Federalism and Electoral Authoritarianism Under Putin
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Municipal Elections in Russia: the Opposition’S Chance Key Findings of the Report
Municipal elections in Russia: the opposition’s chance Key findings of the report April 2020 1 Students of Russian politics rightly focus on the “vertical of power” that Vladimir Putin has created since he first became President of Russia two decades ago. Taking the top office in a country moving tentatively toward democracy, Putin’s “vertical” or “managed democracy” set the country back toward its authoritarian traditions. Without doubt, Vladimir Putin has control of the major sources of hard and soft power in a Russia. And many analysts believe this system has staying power, even after Putin leaves the stage. Yet the authoritarian features of the Putin system are not all encompassing. While he and his team may control the major issues on the agenda, they do not dominate all politics. This is particularly evident at the municipal level, where, despite all the advantages enjoyed by Putin and his United Russia party, competitive elections take place and real opposition party candidates can win. In this paper, produced by the Dossier Center, a project developed and supported by Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the authors provide interesting data from recent local elections. These data provide some indications of how Russian politics may evolve. For instance, the authors point out that with greater mobilization efforts, opposition candidates could defeat and replace as many as 3000 United Russia representatives. Historically, one interesting thing about authoritarian and totalitarian systems, is that they seem irresistible, until suddenly they are not. Recognizing this, we should be attuned to developments in Russian outside the big politics of the Kremlin. Municipal elections are a natural place to begin. -
Russia's Many Foreign Policies
Russia’s Many Foreign Policies MICHAEL MCFAUL hat are Russian foreign policy objectives? It depends on whom you ask. W In making assessments of Russia’s behavior in the world, it is absolutely critical that we recognize that Russia today is not a totalitarian state ruled by a Communist Party with a single and clearly articulated foreign policy of expand- ing world socialism and destroying world capitalism and democracy. That state disappeared in 1991. Rather, Russia is a democratizing state—a weakly institu- tionalized democracy with several deficiencies, but a democratizing state nonetheless. Russia’s foreign policy, in turn, is a product of domestic politics in a pluralistic system. In democracies, “states” do not have foreign policy objectives. Rather, indi- vidual political leaders, parties, and interest groups have foreign policy objec- tives. Under certain conditions, these various forces come together to support a united purpose in foreign affairs. At other times, these disparate groups can have conflicting views about foreign policy objectives. They can even support the same foreign policy objective for different reasons.1 Russia today is no different. Although Russian leaders share in supporting a few common, general foreign policy objectives, they disagree on many others. They also disagree on the means that should be deployed to achieve the same for- eign policy objective. The foreign policy that eventually results is a product of debate, political struggle, electoral politics, and lobbying by key interest groups. Because Russia is undergoing revolutionary change internally, the foreign policy that results from Russian domestic politics can change quickly. This article makes the case for the centrality of domestic politics in the artic- ulation and implementation of Russian foreign policy. -
How Dangerous Is Vladimir Putin?
A SYMPOSIUM OF VIEWS THE MAGAZINE OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY 220 I Street, N.E., Suite 200 Washington, D.C. 20002 Phone: 202-861-0791 Fax: 202-861-0790 www.international-economy.com [email protected] How Dangerous Is Vladimir Putin? estern experts have offered various explanations for Russian President Vladimir Putin’s actions in recent years. Some sug- gest Putin has been merely reacting to NATO and EU enlarge- Wment. Others suggest the Russian leader has succumbed to a bout of irrationality, spawned by a desire to return to the “good old days” of the Soviet Union. After all, according to historian Stephen Kotkin, traditional Soviet geopolitical thinking always assumed that Western capitalism would eventually disintegrate. Princeton Professor Harold James suggests Putin’s actions are based on the rational assumption that in the wake of the global financial crisis and subsequent eurozone debt crisis, the West would lack the ability to take decisive action. This would provide Russia with a window to pursue a strategy of expanding its influence. Putin’s bet was that Western policymakers and politicians would stumble in the effort to repair their economic and financial sys- tems in the wake of the crisis. By deliberately exacerbating geo- political tensions, Putin reasoned, the preoccupied West would look even more indecisive and weak. Of course, the Russian leader’s actions have already risked a recession back home with the plummeting of the global price of oil, not to men- tion the economic bite of Western sanctions. On a scale of one to ten—with one suggesting Putin is merely a delirious fool and ten a serious threat—how dangerous is Vladimir Putin to the West? More than thirty noted observers offer their assessment on a scale of one to ten. -
