A Meteorological and Blowing Snow Data Set (2000–2016) from a High-Elevation Alpine Site (Col Du Lac Blanc, France, 2720 M A.S.L.)
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A Winter Forecasting Handbook Winter Storm Information That Is Useful to the Public
A Winter Forecasting Handbook Winter storm information that is useful to the public: 1) The time of onset of dangerous winter weather conditions 2) The time that dangerous winter weather conditions will abate 3) The type of winter weather to be expected: a) Snow b) Sleet c) Freezing rain d) Transitions between these three 7) The intensity of the precipitation 8) The total amount of precipitation that will accumulate 9) The temperatures during the storm (particularly if they are dangerously low) 7) The winds and wind chill temperature (particularly if winds cause blizzard conditions where visibility is reduced). 8) The uncertainty in the forecast. Some problems facing meteorologists: Winter precipitation occurs on the mesoscale The type and intensity of winter precipitation varies over short distances. Forecast products are not well tailored to winter Subtle features, such as variations in the wet bulb temperature, orography, urban heat islands, warm layers aloft, dry layers, small variations in cyclone track, surface temperature, and others all can influence the severity and character of a winter storm event. FORECASTING WINTER WEATHER Important factors: 1. Forcing a) Frontal forcing (at surface and aloft) b) Jetstream forcing c) Location where forcing will occur 2. Quantitative precipitation forecasts from models 3. Thermal structure where forcing and precipitation are expected 4. Moisture distribution in region where forcing and precipitation are expected. 5. Consideration of microphysical processes Forecasting winter precipitation in 0-48 hour time range: You must have a good understanding of the current state of the Atmosphere BEFORE you try to forecast a future state! 1. Examine current data to identify positions of cyclones and anticyclones and the location and types of fronts. -
Soaring Weather
Chapter 16 SOARING WEATHER While horse racing may be the "Sport of Kings," of the craft depends on the weather and the skill soaring may be considered the "King of Sports." of the pilot. Forward thrust comes from gliding Soaring bears the relationship to flying that sailing downward relative to the air the same as thrust bears to power boating. Soaring has made notable is developed in a power-off glide by a conven contributions to meteorology. For example, soar tional aircraft. Therefore, to gain or maintain ing pilots have probed thunderstorms and moun altitude, the soaring pilot must rely on upward tain waves with findings that have made flying motion of the air. safer for all pilots. However, soaring is primarily To a sailplane pilot, "lift" means the rate of recreational. climb he can achieve in an up-current, while "sink" A sailplane must have auxiliary power to be denotes his rate of descent in a downdraft or in come airborne such as a winch, a ground tow, or neutral air. "Zero sink" means that upward cur a tow by a powered aircraft. Once the sailcraft is rents are just strong enough to enable him to hold airborne and the tow cable released, performance altitude but not to climb. Sailplanes are highly 171 r efficient machines; a sink rate of a mere 2 feet per second. There is no point in trying to soar until second provides an airspeed of about 40 knots, and weather conditions favor vertical speeds greater a sink rate of 6 feet per second gives an airspeed than the minimum sink rate of the aircraft. -
Cloud Characteristics, Thermodynamic Controls and Radiative Impacts During the Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (Goamazon2014/5) Experiment
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 14519–14541, 2017 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-14519-2017 © Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Cloud characteristics, thermodynamic controls and radiative impacts during the Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon2014/5) experiment Scott E. Giangrande1, Zhe Feng2, Michael P. Jensen1, Jennifer M. Comstock1, Karen L. Johnson1, Tami Toto1, Meng Wang1, Casey Burleyson2, Nitin Bharadwaj2, Fan Mei2, Luiz A. T. Machado3, Antonio O. Manzi4, Shaocheng Xie5, Shuaiqi Tang5, Maria Assuncao F. Silva Dias6, Rodrigo A. F de Souza7, Courtney Schumacher8, and Scot T. Martin9 1Environmental and Climate Sciences Department, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY, USA 2Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA 3National Institute for Space Research, São José dos Campos, Brazil 4National Institute of Amazonian Research, Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil 5Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA 6University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Brazil 7State University of Amazonas (UEA), Meteorology, Manaus, Brazil 8Texas A&M University, College Station, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, TX, USA 9Harvard University, Cambridge, School