70th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Washington D.C., United States, 21-25 October 2019. Copyright ©2019 by the International Astronautical Federation (IAF). All rights reserved.

IAC-19-E3.1.3

PRIORITY ITEMS FOR THE UNITED NATIONS SPACE2030 AGENDA FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE ECONOMIC SOUTH

Author: Mr. Thien Nguyen International Space University, Australia, [email protected]

Ms. Sandra Vogt International Space University, France, [email protected] Ms. Hamda Alhosani International Space University, United Arab Emirates, [email protected] Dr. Valentina Tamburello International Space University, Switzerland, [email protected] Mr. Ryan Benson International Space University, United States, [email protected] Mrs. Megala Senthilkumar Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), India, [email protected] Mrs. Jenny Franulovic International Space University, Australia, [email protected] Mr. Pierre-Alexis Lagadrilliere DLR (German Aerospace Center), Germany, [email protected] Ms. Joanna Ruiter International Space University, The Netherlands, [email protected] Prof. Christopher Johnson Secure World Foundation, United States, [email protected] Mr. Eamon Lawson International Space University, Australia, [email protected]

Abstract Space2030 is an agenda under the United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of , with the vision of using space as a driver for peace and the Sustainable Development Goals. The agenda aims to strengthen the contributions of space technologies by addressing global development challenges, building stronger partnerships, and bridging the space divide between developed and developing States. This paper is an extension of the Team Project ‘Space2030’; a major component of the 2019 Southern Hemisphere Space Studies Program, which was jointly coordinated by the International Space University and the University of South Australia, hosted in Adelaide, Australia. It identifies and recommends priority items to be included in the Space2030 Agenda from the perspective of the Economic South. These are States on or south of the Tropic of Cancer, which consists of developed and developing States, emerging space powers, and States of a growing influence on the world stage. Research and analysis of priority items fall under the established four pillars: Space Economy, Space Society, Space Accessibility, and Space Diplomacy; and a number of recommendations are presented for each pillar. These recommendations can serve as discussion points as the United Nations develop the structure for the implementation plan of the Space2030 Agenda.

Keywords: UNCOPUOS, Space2030, legislation, Sustainable Development Goals

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Acronyms/Abbreviations

APG Asia Pacific Telecommunity NASA National Aeronautics and Space Conference Preparatory Group Administration API Advance Publication of NGSO Non-Geostationary Information OCO Orbiting Carbon Observatory APRSAF Asia-Pacific Regional Space OFDA Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Agency Forum Assistance APSCO Asia Pacific Space Cooperation RCMRD Regional Centre for Mapping Organization Resources for Development BIU Bring-Into-Use RMB Renminbi CEMA European Agricultural SDA Sustainable Development Machinery Association Agenda CETE Clean Energy Technology SDG Sustainable Development Goal Entrepreneurship STEM Science, Technology, COPUOS Committee on the Peaceful Uses Engineering, and Mathematics of Outer Space STS Scientific and Technical CR/C Coordination Request Subcommittee CRED Centre for Research on the SWG Special Working Group Epidemiology of Disasters UAE United Arab Emirates DLR Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- UN United Nations und Raumfahrt UNDESA United Nations Department of EARSC European Association of Economic and Social Affairs Remote Sensing Companies UNECA United Nations Economic EM-DAT Emergency Events Database Commission for Africa EO Earth Observation UNFCCC United Nations Framework ESA Convention on Climate Change EU European Union UNGA United Nations General FSS Fixed Services Assembly GDP Gross Domestic Product UNISDR United Nations International GEO Geostationary Orbit Strategy for Disaster Reduction GEO Group on Earth Observation UNOOSA United Nations Office for Outer GEOSS Global Earth Observation Space Affairs System of Systems US United States GFDRR Global Facility for Disaster USAID United States Agency for Reduction and Recovery International Development GIS Geographical Information USGS United States Geological Survey System VCS Venture Catalyst Space GNSS Global Navigation Satellite WRC World Radiocommunication System Conference GPS Global Positioning System WRC-07 World Radiocommunication GSO Geostationary Orbit Conference 2007 IAS Indian Administrative Service WRC-15 World Radiocommunication IMT International Mobile Conference 2015 Telecommunications IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ITU International Telecommunications Union LED Light Emitting Diodes MDGs Millennium Development Goals MIFR Master International Frequency Register ML Machine Learning MOOC Massive Open Online Course