Vladimir Putin Reinvents Russian Federalism
Vladimir Putin reinvents Russian federalism BY ANDREI ZAGORODNIKOV When President Putin came to Yeltsin’s time. This is the Council of the replaced by full-time members, some office he found that even though the Federation, the body designed in the of them chosen directly by the regional constitution of the Russian Federation 1993 constitution to be the Russian executives and the others elected by invested him with enormous power on version of the German Bundesrat, the assemblies of the constitutent units. paper, he could not use it effectively. As or the senate in other federations. he tried to put his programs into effect, The Council was composed of the heads Too much centralized control? he discovered that the Parliament of the executives of the regions (who maintained the power to block many To some, this change is problematic. have different titles depending on what of his key initiatives. They argue that the new members of type of constituent unit they lead—i.e., the upper house will no longer have the Ironically, the present Russian whether it is a Republic, autonomous capacity to act as honest brokers between Constitution—which was promulgated territory, etc.) and the speakers or the centre and the regions. They will be in 1993 during Boris Yeltsin’s presidency— chairpersons of the regional legislative financed by funds from federal coffers concentrates power in the Presidency. assemblies. All 89 constituent units and their housing, cars and other perks were represented, giving the Council But, as President, Boris Yeltsin essentially will be provided by the federal a membership of 178. -
Federalism in Eastern Europe During and After Communism
James Hughes Federalism in Eastern Europe during and after Communism Book section Original citation: Originally published in Fagan, Adam and Kopecký, Petr, (eds.) The Routledge Handbook of East European Politics. Routledge, London, UK. ISBN 9781138919754 © 2018 Routledge This version available at: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/69642/ Available in LSE Research Online: March 2017 LSE has developed LSE Research Online so that users may access research output of the School. Copyright © and Moral Rights for the papers on this site are retained by the individual authors and/or other copyright owners. Users may download and/or print one copy of any article(s) in LSE Research Online to facilitate their private study or for non-commercial research. You may not engage in further distribution of the material or use it for any profit-making activities or any commercial gain. You may freely distribute the URL (http://eprints.lse.ac.uk) of the LSE Research Online website. This document is the author’s submitted version of the book section. There may be differences between this version and the published version. You are advised to consult the publisher’s version if you wish to cite from it. Federalism in Eastern Europe during and after Communism James Hughes Chapter 10 Forthcoming in Adam Fagan and Petr Kopecky eds. The Routledge Handbook of East European Politics. Routledge 2017 One of the earliest political visionaries of federalism in Eastern Europe,interwar Polish leader Józef Piłsudski, famously remarked to former socialist comrades that “we both took -
The Security of the Caspian Sea Region
16. The Georgian–Abkhazian conflict Alexander Krylov I. Introduction The Abkhaz have long populated the western Caucasus. They currently number about 100 000 people, speak one of the languages of the Abkhazo-Adygeyan (west Caucasian) language group, and live in the coastal areas on the southern slopes of the Caucasian ridge and along the Black Sea coast. Together with closely related peoples of the western Caucasus (for example, the Abazins, Adygeyans and Kabardians (or Circassians)) they play an important role in the Caucasian ethno-cultural community and consider themselves an integral part of its future. At the same time, the people living in coastal areas on the southern slopes of the Caucasian ridge have achieved broader communication with Asia Minor and the Mediterranean civilizations than any other people of the Caucasus. The geographical position of Abkhazia on the Black Sea coast has made its people a major factor in the historical process of the western Caucasus, acting as an economic and cultural bridge with the outside world. Georgians and Abkhaz have been neighbours from time immemorial. The Georgians currently number about 4 million people. The process of national consolidation of the Georgian nation is still far from complete: it includes some 20 subgroups, and the Megrelians (sometimes called Mingrelians) and Svans who live in western Georgia are so different in language and culture from other Georgians that it would be more correct to consider them as separate peoples. Some scholars, Hewitt, for example,1 suggest calling the Georgian nation not ‘Georgians’ but by their own name, Kartvelians, which includes the Georgians, Megrelians and Svans.2 To call all the different Kartvelian groups ‘Georgians’ obscures the true ethnic situation. -
