Summary social statistics for…
South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse
1 July 2014 Margaret Melling, District Data Analysis Service This session – social statistics
Part 1: How South Oxfordshire and Vale of White Horse districts are changing • Population, housing, age, ethnicity, access to services • Q&A Part 2: Focus on the Economy • Jobs, businesses • Unemployment • Home working and self-employment • Long distance commuting • Q&A INTRODUCTION District Data Analysis service - helping Oxfordshire’s district councils to make use of data and evidence
• Jointly funded by Oxfordshire’s district councils, annual agreement: 2012-13, 2013-14 and 2014-15 • 2 days per week of dedicated analyst time hosted by Oxford City Council providing: – Chart of the month, local area profiles and summary leaflets – Presentations – Web pages with library of resources – Enquiry service by email or phone to provide advice and guidance on sources of social, economic and environmental data Recent topics
• Participation in sport and active recreation • Long distance commuting • Residents employed by the Armed Forces • Unemployed • Enterprises • Car ownership by single older people
Supporting the work of district councils How representative are our consultation • Supporting communities… findings? – Community-led and Neighbourhood
plans How many full time and – S106 negotiations and other part time jobs are available locally? funding bids How many young • District services… people will live in the catchment of the – Planning for housing, housing services leisure centre in 10 – Planning for local infrastructure years time?
– Supporting the local economy How many car parking – Supporting access to services, spaces are needed in a new housing scheme ethnicity, language, health/mobility, for older people? age
Part of building a comprehensive evidence base
Operational data (e.g. volume of waste collected)
Evidence
Customer surveys / Social and economic trends consultations (e.g. size of household, age of (e.g. satisfaction with waste occupants) service) Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk
PART 1: CHANGING DISTRICTS 1940
Land Utilisation Survey of Britain
Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk 1940 Land Utilisation Survey of Britain
Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk Most rapid population growth between 1931 and 1971
Total resident population (current district boundaries)
+27k +13k per South per decade and Vale +2.5k per decade decade
Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk Compared with recent high population growth in Oxford city
Oxford city population 1801 to 2011 180,000 15,000 160,000 3,000 140,000 10,000 120,000
100,000 5,000 per 80,000 decade
Total population Total 60,000 40,000 20,000
0
1801 1811 1821 1831 1841 1851 1861 1871 1881 1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021
From Oxford Strategic Partnership presentation Mark Fransham, original source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk 2001 to 2011 growth in population also below average growth in region and nationally
2001 to 2011 CHANGE in resident population
+17,700
+10,000 +9,100
+6,000 +5,400
Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 2001 to 2011 population growth in older age group
Aged 0 to 19 2001 to 2011 CHANGE
Aged 20 to 59
Aged 60+
Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 BUT a big variation in age by local area… Areas with highest % young people Ranked 1 Benson
Residents of households Age 0-15 32% (489) Age 65+ 4% (64) TOTAL 1,543
South Oxfordshire 011C
Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % young people Ranked 2 Shippon
Residents of households Age 0-15 31% (447) Age 65+ 6% (90) TOTAL 1,427
Vale of White Horse 003A
Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % young people Ranked 3 area of Abingdon
Residents of households Age 0-15 30% (426) Age 65+ 10% (140) TOTAL 1,411
Vale of White Horse 008C
Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % older people Ranked 1 area of Goring
Residents of households Age 0-15 15% (210) Age 65+ 35% (481) TOTAL 1,389
South Oxfordshire 018D
Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % older people Ranked 2 area of Sonning Common
Residents of households Age 0-15 16% (206) Age 65+ 30% (389) TOTAL 1,289
South Oxfordshire 20C
Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % older people Ranked 3 area of Henley-on-Thames
Residents of households Age 0-15 18% (232) Age 65+ 30% (388) TOTAL 1,297
South Oxfordshire 17D
Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Increase in number of flats in Vale of White Horse
CHANGE in dwellings 2001 to 2011 2,004 more flats in Vale 2,004 than in 2001
South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse
930 819 789 729 542 622 419 187 36
Detached Semi-detached Terraced Purpose built flat Flat conversion
Sources: ONS Census 2011 table KS401 Census 2001 table UV55 Majority of flats are in main towns