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1. Introduction Global South as well as Oceania. The “Economic In 2015, all United Nations (UN) Member States South” consists of a unique mix of developed and adopted the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. developing States, emerging space powers, and States The document outlines 17 Sustainable Development with a growing influence on the world stage. It includes Goals (SDGs), 169 targets, and 232 indicators focusing some of to the world’s most densely populated, on improving health and education, reducing inequality, resource-rich and economically competitive States As and spurring economic growth worldwide (UNDESA, well as some of the poorest, most polluted, and poverty- 2019). Space plays an important role as an enabler in stricken States. The term “Economic South” is used achieving and monitoring the SDGs, providing valuable rather than “Global South”, since not only developing data, and advancing technologies for the benefit of but also developed States such as Australia are humankind as a whole (UN General Assembly considered. resolution 73/6; UNOOSA, 2018a). To strengthen the contributions of space activities 1.3 The Space 2030 Agenda and tools in addressing global development challenges, During its sixty-first session in June 2018, COPUOS building stronger partnerships, and bridging the space endorsed the draft Resolution Fiftieth anniversary of the divide between developed and developing nations, the first United Nations Conference on the Exploration and UN are developing a “Space2030” Agenda (UN, 2018b, Peaceful Uses of Outer Space: space as a driver of pp.6–7). The agenda-setting process takes place at a sustainable development which invites the Committee to time of rapid change in the space sector, with an continue to develop a “Space2030” Agenda and increasing number of private actors entering the scene implementation plan (UNOOSA, 2018e). Following this, and major technological advances. COPUOS established a Working Group on the Space2030 presents a unique opportunity to insert Space2030 Agenda which reports to the Committee and ideas into the discussion about the next ten years of is mandated with developing the agenda. Discussions space collaboration and, in particular, about how to about the structure of the Space2030 document have advance the Sustainable Development Goals through the commenced within the COPUOS Working Group. The use of space science and technology. group is currently preparing a draft structure for the This report focuses in particular on the perspectives agenda and will submit a consolidated draft Space2030 of the Economic South and their priorities for a vision Agenda to UNCOPUOS at its sixty-second session in for the next decade. It also provides practical examples 2019. A final draft agenda will be submitted during which highlight how space technology and applications UNCOPUOS’ sixty-third session in 2020. The UN create environmental, economic, and social benefits for General Assembly shall consider the outcome of the all and help to attain the goals of the international work in 2020 during its seventy-fifth session (UNOOSA, development agendas. 2018e). As a proposal for a draft structure of the Space2030 1.1 Objectives Agenda is being debated at the time of writing of this The ethos of this paper is driven by the following report during the fifty-sixth session of the Scientific and objectives: Technical Subcommittee, and further work on the draft • Raise awareness among policymakers and agenda is about to commence. the Space2030 Working society at large of the needs and ambitions Group has identified four overarching pillars under of the Economic South in the context of which the strategic objectives of Space2030 will be space; presented (UNOOSA, 2019b): • Identify priority topics for the Economic South to be included in the Space 2030 Space Economy: Enhancing space-derived agenda; economic benefits and strengthening the role of the • Include the voice of countries in the space sector as a major driver for a sustainable economy; discussion which have not, or not often, Space Society: Advancing societal benefits of been heard; space-related activities and making the best use of space • Highlight the link between Space 2030 and technologies and space-based services and applications the Sustainable Development Goals and for improving the quality of life on Earth; show how particular SDGs can be Space Accessibility: Improving access to space for advanced and/or measured by space. all and ensuring that all countries can benefit socio- economically from space science and technology 1.2 The Economic South applications and space-based data, information and The term “Economic South” refers to States south of products; or on the Tropic of Cancer. It includes the States of the

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Space Diplomacy: Advancing space diplomacy by Research, Technology Transfer, Research and building partnerships and strengthening international Education (Wood, 2018). cooperation in the peaceful uses of outer space. 2. Space Economy 1.4 The SDG’s and the Role of Space Space technology and its applications are a powerful The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) factor for economic development, and a crucial driver initiated at the United Nations Conference on for the advancement of developing States in the Sustainable Development in Rio de Janeiro in 2012 aim Economic South. The space economy can make to overcome 21st-century challenges in areas such as the substantial contributions to the prosperity of emerging economy, the environment, and society by 2030. The space States. In the context of the “New Space SDGs build on the Millennium Development Goals Economy” and space technology developments, new (MDGs), which started as a global effort in 2000 to opportunities present themselves to the Economic overcome poverty, hunger, disease, and inequality by South. As a key enabler, the space economy functions 2015. The success of the MDGs was the driving force to as the driver and connector of all four pillars. Finance establish the SDGs and to move toward sustainability to and funding, social business, the emerging CubeSat deal with the challenges that are facing our world today, market and the potential of clean energy are addressed and to provide a better life for future generations in the following sections and deemed relevant for the (UNDP, 2019). Economic South. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development constructs a long-term vision for new approaches, both 2.1 Finance and Funding for Startups in governance and technological innovations. The Space enabled technologies have the potential to agenda is one of the key drivers for development toward increase efficiency and promote economic growth. sustainability and better living conditions on Earth. However, the high cost of building deters the Space technologies have been viewed as integral to participation of private entrepreneurs (de Selding, SDG achievement and they can be used to support most 2015). Technology startup incubators have already goals. Space programs, such as Earth Observation (EO) attracted significant investment and growth of and Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), can entrepreneurship within Southeast Asia (Nikkei Asian make significant contributions in different areas, Review, 2018). Space startup incubators, modelled in including natural disaster forecasting, air and water the same manner, provide entrepreneurs in the quality monitoring, emergency response, search and Economic South the opportunity to develop and launch rescue operations, and more. In addition, the use of data their own satellite systems. Australia, for example, contributes to building stronger partnerships and created the Venture Catalyst Space (VCS) initiative, coordination for the peaceful uses of outer space, and providing seed money to promote new ideas in the helps to reduce the space divide (UNOOSA, 2018d). space sector (VCS, 2018). Space is to be a critical tool for advancing and These startup incubators serve as expert advisory measuring the UN SDGs and their targets. As outlined panels to ensure that business models are viable, in UN Resolution 73/6, the Space2030 Agenda aims to sustainable, and accountable, and follow good business strengthen “the contribution of space activities and practices. Accountability is vital in securing continued space tools to the achievement of the global agendas funding support as the NewSat Ltd. bankruptcy in 2015 addressing long-term sustainable development concerns caused significant losses to the US and France export of humankind” (UNGA Resolution 73/6, 2018). Both credit agencies (de Selding, 2015). Therefore, a Special Space2030 and the 2030 Sustainable Development Working Group (SWG) with expertise in the space Agenda 2030 (SDA) are closely linked and, for a large sector could be created within these space startup part, have common goals and a common reporting date incubators for the purpose of assessing upcoming space in 2030. ventures and ensuring accountability in funded ventures. Accountability aspects play a key role in the SDGs. Potential sources of development funds are export-credit Targets and indicators to measure the success of the agencies, angel investors, venture capital funds, and implementation of the goals were included from the government grants (Nikkei Asian Review, 2018; de very beginning and a link to space was established in Selding, 2015). the 2030SDGAgenda itself. Article 76 of the SDA Successful space startups emerging from incubators highlights the importance of Earth Observation and and funding initiatives can positively impact SDG 2 geospatial data as integral for achieving the SDGs (UN, (Zero Hunger), measurable by increased food 2015). Other space technologies that support the production as a result of precision agriculture. implementation and monitoring of the goals include Innovative and disruptive business ideas, nurtured by Satellite Communication, Satellite Positioning and these initiatives, benefit SDG 9 (industry, innovation Navigation, Human and Microgravity and infrastructure),measurable through an increase in

