Companies face $100bn debt bill http://www.afr.com/p/markets/dealbook/companies_face_bn_debt_bil...

Companies face $100bn debt bill

PUBLISHED:06Sep2011PRINTEDITION:6Sep2011 Paulina Duran Australiancompaniesarefacinganuphillbattletorefinancemorethan $100billionofdebtoverthenext18monthsasjittersinglobalcredit marketsforcebankstocutfundinglinestoindustriessuchasretailingand manufacturing. Twoyearsonfromtheendoftheglobalfinancialcrisis,heavilyindebted companiesinrealestate,media,utilitiesandinfrastructureindustriessuch asRelianceRail,BlueScopeSteel,Nufarm,InfigenEnergyandCoarestilloperatingunderadegreeofstressastheylook topayoffdebt.Severalareevenengaginginwhatdebtspecialistscall “preinsolvency”discussionswithcreditors. “Thereisacombinationofpubliclylistedcompanies,largeLBOs [leveragedbuyouts]thatweredonein2006and2007,andinfrastructure NeilWarburton,chiefexecutiveof andpropertydevelopmentsthathaveheftydebtsthatneedtobe Barminco,secureda$50million refinanced,andthereissimplyalackofliquiditytodothatinthemarket,” preferencesharelikefacilityfrom DeutscheBankheadofstrategicinvestmentgroupGeorgeWangsaid. GoldmanSachstobridgeitsfunding gapbeforethefloatwasyanked. Thesocalled“debtwall’’ofmorethan$100billionmirrorstheamountof Megan Lewis equityraisedbyAustraliancompaniesin2009inarashof“rescue raisings’’topayoffdebtandgetcompaniesonamoresecurefooting. Butwithdifficultconditionsinsomeindustriesanddebtworriesinthenorthernhemisphere,banksarebeingmore cautious.Businesscreditgrowthfellby1.9percentovertheyeartoJuly,whilesystemcreditgrowthstalledat2.7 percent. Equitycapitalmarketshavenotbeenabletotakeupalltheslack.At$US17.8billion($16.8billion)thisyear,itis runningaheadoflastyear’stotal.ButanumberofvendorssuchascinemachainHoyts,Nineandminingservices firmBarmincohavehadtoshelveinitialpublicofferingswhileothers,suchasAJLucas,havebeenforcedto considerassetsalestopayoffdebt. “Investorsareprettyapprehensiveaboutwhatthefuturemightbring,”JPMorganheadofequitycapitalmarkets DavidGraytold The Australian Financial Review .“Obviously,thatmakesitachallengingenvironmentinwhichto raisemoney.”

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BTInvestmentManagement’sheadoffixedinterest,VimalGor,whooverseesabout$13billioninassets,toldclients onMondaythatdespitetherecenteconomicinstability,creditmarketshadnotfrozentotheextentwitnessedin 2008. “ButthiscouldyethappenifthebuildingpressureintheEuropeanbankingsystemcontinues,”hesaid. Ifdebtmarketsweretodeterioratetothatextent,boththevolumeofthedebtdueoverthenextcoupleofyears, andasignificantlyhigherpriceforthatdebt,couldcompoundtheproblemsofcompaniesalreadystrugglingwith difficulteconomicandtradingconditions. Creditworthycompaniescanstillgetfiveyearbankloansatmarginsofabout2.5percentagepointsabove benchmarkrates. Butlesscreditworthycompaniesthatneedfundsmustlookformore“creativesolutions”,suchasmezzaninedebt andprivatecapitalfromspecialsituationfundsandhedgefunds,debtmarketspecialistssay. LazarddirectorDavidWillssaidthe“visibledislocation’’indebtmarketsmeantcompanyboardsneededtoconsider thefullgambitofoptionsavailabletothem,includingconvertibledebt,ormezzaninedebt. Manyoftheseinstrumentswereabusedattheheightofthelasteconomiccycle,buttheirflexibilityandautonomy makethemidealtoolsforviablecompaniesseekingtofixanddelevertheircapitalstructure. Mezzaninefinancingforleveragedacquisitionshasrecentlybeenofferedtocompaniesatratesofmorethan12per cent. Buttheoffersareevenlessgenerousforcompaniesthatareunderfinancialstress.Theiroptionsareusuallymore akintoequitylikevehiclesthat,whileflexible,areoftendismissedastooexpensive.

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GreshamPrivateEquityownedspecialistcontractorBarmincosecureda$50millionpreferencesharelikefacility fromGoldmanSachstobridgeitsfundinggapbeforeafloatthatwaslaterpulled. RestructuringspecialistsgatheredattheTurnaroundManagementAssociationconferenceinlastweek saidtherefinancingtaskhasbeenmademoredifficultbythelackofamarketforhighyieldcorporatedebtissues. Inotherdevelopedcountries,thesemarketsallowcompaniestofindalternativefundingwhenbankspullbacklending linesandreducetheamountstheyarepreparedtolend.

