PACKET 4-16-19 (Special).Pdf

AGENDA MEMO SPECIAL MEETING OF THE CITY COUNCIL CITY OF FULSHEAR, TEXAS

AGENDA OF: April 16, 2019 AGENDA ITEM(S): III-A, B, C, & D

DATE SUBMITTED: April 10, 2019 DEPARTMENT: Planning & Development

Sharon Valiante, Sharon Valiante, Director of Public Works Director of Public Works PREPARED BY: Brant Gary, PRESENTER: Brant Gary, Assistant City Manager Assistant City Manager Zach Goodlander, Zach Goodlander, Dir. of Development Svcs. Dir. of Development Svcs.

PUBLIC HEARINGS TO BE HELD AS FOLLOWS:

A. FM 359 ANNEXATION – 1st PUBLIC HEARING – 6:00 p.m. SUBJECT: B. FM 359 ANNEXATION – 2nd PUBLIC HEARING – 6:10 p.m. C. ROGERS ROAD TRACT – 1st PUBLIC HEARING – 6:20 p.m. D. ROGERS ROAD TRACT – 2nd PUBLIC HEARING – 6:30 p.m. ATTACHMENTS: Public Hearing Notices & Relevant Information

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The City has been working through the annexation process for the tract of land located at the NW corner of FM 359 & Rogers Road. The City Attorney has identified a process to provide for separate annexations for the ROW of FM 359 and the tract of land requesting annexation. Both annexations require two public hearings.

The first two hearings (A&B) refer to the portion of FM 359 as described below:

A 100-foot-wide portion of Farm to Market Road 359, beginning at the Point where the Present City Limits Line Crosses FM 359 and extending northwesterly a distance of approximately 3,600 feet, ending at a point which is approximately 900 feet North of the Intersection of FM 359 and Rodgers Road.

The second two hearings (C&D) refer to the tract of land at the NW corner of Rogers Road and FM 359 as described below:

All of the called 9.9225 Acre tract conveyed to R1 Rodgers Road LLC in the deed recorded under Fort Bend County's Clerks File number 2017115986.

In anticipation of the completion of the required hearings, it is expected that City Council will consider formal annexation of these areas in May.

RECOMMENDATION

Staff recommends the City Council conduct the public hearings regarding the proposed annexations.

NOTICE OF PUBLIC HEARINGS

The City of Fulshear, Texas, proposes to institute annexation proceedings to enlarge and extend the boundary limits of the City to include the following described territory, to-wit:

Notice is hereby given to all interested persons that the City Council of the City of Fulshear, Texas, will conduct two Public Hearings on Tuesday, April 16, 2019, at the Irene Stern Community Center, 6920 Katy Fulshear Road, Fulshear, Texas 77441. The first Public Hearing will begin at 6:00 p.m. and the second Public Hearing will begin at 6:10 p.m.

The purpose of the Public Hearings is to receive input from the public on a proposal for the City of Fulshear to annex the above identified tract of land.

At said times and places all persons shall have the right to appear and be heard. All persons desiring to attend the Public Hearings may view the City Council’s agenda to confirm the scheduling of the Public Hearings. The agenda will be available at Fulshear City Hall at least 72 hours preceding the Public Hearings. All persons desiring to be heard at such Public Hearings are invited to attend the Public Hearings.

A more detailed map of the property proposed for annexation is on file at the office of the Fulshear City Secretary at Fulshear City Hall.

If you have any questions regarding this Notice, please call the City Secretary’s office at 281-346-1796.

Posted: April 2, 2019

NOTICE OF PUBLIC HEARINGS

The City of Fulshear, Texas, proposes to institute annexation proceedings to enlarge and extend the boundary limits of the City to include the following described territory, to-wit:

All of the called 9.9225 Acre tract conveyed to R1 Rodgers Road LLC in the deed recorded under Fort Bend County's Clerks File number 2017115986

Notice is hereby given to all interested persons that the City Council of the City of Fulshear, Texas, will conduct two Public Hearings on Tuesday, April 16, 2019, at the Irene Stern Community Center, 6920 Katy Fulshear Road, Fulshear, Texas 77441. The first Public Hearing will begin at 6:20 p.m. and the second Public Hearing will begin at 6:30 p.m.

