Mike Clay's 2019 NFL Projection Guide
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Mike Clay's 2019 NFL Projection Guide Updated: 9/7/2019 Understanding the graphics: *The numbers shown are projections for the 2019 NFL regular season (Weeks 1-17). *Some columns may not seem to be adding up correctly, but this is simply a product of rounding. The totals you see are correct. *Looking for sortable projections by position or category? Check out the projections tab inside the ESPN Fantasy game. *'Team stat rankings' is where each team is projected to finish in the category that is shown. *'Unit Grades' is not related to fantasy football and is an objective ranking of each team at 10 key positions. The overall grades are weighted based on positional importance. The scale is 4.0 (best) to 0.1 (worst). *'Strength of Schedule Ranking' is based on 2019 rosters (not 2018 team record). '1' is easiest and '32' hardest. *Have a question? Contact Mike Clay on Twitter @MikeClayNFL 2019 Arizona Cardinals Projections QUARTERBACK PASSING RUSHING PPR DEFENSE WEEKLY SCORE PROJECTIONS Player Gm Att Comp Yds TD INT Sk Att Yds TD Pts Rk Pos Player Snap Tkl Sack INT FF Rk Wk Opp Loc Tm Opp Win Prob Kyler Murray 15 539 339 3852 21 14 44 110 566 4 284 12 Int DL Corey Peters 716 48 2.1 0.0 31 1 DET H 22.7 20.8 57% Brett Hundley 2 28 17 175 1 1 2 2 9 0 11 61 Int DL Rodney Gunter 632 43 3.8 0.0 23 2 BLT V 17.4 23.8 28% Total 17 567 356 4027 22 15 46 112 575 4 294 73 Int DL Zach Allen 527 35 2.4 0.0 58 3 CAR H 24.4 24.6 49% Int DL Michael Dogbe 211 14 0.7 0.0 120 4 SEA H 23.4 22.7 52% Int DL Clinton McDonald 158 12 1.1 0.0 124 5 CIN V 21.7 23.5 44% RUNNING BACK RUSHING RECEIVING PPR Int DL Jonathan Bullard 126 8 0.4 0.0 134 6 ATL H 23.1 25.6 41% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk Int DL Miles Brown 53 3 0.0 0.0 148 7 NYG V 23.4 24.4 46% David Johnson 15 272 1085 8 93 64 631 3 304 5 Int DL Total 2422 162 10 0.1 638 8 NO V 19.8 32.6 10% Chase Edmonds 15 48 198 1 27 22 168 1 69 65 Edge Chandler Jones 927 50 11.6 0.4 9 9 SF H 24.8 22.6 58% D.J. Foster 15 16 67 0 5 4 34 0 17 96 Edge Terrell Suggs 706 36 7.0 0.3 36 10 TB V 21.5 23.6 42% Total 45 335 1350 10 125 90 833 4 390 166 Edge Brooks Reed 295 19 1.6 0.1 101 11 SF V 20.0 25.1 32% Edge Cassius Marsh 147 9 1.3 0.1 122 12 0.0 0.0 Edge Total 2074 114 21 0.8 268 13 LAR H 20.9 26.6 30% LB Jordan Hicks 979 124 2.8 0.8 15 14 PIT H 23.0 22.4 52% WIDE RECEIVER RUSHING RECEIVING PPR LB Haason Reddick 842 87 3.2 0.5 41 15 CLV H 22.9 26.1 39% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk LB Zeke Turner 84 11 0.2 0.1 118 16 SEA V 20.2 27.9 24% Larry Fitzgerald 16 0 0 0 109 70 783 5 181 35 LB Dennis Gardeck 63 8 0.2 0.1 124 17 LAR V 19.1 29.8 15% Christian Kirk 16 4 22 0 98 62 833 4 172 37 LB Joe