Summary social statistics for… South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse 1 July 2014 Margaret Melling, District Data Analysis Service This session – social statistics Part 1: How South Oxfordshire and Vale of White Horse districts are changing • Population, housing, age, ethnicity, access to services • Q&A Part 2: Focus on the Economy • Jobs, businesses • Unemployment • Home working and self-employment • Long distance commuting • Q&A INTRODUCTION District Data Analysis service - helping Oxfordshire’s district councils to make use of data and evidence • Jointly funded by Oxfordshire’s district councils, annual agreement: 2012-13, 2013-14 and 2014-15 • 2 days per week of dedicated analyst time hosted by Oxford City Council providing: – Chart of the month, local area profiles and summary leaflets – Presentations – Web pages with library of resources – Enquiry service by email or phone to provide advice and guidance on sources of social, economic and environmental data Recent topics • Participation in sport and active recreation • Long distance commuting • Residents employed by the Armed Forces • Unemployed • Enterprises • Car ownership by single older people Supporting the work of district councils How representative are our consultation • Supporting communities… findings? – Community-led and Neighbourhood plans How many full time and – S106 negotiations and other part time jobs are available locally? funding bids How many young • District services… people will live in the catchment of the – Planning for housing, housing services leisure centre in 10 – Planning for local infrastructure years time? – Supporting the local economy How many car parking – Supporting access to services, spaces are needed in a new housing scheme ethnicity, language, health/mobility, for older people? age Part of building a comprehensive evidence base Operational data (e.g. volume of waste collected) Evidence Customer surveys / Social and economic trends consultations (e.g. size of household, age of (e.g. satisfaction with waste occupants) service) Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk PART 1: CHANGING DISTRICTS 1940 Land Utilisation Survey of Britain Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk 1940 Land Utilisation Survey of Britain Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk Most rapid population growth between 1931 and 1971 Total resident population (current district boundaries) +27k +13k per South per decade and Vale +2.5k per decade decade Source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk Compared with recent high population growth in Oxford city in Oxford highpopulation growth with recent Compared Oxford city population 2011 to population 1801 Oxford city From Oxford Strategic Partnership presentation Mark Fransham, original source: www.visionofbritain.org.uk source: original Mark Fransham, presentation PartnershipOxfordFrom Strategic 180,000 15,000 160,000 3,000 140,000 10,000 120,000 100,000 5,000 per 80,000 decade Total population Total 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1801 1811 1821 1831 1841 1851 1861 1871 1881 1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2001 to 2011 growth in population also below average growth in region and nationally 2001 to 2011 CHANGE in resident population +17,700 +10,000 +9,100 +6,000 +5,400 Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 2001 to 2011 population growth in older age group Aged 0 to 19 2001 to 2011 CHANGE Aged 20 to 59 Aged 60+ Source: ONS Census 2001 table KS02, Census 2011 table KS102 BUT a big variation in age by local area… Areas with highest % young people Ranked 1 Benson Residents of households Age 0-15 32% (489) Age 65+ 4% (64) TOTAL 1,543 South Oxfordshire 011C Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % young people Ranked 2 Shippon Residents of households Age 0-15 31% (447) Age 65+ 6% (90) TOTAL 1,427 Vale of White Horse 003A Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % young people Ranked 3 area of Abingdon Residents of households Age 0-15 30% (426) Age 65+ 10% (140) TOTAL 1,411 Vale of White Horse 008C Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % older people Ranked 1 area of Goring Residents of households Age 0-15 15% (210) Age 65+ 35% (481) TOTAL 1,389 South Oxfordshire 018D Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % older people Ranked 2 area of Sonning Common Residents of households Age 0-15 16% (206) Age 65+ 30% (389) TOTAL 1,289 South Oxfordshire 20C Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Areas with highest % older people Ranked 3 area of Henley-on-Thames Residents of households Age 0-15 18% (232) Age 65+ 30% (388) TOTAL 1,297 South Oxfordshire 17D Source: ONS Census 2011 table LC1104 Increase in number of flats in Vale of White Horse CHANGE in dwellings 2001 to 2011 2,004 more flats in Vale 2,004 than in 