The purpose of the Public Hearings is to receive input from the public on a proposal for the City of Fulshear to annex the above identified tract of land.

A more detailed map of the property proposed for annexation is on file at the office of the Fulshear City Secretary at Fulshear City Hall.

If you have any questions regarding this Notice, please call the City Secretary’s office at 281-346-1796.

Posted: April 2, 2019

Addresses for notices for Annexation – Rogers Rd at FM 359

Texas Department of Transportation Attn: Government Affairs 125 East 11th St. Austin, TX 78701

Fort Bend County Drainage District Attn: Mark Vogler 1124 Blume Road Rosenberg, TX 77471

Fort Bend County Office of the County Judge Attn: K. P. George 301 Jackson St Richmond, TX 77469

Fulshear-Simonton Fire Department Fort Bend County ESD #4 Attn: Brandi Crone 30626 5th Street Fulshear, Texas 77441

Lamar CISD: Kevin McKeever Administrator of Operations 3911 Avenue I Rosenberg, TX 77471

Comcast of Houston LLC, a Delaware Limited Liability Company, herein referred to as "Comcast Cable" Leslie Noyola Construction Coord 2 Planning and Design 8590 Tidwell Houston TX 77040

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. Wes Maresh 1111 Louisiana Houston, TX 77002

SiEnergy Gas Houston Regional Office: 12811 Royal Drive Suite 113 Stafford, Texas 77477

Headquarters: 3 Lakeway Centre Court Suite 110 Lakeway, Texas 78734

FULSHEAR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT COMMUNICATION FORM April 16, 2019

ITEM TITLE

Fulshear Demographic Update

ITEM/MOTION

Discussion and presentation on 2019 Fulshear Demographic Update from Population and Survey Analysts (PASA).

ESTIMATED EXPENDITURE: BUDGET ACCOUNT:

SUBMITTED BY: SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS: 1. PASA 2019 Update - Executive Summary 2. Fulshear 2019 Demographic Update – Full Report

Angela E. Fritz

Economic Development Director

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The EDCs initially funded an inaugural demographic study for the City of Fulshear in 2017 to better measure the City’s population, and to project future residential and population growth based on real-time, on the ground data specific to Fulshear. The City engaged PASA, a demography firm who already works extensively on the ground in Fort Bend and the greater Houston area on school district demographic reports and updates, to complete the project.

2019 marks the third year of the report which establishes a baseline population and growth projections for the City and its ETJ. These data have become the foundational in planning efforts across the City. The reports are available on the City’s website and are utilized and referenced frequently. Additionally, an accompanying Development Overview Map is created, which is also used extensively across the organization.

Justin Silhavy, Director of Demographic Projections for PASA, will be on hand to present an overview of the update, and to answer any questions the EDCs or City Council might have.

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EXECUTIVE

SUMMARY ·

Population and Survey Analysts (PASA) has recently completed a Demographic Update for the City of Fulshear, and the findings are summarized below. The Demographic Update included the study of the current population, potential growth based on new housing, and trends occurring in the population throughout the northwest Fort Bend County region. PASA projects population by using forward-looking techniques and does not rely on past rates of change.

