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Arabs Want Redistribution, So Why Don't They Vote Left? Theory And
Arabs Want Redistribution, So Why Don’t They Vote Left? Theory and Evidence from Egypt Faculty Research Working Paper Series Tarek Masoud Harvard Kennedy School April 2013 RWP13-007 Visit the HKS Faculty Research Working Paper series at: http://web.hks.harvard.edu/publications The views expressed in the HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the John F. Kennedy School of Government or of Harvard University. Faculty Research Working Papers have not undergone formal review and approval. Such papers are included in this series to elicit feedback and to encourage debate on important public policy challenges. Copyright belongs to the author(s). Papers may be downloaded for personal use only. www.hks.harvard.edu Arabs want redistribution, so why don’t they vote left? Theory and evidence from Egypt Tarek Masoud∗ Abstract Though Egyptian voters clearly evince a desire for Islamic law (however defined), public opinion research shows that they also want robust welfare states and significant redistri- bution. Though the application of Islamic law is the special province of Islamist parties, it is left-leaning, labor-based parties who are the primary champions of the economic poli- cies that Egyptians seem to desire. Why, then, do Egyptian voters select the former over the latter? This article argues that the answer lies not in the political unsophistication of voters, the subordination of economic interests to spiritual ones, or the bureaucratic and organizational shortcomings of leftist parties, but in the ways in which the social landscape shapes the opportunities of parties in newly democratized systems to reach potential vot- ers. -
In May 2011, Freedom House Issued a Press Release Announcing the Findings of a Survey Recording the State of Media Freedom Worldwide
Media in North Africa: the Case of Egypt 10 Lourdes Pullicino In May 2011, Freedom House issued a press release announcing the findings of a survey recording the state of media freedom worldwide. It reported that the number of people worldwide with access to free and independent media had declined to its lowest level in over a decade.1 The survey recorded a substantial deterioration in the Middle East and North Africa region. In this region, Egypt suffered the greatest set-back, slipping into the Not Free category in 2010 as a result of a severe crackdown preceding the November 2010 parliamentary elections. In Tunisia, traditional media were also censored and tightly controlled by government while internet restriction increased extensively in 2009 and 2010 as Tunisians sought to use it as an alternative field for public debate.2 Furthermore Libya was included in the report as one of the world’s worst ten countries where independent media are considered either non-existent or barely able to operate and where dissent is crushed through imprisonment, torture and other forms of repression.3 The United Nations Development Programme’s (UNDP) Arab Knowledge Report published in 2009 corroborates these findings and view the prospects of a dynamic, free space for freedom of thought and expression in Arab states as particularly dismal. 1 Freedom House, (2011): World Freedom Report, Press Release dated May 2, 2011. The report assessed 196 countries and territories during 2010 and found that only one in six people live in countries with a press that is designated Free. The Freedom of the Press index assesses the degree of print, broadcast and internet freedom in every country, analyzing the events and developments of each calendar year. -
Pre-Emption and Coercion – a Case Study of Syrian Disarmament Discourse
97 PRE-EMPTION AND COERCION – A CASE STUDY OF SYRIAN DISARMAMENT DISCOURSE Waseem Iftikhar Janjua, Ahmed Saeed Minhas and Farhat Konain Shujahi* Abstract The notions of pre-emption and coercions have been part of the offensive security policies around the world. These tools have been continuously applied in international relations by the relatively powerful against the weak during and after the Cold War, more specifically in the domain of Weapons of Mass Destruction. The manifestation of these concepts played a more constructive role in preventing an all-out war among the belligerents. However, the application of these tools against the same country has been comparatively an infrequent phenomenon which makes the Syrian case unique and a valid area