Lossesincurredbyprivateequityfirmsthatreliedoncheapdebthavebeenfeltacrossthemarket. GreshamPartnerswasforcedtocedeequityupsidefromitsinvestmentintransTasmanprintingbusinessGEON Grouptoitslenderinexchangeforacuttoitsdebtload. CVCAsiaPacifichasalreadylostradiologyproviderIMEDtohedgefundsandisfightingtokeepsomeequityvalue inmediagiantNineEntertainmentGroup.AffinityEquityPartnersappointedadministratorstotheColoradoGroup, whileIronbridgeCapitalistryingtoengagewithlenderstoMediaWorks. Salesofdistresseddebtbybankstohedgefundsandprivateequityinvestorshavealsoledtochangesofcontrolat companies,withTPGleadinga$2billiondebtforequityswapforthelistedutilityAlintaEnergy. “Sooverthepastfiveyears,youhaveseenahugeamountofdistresseddebtopportunities,andasthattailsoffin ...Iguesswearegoingtoseemoreprimaryrestructuringsortofopportunities,’’saidMrWang,who managesDeutsche’silliquidinvestments,focusingondistresseddebtandspecialsituationinvestmentsin Australasia. Aftertwodecadesofuninterruptedeconomicgrowth,manyAustralianboardsandexecutivesfacingthiswallofdebt lackexperienceandexpertiseincorporaterestructuring. PacificEquityPartnerssawitsinvestmentsinbookretailerREDgroupcollapseintobankruptcy,whilewatchinga bunchofhedgefundsandinvestmentbankstakecontrolofitsvacuumcleanerbusinessGodfreys. CHAMPPrivateEquityalsorecentlyinjectedcapitaltorefinanceprintingbusinessBlueStar,whileCrescentCapital PartnersandCatalystInvestmentManagershavealsolostcontrolofNewZealand’sMetroglasstohedgefunds. UnitasCapitalandOntarioTeachersPensionPlanalsolostNewZealandYellowPages,andthesituationcouldface asecondrestructuringinthemediumterm. “OneofthethingsthatIthinkisstillevolvinginAustraliaisthedialoguebetweenadvisers,companies,funds,and banksinthesesituations,”GoldmanSachs’sheadofrestructuring,AsiaPacific,LachlanEdwards,toldtheTMA conference.“Peoplearestilllearninghowtolivewitheachother.”Hesaidcompanieswereforcedtoconsidera widerrangeofrefinancingoptions.“Therealityisthatacompanyenteringaturnaroundphaseisintransitionwhere cashflowandtimingareuncertain,”hesaid. “Sothisiswherethoseinstruments–whichwereeffectivelyusedasaproxyforequityinthelastboom,like paymentinkind,andpayifyoucanstructures–haveaproperplace. “Itisatthatpointwherethosetypesofinstruments,whichofferanequitytypereturntoinvestors,areappropriate. Because,asthecompanygetsbackonitsfeetanditscashflowandprofitabilityregenerate,itbecomesmoreable topaycashonitsinterest.Thenthedebtcanberefinancedwithinterestatlowermargins. But,MrWangsaid,theuniverseofcompaniesseekingcapitalisexpandingrapidlywhiletherewasalimitedcapacity inthemarket.

“Ithinkpartoftheadviceshouldbethattherightapproachisnotalwaysthecheapestapproach,”hesaid. “Companiesneedtobemorestrategicabouthowtofacethesethings,andtheycannotalwayswaituntilthelast minutetoseeiftheycanfindtheoptimum,bestofbreedrestructuringorrefinancingoptions,orequitycapital raisings.Perhaps,theynowneedtomovefaster.”

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CVCAsiaPacificownedNineEntertainmentGroupiscurrentlyundergoingtoughnegotiationswithasubsidiaryfund ofGoldmanSachs,whichownsmostofthe$950millionofNine’smezzaninedebts,anditsnumerousothersenior lenders. Thecompanyhasabout$2.7billionofseniorloansthatareheavilytradedinthesecondarymarket,ashedgefunds seektopositionthemselvestotakeownershipofNinethrougha“loantoown”dealthatwouldwipeoutthe company’sequityandmezzanineholders. Theselenders–alreadyoccupyingabout40percentofNine’sseniorlendingregister–areunlikelytoagreetoany refinancingproposalwhich,forittobeconsensual,wouldneedunanimousconsent. TheAustralianFinancialReview

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