Paper ID: 50108 Page 4 of 19 70th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Washington D.C., United States, 21-25 October 2019. Copyright ©2019 by the International Astronautical Federation (IAF). All rights reserved. medium and high technology industry value. States in monitoring which are of great importance to States in the Economic South, as individuals or collaboratively, the Economic South due to their geographical location could create startup incubators that help potential space and levels of development. entrepreneurs secure expert advice and funding. Interest is growing in satellites weighing less than 2,500 kg and a mission life of five to seven years. These 2.2 Social Business for the Benefit of the Economic satellites require substantially lower capital investment South than other types of satellites. They could be operated in The relative lack of space activities in the Economic clusters allowing greater agility, quicker replacement of South compared to the Economic North limits the damaged/decommissioned satellites, and lower development of industries evolving from space individual launch costs (Sweeting, 2018). The reduced technology, and consequently meaningful employment. cost of entry increases the feasibility of financial However, an increase in space research and education in support from public funds or development bank the Economic South could lead to the creation of more initiatives. highly skilled jobs. This, combined with capacity At this point in time, many developing States in the building, is particularly important for developing States Economic South have limited space capabilities. The and satisfies Sustainable Development Goal 8 (Good lower cost of CubeSats compared to regular satellites Jobs and Economic Growth). could improve the likelihood of public funding and Looking towards the future, the ‘social business’ development bank initiatives, opening up a market for model may be implemented in the space industry to these States. States of the Economic South could pursue stimulate social changes as envisioned in the SDGs. these initiatives, which could be vital for economic Social businesses can be characterized as “businesses growth. which contribute to solving social problems in a States in the Economic South could facilitate the financially sustainable way” (Yunus, 2010). Social emerging market involving small and microsatellites by businesses have the potential to be used to finance space forming an intergovernmental or non-government companies, especially if the need to foster space startups advisory committee working collaboratively with the is seen as a pressing, urgent need (Yunus, 2010). UN to establish financial mechanisms to support A key principle of social businesses is that they must commercial and non-commercial space activities. be financially sustainable; not requiring continuous funding in the form of charity, increasing the likelihood 2.4 Clean Energy Through Remote Sensing of eventual economic growth. The principles of social The demand for energy in developing States is business could be used to establish manufacturing increasing. An increasing trend indicates that energy infrastructure in developing States from the Economic consumption has surpassed the supply output of many South. This will transfer into economic growth through developing States within the Economic South technology by 2030. (Catherine Wolfram et al., 2012). In order to achieve sustainable economic development, States must initiate 2.3 The Emerging CubeSat market research into clean energy. Primarily, clean energy Advances in microelectronics, includes solar energy, wind energy, hydropower, tidal microelectromechanical systems, materials, and energy, and geothermal energy (McKenna, 2018). production techniques have stimulated investment into Different clean energy sources have different small and micro-satellites (Wekerle et al., 2017), and characteristics. Clean energy technology commercial launch markets (Xue, 2018). There are entrepreneurship (CETE) is incorporated into all numerous proposals for large constellations of small elements of the supply chain to reduce emissions satellites and, if they mature, this development would (Malen and Marcus, 2016). EO supporting energy radically change both the Communications and Earth decision-making mainly includes: prospecting sites for Observation (EO) space sectors (Figure 3) (Sweeting, energy plants and facilities, optimizing the design of 2018). Currently, the majority of States in the Economic plants and facilities, extending/harmonizing in-situ South has an insufficiently developed or utilized small datasets, as well as creating energy yield forecasts based and micro-satellite market. Most of the small satellites on near real time data and modelling (Zoltan Bartalis, in orbit are developed and launched by States in the 2013). Economic North (Figure 4) (Sweeting, 2018). One Clean energy construction supported by space important use case for the introduction of micro and observations can advance SDG 13 (Climate action) and small satellites in the market of the Economic South is SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) by helping to their capability of enabling ubiquitous provide more sustainable forms of energy and reducing telecommunications coverage to unserviced remote energy construction cycle lengths and costs. The areas. EO satellites support precision agriculture, construction of space observing systems and clean management of natural resources, and disaster energy stations can create new industries for developing

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States, which in turn will drive economic development. of all disasters. The remaining 91 percent have been Clean energy will gradually replace traditional energy caused by floods, storms, droughts, heatwaves, and sources. Some types of clean energy can be supplied other extreme weather events (see Figure 5). According continuously (for example solar energy). to the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT), the The detection cycle of space observation clean majority of States most affected by natural disasters are energy is shorter than traditional energy sources. in the Economic South (including, for example, India, Satellite observations provide a low risk solution as , Indonesia, and the Philippines). Disaster direct observation is different from and less costly than management is an essential tool to prevent, or at least to traditional energy indirect detection. Space observations reduce, mortalities, mitigate environmental impact, and for prospecting of clean energy sites require less reduce economic losses. personnel and equipment, so testing costs are lower. The disaster management cycle consists of four (Zoltan Bartalis, 2013) phases: mitigation, preparedness, response, and Space observations of clean energy are a great help recovery (Wisner and Adams, 2002). The United for developing States and should be addressed in the Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction discussion about the Space2030 agenda and a vision for (UNISDR) “ensures the coordination and synergies the future. States of the Economic South could promote among disaster risk reduction activities of the United international cooperation and data sharing, and establish Nations system and regional organizations and activities a space clean energy observation organization. States in socio-economic and humanitarian fields” (UN with clean energy construction needs can join the General Assembly resolution 56/195). In March 2015, organization. Support should be provided to each State the Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk participating to establish the required observing Reduction adopted the Sendai Framework for Disaster systems, especially in States facing challenges in Risk Reduction 2015–2030, which is supported, accessing clean energy. Space agencies from States with monitored, and reviewed by UNISDR. The Sendai advanced technologies as well as NGOs and private Framework explicitly promotes the use of Earth entities could be encouraged to join the organization to Observation (EO), which has proven to be an effective provide data and assistance. tool in all phases of the disaster management cycle. It provides the necessary data on hazard exposure, 3. Space Society vulnerability, and risk and it is indispensable in Space society is about using space applications and supporting decision-making in emergency situations technologies to benefit society. Applications and space (see Guo, 2010). Data is provided for emergency technologies can improve environmental management response at local, regional, and international levels. EO and quality of life, encourage international cooperation, can provide synoptic (large area) coverage, as well as and enable change in the structures of society. We have diverse spectral, spatial, temporal, and potentially three- identified the following priorities under the “space dimensional information society” pillar for the Economic South: Earth (Kerle, 2013) fundamental for disaster management. Observation for Disaster Management, Global “Reducing disaster risk is a crosscutting issue for all the Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) for precision Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), especially agriculture, and Climate Change Carbon Emission SDG 1, on the eradication of poverty in all its forms, Monitoring. everywhere” (UNISDR and CRED, 2018). Moreover, effective disaster management through the use of EO 3.1 Disaster Management through Earth Observation improves the safety and wellbeing of citizens in line Natural disasters have an impact that can be with SDG 3 (Good Health and Wellbeing) measured in terms of human lives lost and a negative Since many UN Member States do not have a space impact on the economy. In the report Economic Losses, program, it is essential to provide access to space-based Poverty & Disasters: 1998– 2017, the United Nations technologies for disaster risk reduction. This task is Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR) and the fulfilled by UN-SPIDER, the United Nations Platform Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters for Space-based Information for Disaster Management (CRED) found that in the last 20 years more than 1.35 and Emergency Response Activities. The system could million people died and more than four billion either be strengthened by increasing training for civil lost their homes, were injured, or found themselves in protection agencies and the number of Regional Support an emergency situation due to natural disasters. Offices in risk areas. Resulting economic losses have risen by 151 percent in Timely, accurate, and reliable data must be freely the last two decades compared to the previous 20 years accessible at all times to monitor high-risk areas and to (1978–1997). Despite geophysical events such as forecast natural disasters in a similar manner to the ESA earthquakes and tsunamis being responsible for the Copernicus program. Satellite temporal resolution of majority of fatalities, they only account for nine percent high-risk areas can be improved, through the