of inquiry. Examining the Syrian aspirations of achieving nuclear weapons and the use of chemical weapons against civilians, this paper finds an interesting concord between the applicability of both tools. The research further concludes that pre-emption could only achieve partial disarmament leaving chemical weapons and facilities intact which had to be subsequently removed through coercion. Finally, the paper emphasizes the need for diplomacy and persuasion before pre-emption or coercion be employed. Keywords: Syria, Disarmament, Pre-emption, Coercion, Weapons of Mass Destruction. Introduction or a long time, the greatest hurdle in declaring the Middle East as a Weapons of F Mass Destruction Free Zone (WMDFZ) has been the selective implementation of disarmament regimes and regional realpolitik. While Israeli nuclear program is a taboo and remains completely defiant to any inspection or admission or denial, the US and the West are pushing other states to abandon their nuclear as well as conventional military aspirations especially if these programs are for military purposes. -
Youth Activism in the South and East
YOUTH ACTIVISM IN THE SOUTH AND EAST MEDITERRANEAN Comprising 102 institutes from 32 European and South Mediterranean countries, the EuroMeSCo (Euro-Mediterranean Study Commission) network was created in 1996 for the joint and coordinated strengthening of research and debate on politics and security in the Mediterranean. These were COUNTRIES SINCE THE ARAB considered essential aspects for the achievement of the objectives of the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership. 2 UPRISINGS: CHALLENGES AND EuroMeSCo aims to be a leading forum for the study of Euro-Mediterranean affairs, functioning as a source of analytical expertise. The objectives of the network are to become an instrument for its POLICY OPTIONS members to facilitate exchanges, joint initiatives and research activities; to consolidate its influence in policy-making and Euro-Mediterranean policies; and to disseminate the research activities of its institutes amongst specialists on Euro-Mediterranean relations, governments and international S. Colombo (Ed.), N. Abdalla, O. Shaban, I. Schäfer organisations. STUDY POLICY JOINT The EuroMeSCo work plan includes a research programme with four publication lines (EuroMeSCo Joint Policy Studies, EuroMeSCo Papers, EuroMeSCo Briefs and EuroMeSCo Reports), as well as a series of seminars, workshops and presentations on the changing political dynamics of the Mediterranean region. It also includes the organisation of an annual conference and the development of web-based resources to disseminate the work of its institutes and stimulate debate on Euro-Mediterranean affairs. The European Institute of the Mediterranean (IEMed), Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI). Founded founded in 1989, is a consortium comprising the by Altiero Spinelli in 1965, does research Catalan Government, the Spanish Ministry of Foreign in the fields of foreign policy, political Affairs and Cooperation and Barcelona City Council. -
Why Did Egyptian Democratization Fail? Fourteen Experts Respond
Q&A Why Did Egyptian Democratization Fail? Fourteen Experts Respond Edited by Amy Hawthorne and Andrew Miller January 2020 On January 25, 2011, brave Egyptians began pouring into the streets demanding the resignation of strongman President Hosni Mubarak and “bread, freedom, and social justice.” On February 11, in the face of mass protests, the army forced Mubarak to step down, ending his thirty-year dictatorship. The Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), composed of the military’s top leadership, immediately assumed control over the government, promising a democratic transition. Seventeen months later it grudgingly ceded some power to a freely elected parliament and president from the Muslim Brotherhood. Between Mubarak’s ouster and the military’s July 3, 2013 coup against President Mohamed Morsi, there were moments when a genuine transition to democracy seemed possible. But after the coup, a new military-backed dictatorship took power, led by coup leader and former Minister of Defense Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. His regime has extinguished all politics and taken repression to levels not seen in Egypt in decades. Egyptians and foreign analysts continue to debate what went wrong after February 2011. To add to these reflections, POMED asked 14 experts to respond concisely to the following question: Looking back nine years later, what in your view was the primary reason for the failure of Egypt’s short democratic experiment? We are pleased to publish their responses here. ZEINAB ABUL-MAGD Professor of History at Oberlin College and author of many works on Egypt, including Militarizing the Nation: The Army, Business, and Revolution in Egypt (2017) Post-Mubarak Egypt became a more brutal security state instead of a democracy primarily because the military succeeded in exploiting the hidden powers it had acquired during his regime. -
