Pace in the Race

FinalWRWM_0210.qxd 24/2/10 10:24 Page 1 February 2010 What Really Wins Money An independent review of tipsters and betting systems his is the final WRWM before my 40th birthday Betting System Revealed Twhen I will become a grumpy middle aged spare-tyre-round-the-waist, grey-haired, old betting How to Use ‘Pace in The systems reviewer. Race’ to Profit From The So while I’m still a sprightly 39, what have I got for you this month? Well the guest writers are out in force. Coming Flat Season We kick of with Chris Beek from Kachina Racing by Chris Beek of Kachina Racing discussing new ways to profit from flat racing. Chris James, the stat man, takes us through the figures we need he flat season is fast upon us and over the next for Cheltenham and Martin Blakey continues his quest to Tfew months I am going to be teaming up with spill the beans on cracking those handicaps. Clive to bring you some features to open up new avenues of betting. I show you how to pick very judicious each-way bets that could produce a nice return but, worse-case scenario, My name is Chris Beek and five years ago I was return our stakes if the horse finishes 2nd or 3rd! riding out racehorses for a living whilst trying to make a few quid here and there from form based betting. And the Patriarch offers us an argument for backing drifters! (Has he been at the sherry again!?) Five years later I am a successful self-taught punter with five racehorses and a decent six-figure yearly profit Enjoy. from betting. There is nothing different about me as compared to you. I study hard, research races and look for angles. I don’t get mixed up in information. But I do use gallop reports as an extensive research module to gauge an opinion of how well handicapped a horse may be and also its well-being. Over the past year or so I have found my betting has Clive Keeling improved significantly through using a couple of new angles. Never before did I appreciate the importance of pace in a race, and I have found myself sitting down IN THIS ISSUE: working out how a race is going to be run before the Picking Winners: How the Stat Man horses have even turned up at the racetrack. Much of it is about looking at the running styles of horses and then Can Help You Pick Winners at Cheltenham ...........3 working out where the pace is going to come from, and working out whether it will be a fair, medium or strong Betting System Revealed: Take Advantage gallop. This will determine where in the race the horses of the Unique Quirks of Each-Way Betting you are interested in backing are likely to be placed and give you an idea of what chance they actually have. with My 3 Simple Steps ..........................................5 You then need to analyse draws and jockeys as I’ve The Patriarch Presents: Ignore The noticed a tendency for a number of jockeys to race deep on the all weather and that stands against them as they are Steamers - Here’s Why Drifters May Be continuously losing ground in a race. Using the factors I the Horses to Follow… ...........................................8 have just mentioned you begin to create a picture about a race and it enables you to break a race down and understand Betting System Revealed: A Simple the facts that certain horses will have better or worse Method You Can Use Right Now to Build chances than others. Successful Handicap Ratings .................................... On many occasions I receive reports suggesting that horse A, is going nicely at home and is handicapped to Systems and Tipsters Update ......................10 collect in a certain race. I then take horse A and look at the race it is running in. On many occasions you will find it’s please turn over FinalWRWM_0210.qxd 24/2/10 10:24 Page 2 poorly drawn, or perhaps is a horse that needs dropping in, there won’t be a flat-out gallop but a decent pace where one in a race where there is unlikely to be any pace, which will of the three will take rank. When you start to get four or decrease its chance of winning. Now when the vibes go out five pacesetters in a contest you are open to a very strong and certain tipping firms go out and tip this horse, you will gallop which will not suit them, whilst no pacesetters means usually find the price contracts and you are left in a you are looking at a crawl, make sure you’re backing the position where the value of the race is made up for other horses who will be most suited to a sprint. horses, creating you a market that means you can find yourself a decent value bet or winner. 3: How many horses proven over the Determining horses that are poorly priced is one of the distance best ways to make money from this game and for every Something very few people look at, but say in a 10f horse you can draw a line through in a race the more handicap, only 2 are proven over the trip and the value you are creating for another horse in the line-up. remainder are 7f–8f horses, chances are you will have a One of the biggest factors I have noticed is punters slow gallop. You really want to be looking for angles and keen to lay the low draws at Kempton. At 5f and 6f this making sure the race will be run to suit the horse you would prove profitable but from 7f to 10f, it normally want to back. transpires that horses with low draws can often do well. This is normally down to a lack of pace in these races, and 4: Horse’s ability to break from inside or horses from low draws either tend to be able to settle off outside stalls the pace in the rear or actually find little problem to move through and lead. Having a confirmed front-runner in stall You will find this is normally more important from the 1 at Kempton over a mile, will normally see its price inside berths rather than the outside ones. If you have a much higher than if it’s drawn 9 or 10, but mark my good draw you have to use it, lose it and you are in words, it is not a disadvantage and it has actually been trouble. Too many front-runners are not always quick rounding up some strong winning bets lately. Wide draws from the stalls but are good into their stride. This can be a aren’t always bad as you are out the way of other horses, nightmare if you have something in stall 1 over a sprint whilst if you are not quick away from an inside draw you as losing a length or so from the stalls could see you in a can be left with plenty of trouble in running. bad position. Remember, horses in races only need to stay straight for 50yrds. From outside draws its more about The 10 main factors in profiting from flat racing all finding a position. A horse that pings the stalls from an stem down to pace and it’s crucial that these factors are outside draw is normally a good lay, as it will normally looked at when studying a race: race deep and keen. 1: Competition for pace from 5: Jockeys track record, draw importance neighboring stalls Some riders are inexperienced and some just cant read If you have a horse you like, and you know it likes to tracks very well, but it’s always handy to do your race forwards or dropped in, it’s always good to work out research. If a rider has a poor record around a track and where the horses around it in a race want to race. If I you notice this comes from when a rider is on a badly want to back a horse from stall 8, and in stall 7 is a front- drawn horse, it’s quite wise to accept they aren’t very runner and another front-runner in 9, yet my horse also tactical. Avoid these riders at all times, it’s a quick way to wants to race forward, I can basically write off my horse the poor house. as it will be chasing pace and put itself in a bad position on the track. It’s always handy to have horses around you 6: Stallion’s record on surface and trip that will be doing different to you. Stallion stats make up a strong proportion of my bets and working out quickly which stallions like what 2: Number of front runners in a race surfaces is a good way to see if your horse is running in The number of front-runners in a race can be crucial to the right races. Some stallions are more effective over the pace. I normally like to see two or three, as it means different trips as well. A decent stallion guide showing continued on page 3... It is my intention to be as accurate in fact, detail and comment as possible. However, the publishers and their representatives cannot be held responsible for any error in detail, accuracy or judgement whatsoever. What Really Wins Money is sold on this understanding.

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