Gippsland-Regional-Growth-Plan
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GIPPSLAND REGIONAL GROWTH PLAN BACKGROUND REPORT Acknowledgement of Country The Gippsland Local Government Network and the Department of Transport, Planning and Local Infrastructure acknowledge Aboriginal Traditional Owners within the region, their rich culture and spiritual connection to Country. We also recognise and acknowledge the contribution and interest of Aboriginal people and organisations in land use planning, land management and natural resource management. Authorised and published by the Victorian Government, 1 Treasury Place, Melbourne Printed by Finsbury Green, Melbourne If you would like to receive this publication in an accessible format, please telephone 1300 366 356. This document is also available in Word format at www.dtpli.vic.gov.au/regionalgrowthplans Unless indicated otherwise, this work is made available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence. To view a copy of the licence, visit creativecommons.org/licences/by/3.0/au It is a condition of this Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Licence that you must give credit to the original author who is the State of Victoria. Disclaimer This publication may be of assistance to you, but the State of Victoria and its employees do not guarantee that the publication is without flaw of any kind or is wholly appropriate for your particular purposes and therefore disclaims all liability for any error, loss or other consequence which may arise from you relying on any information in this publication. March 2014 Table of contents ACRONYMS ..................................................................................................................................................... i Preface ....................................................................................................................................................... ii 1. REGIONAL ECONOMY ............................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 REGIONAL CONTEXT .................................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY ................................................................................................................. 15 1.3 TOURISM .................................................................................................................................................. 28 1.4 COMMERCIAL CENTRES ........................................................................................................................... 43 1.5 EARTH RESOURCES AND ENERGY ............................................................................................................ 61 2. ENVIRONMENT AND HERITAGE ............................................................................................................. 72 2.1 ENVIRONMENT AND HERITAGE ASSETS .................................................................................................. 72 2.2 NATURAL HAZARDS AND RISKS ............................................................................................................... 87 3. LIVING IN THE REGION ........................................................................................................................... 97 3.1 POPULATION FORECASTS ........................................................................................................................ 97 3.2 SETTLEMENT FRAMEWORK ................................................................................................................... 103 3.3 URBAN PROFILE ..................................................................................................................................... 126 4. REGIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE ............................................................................................................... 130 4.1 TRANSPORT............................................................................................................................................ 130 4.2 UTILITIES ................................................................................................................................................ 145 5. APPENDICES ......................................................................................................................................... 151 Appendix 1: Cultural heritage assets of the Gippsland region .................................................................. 152 Appendix 2: Potential salinity threat near Sale in 2032 ............................................................................ 153 Appendix 3: Planning considerations for Gippsland ................................................................................. 154 Appendix 4: Planning considerations for each centre ............................................................................... 155 6. REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................................... 166 Tables: Table 1: Headline indicators ........................................................................................................................................... 3 Table 2: Working age population ................................................................................................................................... 4 Table 3: Melbourne’s peri-urban area - state significant land uses ............................................................................... 8 Table 4: Potential drivers of regional growth and future prosperity – Gippsland ....................................................... 13 Table 5: Small rural lots in the Gippsland region .......................................................................................................... 22 Table 6: Summary of tourism planning policy and strategies by Local Government Area ........................................... 31 Table 7: High level analysis against strategic tourism investment area criteria ........................................................... 33 Table 8: Locations of significant brown coal reserves in excess of one billion tonnes ................................................. 62 Table 9: Total population 1996 to 2011 ....................................................................................................................... 97 Table 10: Towns and settlements in the Gippsland region ........................................................................................ 105 Table 11: Service provision ......................................................................................................................................... 113 Table 12: Constraints on growth ................................................................................................................................ 116 Table 13: Suitability for growth .................................................................................................................................. 119 Table 14: Projected change of household types 2011 to 2031 .................................................................................. 127 Table 15: Gippsland’s airports .................................................................................................................................... 134 Table 16: Included towns and local government areas .............................................................................................. 147 Table 17: Project stakeholders ................................................................................................................................... 147 Table 18: Utility status legend .................................................................................................................................... 150 Figures: Figure 1: Proportion of population by age ..................................................................................................................... 4 Figure 2: Unemployment rate Gippsland 2000 to 2011 ................................................................................................. 5 Figure 3: Gross Regional Product/hours worked by employee – Average growth rate 2001-11 ................................... 6 Figure 4: Sectoral contribution to employment – Gippsland 2011 ................................................................................ 7 Figure 5: Metropolitan Employment Options Accessible from Gippsland ................................................................... 10 Figure 6: Industry employment performance forecast by percentage share, 2011 to 2031 ....................................... 11 Figure 7: Population forecast, regional Victoria 2011 to 2031 ..................................................................................... 12 Figure 8: Agriculture and forestry – areas of strategic significance ............................................................................. 16 Figure 9: Agriculture and forestry areas of strategic significance - Cluster 1 ............................................................... 16 Figure 10: Agriculture and forestry areas of strategic significance - Cluster 2 ............................................................. 17 Figure 11: Agriculture and forestry areas of strategic significance - Cluster 3 ............................................................. 17 Figure 12: Gippsland value of commodities produced ................................................................................................