Walker 21 3 0.0 0.0 145 Total 348 402 39% Andy Isabella 16 4 24 0 49 30 404 2 86 92 LB Total 1990 233 6 1.4 443 PROJECTED WINS: 6.2 (NFL RANK: 26) Michael Crabtree 16 0 0 0 49 28 333 2 75 105 CB Byron Murphy 881 65 0.5 1.4 35 Strength of Schedule Ranking: 24 KeeSean Johnson 16 0 0 0 38 24 314 2 65 108 CB Patrick Peterson 645 35 0.5 1.0 88 Damiere Byrd 16 0 0 0 5 3 43 0 10 157 CB Tramaine Brock 599 36 0.1 0.9 87 UNIT TEAM STAT Trent Sherfield 16 0 0 0 5 3 44 0 9 163 CB Robert Alford 342 20 0.0 0.5 113 GRADES RANKINGS Total 112 8 46 0 354 221 2754 16 598 697 CB Christopher Jones 233 17 0.1 0.3 116 QB 1.6 Passing CB Kevin Peterson 39 3 0.0 0.1 153 RB 2.6 DB 3 TIGHT END RUSHING RECEIVING PPR CB Total 2739 175 1 4.3 592 WR 1.4 Att 13 Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk S Budda Baker 1021 111 1.9 0.6 7 TE 0.3 Com 19 Charles Clay 15 0 0 0 38 25 258 1 58 39 S D.J. Swearinger 1000 75 1.0 3.1 20 OL 0.8 Yds 21 Maxx Williams 16 0 0 0 27 20 183 1 46 48 S Deionte Thompson 250 21 0.2 0.4 79 INT 0.8 TD 23 Total 31 0 0 0 65 45 441 3 104 87 S Jalen Thompson 59 5 0.0 0.1 117 EDGE 2.4 INT 6 S Charles Washington 26 2 0.0 0.0 127 OB LB 2.6 Sack 6 S Total 2357 215 3 4.2 350 CB 0.8 Rushing Grand Total 11583 900 43 11 2291 S 2.8 Att 5 KICKER FGM FGA FG% XPM XPA XP% Off Rk 25 Yds 10 Zane Gonzalez 26 33 80% 32 35 90% Def Rk 23 TD 13 Ovr Rk 27 Defense PUNTER Att Yds Avg In 20 RETURNS Player Att Yds TD Tackles 23 Andy Lee 74 3449 46.9 27 KR Damiere Byrd 17 372 0.1 Sack 9 KR Chase Edmonds 10 223 0.1 INT 26 OFFENSIVE LINE KR Andy Isabella 7 149 0.0 D/ST 21 D.J. Humphries LT KR Total 33 743 0.2 J.R. Sweezy LG PR Christian Kirk 31 240 0.2 Mason Cole C PR Patrick Peterson 1 9 0.0 Justin Pugh RG PR Total 32 249 0.2 Marcus Gilbert RT 2019 Atlanta Falcons Projections QUARTERBACK PASSING RUSHING PPR DEFENSE WEEKLY SCORE PROJECTIONS Player Gm Att Comp Yds TD INT Sk Att Yds TD Pts Rk Pos Player Snap Tkl Sack INT FF Rk Wk Opp Loc Tm Opp Win Prob Matt Ryan 16 573 390 4596 31 8 40 35 117 1 304 13 Int DL Grady Jarrett 726 55 5.7 0.0 8 1 MIN V 22.9 24.3 45% Matt Schaub 1 11 7 79 1 0 1 0 1 0 5 56 Int DL Jack Crawford 430 25 3.3 0.1 71 2 PHI H 27.4 27.2 51% Total 17 584 397 4676 31 8 41 35 118 1 309 69 Int DL Deadrin Senat 368 26 1.3 0.0 86 3 IND V 22.8 20.1 60% Int DL Allen Bailey 246 12 1.5 0.0 113 4 TEN H 25.6 20.4 68% Int DL Tyeler Davison 134 8 0.4 0.0 135 5 HST V 24.9 26.1 45% RUNNING BACK RUSHING RECEIVING PPR Int DL Total 1904 127 12 0.2 413 6 ARZ V 25.6 23.1 59% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk Edge Takkarist McKinley 624 30 7.6 0.3 51 7 LAR H 25.8 26.7 47% Devonta Freeman 15 209 885 8 62 49 421 3 243 18 Edge Vic Beasley Jr. 583 24 6.0 0.2 63 8 SEA H 28.2 22.8 69% Ito Smith 15 73 291 2 23 18 138 1 80 58 Edge Adrian Clayborn 471 19 