What Is the Kremlin up to in Belarus? Joerg Forbrig
Transatlantic Take 14 September 2020 What Is the Kremlin up to in Belarus? Joerg Forbrig Against the background of ongoing mass protests in Belarus, a critical meeting will take place this Monday in the Russian Black Sea city of Sochi. Alexander Lukashenka, the Belarusian strongman struggling to hold on to power, meets with Vladimir Putin, his key supporter. This first personal meeting since a popular uprising began against Lukashenka’s massively falsified reelection is an important indicator of where the political crisis in Belarus is headed. The fate of Lukashenka is at stake, as is that of the democratic movement in Belarus and the continued existence of an independent Belarusian state. Russia undoubtedly plays a central role in all these respects. However, the EU can and must bring to bear its influence more decisively than before. The Belarusian summer surprised Russia no less than most in Europe and even in Belarus itself. The Kremlin had assumed that Lukashenka would assert his power but would be weakened, given rising discontent in Belar- usian society. Moscow reckoned that this would finally force Minsk to make concessions in the direction of closer political integration between the two countries, which Putin had long called for, but which Lukashenka had so far rejected to preserve his own power. The fact that the continued existence of the Lukashenka regime would be seriously questioned by a popular uprising was unexpected for the Russian leadership. Mirroring that, Russian reactions to the events in Belarus were contradictory. Putin’s congratulations on Lukashenka’s election victory were accompanied by clear criticism from high-ranking Moscow politicians of the Belarusian ruler’s actions, and the Russian state media reported unusually openly on election fraud, mass protests, and police violence. -
Implications for U.S. National Security
1 115TH CONGRESS " ! S. PRT. 2d Session COMMITTEE PRINT 115–21 PUTIN’S ASYMMETRIC ASSAULT ON DEMOCRACY IN RUSSIA AND EUROPE: IMPLICATIONS FOR U.S. NATIONAL SECURITY A MINORITY STAFF REPORT PREPARED FOR THE USE OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED FIFTEENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION JANUARY 10, 2018 Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Relations Available via World Wide Web: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/congress/index.html U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 28–110 PDF WASHINGTON : 2018 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate Mar 15 2010 04:06 Jan 09, 2018 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5012 Sfmt 5012 S:\FULL COMMITTEE\HEARING FILES\COMMITTEE PRINT 2018\HENRY\JAN. 9 REPORT FOREI-42327 with DISTILLER seneagle COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS BOB CORKER, Tennessee, Chairman JAMES E. RISCH, Idaho BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, Maryland MARCO RUBIO, Florida ROBERT MENENDEZ, New Jersey RON JOHNSON, Wisconsin JEANNE SHAHEEN, New Hampshire JEFF FLAKE, Arizona CHRISTOPHER A. COONS, Delaware CORY GARDNER, Colorado TOM UDALL, New Mexico TODD YOUNG, Indiana CHRISTOPHER MURPHY, Connecticut JOHN BARRASSO, Wyoming TIM KAINE, Virginia JOHNNY ISAKSON, Georgia EDWARD J. MARKEY, Massachusetts ROB PORTMAN, Ohio JEFF MERKLEY, Oregon RAND PAUL, Kentucky CORY A. BOOKER, New Jersey TODD WOMACK, Staff Director JESSICA LEWIS, Democratic Staff Director JOHN DUTTON, Chief Clerk (II) VerDate Mar 15 2010 04:06 Jan 09, 2018 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00002 Fmt 5904 Sfmt 5904 S:\FULL COMMITTEE\HEARING FILES\COMMITTEE PRINT 2018\HENRY\JAN. -
Organised and Supported By: Moscow School of Political
ORGANISED AND SUPPORTED BY: MOSCOW SCHOOL OF POLITICAL STUDIES COUNCIL OF EUROPE THE COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES OPEN SOCIETY INSTITUTE (BUDAPEST): HESP PROGRAMME BRITISH — AMERICAN TOBACCO (RUSSIA) BRITISH EMBASSY IN RUSSIA CARNEGIE CORPORATION OF NEW-YORK FRENCH EMBASSY IN RUSSIA MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS OF IRELAND — "DEVELOPMENT COOREPATION IRELAND", COUNCIL OF EUROPE NATIONAL ENDOWMENT FOR DEMOCRACY THE CHARLES STEWARD MOTT FOUNDATION UNITED STATES AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PARTICIPANTS OF THE SEMINAR OF THE MOSCOW SCHOOL OF POLITICAL STUDIES MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION The Moscow School of Political Studies was established in 1992 as a non-governmental organisation with its mission to promote development of democratic institution and civil society in Russia. Sunday, 23 JULY 10.00 – 10.15 Opening ceremony: Elena Nemirovskaya, Founder and Director, Moscow School of Political Studies 10.15 – 12.00 Session: Politics Governor's reflection on politics and personal experience Sergei Morozov (Russia) 12.00 – 12.30 Coffee-break 12.30 – 14.00 Session: Politics Local self-government in Russia: modern conditions and basic trends Vladimir Mokriy (Russia) 14.00 – 15.00 Lunch 15.00 – 16.30 Session: Politics Party structuring and political development in Russia Andrei Vorobyev (Russia) 16.30 – 17.00 Coffee-break 17.00 – 19.00 Session: Economy and Politics Basic trends in budget reforms in Russia Tatiyana Nesterenko (Russia) 19.00 – 20.00 Dinner 20.00 – 20.30 Presentation of the book: Sum ergo cogito. -