Uprising in Egypt
Uprising in Egypt Standard Note: SN/IA/ 5865 Last updated: 15 March 2011 Author: Ben Smith Section International Affairs and Defence Section Egypt’s remarkably peaceful and dignified popular revolt has been greeted as a historic moment that will have enormous consequences throughout the Arab world. This note describes the background to the crisis provides a simple account of events since 25 January. It profiles groups and individuals involved and considers some likely outcomes. Summary • The demonstrations that led to hundreds of deaths in Cairo and elsewhere led to the Egyptian army ending its support for Hosni Mubarak, who was forced to stand down on 11 February • Mubarak remained in Egypt and has been banned from leaving the country • Power in the country is in the hands of the Higher Military Council • The prime minister has been replaced twice since the unrest began; the post is now occupied by Essam Sharaf, a former transport minister in the Mubarak government • Changes to the constitution have been proposed to strengthen judicial oversight of elections and to curtail the government’s freedom to introduce states of emergency • The changes have been criticised as leaving too much power in the hands of the presidency, but could at least provide for more convincing elections before a definitive new constitution could be drawn up • The uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt had a profound effect on the region, sweeping away any notion that Arabs do not want democracy and shaking autocratic regimes throughout the Muslim world • It is likely that the peace treaty between Egypt and Israel would remain in place, at least in the medium term; the Muslim Brotherhood has said that it does not want to dominate politics in Egypt and that, even if it were in control, its policy would be to put the treaty to referendum This information is provided to Members of Parliament in support of their parliamentary duties and is not intended to address the specific circumstances of any particular individual. -
Egypt's Crackdown and Elbaradei's Resignation by Adel El-Adawy
MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 2119 Egypt's Crackdown and ElBaradei's Resignation by Adel El-Adawy Aug 19, 2013 ABOUT THE AUTHORS Adel El-Adawy Adel El-Adawy was a 2013-2014 Next Generation Fellow at The Washington Institute. Brief Analysis Despite the vice president's resignation, the dispersal of pro-Morsi protests has received strong support among the security forces and political elite, signaling the potential for more violence in the coming days. n August 14, Egyptian vice president Mohamed ElBaradei resigned in protest of the transitional O government's crackdown on demonstrations supporting former president Muhammad Morsi. Yet far from criticizing the dispersal of the al-Nahda and Rabaa Adawiyya sit-ins, most Egyptian elites -- at least those outside the Muslim Brotherhood -- have focused on criticizing ElBaradei and supporting a tough approach to the crisis. BACKGROUND W hen ElBaradei established a new political party, al-Dostour, in April 2012, many observers predicted that it could play an important role in the future of Egyptian politics. Others remained skeptical, however, despite ElBaradei's reputation as one of the fathers of the 2011 revolution. The party's vague political platform, convoluted ideological orientation, and lack of sophisticated grassroots organization impeded its chances for a successful electoral campaign. Following the recent uprising against Morsi, the Tamarod (rebellion) movement established the "June 30 Coalition" as an umbrella organization to unite opposition political forces. These forces fought hard to get ElBaradei a leading position in the current transitional government so that he could speak on their behalf. Named vice president in July, ElBaradei was the coalition's sole representative in the interim government. -