OCTOBER 2018 POPULATION ESTIMATE

After evaluating the current population of the City and the City’s Extra-territorial Jurisdiction (ETJ), recent trends City 12,025 in population, projected additional housing occupancies and their resulting household size, and the over-arching economic and employment concerns, PASA has ETJ 16,009 estimated the population inside the City Limits to be 12,025. This represents a population increase of 1,741 (16.9%) from October 2017 to October 2018. City + ETJ 28,034

ANNUAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 City Population 12,025 14,141 16,187 18,040 19,953 22,022 24,192 26,372 27,893 29,306 30,622 Change 2,116 2,046 1,853 1,913 2,069 2,170 2,180 1,521 1,413 1,316 Growth 18% 14% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 6% 5% 4% ETJ Population 16,009 18,271 20,184 22,652 25,852 29,811 34,579 39,365 45,191 51,367 57,520 Change 2,262 1,913 2,468 3,200 3,959 4,768 4,786 5,826 6,176 6,153 Growth 14% 10% 12% 14% 15% 16% 14% 15% 14% 12% City + ETJ 32,412 36,371 40,692 45,805 51,833 58,771 65,737 73,084 80,673 88,142

Without annexation, growth in the City Limits is expected to decrease from 1,900–2,200 annually to 1,316 in 2028. The annual population change within the ETJ is projected to grow larger throughout the ten-year projection period. By October 2019, an additional 2,262 people are projected to live in the Fulshear ETJ. By 2023, the population of the ETJ is projected to substantially increase, expanding by 4,000 annually until 2025 and then by 6,176 in 2027.

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 1

GROWTH SCENARIOS

PASA takes a “conservative” approach to projecting growth, and develops a 65,000 Low, Moderate, and High scenario of growth for each of the years in the 55,000 ETJ projection period. These scenarios are ETJ shown on a graph to the right. The 45,000 moderate growth scenarios are 35,000 illustrated with hashed trend lines. In

blue, the population in the City Limits is POPULATION 25,000 projected to grow to over 30,000 by CITY LIMITS 2028. The population of the ETJ is 15,000 projected to increase to just under CITY LIMITS 60,000 in the same period. The shaded 5,000 portions of the chart indicate the low- 2016 2018 2023 2028 and high-growth scenarios for each YEAR jurisdiction.

PROJECTIONS BY COMMUNITY

PASA has generated population projections by Planning Unit, neighborhood-level geographies, to aid in long range planning and has then aggregated the data into the boundaries of both master-planned communities and City regions. Population projections of selected communities are included in the following chart:

Community 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Cross Creek Ranch 10,242 12,004 13,631 15,005 16,320 17,576 18,868 20,168 20,812 21,317 21,695

Downtown Area 316 363 327 346 399 491 586 681 807 957 1,120 CITY (A03, B02) LIMITS Fulbrook on 1,023 1,245 1,457 1,682 1,920 2,187 2,469 2,753 3,035 3,317 3,601 Fulshear Creek Fulshear Run 106 177 262 348 439 611 767 923 964 993 1,025

Polo Ranch 0 34 158 307 518 751 984 1,217 1,466 1,715 1,964

Churchill Farms 1,863 1,959 1,979 1,999 2,019 2,039 2,059 2,080 2,101 2,122 2,143

Firethorne 9,205 9,757 9,954 10,286 10,762 11,241 11,595 11,957 12,118 12,289 12,469

Foster Farms 0 0 3 3 3 37 194 351 772 1,275 1,832

Fulbrook 669 730 759 788 814 839 864 889 914 937 960

ETJ Fulshear Farms 0 0 0 201 469 998 1,756 2,514 3,508 4,597 5,768

Fulshear Lakes 0 0 58 235 557 984 1,503 2,022 2,752 3,524 4,330

Harrison Interests 0 0 0 0 27 211 584 957 1,738 2,675 3,691 Tract Jordan Ranch 667 1,148 1,810 2,555 3,428 4,458 5,542 6,631 7,573 8,505 9,220

Tamarron 3,089 3,997 4,632 5,309 5,991 6,789 7,692 8,599 9,530 10,456 11,377

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 2

PROJECTIONS BY AGE GROUP City of Fulshear 2018 2023 Age Group *Estimate % **Projection % Under 5 Years 1,106 9.2% 2,195 10.0% 5 to 17 Years 3,066 25.5% 5,503 25.0% 18 to 24 Years 474 6.7% 1,204 5.5% 25 to 34 Years 1,190 9.9% 1,608 7.3% 35 to 54 Years 4,064 33.8% 6,722 30.5% 55 to 74 Years 1,599 13.3% 3,982 18.1% 75 Years and Over 192 1.6% 808 3.7% All Age Groups 12,025 22,022 Source: U.S. Census *Estimate is based on the Five-Year, 2017 American Community Survey **PASA projection PROJECTED NEW HOUSING UNITS

PASA has projected new housing occupancies for the next ten years. These projections are based on interviews with land owners, real estate experts, commercial brokers, and City and County officials. These projections are for the number of new housing units only and are not a reflection of the total population expected in each development.