of Engineering and Applied Sciences and Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, MA, USA Correspondence to: Scott E. Giangrande ([email protected]) Received: 12 May 2017 – Discussion started: 24 May 2017 Revised: 30 August 2017 – Accepted: 11 September 2017 – Published: 6 December 2017 Abstract. Routine cloud, precipitation and thermodynamic 1 Introduction observations collected by the Atmospheric Radiation Mea- surement (ARM) Mobile Facility (AMF) and Aerial Facility The simulation of clouds and the representation of cloud (AAF) during the 2-year US Department of Energy (DOE) processes and associated feedbacks in global climate mod- ARM Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Ama- els (GCMs) remains the largest source of uncertainty in zon (GoAmazon2014/5) campaign are summarized. -
NWS Unified Surface Analysis Manual
Unified Surface Analysis Manual Weather Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center National Hurricane Center Honolulu Forecast Office November 21, 2013 Table of Contents Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers…………….3 Chapter 2: Datasets available for creation of the Unified Analysis………...…..5 Chapter 3: The Unified Surface Analysis and related features.……….……….19 Chapter 4: Creation/Merging of the Unified Surface Analysis………….……..24 Chapter 5: Bibliography………………………………………………….…….30 Appendix A: Unified Graphics Legend showing Ocean Center symbols.….…33 2 Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers 1. INTRODUCTION Since 1942, surface analyses produced by several different offices within the U.S. Weather Bureau (USWB) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Weather Service (NWS) were generally based on the Norwegian Cyclone Model (Bjerknes 1919) over land, and in recent decades, the Shapiro-Keyser Model over the mid-latitudes of the ocean. The graphic below shows a typical evolution according to both models of cyclone development. Conceptual models of cyclone evolution showing lower-tropospheric (e.g., 850-hPa) geopotential height and fronts (top), and lower-tropospheric potential temperature (bottom). (a) Norwegian cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) and (III) narrowing warm sector, (IV) occlusion; (b) Shapiro–Keyser cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) frontal fracture, (III) frontal T-bone and bent-back front, (IV) frontal T-bone and warm seclusion. Panel (b) is adapted from Shapiro and Keyser (1990) , their FIG. 10.27 ) to enhance the zonal elongation of the cyclone and fronts and to reflect the continued existence of the frontal T-bone in stage IV. -
Thermo-Convective Instability in a Rotating Ferromagnetic Fluid Layer
Open Phys. 2018; 16:868–888 Research Article Precious Sibanda* and Osman Adam Ibrahim Noreldin Thermo-convective instability in a rotating ferromagnetic fluid layer with temperature modulation https://doi.org/10.1515/phys-2018-0109 Received Dec 18, 2017; accepted Sep 27, 2018 1 Introduction Abstract: We study the thermoconvective instability in a Ferromagnetic fluids are colloids consisting of nanometer- rotating ferromagnetic fluid confined between two parallel sized magnetic particles suspended in a fluid carrier. The infinite plates with temperature modulation at the bound- magnetization of a ferromagnetic fluid depends on the aries. We use weakly nonlinear stability theory to ana- temperature, the magnetic field, and the density of the lyze the stationary convection in terms of critical Rayleigh fluid. The magnetic force and the thermal state of the fluid numbers. The influence of parameters such as the Taylor may give rise to convection currents. Studies on the flow number, the ratio of the magnetic force to the buoyancy of ferromagnetic fluids include, for example, Finalyson [1] force and the magnetization on the flow behaviour and who studied instabilities in a ferromagnetic fluid using structure are investigated. The heat transfer coefficient is free-free and rigid-rigid boundaries conditions. He used analyzed for both the in-phase and the out-of-phase mod- the linear stability theory to predict the critical Rayleigh ulations. A truncated Fourier series is used to obtain a number for the onset of instability when both a magnetic set of ordinary differential equations for the time evolu- and a buoyancy force are present. The generalization of tion of the amplitude of convection for the ferromagnetic Rayleigh Benard convection under various assumption is fluid flow. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere. -
Chemical Properties of Snow Cover As an Impact Indicator for Local Air Pollution Sources