Paper ID: 50108 Page 6 of 19 70th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Washington D.C., United States, 21-25 October 2019. Copyright ©2019 by the International Astronautical Federation (IAF). All rights reserved. development of more multi-satellite constellations. to increased agricultural and development sustainability. Satellite images can be classified and analyzed by GNSS helps in optimization of inter row spacing and Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and used to predict improved fertilizer application. GNSS is mainly known natural disasters, as shown by Lary et al. (2018). Other for navigational aid but can also be used for measuring case studies have been reported by the Global Facility soil moisture using L-band microwave radiometry for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) (Rodriguez-Alvarez, 2009). By precisely measuring soil (GFDRR, 2018), demonstrating the value of ML in moisture through GNSS, farmers can use their water management and analysis of EO data. Finally, to resources more effectively; especially in dry periods. improve disaster recovery activities and coordination EO satellites in association with GNSS can provide efforts, public participation through citizen science can early warning of drought and forecast crop yield and be used to increase temporal and spatial coverage. Local quality, assisting governments in food planning. volunteers can collect data with mobile devices on-site, Adoption of precision agriculture in developing States which can be combined with satellite images to improve like India is not an easy task. High capital costs may information to aid disaster recovery activities and discourage farmers from adopting this method of coordination efforts (case studies reported by Kotovirta farming. The small landholdings for most Indian et al., 2015). farmers limits economic gains from currently available It is recommended to increase numbers of multi- precision farming technology (IAS Express, 2018). satellite constellations to improve temporal resolution of Governments should focus on creating space-based high-risk areas. Global collaboration among EO infrastructure for collecting data to develop tools for stakeholders (public and private) should be encouraged, visualising and analysing with special emphasis on following the example of the European Association of addressing national, regional and local needs. Remote Sensing Companies (EARSC). The vast Governments could offer free or subsidised access to quantity of satellite data could be managed by ML GNSS and EO for agriculture purpose and also assure techniques, which have proved to be powerful in availability of low-cost equipment. By doing so, farmers analyzing images of any resolution. In the future it is could increase yields by 10 percent or more, as well as recommended that optimized ML algorithms are reduce wastage of fertilisers, fuels, and pesticides by installed directly on satellite computers (on-board 15–20 percent (UNOOSA, 2018). processing) to reduce image analysis time. This will allow satellites to send immediate emergency 3.3 Carbon Emissions Monitoring for Climate Change notifications to the ground, as soon as significant Climate change is to be understood as global citizens changes on the surface of the land or sea are detected. to better address desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, and food security. 3.2 Earth Observation with the Global Navigation Developed States have contributed more than 70 percent Satellite Systems for Zero Hunger of the world’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions over the SDG 2 set by UN aims to end hunger and all forms last half of the twentieth century, while developing of malnutrition. The prevalence of world hunger has States have contributed only two percent of the world marginally declined from15 percent in 2002, to 11 overall CO2 emissions (IPCC, 2014). In 2017, the percent in 2016. More than 790 million people Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) worldwide still lack regular access to food that meets identified that CO2 levels have increased, since dietary requirements (UNOOSA, 2018). At this pace, preindustrial times by 40 percent (IPCC, 2017). the target of “zero hunger” set by the UN as its foremost Target 13.2 of SDG 13 (Climate Change) requires Sustainable Development Goal will unlikely be met by integrating climate change mitigation mechanisms into 2030.However, the use of EO and GNSS in precision policy considerations. The Paris Agreement, signed by farming is a beacon of hope for achieving this all parties to United Nations Framework Convention on seemingly unreachable target. Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2015, recognizes and Precision agriculture is a modern agriculture practice advances this goal and other related SDGs. The Paris involving the use of technology in agriculture like Agreement, aims at combating climate change by remote sensing, Global Positioning System (GPS) and investments needed for a sustainable low carbon future. Geographical Information System (GIS) for improving The agreement requires States to develop long-term low productivity and profitability. It uses precise agricultural greenhouse gas emission strategies (UNSDGs, 2018, p. inputs with respect to soil, weather, and crops in order 1–2). The indicators of target 13.2 have a direct and to improve productivity, quality, and profitability in indirect impact on SDGs 2 (Zero Hunger), 3 (Good agriculture. It increases tillage and harvest efficiency in Health and Wellbeing) and 6 (Clean Water). addition to the targeted application of pesticides and UNFCC focuses on the least developed and African fertilizer. More effective inputs will lead to increase States. UNFCC and the Green Climate Fund have both crop yield while reducing pollutant runoff and will lead contributed to USD 10.3 billion (UN SDG, 2018, p. 2).