• Largest 7 parishes have 71% of purpose built flats and 49% of flat conversions in South and Vale • Other parishes with higher numbers of flat conversions = North Hinksey, Cumnor and Goring
Count of households in purpose built flats and flat conversions (2011) All Purpose Flat Districts and parishes households built flats conversions District South Oxfordshire 56,663 4,943 859 District Vale of White Horse 51,036 5,536 903 Vale Abingdon 14,380 2,744 253 South Didcot 10,085 1,178 63 South Henley-on-Thames 5,687 954 204 South Thame 4,877 646 58 Vale Wantage 4,867 831 98 South Wallingford 3,432 618 89 Vale Great Faringdon 3,135 500 113 TOTAL in 7 parishes 46,463 7,471 878 % of South and Vale 43% 71% 50% Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS401 Cheapest market housing over 10 times lower earnings in South Oxfordshire and 8 times in Vale 10.5 times lower Ratio of lower quartile house prices to lower quartile quartile earnings at earnings, 1997-2012 the time of the Census 2011 survey
10.5
8 7 6.5 6
4
Census 2011 Census Census 2001 Census
Source: gov.uk live table 572 last updated April 2014 Growing private rented sector
• Significant increase in % rented households between 2001 and 2011
• In 2011 still below regional and national averages
Private rented as percent of households Census 2011 South Oxfordshire 13.3% Vale of White Horse 13.6% South East 16.8% England 16.3% Private rented All District Ward households Count Percentage 16 of 58 wards with over 15% South Benson 2,215 663 29.9% Vale Marcham and Shippon 1,173 342 29.2% private rented households Vale Shrivenham 1,929 541 28.0% Vale Abingdon Abbey and Barton 2,612 684 26.2% South Didcot Ladygrove 3,173 683 21.5% South Didcot Northbourne 2,384 472 19.8% South Crowmarsh 973 185 19.0% South Henley North 2,616 486 18.6% South Henley South 2,641 482 18.3% South Sandford 1,038 186 17.9% Census 2011 South Watlington 2,252 395 17.5% Vale Hendreds 1,692 282 16.7% Vale North Hinksey and Wytham 1,885 311 16.5% Vale Faringdon and The Coxwells 3,386 542 16.0% Vale Craven 972 153 15.7% South Thame North 2,301 348 15.1%
Thame
Marcham Abingdon and Faringdon Shippon
Benson
Shrivenham Wantage Didcot Wallingford
Henley
Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS402 Growth of social rented sector in Vale of White Horse
• Growth in proportion of Social rented households between 2001 and 2011 Vale is against downward trend in region and nationally
Social rented as percent of households Census 2011 South Oxfordshire 11.4% Vale of White Horse 13.3% South East 13.7% England 17.7% Social rented 16 of 58 wards with over District Ward All households Count Percentage Vale Abingdon Caldecott 1,830 602 32.9% 15% social rented South Wallingford North 2,647 598 22.6% Vale Abingdon Northcourt 1,987 415 20.9% Vale Faringdon and The Coxwells 3,386 691 20.4% households South Berinsfield 2,403 480 20.0% Vale Abingdon Ock Meadow 2,187 425 19.4% South Didcot Northbourne 2,384 452 19.0% Vale Wantage Segsbury 1,612 299 18.5% South Didcot Park 2,311 399 17.3% Vale Hendreds 1,692 283 16.7% Vale Abingdon Fitzharris 1,862 302 16.2% Census 2011 Vale Sutton Courtenay and Appleford 1,154 187 16.2% Vale Wantage Charlton 3,105 500 16.1% South Didcot All Saints 2,265 363 16.0% Vale Abingdon Abbey and Barton 2,612 416 15.9% Vale Greendown 910 143 15.7%
Thame
Abingdon
Faringdon
Wantage Didcot Wallingford
Henley
Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS402 Demographic change helps to predict demand for services
Overall population growth and changes in types of housing including tenure
Demand for services Location of services
For example.. • Areas of new housing tend to have much higher rates of children than average • Possible to use historical data to model how age profile of new developments will change Accessing services – mobility, language
• Those who might be less mobile – Older people living alone without access to private transport – People in poor health or with caring responsibilities • Those who might have language / culture differences – Ethnicity, language Higher proportions of single older people outside major urban centres
Households with single person aged 65+ living alone
Source: ONS Interactive map 2,500 older people living alone without a car in rural areas
Percent of all households occupied by people aged 65+ living alone
Source: Census 2011 table DC1401 South Oxfordshire => 6,570 single older people With a car Without a car
Towns Rural Vale of White Horse => 5,957 single older people
With a car Without a car
Towns Rural Becoming more ethnically diverse
CHANGE in resident population by ethnic group, 2001 to 2011
South Oxfordshire increase in population between 2001 and 2011
Vale of White Horse
Sources: ONS Census 2001 table KS06; Census 2011 table KS201 Low proportion of residents overall “cannot speak English well” (or at all)
% of resident population aged 3 and over who “cannot speak English well” or “cannot speak English”