INFRASTRUKTURA I EKOLOGIA TERENÓW WIEJSKICH INFRASTRUCTURE AND ECOLOGY OF RURAL AREAS No IV/2/2017, POLISH ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, Cracow Branch, pp. 1591–1607 Commission of Technical Rural Infrastructure DOI: http://dx.medra.org/10.14597/infraeco.2017.4.2.120 CHEMICAL PROPERTIES OF SNOW COVER AS AN IMPACT INDICATOR FOR LOCAL AIR POLLUTION SOURCES Krzysztof Jarzyna, Rafał Kozłowski, Mirosław Szwed Jan Kochanowski University Abstract In this article, selected physical and chemical properties of water originating from melted snow collected in the area of the city of Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski (Poland) in January 2017 were determined. The analysed samples of snow were collected at 18 measurement sites located along the axis of cardinal directions of the world and with a central point in the urban area of Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski in January 2017. Chemical com- position was determined using the Dionex ICS 3000 Ion Chromatograph at the Environmental Research Laboratory of the Chair of Environmental Protection and Modelling at the Jan Kochanowski University in Kielce. The obtained results indicated a substantial contribution of pollutants pro- duced by a local steelworks in the chemical composition of melted snow. Keywords: precipitation chemistry, anthropopressure, snow cover INTRODUCTION The use of snow cover as an indicator for the magnitude of deposition of atmospheric air pollutants has already had several decades of tradition in Poland and Europe (Engelhard et al. 2007, Kozłowski et al. 2012, Siudek et al. 2015, Stachnik et al. 2010,). The snow cover proves itself as an efficient collector of airborne pollutants which allows for quick and efficient estimation of airborne pollution concentrations over the entire period of lingering snow cover occur- This is an open access article under the Creative Commons BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licences/by-nc-nd/4.0/) 1591 Krzysztof Jarzyna, Rafał Kozłowski, Mirosław Szwed rence. -
The Effect of Stable Thermal Stratification on Turbulent Boundary
The effect of stable thermal stratifcation on turbulent boundary layer statistics O.Williams, T. Hohman, T. Van Buren, E. Bou-Zeid and A. J. Smits May 22, 2019 Abstract The effects of stable thermal stratifcation on turbulent boundary layers are ex- perimentally investigated for smooth and rough walls. Turbulent stresses for weak to moderate stability are seen to scale with the wall-shear stress compensated for changes in fuid density in the same manner as done for compressible fows, sug- gesting little change in turbulent structure within this regime. At higher levels of stratifcation turbulence no longer scales with the wall shear stress and turbu- lent production by mean shear collapses, but without the preferential damping of near-wall motions observed in previous studies. We suggest that the weakly sta- ble and strongly stable (collapsed) regimes are delineated by the point where the turbulence no longer scales with the local wall shear stress, a signifcant departure from previous defnitions. The critical stratifcation separating these two regimes closely follows the linear stability analysis of Schlichting (1935) [Schlichting, Hauptaufs¨atze. Turbulenz bei W¨armeschichtung, ZAMM-J. of App. Math. and Mech., vol 15, 1935 ] for both smooth and rough surfaces, indicating that a good predictor of critical stratifcation is the gradient Richardson number evaluated at the wall. Wall-normal and shear stresses follow atmospheric trends in the local gradient Richardson number scaling of Sorbjan (2010) [Sorbjan, Gradient-based scales and similarity laws in the stable boundary layer, Q.J.R. Meteorological Soc., vol 136, 2010], suggesting that much can be learned about stratifed atmo- spheric fows from the study of laboratory scale boundary layers at relatively low Reynolds numbers. -
Thunderstorm Analysis in the Northern Rocky Mountains
This file was created by scanning the printed publication. ^1 / Errors identified by the software have been corrected; ^n/' however, some errors may remain. 4* * THUNDERSTORM ANALYSTS c' Tn the NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTATNS DeVerColson ENTERMOUNTAEN FOREST AND RANGE EXPEREMENT STATEON FOREST SERVECE UNETED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRECULTURE Ogden, Utah Reed W. Bailey, Director RESEARCH PAPER NO. 49 1957 Research Paper No. 49 l957 THUNDERSTORM ANALYSIS IN THE NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS By DeVer Colson Meteorologist INTERMOUNTAIN FOREST AND RANGE EXPERIMENT STATION Forest Service U.S. Department of Agriculture Ogden, Utah Reed W. Bailey, Director THUNDERSTORM ANALYSIS IN THE NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS DeVer Col son!' U.S. Weather Bureau Washington, D.C. INTRODUCTION Lightning-caused fires are a continuing serious threat to forests in the northern Rocky Mountain area. More than 70 percent of all forest fires in this area are caused by lightning. In one l0-day period in July l940 the all-time record of l,488 lightning fires started on the national forests in Region l of the U.S. Forest Service.—' Project Skyfire was planned and organized to study the causes and char acteristics of lightning storms and to see what steps could be taken to decrease the great losses caused by lightning fires. One important phase of Project Skyfire is the study and analysis of the weather phenomena associated with the formation and growth of lightning storms. A better understanding of these factors is valuable to both the forester and the meteorologist. In the Project Skyfire research program,analyses are being made of the specific characteristics of individual lightning storms and the general characteristics of storms during an entire fire season. -