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Under Articles 4 and 5 of the UNFCC, Parties to the larger communities of end-users to emphasize Convention have agreed to promote and cooperate in knowledge sharing for the benefit of humanity (UN, global satellite observation for climate change 2004, p. 47). monitoring and mitigation (WMO, 2015, p. 24). The Paris Agreement recognized that human health and the 4. Space Accessibility health of the planet are linked. In 2017, the Rockefeller Access to space for the Economic South will be Foundation and UNFCC secretariat launched a three- greatly assisted through cooperation and coordination year project to address this issue (UNFCC, 2019). At with the Economic North. States in the Economic South present, there are 58 global applications on planetary are in need of education and professional training, health (UNFCC, 2019). access to space data and assets, ground station States should recognize that climate change is a infrastructure, and links to space networks in the North. global issue, which requires collective action through We have identified five areas as priorities for the international cooperation and the utilization of space Space2030 agenda, to ensure greater access to space for technologies. Climate change policy makers must the Economic South in the next decade. acknowledge equity, justice, and fairness while Access to space does not only include access to the addressing ethical considerations (IPCC, 2014). The space environment, but also access to data, technology, 2030 Agenda emphasized the need for high quality, and financing which allow States to take part in and timely, and accessible data to meet the SDGs at all benefit from the space economy. For the developing levels, by using multiple types of new data sources of States of the Economic South, access to data, data (Marc Paganini and Ivan Petiteville, 2018, p 9). For knowledge and technology is a more pressing issue than example, the second Orbiting Carbon Observatory launch capabilities and flight opportunities. However, (OCO-2) Spacecraft was designed to provide better States with an existing technological know-how which precision, resolution, and coverage to measure regional are keen to develop their space capabilities also need to carbon sources and sinks. The OCO-2’s enhanced be considered in the discussion about space access. instruments provide scientists with new information about CO2 emissions. The data will enable decision 4.1 Knowledge Sharing and Skills Training makers to better manage our planet’s natural resources Quality education is a Sustainable Development in order design and implement strategies to minimize Goal (SDG 4), and one of its targets is to “substantially humanity’s carbon emissions increase the supply of qualified teachers, including Data received from these satellites must be shared through international cooperation for teacher training in with all relevant non-government and government developing countries, especially least developed organizations at all levels. The data retrieved will countries and small island developing States” (United provide scientists with unprecedented new information Nations, 2018). This target can be facilitated through the about CO2 emissions on regional scales (Karen Yuen et use of satellite technology; distance and open learning al. p.5). can bring education to rural and geographically remote Kenya has the Regional Centre for Mapping communities, as well as provide pedagogical training Resources for Development (RCMRD) which works for in-service or pre-service teachers in developing with the United Nations Economic Commission for States. Cooperation on issues of remote access for Africa (UNECA) and the Africa Union. The RCMRD education should be increased on global and regional has more than 20 contracting states in eastern and levels. Space literacy gained through such measures southern Africa regions for all are members of the may allow future generations of developing States to Pacific Group of States. At present, the RCMRD improve their nation’s economic situation and through SERVIR Global has “a partnership between the participation in the space sector. Adopting new tools United States Agency for International Development and technologies, such as Massive Open Online Courses (USAID) and National Aeronautics and Space (MOOCs), is one way to increase the reach and impact Administration (NASA) using Earth Observation” data of education and training. to better understand climate change (SERVIR GLOBAL, International cooperation can allow teachers from 2018). To meet SDGs 2, 3, 6 and 13, developing States developed States to participate in teacher training in require new technology frameworks and enhanced developing States. It is recommended to develop a capacity building toward regional and national priorities. framework and policy whereby government, industry, Data must be shared between all states to better and private funding sources from participating States understand and respond to climate change can work cooperatively to allow teachers from In order to ensure that carbon emissions information developed States to participate in teacher training in is accurate, a UN body of Earth Observations must be developing States. It is recommended to increase such formed to specifically monitor carbon emissions and the efforts. impacts on all regions of the Earth. The aim is to serve

