in the face of Bashar al-Assad’s brutal acts against the Syrian population. Meanwhile, the subsequent refugee crisis is heavily impacting Syria’s neighboring countries Jordan, Turkey, Lebanon and to a lesser extent Iraq. In the two latter, the political implications of what is turning more and more into a proxy war are felt the strongest and contribute to the increasing instability of both countries. -
L'evoluzione Del Concetto Di War by Proxy. Cause, Effetti, Nuove
CENTRO ALTI STUDI CENTRO MILITARE PER LA DIFESA DI STUDI STRATEGICI Cap. (ris. sel.) Elisabetta Trenta L’evoluzione del concetto di war by proxy. Cause, effetti, nuove applicazioni nei conflitti asimmetrici e negli scenari di crisi odierni (AL-S-08) Il Centro Militare di Studi Strategici (CeMiSS) è un organismo istituito nel 1987 che gestisce, nell’ambito e per conto della Difesa, la ricerca su temi di carattere strategico. Tale attività permette di accedere, valorizzandoli, a strumenti di conoscenza ed a metodologie di analisi indispensabili per dominare la complessità degli attuali scenari e necessari per il raggiungimento degli obiettivi che le Forze Armate, e più in generale la collettività nazionale, si pongono in tema di sicurezza e difesa. La mission del Centro, infatti, nasce dalla ineludibile necessità del Ministero della Difesa di svolgere un ruolo di soggetto attivo all’interno del mondo della cultura e della conoscenza scientifica interagendo efficacemente con tale realtà, contribuendo quindi a plasmare un contesto culturale favorevole, agevolando la conoscenza e la comprensione delle problematiche di difesa e sicurezza, sia presso il vasto pubblico che verso opinion leader di riferimento. Più in dettaglio, il Centro: ● effettua studi e ricerche di carattere strategico politico-militare; ● sviluppa la collaborazione tra le Forze Armate e le Università, centri di ricerca italiani, stranieri ed Amministrazioni Pubbliche; ● forma ricercatori scientifici militari; ● promuove la specializzazione dei giovani nel settore della ricerca; ● pubblica e diffonde gli studi di maggiore interesse. Le attività di studio e di ricerca sono prioritariamente orientate al soddisfacimento delle esigenze conoscitive e decisionali dei Vertici istituzionali della Difesa, riferendosi principalmente a situazioni il cui sviluppo può determinare significative conseguenze anche nella sfera della sicurezza e difesa. -
US Frustrated with Egypt Military, Show Wikileaks UN Settlement Condemnation CAIRO: Egypt’S Military, the Biggest Recipient of Egypt Has Its Own Complaints, Too
ALWATAN DAILY 2 WORLD saturDAY, January 1, 2011 NEWS IN BRIEF Abbas seeks US backing in US frustrated with Egypt military, show Wikileaks UN settlement condemnation CAIRO: Egypt’s military, the biggest recipient of Egypt has its own complaints, too. RIO DE JANIERO: Palestinian Author- US military aid after Israel, is in decline, according Egyptian military officials don’t welcome pres- ity President Mahmoud Abbas said his to American diplomats, who blame the Arab nation’s sure by the Americans to change the doctrine of their new attempt to get the United Nations top brass for failing to modernize and adapt to deal armed forces. They also complain that Washington to condemn Israeli settlements was spe- with new threats. has increased annual military aid to Israel - growing cifically designed to win US support, in US diplomatic memos leaked this month show from 2.55 billion US dollars in 2009 to an expected a Thursday speech in Brazil. The Palestin- previously unknown friction between the two al- $3 billion in 2011. ians have drafted a proposal and are lob- lies over military assistance and strategy. Military Since its peace deal with Israel, Egypt has re- bying for a Security Council resolution cooperation has always been seen as an unshakable ceived nearly $36 billion in military assistance - an that would declare West Bank settlements link between Egypt and the US, even as the political annual installment of $1.3 billion. illegal and an “obstacle to peace.” The US has said it does not support the move. Is- side of the alliance has gone through public ups and With an estimated 1 million active and reserve rael says it’s an attempt by the Palestin- downs over Washington’s on-and-off pressure on re- personnel, the Egyptian military’s last combat mis- ians to avoid negotiations. -
A Decade of Lost Chances: Past and Present Dynamics of Bashar Al-Asad’S Syria*
A Decade of Lost Chances: Past and Present Dynamics of Bashar al-Asad’s Syria* Carsten WIELAND** Abstract The forming of the new National Coalition of Revolutionary and Oppo- sitional Forces in Doha in mid-November 2012 added a new domestic and international dimension to the conflict in Syria. The recognition of this platform as the sole legitimate representative of the Syrian people by more than 100 countries puts additional political pressure on the re- gime of Bashar al-Asad. The President has run out of political options after he had chosen to act exclusively militarily. This article looks back at the decade of lost chances under Asad in order to find an explana- tion to the “security reflex” that the regime opted for when the peaceful demonstrations started out. In this article, the Syrian intifada is placed into a political context of the Arab Spring in which it belongs despite the different path that Syria has been taking since then. The strong fragmentation of the Syrian opposition is part of the Syrian “specialty”. The main cleavages are elaborated here. Finally, five scenarios are of- fered that look possible at the moment of publication, not all of them are as negative as the current situation suggests. Keywords: Syria, Bashar al-Asad, Arab Spring, revolt, opposition, Na- tional Coalition Kaybolan Fırsatlarla Geçen On Yıl: Beşar Esad Yönetimindeki Suriye’nin Önceki ve Şimdiki Dinamikleri Özet 2012 Kasım ayının ortalarında Doha’da kurulan Suriye Muhalif ve Dev- rimci Güçler Ulusal Koalisyonu Suriye’deki çatışmaya yeni bir ulusal ve * This article is based on a speech held at the Middle East Technical University in Ankara, Turkey on 21 November 2012.