Projected New Housing Occupancies Single- Multi- Mixed Age- Total Family Family Use Restricted

Jan 2019–Oct 2019 878 80 0 83 1,041 Oct 2019–Oct 2020 1,083 180 0 83 1,346 Oct 2020–Oct 2021 1,270 155 25 75 1,525 Oct 2021–Oct 2022 1,611 140 30 75 1,856 Oct 2022–Oct 2023 1,933 240 85 75 2,333 Oct 2023–Oct 2024 2,273 235 145 75 2,728 Oct 2024–Oct 2025 2,367 320 175 75 2,937 Oct 2025–Oct 2026 2,433 335 195 75 3,038 Oct 2026–Oct 2027 2,501 375 215 75 3,166 Oct 2027–Oct 2028 2,449 400 215 29 3,093 Jan 2019–Oct 2023 6,775 795 140 391 8,101 Oct 2023–Oct 2028 12,023 1,665 945 329 14,962 Jan 2019–Oct 2028 18,798 2,460 1,085 720 23,063

PROPORTION OF HOUSING UNITS BY HOUSING TYPE Housing Type 2018 2023 Projected 2028 Projected Single-Family/Condo/Mixed Use 9,048. 98.6% 14,856. 91.9% 26,934 89.1% Age-Restricted SF 128 1.4% 519 3.2% 848 2.8% Multi-Family 0 0.0% 795 4.9% 2,460 8.1% ITotal Housing Units 9,176 16,170 30,242 I *Housing Units in the City Limits and ETJ

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 3

HOUSEHOLD SIZE AND HOUSING TYPES

The average household size of neighborhoods in the Study Typical Area can vary dramatically. Neighborhood attributes such as Housing Type lot sizes, amenities, and lifestyle options impact the number Household Size of people residing in individual homes. Conventional Multi-Family, majority 1- 1.55–1.85 suburban residential communities generally have a larger bedroom median household size, particularly as the neighborhood Multi-Family, majority 1.85–2.25 ages and a “peak” population develops. Traditional suburban 2+ bedroom single-family neighborhoods in northern Fort Bend County have a median household size of 3.15 to 3.50. In Single-Family, Family 3.15–3.30 initially; Oriented 3.30–3.50 at peak comparison, estate communities such as Fulbrook and nearby Weston Lakes have a median household size of Single-Family, Age- 1.65–1.80 approximately 2.65 to 2.85 according to the U.S. Census. Restricted 55+

Exurban communities on the fringes of the Metro Area are Single-Family, 2.65–2.85 often marketed to older, smaller households. These exurban Acreage/Rural Estate neighborhoods feature larger lots that appeal to retirees.

PASA has estimated household size for each current and future neighborhood by using various data sources to create useful population estimates and projections by Planning Unit. In order to determine household size estimates, census-estimated household sizes by Census Block Group and Census Tract were analyzed as well as Lamar CISD and Katy ISD enrollment counts by neighborhood. Housing styles, apartment bedroom counts, and covenants that restrict youth from living in homes were also considered along with other demographic characteristics of developing neighborhoods. The weighted mean household size in the Study Area was determined to be 3.15.

Multi-family developments in the western suburbs tend to have a median household size of 1.55 to 2.25 depending on the proportion of one-bedroom apartments to total number of units within each individual property.