2001 South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse 930 819 789 729 542 622 419 187 36 Detached Semi-detached Terraced Purpose built flat Flat conversion Sources: ONS Census 2011 table KS401 Census 2001 table UV55 Majority of flats are in main towns • Largest 7 parishes have 71% of purpose built flats and 49% of flat conversions in South and Vale • Other parishes with higher numbers of flat conversions = North Hinksey, Cumnor and Goring Count of households in purpose built flats and flat conversions (2011) All Purpose Flat Districts and parishes households built flats conversions District South Oxfordshire 56,663 4,943 859 District Vale of White Horse 51,036 5,536 903 Vale Abingdon 14,380 2,744 253 South Didcot 10,085 1,178 63 South Henley-on-Thames 5,687 954 204 South Thame 4,877 646 58 Vale Wantage 4,867 831 98 South Wallingford 3,432 618 89 Vale Great Faringdon 3,135 500 113 TOTAL in 7 parishes 46,463 7,471 878 % of South and Vale 43% 71% 50% Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS401 Cheapest market housing over 10 times lower earnings in South Oxfordshire and 8 times in Vale 10.5 times lower Ratio of lower quartile house prices to lower quartile quartile earnings at earnings, 1997-2012 the time of the Census 2011 survey 10.5 8 7 6.5 6 4 Census 2011 Census Census 2001 Census Source: gov.uk live table 572 last updated April 2014 Growing private rented sector • Significant increase in % rented households between 2001 and 2011 • In 2011 still below regional and national averages Private rented as percent of households Census 2011 South Oxfordshire 13.3% Vale of White Horse 13.6% South East 16.8% England 16.3% Private rented All District Ward households Count Percentage 16 of 58 wards with over 15% South Benson 2,215 663 29.9% Vale Marcham and Shippon 1,173 342 29.2% private rented households Vale Shrivenham 1,929 541 28.0% Vale Abingdon Abbey and Barton 2,612 684 26.2% South Didcot Ladygrove 3,173 683 21.5% South Didcot Northbourne 2,384 472 19.8% South Crowmarsh 973 185 19.0% South Henley North 2,616 486 18.6% South Henley South 2,641 482 18.3% South Sandford 1,038 186 17.9% Census 2011 South Watlington 2,252 395 17.5% Vale Hendreds 1,692 282 16.7% Vale North Hinksey and Wytham 1,885 311 16.5% Vale Faringdon and The Coxwells 3,386 542 16.0% Vale Craven 972 153 15.7% South Thame North 2,301 348 15.1% Thame Marcham Abingdon and Faringdon Shippon Benson Shrivenham Wantage Didcot Wallingford Henley Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS402 Growth of social rented sector in Vale of White Horse • Growth in proportion of Social rented households between 2001 and 2011 Vale is against downward trend in region and nationally Social rented as percent of households Census 2011 South Oxfordshire 11.4% Vale of White Horse 13.3% South East 13.7% England 17.7% Social rented 16 of 58 wards with over District Ward All households Count Percentage Vale Abingdon Caldecott 1,830 602 32.9% 15% social rented South Wallingford North 2,647 598 22.6% Vale Abingdon Northcourt 1,987 415 20.9% Vale Faringdon and The Coxwells 3,386 691 20.4% households South Berinsfield 2,403 480 20.0% Vale Abingdon Ock Meadow 2,187 425 19.4% South Didcot Northbourne 2,384 452 19.0% Vale Wantage Segsbury 1,612 299 18.5% South Didcot Park 2,311 399 17.3% Vale Hendreds 1,692 283 16.7% Vale Abingdon Fitzharris 1,862 302 16.2% Census 2011 Vale Sutton Courtenay and Appleford 1,154 187 16.2% Vale Wantage Charlton 3,105 500 16.1% South Didcot All Saints 2,265 363 16.0% Vale Abingdon Abbey and Barton 2,612 416 15.9% Vale Greendown 910 143 15.7% Thame Abingdon Faringdon Wantage Didcot Wallingford Henley Source: ONS Census 2011 table KS402 Demographic change helps to predict demand for services Overall population growth and changes in types of housing including tenure Demand for services Location of services For example.. • Areas of new housing tend to have much higher rates of children than average • Possible to use historical data to model how age profile of new developments will change Accessing services – mobility, language • Those who might be less mobile – Older people living alone without access to private transport – People in poor health or with caring responsibilities • Those who might have language / culture differences – Ethnicity, language Higher proportions of single older people outside major urban centres Households with single person aged 65+ living alone Source: ONS Interactive map 2,500 older people living alone without a car in rural areas Percent of all households occupied by people aged 65+ living alone Source: Census 2011 table DC1401 South Oxfordshire => 6,570 single older people With a car Without a car Towns Rural Vale of White Horse => 5,957 single older people With a car Without a car Towns Rural Becoming more ethnically diverse CHANGE in resident population by ethnic group, 2001 to 2011