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4.2 Technology Transfer Between States their populations through space technologies. This Developed States with advanced technology and deficiency has begun to form a divide between the economies can support their own space programs. States Economic North and South. It is recommended that the without access to space, data, and advanced United Nations may encourage a discussion on the technologies are often left behind when it comes to opening of data sharing between States to make space participation in the international market (Tyler, 2018). data affordable or free. The promotion of an open and The Asia Pacific Space Cooperation (APSCO) is a free data policy is a priority item for the Space2030 successful example of technical cooperation for agenda to bridge this global economic divide and foster promoting space technology in the Economic South international cooperation. (APSCO, 2019). APSCO member states include Pakistan, Bangladesh, Iran, Mongolia, Peru, Thailand, 4.4 Ground Segments for the Economic South Sri Lanka, Turkey and China (APSCO, 2008). These Due to the increase of satellites launched every year, members share space technology. Currently, the group particularly nanosatellites in (LEO), has set up a ground-to-air observation network, an the need for communication links with those satellites earthquake monitoring network, a data sharing network, increases. Considering the advantages that space an education and training network, and a disaster accessibility could provide to the Economic South, monitoring network. improving the ground segment appears necessary and The Asia-Pacific Regional Space Agency Forum could also provide opportunities to sell ground services (APRSAF) similarly works to achieve UN SDGs with to advanced or other emerging space States in need of the emphasis of sharing information. APRSAF was them. formed in 1993 with government and international Around half of the States in the Economic South are organizations, private companies, universities, and tropical and close to the equator, while the other half are research institutes from more than 40 States and regions mostly arid or semi arid. The closer they are to the (APRSAF, 2019). equator, the easier it is to launch rockets. Besides, the Technology transfer can promote and achieve SDG9 absorption of RF signals increases with humidity and (Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure) by promoting optical signals are blocked by clouds. Thus, dry regions inclusive and sustainable industrialization to drive the are perfect for satellite communication. Due to their development of space capabilities in the Economic geographical location, States in the Economic South South. Global partnerships can improve technology thus provide conditions which are of great interest to transfer between governments. It is recommended that players in the space sector. Combining those natural the UN facilitate a technology transfer cooperation advantages through regional cooperation and mechanism based on the principle of equality and partnerships could allow States in the Economic South mutual benefit, for developed States to work to pool their resources and to become a powerful player collaboratively with States in the Economic South to in the space sector, potentially even a key actor in the promote the development and application of space development of new communication systems like technologies. optical link communication. For this to happen, States with a geographically opportune position could pair up 4.3 Data Sharing with more advanced space States who have the Data that is archived for the purpose of disaster technological capacity to develop the technologies warning and relief is often shared openly and freely. needed. However, for purposes such as Earth Observation (EO) and natural resource management, enterprise data 4.5 Access to Space Assets policies become far stricter and commercialized. This is As of January 2019, there are 1,957 satellites particularly disadvantageous for developing States, and orbiting Earth (Union of Concerned Scientist, 2019). those in the Economic South that cannot afford the cost Thirty-one States in the Economic South own assets in of entry into these markets. Data available for use in space, but only China, India and Iran have launch decision making has either low resolution or is capabilities. China and India are examples of States that extremely expensive. Regions like Africa, Latin are developing their space capabilities at a rapid speed, America, the Caribbean and the Middle East have less largely due to sustained investment in the aerospace satellite coverage compared to other regions, sector by their respective governments. However, other (UNCOPUOS A/AC.105/1196, 2018). Developing States in the Economic South face large economic and States that wish to utilize space data often cannot use it technological hurdles for placing assets into space. because the information is not disseminated in a user- Currently there are insufficient policies, pathways, and friendly manner. Ultimately, those States without an processes for engaging States of the Economic South in active space program lack services provided by space international cooperation projects. Involving these data and lack the infrastructure or finance to support

Paper ID: 50108 Page 9 of 19 70th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Washington D.C., United States, 21-25 October 2019. Copyright ©2019 by the International Astronautical Federation (IAF). All rights reserved.

States in global projects over the next ten years will be categories: prioritization by order of application time, or useful for developing their assets and capabilities. a planned equitable access approach, which applies only Development in aerospace technology and for GSO satellite networks (Vallet, 2018). organisational models has opened up new possibilities Figure 13 shows Non-Geostationary Satellite Orbit for States to participate in space projects, such as QB50. (NGSO) network filings to the ITU have been steadily QB50 is an international network of CubeSats used for increasing since 2014. By 2017, the percentage of multi-point, in-situ measurements in the lower Advance Publications of Information (API) and thermosphere, and re-entry research (QB50, 2018a). Coordination Requests (CR/C) for NGSO satellite Currently, 36 cubesats from all over the world are networks grew to 17.8 percent of the total GSO and involved in the project, and seven of the CubeSats are NGSO publications of the two types, illustrating the manufactured in the Economic South, including shift in focus from GSO to NGSO satellite networks. Australia, South Africa, Israel and China. (QB50, (Note that only CR/C publication has been taken into 2018b). consideration for GSO satellite networks, because API Other models of cooperation that could be is no longer in use since 1 January 2017 as an outcome implemented are hosted payloads on other satellites and of WRC-15) (ITU BR, 2018). shared launch vehicles. The application of such models Based on the 2017 ITU Radiocommunication needs encouragement of the standardization of Bureau annual report to the Scientific and Technical spacecraft and interfaces by COPUOS. Subcommittee (STS) of the Committee for the Peaceful This model of cooperation satisfies SDG 9 Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS), there are a total of (Infrastructure, industrialization), measurable by the 4182 satellite network filings valid to date from 94 State growth in the technology sector as well as SDG 17 administrations, of which 45 are members of the (Partnerships for the Goals), recognizable from Economic South (ITU BR, 2018). The Economic South improved trade relations and cooperation. is responsible for 30.3 percent of the total satellite filings still valid as of 31 December 2017. However, 5. Space Diplomacy satellite filings by China, India, and the United Arab Due to shortages in technical expertise and financial Emirates account for almost half of the Economic capabilities, space diplomacy is an important focus for South’s share. It can be argued that, although the States in the Economic South seeking to develop their satellite network filing data shows that access to outer emerging space sectors through increased international space is not an immediate priority for the governments coordination and cooperation. Under this pillar we of the Economic South, safe guards must be put in place explore the need for equitable access to orbit spectrum to ensure these resources for the Economic South and the revitalization States’ equitable access to outer space for the future. of orbital debris mitigation policies. This is especially true for the NGSO segment, which currently has no equitable access measures in place 5.1 Equitable Access to Orbit Spectrum compared to the GSO segment. Equitable access The space industry benefits the Economic South by measures safeguard the Economic South’s access to providing telecommunications connectivity and outer space and reduce the risk of inequalities in broadcasting to remote areas not reached by terrestrial knowledge, economy, and connectivity that result as a infrastructure, developing a knowledge-based economy result of disadvantaged access to space. Thus, SDG 10 as well as providing employment opportunities for (Reduced Inequalities) SDG 9 (Industrial, Innovation, highly skilled professionals. This section examines and, Infrastructure), and SDG 8 (Decent Work and satellite network filing activities and considers how Economic Growth) can be addressed with equitable States of the Economic South access orbit spectrum access to space. States of the Economic South require resources. international cooperation to develop in space and should The space industry is undergoing a transformation in collaborate to champion their rights to access orbit which the status of geostationary orbit (GSO) satellites spectrum resources with a common voice, since each as primary satellite communications service providers is State has a vote without discrimination at the World being challenged by Large Non-Geostationary orbit Radiocommunication Conference (WRC) (Maniewicz, (NGSO) constellations such as One Web, SpaceX, and 2016). LEO Sat (Alleven, 2017). The International A successful example of this was during WRC-07 Telecommunications Union (ITU) is the regulatory and WRC-15, in which Pacific Islands cooperated to body responsible for all radiofrequency spectrum successfully safeguard their satellite allocation and maintains the Master International telecommunications interest and vote against mobile Frequency Register (MIFR), which contains a database allocations in the C-band used by satellites (PTC, 2018). of radiofrequency spectrum usage. The satellite filings Furthermore, States in the Economic South should submitted to the ITU by Member States fall under two closely monitor Agenda Item7 Issue A ofWRC-19 to