Downloaded from Manchesterhive.Com at 10/03/2021 12:18:52AM Via Free Access FAD10 10/17/2002 6:04 PM Page 173
FAD10 10/17/2002 6:04 PM Page 172 10 Conclusions Article 1 of the Russian Constitution states that the Russian Federation ‘is a democratic federative rule of law state with a republican form of gov- ernment’. However, as this study has shown, whilst many of the struc- tural prerequisites of a federal state have undoubtedly been formed, a federal and democratic culture has still to emerge. Thus, as Kempton notes, ‘although Russia inherited a federal structure, it did not inherit a federal tradition’.1 Centre–periphery relations in Russia have been deter- mined principally by political and economic factors rather than constitu- tional norms. The difficulties of creating a democratic federation in Russia have undoubtedly been made much more problematic by the nature of its origins as a quasi-federation within the USSR. One of the most destruc- tive legacies which Russia inherited from the Soviet Union was its ethno- territorial form of federalism. The ‘dual nature’ of Russian federalism, which grants different constitutional rights and powers to different sub- jects of the federation, has from the outset created major tensions and divi- sions between federal subjects. Indeed, the demands for legal separatism and the development of bilateralism can be seen as logical responses to the constitutional inequalities inherent in the system. The foundations of Russia’s constitutional order The manner by which Russia’s constitutional foundations were laid down have also had a major impact on its transition. As we have seen the foun- dations of Russia’s constitutional order were born out of conflict and coer- cion rather than dialogue and consensus. -
Russia and Asia: the Emerging Security Agenda
Russia and Asia The Emerging Security Agenda Stockholm International Peace Research Institute SIPRI is an independent international institute for research into problems of peace and conflict, especially those of arms control and disarmament. It was established in 1966 to commemorate Sweden’s 150 years of unbroken peace. The Institute is financed mainly by the Swedish Parliament. The staff and the Governing Board are international. The Institute also has an Advisory Committee as an international consultative body. The Governing Board is not responsible for the views expressed in the publications of the Institute. Governing Board Professor Daniel Tarschys, Chairman (Sweden) Dr Oscar Arias Sánchez (Costa Rica) Dr Willem F. van Eekelen (Netherlands) Sir Marrack Goulding (United Kingdom) Dr Catherine Kelleher (United States) Dr Lothar Rühl (Germany) Professor Ronald G. Sutherland (Canada) Dr Abdullah Toukan (Jordan) The Director Director Dr Adam Daniel Rotfeld (Poland) Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Signalistg. 9, S-1769 70 Solna, Sweden Cable: SIPRI Telephone: 46 8/655 97 00 Telefax: 46 8/655 97 33 E-mail: [email protected] Internet URL: http://www.sipri.se Russia and Asia The Emerging Security Agenda Edited by Gennady Chufrin OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS 1999 OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide in Oxford New York Athens -
July 14, 1990 National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 14 July 1990
Digital Archive digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org International History Declassified July 14, 1990 National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 14 July 1990 Citation: “National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 14 July 1990,” July 14, 1990, History and Public Policy Program Digital Archive, Approved for Release by the Central Intelligence Agency, September 1, 2009, Document #0005301354. Contributed by Mark Kramer. https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/209653 Summary: The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 14 July 1990 describes the latest developments in USSR, East Germany, India, West Germany and Liberia. Original Language: English Contents: Scan of Original Document \ (b )( 1) APPROVED FOR (b)(3) RELEASED DATE: 01-Sep-2009 ~cp,; \' NID 90-16.JLY I I u July 1990 .. ~ .. "• ··" ? "' r ,., ,-, ,,-, , " .. I ! . ·" .. '-' r· ' I. Contents USSR: Party Congress Ends East Germany: Jittery Over Economic Protests 4 Notes India: Government Teetering 6 In Brief 10 Special Analyses USSR: Gorbarhcv's Hollow Victory at the Part~ Congress 11 USSR-West Gennany: Kohl Heads to Mosc0w 13 Liberia: Rebels Still Showing Caution 15 ...... ~ I I 14 July 1990 ,oD Secret Proposed CPSU Politburo Lineup • Ei.: officio members Age Current Responsibilities Mikhail Gorbachev b 59 CPSU General Secretary; USSR President Vladimir lvashko b 58 CPSU Deputy General Secretary Mykolas Burokevicius 63 First secretary, Lithuanian Communist Party Givi Gumbarid?e 45 First secretary, Georgian CP Stanislav Gurcnko 54 First secretary, Ukrainian CP Islam Karimov