PROPORTION OF POPULATION BY HOUSING TYPE Housing Type 2018 2023 Projected 2028 Projected ,. ,. Single-Family 27,810 99.20% 49,736 96.0% 81,875 92.9% Age-Restricted SF 224 0.80% 908 1.8% 1,484 1.7% Multi-Family 0 0.00% 1,189 2.3% 4,783 5.4% IPopulation 28,034 51,833 88,142 I *Housing Units in the City and ETJ

HOUSING OCCUPANCY STATUS

PASA considers vacant housing when creating population projections for such a large study area. The U.S. Census estimates that 6.3% of the existing housing stock in the City of Fulshear is vacant per the 2017 American Community Survey. In the two Census Tracts covering the Study Area, the Survey estimates the vacancy rate to be 5.8%, cumulatively. PASA has assumed a 4% vacancy rate for the Study Area since much of the Area is outside the City of

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 4

Fulshear but inside the county. Also, PASA does not consider new homes available for purchase to be occupied. New housing communities are surveyed by PASA staff and only occupied homes are counted. Unoccupied, new homes are included in the housing projections for each individual community. As neighborhoods age, PASA assumes vacancies will gradually increase closer to 5% as homes are placed on the market and resold. The housing counts available in this report, however, include totals for all homes completed. These housing counts and projected housing counts include all occupied and vacant homes for completeness so planners can determine the projected number of utility connections annually.

ECONOMIC GROWTH

The availability of large tracts of raw land, affordable housing, and high-quality schools will pull many of Houston Metro’s new residents and homebuyers toward Fulshear over the next few decades. PASA’s low and high growth scenarios should be considered if any turbulence in the local or national economy were to occur. As was evident during the Financial Recession of the late-2000s, suburban communities can be dramatically affected by an economic slowdown. In the north Dallas suburbs for example, the fast-growing City of Frisco saw housing permits drop 77% in a three-year period from 2006 to 2009.

Monthly Employment Change in Houston MSA, Seasonally Adjusted 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000

JOBS 5,000 0 1 1 1 1 I · u_u · - • - ~·I u~ ~~I u• • " I- I I 1~ 1~ II u II. I I I I_ II, I I -5,000 -10,000 Employment Change (Non-Farm) -15,000 Oct-15 Oct-16 Oct-17 Oct-18 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Feb-15 Feb-16 Feb-17 Feb-18 Feb-19 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Aug-15 Aug-16 Aug-17 Aug-18 MONTH Source: Texas Workforce Commission

The Greater Houston Partnership released a positive employment forecast for 2019. The forecast suggests that all sectors of the economy will see continued growth, with health care, construction and administrative performing the strongest. Overall, 71,000 new jobs are projected to be created across the Houston Metro Area—the majority of which, 12.6%, will be in healthcare, a leading sector in Metro Houston’s economy. This projected increase in employment mirrors the 12-month period ending February 2019. During this period, 74,700 jobs were added in the Metro Area. Both state and local employment is strong. The Texas unemployment rate was 3.8% in February 2019. Also in February 2019, Fort Bend County’s unemployment was 3.9%.

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 5

ENERGY SECTOR OUTLOOK

In August 2018, the United States became the world’s largest oil producer. The Permian Basin in West Texas is the leading production region in the country and continues to grow. The State’s booming oil and gas industry continues to react to volatile markets, technological advancements, and infrastructure improvements. After high third quarter profit announcements by many energy companies, the commodity’s price drop in the fourth quarter is creating uncertainty in the sector’s ability to maintain the growth. Pipeline constraints are currently lowering prices of oil in the Permian Basin region of West Texas. Production in the Permian Basin is projected to nearly double, from 3.4 million barrels per day to 5.4 million barrels per day by 2023, according to a recent report by IHS Markit. Much of the increase is expected after 2020, as mid-stream energy companies complete numerous pipeline construction projects from the Permian Basin to the Gulf Coast refining centers.