Snow to Water Ratios 88
Snow to Water Ratios 88 The amount of snow from a storm can look impressive when it covers your house and cars, but if you melted the snow you would discover that very little water is actually involved. The 'snow to ice ratio' or Snow Ratio expresses how much volume of snow you get for a given volume of water. Typically a ratio of 10:1 (ten to one) means that every 10 inches of snowfall equals one inch of liquid water. Problem 1 - During a winter storm called 'Snowmageddon' in 2010, the Washington DC region received about 24 inches of snow fall. If this was dry, uncompacted snow, about how many inches of rain would this equal if the Snow Ratio was 10:1 ? Problem 2 - The Snow Ratio depends on the temperature of the air as shown in the table below: o o o o o o Temp (F) 30 25 18 12 5 -10 Ratio 10:1 15:1 20:1 30:1 40:1 50:1 o If 30 inches of snow fell in Calgary, Alberta at 18 F, and 25 inches of snow fell in o Denver, Colorado where the temperature was 25 F, at which location would the most water have fallen? Space Math http://spacemath.gsfc.nasa.gov Answer Key 88 Problem 1 - During a winter storm called 'Snowmageddon' in 2010, the Washington DC region received about 24 inches of snow fall. If this was dry, uncompacted snow, about how many inches of rain would this equal if the Snow Ratio was 10:1 ? Answer: 24 inches of snow x (1 inch water/10 inches of snow) = 2.4 inches of water. -
Evolution of Slantwise Vertical Motions in NCEP's Mesoscale Eta Model
VOLUME 127 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW JANUARY 1999 Evolution of Slantwise Vertical Motions in NCEP's Mesoscale Eta Model MUKUT B. MATHUR AND KEITH F. B RILL National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Washington, D.C. CHARLES J. SEMAN Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey (Manuscript received 18 July 1997, in ®nal form 30 December 1997) ABSTRACT Numerical forecasts from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction's mesoscale version of the h coordinate±based model, hereafter referred to as MESO, have been analyzed to study the roles of conditional symmetric instability (CSI) and frontogenesis in copious precipitation events. A grid spacing of 29 km and 50 layers are used in the MESO model. Parameterized convective and resolvable-scale condensation, radiation physics, and many other physical processes are included. Results focus on a 24-h forecast from 1500 UTC 1 February 1996 in the region of a low-level front and associated deep baroclinic zone over the southeastern United States. Predicted precipitation amounts were close to the observed, and the rainfall in the model was mainly associated with the resolvable-scale condensation. During the forecast deep upward motion ampli®es in a band oriented west-southwest to east-northeast, nearly parallel to the mean tropospheric thermal wind. This band develops from a sloping updraft in the low-level nearly saturated frontal zone, which is absolutely stable to upright convection, but susceptible to CSI. The updraft is then nearly vertical in the middle troposphere where there is very weak conditional instability. We regard this occurrence as an example of model-produced deep slantwise convection (SWC). -
Snow Removal Brochure
LEHI CITY SNOW REMOVAL A Guide to Managing Winter Storms THE LEHI CITY STREETS DIVISION’S PRIORITY IS TO PROVIDE THE SAFEST POSSIBLE DRIVING CONDITIONS. SNOW REMOVAL IS DEPENDENT ON A NUMBER OF FACTORS, INCLUDING THE TIMING AND DURATION OF A SNOWSTORM AND THE DENSITY OF THE SNOW. THIS GUIDE PROVIDES RESIDENTS WITH INFORMATION ABOUT THE SNOW REMOVAL PROGRAM AND SETS EXPECTATIONS DURING AND AFTER A STORM. SNOW CONDITIONS The Lehi City Streets Division makes it a priority to be responsive during and immediately after a storm. Response time to individual streets and neighborhoods will depend on several factors, including timing and duration of the storm. TIMING Crews will make every effort to keep major streets clear of snow and ice. Heavily traveled roads and bus routes will receive top priority to ensure everyone’s safety. Once major commuter roads have been deemed safe for travel, secondary and side streets will be cleared. During evening and early morning storms, crews should have ample time to prepare for commuting hours. Plows will continue to clean, treat, and widen roadways until reasonably safe conditions are met. DURATION The duration of a storm plays an important role in snow plowing operations. Storms of extended duration require all available resources to keep roads open over an extended period of time. A snow storm of four inches over a 24-hour period will require more time and man hours than a storm of six inches over an 8-hour period. Please keep in mind that plows are still hard at work well after the snow has stopped falling.