The Battle for Egypt's Constitution
arab uprisings The Battle for Egypt’s Constitution January 11, 2013 S age TTY IMTTY E GIANLUIGI GUERCIA/AFP/G GIANLUIGI POMEPS Briefings 17 Contents Egypt’s state constitutes itself . 6 Morsi’s Moment on Gaza . 8 Morsi’s Mixed Moves . 10 Egypt’s untouchable president . 13 Morsi’s majoritarian mindset . 16 Egyptian labor between Morsi and Mubarak . 18 Politicizing Egypt’s economic reform . 20 Bringing Down the Muslim Brotherhood . 23 Is There an Egyptian Nation? . 25 A better Egyptian constitution . 29 Egypt’s political Crisis . 31 Islam in Egypt’s new constitution . 33 Beating the Brotherhood . .. 38 Rethinking the Muslim Brotherhood . 41 Egyptian liberals’ soft defeat . 43 Reflections on Egypt’s Latest Crisis . .45 The Project on Middle East Political Science The Project on Middle East Political Science (POMEPS) is a collaborative network which aims to increase the impact of political scientists specializing in the study of the Middle East in the public sphere and in the academic community . POMEPS, directed by Marc Lynch, is based at the Institute for Middle East Studies at the George Washington University and is supported by the Carnegie Corporation and the Social Science Research Council . It is a co-sponsor of the Middle East Channel (http://mideast .foreignpolicy .com) . For more information, see http://www .pomeps .org . Online Article Index Egypt’s state constitutes itself http://mideast .foreignpolicy .com/posts/2012/11/19/egypts_state_constitutes_itself Morsi’s Moment on Gaza http://mideast .foreignpolicy .com/posts/2012/11/21/can_morsi_seize_the_moment -
Timeline: Egypt's Political Transition
DOCUMENTS Timeline: Egypt’s Political Transition Compiled by Ghazala Irshad April 6, 2008: Factory workers attempt to stage January 1-3, 2011: Following a deadly New Year’s a general strike over low wages and high food church bombing in Alexandria, Coptic Christians prices in the Nile Delta city of Mahalla. Police in Alexandria and Cairo throw rocks and set fire open fire and arrest hundreds. The incident to vehicles in protest of the government’s failure to pushes the nascent April 6 Youth Movement guarantee their security. to demonstrate alongside the workers in oppo- sition to President Hosni Mubarak’s regime January 14, 2011: In Tunisia, ten days after throughout Egypt. Bouazizi’s death, Ben Ali resigns the presidency and flees to Saudi Arabia, bringing an end to his February 24, 2010: Mohamed ElBaradei, former twenty-three-year rule. director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, returns to Egypt to a hero’s January 25, 2011: Tens of thousands of Egyptians, welcome, raising the possibility that he will run responding to calls for anti-government protests for president; he launches the National Associa- on national Police Day, stage unprecedented dem- tion for Change, a reformist group, with several onstrations in Cairo’s Tahrir Square and other other prominent democracy activists, including Egyptian urban centers. Riot police attempt to journalist Hamdi Qandil and political analyst disperse them using batons, tear gas, and water Hassan Nafaa. cannons. Two protesters in Suez and a police offi- cer in Cairo are killed. June 6, 2010: Police beat to death Khaled Said, a twenty-eight-year-old computer programming January 27, 2011: Police clash with protesters graduate, on a street in Alexandria. -
Youth Activism in the South and East Mediterranean
YOUTH ACTIVISM IN THE SOUTH AND EAST MEDITERRANEAN COUNTRIES SINCE THE ARAB UPRISINGS: CHALLENGES AND POLICY OPTIONS for the project “Euro-Mediterranean Political Research and Dialogue for Inclusive Policy-Making Processes and Dissemination through Network Participation” POLICY STUDY Silvia Colombo, Senior Fellow, International Affairs Institute (IAI), Rome Nadine Abdalla, Research Associate, Arab Forum for Alternatives (AFA), and EUME Post- Doctoral Fellow, Center of Middle Eastern and North African Politics, Free University of Berlin Omar Shaban, Director, Pal-Think, Gaza Isabel Schäfer, Senior Researcher, German Development Institute (DIE), Bonn 1. Youth Activism, Government Policies and the Role of the EU Silvia Colombo The Arab upheavals in 2010-2011 that took place in several countries in the South and East Mediterranean (SEM) were largely depicted as expressions of youth-led activism after many years of relative calm. The rapid and unexpected mass mobilisations of 2010-2011, anticipated by the development over the last decade of