Industry experts expect the oil and gas boom to continue since companies have proven their ability to make profits even when the price per barrel hovers around $50 per barrel. Since the 2015 oil bust, many companies have been investing carefully and are better prepared to survive low oil prices. Dr. Ray Perryman of The Perryman Group suggests that energy companies believe technological advancements in drilling will likely produce higher yields at lower costs within the next five years. The Houston economy in turn is likely to have more stable growth and less unpredictability in the coming decade.

MANUFACTURING AND LOGISTICS

As online commerce expands along with the population of Texas and other south-central states, distribution and warehousing will have a larger role in Houston’s economy. Fulshear is located near one of the three fulfillment/distribution hubs in Metro Houston, the far west-northwest suburbs. The Interstate 10 Corridor between Katy and Brookshire has seen tremendous growth in industrial development, and more companies continue to expand in the area. The proximity to Interstate 10 and U.S. 290 is proving to be a draw for many retailers and distributors who want central access to Houston and quick access to other parts of the growing region and state including San Antonio and Austin.

Recent industrial expansions in the region include:

• Amazon completed its 1 million-square foot fulfillment center at the northeast corner of Woods Road and Katy Freeway. The company originally planned to hire 1,000 employees to work in the warehouse in southeastern Waller County, just north of Interstate 10;

• Goya Foods expanded its north American Processing Center along U.S. 90 at Woods Road in the summer of 2018, creating 30 jobs.

• Twinwood broke ground on the 650-acre Twinwood Business Park in mid-2018. Located just inside Waller County, along and south of the future Twinwood Ranch Road, MAN Diesel & Turbo is constructing a 137,000-sq. ft. facility. The company plans to relocate its Houston and Deer Park manufacturing centers to this new facility. An estimated 142 jobs will be located at the facility which is expected to open in mid-2019. Twinwood aims to become a research and development hub for manufacturing, distribution, and light industrial companies and is part of a larger master-planned community in Simonton that will ultimately consist of approximately 10,000 acres of residential and commercial development.

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 6

• In May 2018, a new 150-acre industrial park named Pintail Crossing was announced and planned along Interstate 10 in Katy. In December 2018, Costco Wholesale Corp. purchased the entire property from Hines Development, with plans to build a regional distribution center on the site.

• Dollar Tree announced in February 2019 plans to construct a 1.2 million-sq. ft. distribution facility in Rosenberg. The City of Rosenberg is planning to annex 203 acres southwest of the intersection of Spur 10 and Klosterhoff Road for the site, and it is likely to create 200 jobs upon completion. Within three years, the facility is projected to employ 300-400.

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 7 Planning Units in the Study Area (jjrPASA City of Fulshear: City Limits and ETJ -...___/

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City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 9 Demographic Characteristics by Census Tract 2017 Five-Year American Community Survey (JJ¾>ASA

Tract Tract Tract Tract Tract Tract Tract Demographic Characteristics 6730.01 6730.03 6731.01 6731.02 6732 6733 6734 Total households 2,703 3,924 18,670 5,974 4,421 2,316 7,462 Average household size 3.01 3.27 3.5 3 3.25 2.66 3.08

Total Population 8,144 12,831 65,528 17,950 14,373 6,162 22,998 Under 5 4.5% 6.0% 8.9% 4.7% 10.7% 4.4% 10.3% Ages 5–17 23.7% 27.9% 27.1% 25.7% 23.0% 14.5% 19.7% Ages 18–24 5.7% 6.9% 6.2% 5.8% 5.2% 4.8% 7.3% Ages 25–34 5.4% 4.3% 9.4% 7.3% 11.4% 6.2% 12.6% Ages 35–49 23.7% 30.3% 30.8% 27.4% 27.4% 15.5% 24.8% Ages 50–59 18.4% 16.0% 9.1% 14.7% 12.5% 18.4% 12.6% 60 Year and Over 18.8% 8.6% 8.6% 14.3% 9.8% 36.3% 12.7%

Population 25 and Over Bachelor's degree or higher 69.1% 70.7% 63.8% 61.0% 56.7% 56.1% 50.2%