Paper ID: 50108 Page 10 of 19 70th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Washington D.C., United States, 21-25 October 2019. Copyright ©2019 by the International Astronautical Federation (IAF). All rights reserved. ensure the bringing-into-use (BIU) procedures for Liability Convention and Article I(c) of the Registration NGSO satellite networks do not allow spectrum Convention, extends to any "component parts of a space “grabbing”, which entails launching part of a object as well as its launch vehicle and parts thereof." constellation of satellites to claim that the entire system No investigation is made as to the working functionality has been brought-into-use, thus blocking access to of the material; thus, no distinction is drawn between an others. The BIU regulations are used to ensure that “intact satellite or an errant paint chip” (Muñoz- satellite operators can only protect the frequency bands Patchen, 2018). Article IX of the Outer Space Treaty they are capable of operating in orbit to promote operates to prevent a State’s “harmful interference” with efficient use of the spectrum. However, current the property of another state without consent. regulations allow NGSO satellite networks to claim Ultimately, a scheme exists where a launching State completion of BIU with the launch of one single retains enduring ownership, even over tiny fragments of satellite within the constellation (Laurenson, 2018) and materials that may no longer be traceable. Gaining refinement of the regulations is being discussed in consent to remove debris therefore proves an issue WRC-19. where efficient removal of larger objects calls for disclosure of classified satellites build-specifications, 5.2 Promoting Active Space Debris Removal and the owner of smaller debris is unable to be readily Currently, the level of orbital space debris has the ascertained. Ultimately, there is little incentive for potential to jeopardize missions and space assets where States to consent to disposal, nor for other parties to even tiny collisions can cause catastrophic damage. In develop technology to remove space debris, where there time, this series of collisions could cause a cascading is an ever-present risk of creating international tension. effect wherein outer space becomes difficult to utilize A revitalization of the current system is clearly (Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines, 2010). Future necessary and would see the ownership of space debris access to orbital zones is of particular importance to treated differently than the ownership of space assets. States in the Economic South who are developing Commentators have identified several rationales for emerging space sectors and will require a healthy space establishing this distinction and noted the role that the climate over the long term. doctrine of abandonment may play in setting the stage Dialogue continues on the international stage in for a new international scheme (Muñoz-Patchen, 2018). furtherance of firmer debris mitigation policies aimed at If designed as abandoned property, space debris would slowing down the creation of new orbital debris; no longer be subject to property rights of the launching however, a truly sustainable outer space climate will State. It is likely that an international agreement would require action beyond mitigation and the be required to provide sufficient certainty to States commencement of active debris removal (European engaging in clean up efforts that no claims of ownership Space Agency, 2018). Beyond the financial and would be raised against them. This scheme would technological hurdles this challenge presents, is the even require the creation of a measure by which small debris more difficult legal and political problem of State could automatically be categorized as abandoned and ownership. Consequently, the promotion of stripped of State ownership. It will be necessary to international engagement and discussion toward active retain a system of consent for larger objects; however, debris remediation is a key priority of the Space2030 further developing the currently ad hoc sanctioning Agenda. This engagement should be focused on the system is important to facilitate a wider removal effort. creation of a recognized system for the abandonment of One means of achieving this goal may be through untraceable minor space debris and the streamlining of a increasing the functions of the Register of Objects process for acquiring launching State consent to remove Launched into Outer Space (The “Space2030” Agenda larger defunct objects. Solving space debris does not and the Global Governance of Outer Space Activities, directly connect to the UN Sustainable Development 2017). A more comprehensive register of abandoned Goals; however, monitoring and verification of all objects would not only assist clean-up efforts, but also space-related goals, present and future, are contingent work to increase transparency and improve the on a healthy orbital environment. efficiency of the registration mechanism. One incentive While the current treaty regime remains mostly for a collective agreement may stem from the State- silent on the matter of space debris, the indirect based liability caused by orbital debris. Article VII of operation of its provision creates a scheme wherein the Outer Space Treaty, in coupling with the Liability State ownership creates a roadblock to debris clean-up Convention, establishes a system by which one State is efforts. Article VIII of the Outer Space Treaty provides liable for damage caused by its space debris to another that each State retains ownership and control over State’s space assets. Liability is tied to a launching objects launched into space that are added to its registry State’s enduring ownership, meaning that alongside the (See also Registration Convention, 1975). A "space accumulation of debris in orbit, is the accumulation of object", as defined under both Article I(d) of the potential State liability for damages. An agreed