541 484
Sources: ONS Census 2001 table QS205 Caravan or Small ethnic group of White: Gypsy other mobile or Irish or temporary Gypsy or Irish Travellers Traveller structure South Oxfordshire 135 921 Vale of White Horse 109 541 • 244 residents of Sandford 27 105 South and Vale Wheatley 17 164 Shrivenham 16 4 identified as Gypsy Great Milton 14 15 or Irish traveller in Benson 12 4 2011 Crowmarsh 12 2 Didcot Northbourne 12 86 Kennington and South Hinksey 12 13 Berinsfield 11 10 Faringdon and The Coxwells 11 1
Nationally 24% of Gypsy or Irish Traveller live in a caravan or temporary structure
Sources: ONS Census 2001 tables DC2101, KS401 2,500 older people living at home with highest health needs Availability of care - an issue to monitor
South
Vale Accessing services - growing internet use
• In 2013, 36 million adults (73%) in Great Britain accessed the Internet every day, 20 million more than in 2006, when directly comparable records began. • Access to the Internet using a mobile phone more than doubled between 2010 and 2013, from 24% to 53%. • In 2013, 72% of all adults bought goods or services online, up from 53% in 2008. Violence against the person with South and Vale below Thames and without injury per 1,000 Valley average on rate of population 2012-13 Thames Valley 8.5 violence per 1,000 population Slough 16.5 Reading 12.8 Milton Keynes 11.3 Oxford 10.2 Windsor and Maidenhead 8.4 West Berkshire 8.3 Bracknell Forest 7.9 Cherwell 7.7 Wycombe 7.6 Aylesbury Vale 7.4 West Oxfordshire 7.0 South Bucks 6.4 Chiltern 5.8 South Oxfordshire 4.9 Vale of White Horse 4.5 Wokingham Source: Neighbourhood Statistics, Notifiable offences recorded by the Police 4.1 2012-13 Violence against the person with and without injury Summary – part 1
• 2001 to 2011 population growth in older age group • Market housing remains unaffordable • Growing private rented sector • Risk of isolated older people in rural areas • Growing internet use
Questions? PART 2: FOCUS ON THE ECONOMY
Growth in employee jobs between 2009 and 2012
• 110,000 employee jobs in South and Vale (2012) • +4,200 additional jobs since 2009 – South and Vale +4%, England +1%, SE +1%, London +7% – +1,900 (more) Professional, scientific & technical jobs in South Oxfordshire – +1,200 (more) Business, admin & support jobs in Vale of White Horse – -1,100 (fewer) Construction jobs in South and Vale
Didcot + under 100 Abingdon + under 100 Chalgrove +1,600 (inc Monument Park)
Greendown ward +800 Harwell +500 Source: ONS Business Register and Employment Survey Top 3 sectors account for 38% of jobs in South and Vale
Workplace population (Census 2011) All usual residents aged 16 to 74 in employment in the area the week before the census
Source: ONS Census 2011 table WP605
Total South and Vale workplace population = 124,000 Possible to highlight jobs in detail from Census 2011 data
Rutherford Appleton E33043948 Culham E33038724 TOTAL 2,097 workplace jobs TOTAL 1,673 workplace jobs Professional, scientific and technical Professional, scientific and technical activities 1,444 (69%) activities 789 (47%) Education 148 (7%) Public administration and defence; compulsory social security 321 (19%)
RAL Culham Top area for manufacturing in South and Vale
E33038751 TOTAL 1,206 workplace jobs Manufacturing 431 (36%) Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles 175 (15%)
Total of 9,119 manufacturing jobs in South and Vale Above average % of small businesses in South Oxfordshire Growth in South and Vale business enterprises
Annual change in total number of active enterprises
Source: ONS Business demography published Nov 2013 Working age job seeker allowance claimants below 1% and almost at pre-recession levels
People claiming job seeker allowance as percent of resident population aged 16 to 64
Jan 2008 May 2014 Vale = 0.5% Vale = 0.8% South = 0.6% South = 0.7%
Source: DWP from nomis Self employment and home working in rural areas
South Oxfordshire
Self employed Working at home Self employment and home working in rural areas
Vale of White Horse
Self employed Working at home Clusters of long distance commuting
Residents travelling 30km or more to work as a percent of residents aged 16 and over in employment and travelling to work (2011) Summary – part 2
Signs of a healthy local economy • +4,200 employee jobs added in South and Vale between 2009 and 2012 • Growth in South and Vale business enterprises • % of working age job seeker allowance claimants almost at pre-recession levels Rural areas include home workers AND long distance commuters
Questions? FINDING OUT MORE.. • Source data can be downloaded from www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk and www.nomisweb.co.uk • Visualisation tools available on ONS website www.ons.gov.uk/census • Data for Oxfordshire and visualisation tools at insight.oxfordshire.gov.uk
• District Data Service including analysis of data for South Oxfordshire and Vale of White Horse www.oxford.gov.uk/districtdataservice