Labor Force Over 16 Percent Unemployed 3.3% 1.9% 3.6% 2.8% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0%

Median Household Income $142,241 $156,310 $148,974 $114,846 $145,247 $156,157 $116,320

Housing Characteristics Median Home Value, Owner-Occupied $313,600 $314,900 $330,900 $300,200 $363,200 $439,300 $291,800 Owner-occupied housing units 88.1% 91.0% 85.9% 80.7% 95.4% 94.6% 92.3% Renter-occupied housing units 11.9% 9.0% 14.1% 19.3% 4.6% 5.4% 7.7%

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 10 Residential Development Overview 0 0.5 1 2 City of Fulshear - Population Demographic Update and 2019 Survey - Spring Analysts City of Fulshear [ Miles

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C 12 Municipal Utility Districts (jjrPASA City of Fulshear: City Limits and ETJ -...___/

Interstate 10 Map Layers WALLER COUNTY D Planning Units ty un Co Streets D01 nd Be ort F Water Bodies nty Ft Bend ou r C lle Fulshear MUD 151 Wa E01 MUD No 3A E02 E03 Fulshear MUD No 3BC01 Ft Bend-Waller Ft Bend F05 Co MUD 1 F F03 MUD 182 M F04 1 F01 4 6 Ft Bend rron Pk 3 ma wy MUD 195 B01 Ta F06 Ft Bend J ty o a r K MUD 156 d H15 ar a he H03 n Ft BendF02 ls G01 F07Fu B05 R MUD 188 Ft Bend Fort Bend d H05MUD 173 MUD 220 Ft Bend Ft Bend B06 MUD 170 BeH14 H04 ar nd he Dr A01 MUD 198 FtFu lBends H16 MUD 172 H17 H02 B03 H06 Ft Bend H20 F H08 H01 M MUD 169 3 Rogers Rd 5 H19 9 H07 H11 H18Ft Bend H13 MUD 171 H12 A02 H09 B02 H10 A03 B04 Ft Bend H21 MUD 216 Ft Bend MUD 174 Fulshear Mc Kinnon Rd 3 FM 109 MUD No 2 n Fulshear L02L I01 s MUD No 1 e L03 m

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City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 13 Projected New Housing Units (jjrPASA October 2018 to October 2020, Two Years -...___/

Map Layers Interstate 10 Fulshear City Limits

79 Planning Units Projected New Units

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City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 14 Projected New Housing Units (jjrPASA October 2018 to October 2023, Five Years -...___/

Map Layers Interstate 10 CJ Fulshear City Limits 271 CJ Planning Units Projected New Units

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City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 15 Projected New Housing Units (jjrPASA October 2018 to October 2028, Ten Years -...___/

Map Layers Interstate 10 Fulshear City Limits 717 Planning Units Projected New Units

F FIRETHORNE y 1 t i 0 n r u 4 Co y e t 6 er n t ll u h o 3 Wa C nd o 0 e r 0 1 - 250 rt B 384 n Fo 2,967 e

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City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 16 ProjecteD HOUSING UNITS by Planning Unit FulsheaR, Texas ~ PASA