Paper ID: 50108 Page 11 of 19 70th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Washington D.C., United States, 21-25 October 2019. Copyright ©2019 by the International Astronautical Federation (IAF). All rights reserved. international system that recognized abandonment, South. The space economy can make a substantial would allow States to distance themselves from their contribution to the prosperity of emerging space States. space debris, opening up opportunity for interested As a key enabler it functions as the driver and connector parties to begin disposal. of all four Space2030 pillars. Issues which are Allowing States to relinquish their property rights of considered to be of particular importance to States in the debris also allows for the effective abandonment of Economic South, which should be discussed in the responsibility, but without responsibility there exists a context of the Space2030 agenda, are funding, social greater need to incentivize parties to undertake the business, as well as developments in the CubeSat and expensive act of debris removal. Currently, there exists renewable energy sectors. no direct enforceable instrument by which to compel States to clean-up orbital debris, and it is unrealistic to Recommendation 1: encourage the creation of expect that States will provide support for a new treaty startup incubators in the Economic South, potentially as that would see them obliged to engage in costly space joined partnerships between States or Regions, that help clean-up (Kurt, 2015). One avenue commentators have future outer space entrepreneurs to secure expert advice explored is investigating how existing treaties may be and funding; used to tackle this issue (Muñoz- Patchen, 2018). Recommendation 2: use the principles of social Article IX of the Outer Space Treaty requires that business to establish manufacturing infrastructure in States "shall conduct all their activities in outer developing States in the Economic South to achieve space…with due regard for the corresponding interests economic growth through technology by 2030; of all other State Parties"—a sentiment reflected across Recommendation 3: encourage the formation of a the space treaty series. The creation of debris that small/micro-satellite market in States of the Economic diminishes free access to space could readily be said to South by forming an intergovernmental or non- violate this fundamental principle. Evidence of government advisory committee working diminished access is already noticeable: delayed collaboratively with the UN to establish financial launches, risk posed to the International , mechanisms to support commercial and non- and over-crowding of the geostationary orbit (Kurt, commercial space activities; 2015). In short, the very act of a State creating debris Recommendation 4: promote international limits and another State’s right to free use of space and cooperation and data sharing by establishing an outer may violate the current treaty regime (Muñoz-Patchen, space renewable energy observation organization and 2018). How this fundamental principle of free access supporting each State to establish the required observing may be adapted on an international level to compel systems, especially in States which are facing national action is a question worth investigating. challenges in accessing renewable energy. The recommendation made is that a priority item for the Space2030 Agenda should be the enhanced safety, 6.2 Recommendations for Space Society security, and sustainability of outer space activities. Space activities are not only about looking away Debris management is not only a long-term from our planet, but also about looking towards our sustainability issue but impacts present day activities; planet and seeing it in a new light—whether that be requiring increased protection of space assets, space from an electromagnetic or philosophical perspective. systems, and critical infrastructures (The “Space2030” Space applications and technologies can improve Agenda and the Global Governance of Outer Space environmental management and quality of life. This is Activities, 2017). The creation of a system for the especially true for States in the Economic South, which permissible removal of space debris will foster can benefit from space applications that assist in disaster increased international accountability and ensure that management, precision farming, and monitoring carbon States can continue to utilize space for economical and emissions and the effects of climate change. Space can societal growth into the future. also have positive social benefits, such as fostering international cooperation, inspiring the public, and 6. Recommendations enabling positive change in the structures of society. From these discussions held under each of the four pillars of space activities, the authors have generated Recommendation 5: mitigate climate change key recommendations to be considered by the United through enhanced international cooperation in the area Nations. of carbon emission monitoring; Recommendation 6: use machine learning to 6.1 Recommendations for Space Economy analyze satellite images and provide early warning Space technology and its applications are powerful systems for natural disasters; tools for economic development and crucial drivers for the advancement of developing States in the Economic

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Recommendation 7: develop a mechanism for data policies for Earth Observation, and the global collaboration among EO stakeholders, both revitalization of orbital debris management policies public and private; were identified as key areas. Recommendation 8: initiate programs that promote STEM education for girls during childhood in Recommendation 16: ensure equitable access to developing States. orbit spectrum resources; Recommendation 17: ensure a sustainable outer space climate for developing States through the creation 6.3 Recommendations for Space Accessibility of an international system for the organised removal of Access to space does not only include access to the space debris. space environment, but also access to data, technology, and financing which allows States to take part in and 7. Conclusions benefit from the space economy. The Space2030 Agenda and implementation plan Access to space for the Economic South will be will outline, under the pillars of space economy, space greatly assisted by cooperation and coordination with society, space accessibility, and space diplomacy, the Economic North. States in the Economic South are proposals for a common vision on space activities for in need of education and professional training, access to the future. In the debate surrounding the agenda, it is of space data and assets, ground station infrastructure, and utmost importance to ensure that all voices are heard links to space networks in the North. Priority areas for and that the views of all States with an interest in space the Economic South which have been identified include activities are taken into account. knowledge sharing and skills training, technology In this report, the authors have identified priority transfer, data access, development of ground station areas for discussion from the perspective of the capabilities, and access to space assets. Economic South, which they hope will contribute to the discourse about the Space2030 agenda and the way in Recommendation 9: extend capacity-building which space activities can contribute to the global goals efforts for the Economic South in the area of space for sustainable development. Topics of particular education; concern are the creation of space-derived economic and Recommendation 10: increase global cooperation societal benefits as well as access to space assets and on the issue of satellite access for remote education and data, especially for States in the Economic South. teacher training; Increased international cooperation and new Recommendation 11: maximise opportunities for partnerships are imperative for progress in all four technology transfer between the Economic North and pillars of the Space2030 Agenda. South; Recommendation 12: encourage a discussion at UN level on data sharing between States and on how to make space data more readily available and free; Recommendation 13: ensure States in the Acknowledgements Economic South receive training in data analysis so they This project was firstly completed at the 2019 can utilize EO data; Southern Hemisphere Space Studies Program, a Recommendation 14: establish more ground program jointly organised by the University of South stations in the Economic South and create cooperative Australia and The International Space University. networks with satellite operators in the Economic Research undertaken for this report has been assisted North; with a grant from the Sir Ross and Sir Keith Smith Fund Recommendation 15: build a path toward payload (Smith Fund) ( www.smithfund.org.au ). The support is carrying, launch vehicle sharing, idle time reuse, and acknowledged and greatly appreciated. joint programs, so States in the Economic South can The Smith Fund by providing funding for this more readily access space assets. project does not verify the accuracy of any findings or any representations contained in it. Any reliance on the 6.4 Recommendations for Space Diplomacy findings in any written report or information provided to The cooperation of States and the establishment of you should be based solely on your own assessment and partnerships relies on diplomacy. Space diplomacy is an conclusions. important focus for States in the Economic South The Smith Fund does not accept any responsibility seeking to develop their emerging space sectors through or liability from any person, company or entity that may increased international coordination and cooperation. have relied on any written report or representations Under this pillar, the issue of increased equitable access contained in this report if that person, company or entity to orbit spectrum resources, the pursuit of free and open suffers any loss (financial or otherwise) as a result.

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