5.1 0.2 77 9 0.0 0.0 Qadree Ollison 15 33 131 1 6 4 34 0 27 86 Edge John Cominsky 205 12 1.6 0.0 114 10 NO V 25.2 31.4 28% Brian Hill 15 18 76 0 3 2 18 0 15 102 Edge Total 1882 86 20 0.7 305 11 CAR V 24.4 23.8 52% Kenjon Barner 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 126 LB Deion Jones 982 133 1.4 2.1 7 12 TB H 30.3 24.4 71% Total 75 333 1382 12 94 74 612 4 365 390 LB De'Vondre Campbell 818 90 1.5 0.5 51 13 NO H 25.1 25.9 47% LB Foye Oluokun 409 59 0.6 0.2 70 14 CAR H 29.2 24.7 66% WIDE RECEIVER RUSHING RECEIVING PPR LB Duke Riley 133 17 0.2 0.1 106 15 SF V 25.1 23.8 55% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk LB Kemal Ishmael 41 6 0.1 0.0 130 16 JAX H 25.7 19.8 71% Julio Jones 16 2 11 0 147 95 1417 8 285 6 LB Jermaine Grace 20 3 0.1 0.0 144 17 TB V 26.6 22.4 65% Calvin Ridley 16 7 37 0 102 68 873 7 199 32 LB Total 2404 309 4 2.9 508 Total 415 387 56% Mohamed Sanu 16 5 32 0 79 56 680 4 150 47 CB Desmond Trufant 992 66 0.9 1.7 28 PROJECTED WINS: 9 (NFL RANK: 11) Justin Hardy 16 0 0 0 23 16 163 2 43 116 CB Isaiah Oliver 900 68 0.4 1.8 15 Strength of Schedule Ranking: 31 Russell Gage 16 0 0 0 14 9 114 1 25 136 CB Damontae Kazee 737 55 0.1 2.2 52 Olamide Zaccheaus 16 0 0 0 3 2 21 0 5 172 CB Kendall Sheffield 143 10 0.1 0.2 127 UNIT TEAM STAT Total 96 15 81 0 368 245 3268 21 708 509 CB Jordan Miller 31 2 0.0 0.0 165 GRADES RANKINGS CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson 31 2 0.0 0.1 160 QB 3.3 Passing CB Total 2834 204 1 6.0 547 RB 2.1 DB 8 TIGHT END RUSHING RECEIVING PPR S Keanu Neal 1003 114 0.4 0.6 5 WR 3.6 Att 5 Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk S Ricardo Allen 941 71 0.1 2.2 55 TE 2.0 Com 2 Austin Hooper 16 0 0 0 79 61 616 5 153 10 S Sharrod Neasman 276 25 0.2 0.4 76 OL 2.1 Yds 3 Luke Stocker 16 0 0 0 20 14 139 1 35 55 S Total 2220 210 1 3.1 136 INT 1.6 TD 5 Jaeden Graham 16 0 0 0 6 4 40 0 10 82 Grand Total 11244 936 38 13 1909 EDGE 0.8 INT 30 Total 48 0 0 0 105 78 795 7 198 147 OB LB 1.8 Sack 14 CB 2.5 Rushing S 3.0 Att 27 KICKER FGM FGA FG% XPM XPA XP% Off Rk 6 Yds 29 Matt Bryant 28 31 90% 43 43 99% Def Rk 20 TD 14 Ovr Rk 10 Defense PUNTER Att Yds Avg In 20 RETURNS Player Att Yds TD Tackles 7 Matt Bosher 68 3109 45.8 27 KR Kenjon Barner 26 641 0.1 Sack 19 KR Olamide Zaccheaus 7 149 0.0 INT 12 OFFENSIVE LINE KR Total 33 789 0.1 D/ST 19 Jake Matthews LT PR Justin Hardy 26 188 0.2 James Carpenter LG PR Mohamed Sanu 6 57 0.1 Alex Mack C PR Total 32 245 0.2 Chris Lindstrom RG Ty Sambrailo RT 2019 Baltimore Ravens Projections QUARTERBACK PASSING RUSHING PPR DEFENSE WEEKLY SCORE PROJECTIONS Player Gm Att Comp Yds TD INT Sk Att Yds TD Pts Rk Pos Player Snap Tkl Sack INT FF Rk Wk Opp Loc Tm Opp Win Prob Lamar Jackson 15 425 261 3099 14 9 38 161 817 6 269 5 Int DL Brandon J.