Planning Area 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Unit A01 X 251 294 360 436 533 642 767 906 1,055 1,188 1,271 A02 ETJ 17 17 24 81 186 327 503 750 1,034 1,340 1,667 A03 CL 63 74 114 164 239 325 412 503 602 707 815 B01 ETJ 0 0 0 0 0 10 50 140 260 410 575 B02 CL 71 71 71 79 97 130 166 209 254 303 355 B03 ETJ 48 48 48 49 75 115 166 232 308 394 495 B04 ETJ 0 0 0 0 0 10 35 73 113 158 203 B05 X 0 0 0 25 85 215 410 625 880 1,160 1,455 B06 ETJ 0 0 0 0 15 50 110 200 315 435 560 C01 ETJ 224 366 576 816 1,101 1,463 1,847 2,206 2,555 2,908 3,191 D01 ETJ 0 29 79 132 192 271 373 486 597 667 717 E01 ETJ 999 1,010 1,028 1,088 1,193 1,298 1,363 1,383 1,383 1,383 1,383 E02 ETJ 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 E03 ETJ 633 633 633 633 633 633 633 633 633 633 633 F01 ETJ 1,048 1,309 1,526 1,754 1,983 2,253 2,476 2,579 2,597 2,600 2,602 F02 ETJ 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 270 555 855 1,155 F03 ETJ 0 0 0 5 40 95 165 260 365 470 575 F04 ETJ 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 F05 ETJ 0 7 42 87 147 205 263 288 288 288 288 F06 ETJ 3 3 3 28 53 98 173 248 327 427 527 F07 ETJ 0 11 35 74 111 113 113 113 113 113 113 G01 ETJ 574 574 574 574 574 574 574 574 574 574 574 H01 CL 260 264 264 264 264 264 264 264 264 264 264 H02 CL 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 173 H03 CL 345 367 387 399 401 401 401 401 401 401 401 H04 CL 0 2 69 146 238 316 339 341 341 341 341 H05 CL 124 191 223 228 228 228 228 228 228 228 228 H06 CL 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 H07 CL 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 H08 CL 111 117 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 H09 CL 336 336 336 336 336 336 336 336 336 336 336 H10 CL 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 H11 CL 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 239 H12 CL 134 134 134 134 134 134 134 134 134 134 134 H13 CL 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 H14 CL 0 80 260 350 380 380 380 380 380 380 380 H15 CL 148 232 308 367 379 379 379 379 379 379 379 H16 CL 186 186 186 186 186 186 186 186 186 186 186 H17 CL 32 68 95 104 106 106 106 106 106 106 106 H18 CL 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 H19 CL 0 0 0 0 45 120 250 400 485 513 513 H20 CL 440 575 739 984 1,286 1,602 1,907 2,111 2,281 2,461 2,605 H21 ETJ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 I01 ETJ 0 0 0 0 10 80 220 450 740 1,090 1,470 J01 X 134 137 141 147 154 165 177 189 202 218 234 J02 ETJ 62 62 63 64 64 65 65 66 67 67 67 J03 ETJ 46 47 49 50 51 53 53 54 55 56 57 K01 ETJ 0 0 1 1 1 12 62 146 282 447 632 L01 ETJ 258 266 273 279 284 289 293 297 301 304 307 L02 CL 335 389 454 524 599 684 774 864 954 1,044 1,134 L03 CL 34 54 80 107 136 216 292 360 389 414 439 L04 CL 133 133 133 133 135 152 191 247 310 381 457 L05 ETJ 11 11 11 11 16 23 34 54 74 100 126 L06 X 10 14 18 23 28 33 39 45 51 57 63 M01 ETJ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

City of Fulshear Demographic Update - Spring 2019 - Population and Survey Analysts 17 Housing Unit Projections by Jurisdictional Area Fulshear, Texas City of Fulshear Projected New Housing Units Added Annually

Demographic Area 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

City - 521 700 652 684 770 786 704 581 548 495

Update ETJ - 470 572 761 1,003 1,308 1,604 1,861 2,034 2,183 2,198

City + ETJ - 991 1,272 1,413 1,687 2,078 2,390 2,565 2,615 2,731 2,693 - Spring Outside ETJ - 50 74 112 169 255 338 372 423 435 400 2019 - Population Projected Housing Units 2018 Area 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 and Estimate

Survey City 3,904 4,425 5,125 5,777 6,461 7,231 8,017 8,721 9,302 9,850 10,345

Analysts ETJ 5,272 5,742 6,314 7,075 8,078 9,386 10,990 12,851 14,885 17,068 19,266

City + ETJ 9,176 10,167 11,439 12,852 14,539 16,617 19,007 21,572 24,187 26,918 29,611

Outside ETJ 395 445 519 631 800 1,055 1,393 1,765 2,188 2,623 3,023 18