youth-based activist groups and by the spread of new communication technologies, has been described as the coming on the scene of a new generation united by the shared experience of the economic, political and social failures of post-independence regimes and by new ways to protest and act. These events brought Arab youth dramatically into the limelight, by renewing the world’s attention towards the status and conditions of young generations in the region. In fact, most analyses of the uprisings have identified the region’s exceptionally high rates of youth unemployment, exacerbated by a dramatic demographic bulge, and in general their unsustainable exclusion from political, social and economic opportunities as the main causes of diffuse discontent and anger. -
College of Liberal Arts Michael Castellini, Dean of the Graduate School Abstract
Identity crisis: how ideological and rhetorical failures cost Egyptians their revolution Item Type Thesis Authors Abou Ghalioum, Ramzi Download date 30/09/2021 09:45:13 Link to Item http://hdl.handle.net/11122/10478 IDENTITY CRISIS: HOW IDEOLOGICAL AND RHETORICAL FAILURES COST EGYPTIANS THEIR REVOLUTION By Ramzi Abou Ghalioum A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts in Professional Communication University of Alaska Fairbanks May 2019 APPROVED: Peter DeCaro, Committee Chair Brian O'Donoghue, Committee Member Peter DeCaro, Chair (Acting) Department of Communication and Journalism Todd Sherman, Dean College of Liberal Arts Michael Castellini, Dean of the Graduate School Abstract The Egyptian uprising, which began on January 25, 2011, and ended on February 11, 2011, culminated in the ending of President Hosni Mubarak's 30-year reign as dictator. After free elections in which the Muslim Brotherhood ascended to power in the country, they were ousted in a military coup d'etat only one year after their ascension to power and were replaced by former military general Abdul-Fattah el-Sisi. The symptoms which led the country to rise up against Mubarak continue to exist under el-Sisi today, indicating that no revolution really took place. This paper answers the question, “why did the revolution fail?”, offering a rhetorical reason for the revolution's failure. The uprisings, which were billed as decentralized, offer unique opportunities for analysis of rhetorical strategy. This paper uses the reconstitutive- discourse model, a critical model which examines a rhetor's reconstitution of their audience's character, to examine the rhetoric of three different parties in the revolution. -
Policy Briefing
Policy Briefing Middle East/North Africa Briefing N°35 Cairo/Brussels, 7 August 2013 Marching in Circles: Egypt’s Dangerous Second Transition I. Overview Nearly two-and-half years after Hosni Mubarak’s overthrow, Egypt is embarking on a transition in many ways disturbingly like the one it just experienced – only with different actors at the helm and far more fraught and violent. Polarisation between supporters and opponents of ousted President Mohamed Morsi is such that one can only fear more bloodshed; the military appears convinced it has a mandate to suppress demonstrators; the Muslim Brotherhood, aggrieved by what it sees as the unlawful overturn of its democratic mandate, seems persuaded it can recover by holding firm. A priority is to lower flames by releasing political prisoners – beginning with Morsi; respect speech and assembly rights; independently investigate killings; and for, all sides, avoid violence and provocation. This could pave the way for what has been missing since 2011: negotiating basic rules first, not rushing through divisive transition plans. An inclusive reconciliation process – notably of the Brotherhood and other Islamists – needs more than lip-service. It is a necessity for which the international community should press. There are many reasons for the current crisis: the Morsi administration’s dismissive attitude toward its critics; its inability to mobilise the machinery of state to address basic concerns of an impatient citizenry; the opposition’s reliance on extra-institutional means to reverse unfavourable electoral outcomes; state institutions’ disruptive foray into partisan politics; and collective resort to street action to resolve differences. All these served as backdrop to the 30 June popular uprising and Morsi’s overthrow by the military three days later and have left prospects for a successful democratic tran- sition far dimmer than in February 2011.